Entropy Analysis of Multiple Scale Causality and Qualitative Causal Shifts in Spatial Systems*     

Jonathan D. Phillips 《The Professional geographer》2005,57(1):83-93

Spatial systems are typically characterized by multiple controlling factors and processes operating at different spatial and temporal scales (multiple scale causality [MSC]). An entropy decomposition‐based approach to MSC is presented here in two contexts. First, given maps or distributions of an observed phenomenon at two or more scales, the contribution at more local or global (relative to the primary scale of observation) controls to the observed entropy can be estimated. Second, a theoretical treatment of the entropy decomposition equations shows that as the range of scale is increased by broadening or narrowing resolutions or by incorporating more controls, the influence of larger or smaller‐scale influences not only changes, but may change qualitatively, e.g., in terms of having positive (entropy‐increasing) or negative (information‐increasing) effects. Such qualitative causal shifts have implications for efforts to use any single causal explanation across the molecular to planetary spatial and instantaneous to geological range of scales relevant to physical geography. The entropy decomposition method is illustrated with an application to soil landscapes in the Ouachita Mountains, Arkansas.  相似文献   

The data‐driven approach as an operational real‐time flood forecasting model     

Phuoc Khac‐Tien Nguyen  Lloyd Hock‐Chye Chua 《水文研究》2012,26(19):2878-2893

Accurate water level forecasts are essential for flood warning. This study adopts a data‐driven approach based on the adaptive network–based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) to forecast the daily water levels of the Lower Mekong River at Pakse, Lao People's Democratic Republic. ANFIS is a hybrid system combining fuzzy inference system and artificial neural networks. Five ANFIS models were developed to provide water level forecasts from 1 to 5 days ahead, respectively. The results show that although ANFIS forecasts of water levels up to three lead days satisfied the benchmark, four‐ and five‐lead‐day forecasts were only slightly better in performance compared with the currently adopted operational model. This limitation is imposed by the auto‐ and cross‐correlations of the water level time series. Output updating procedures based on the autoregressive (AR) and recursive AR (RAR) models were used to enhance ANFIS model outputs. The RAR model performed better than the AR model. In addition, a partial recursive procedure that reduced the number of recursive steps when applying the AR or the RAR model for multi‐step‐ahead error prediction was superior to the fully recursive procedure. The RAR‐based partial recursive updating procedure significantly improved three‐, four‐ and five‐lead‐day forecasts. Our study further shows that for long lead times, ANFIS model errors are dominated by lag time errors. Although the ANFIS model with the RAR‐based partial recursive updating procedure provided the best results, this method was able to reduce the lag time errors significantly for the falling limbs only. Improvements for the rising limbs were modest. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

地表覆盖遥感产品更新完善的研究动向     

陈军  张俊  张委伟  彭舒 《遥感学报》2016,20(5):991-1001

近年来,多尺度地表覆盖遥感产品的不断涌现,为环境变化研究、地球系统模拟、地理国(世)情监测和可持续发展规划等提供了重要科学数据。为更好地满足广大用户日益增长的应用需求,应对地表覆盖遥感产品进行持续更新完善,保持其时效性、增强时序性、丰富多样性。针对大面积地表覆盖遥感产品更新完善所面临的主要问题,介绍和评述了国内外有关研究动向,包括影像与众源信息相结合的更新、数据类型细化与完善、地表覆盖真实性验证,并作了简要展望。  相似文献   

省市级基础地理信息框架数据联动更新探究          下载免费PDF全文

张鹏  韦通  李庆永  王辉 《山东国土资源》2016,32(11)

基于潍坊市寿光基础地理信息数据库建设更新工程与省地理信息公共服务平台框架数据更新工程,探索了省市基础地理信息框架数据联动更新的工作模式,提出了通过建立多比例尺基础框架数据的方式,建立省市基础框架数据库的联系,通过增量更新的模式完成省市两级基础框架数据库联动更新的方法。  相似文献   

Effect of loading duration on uncertainty in creep analysis of clay          下载免费PDF全文

Fang Tan  Wan‐Huan Zhou  Ka‐Veng Yuen 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2018,42(11):1235-1254

Some studies suggest that creep parameters should be determined using a greater quantity of creep test data to provide more reliable prediction regarding the deformation of soft soils. This study aims to investigate the effect of loading duration on model updating. One‐dimensional consolidation data of intact Vanttila clay under different loading durations collected from the literature is used for demonstration. The Bayesian probabilistic method is used to identify all unknown parameters based on the consolidation data during the entire consolidation process, and their uncertainty can be quantified through the obtained posterior probability density functions. Additionally, the optimal models are also determined from among 9 model candidates. The analyses indicate that the optimal models can describe the creep behavior of intact soft soils under different loading durations, and the adopted method can evaluate the effect of loading duration on uncertainty in the creep analysis. The uncertainty of a specific model and its model parameters decreases as more creep data are involved in the updating process, and the updated models that use more creep data can better capture the deformation behavior of an intact sample. The proposed method can provide quantified uncertainty in the process of model updating and assist engineers to decide whether the creep test data are sufficient for the creep analysis.  相似文献   

市级自然资源调查监测体系构建探索——以徐州市为例     

楚亮  董士玲  付丽莉  徐雷 《中国地质调查》2021,8(3):106-112

自然资源调查是实现自然资源统一管理的重要前提和基础性工作。本文通过对自然资源分类体系、调查方案和数据库组织的研究,构建了以第三次国土调查和各类专项调查数据为基础的自然资源调查监测体系,提出了新的数据库组织和更新方法,并在江苏省徐州市进行了实践验证,形成了地市级调查成果,旨在为全国范围内地级市自然资源调查工作提供参考,构建可复制、可推广的调查体系。  相似文献   

全过程联合校正方法在饶河流域洪水预报中的应用研究     

王钦钊  黄一昕  梁忠民  邓晓栋 《水文》2021,41(2):45-50

为提高饶河流域洪水预报精度,将全过程联合校正(EPJC)方法与三水源新安江(XAJ)模型结合,按一定比例划分洪水预报总误差为各过程误差,基于系统响应理论反演得到面雨量计算误差和模型参数误差,重新输入流域水文模型正演得出校正后的洪水过程.选取洪峰流量相对误差、峰现时间绝对误差、径流深相对误差和确定性系数作为模型评价指标,...  相似文献   

浅谈基于不同时期多源影像的数据更新     

刘希双  韩庆龙  万里萍 《测绘与空间地理信息》2009,32(1)

主要阐述了卫星遥感数据的几何纠正及融合技术,对实际生产具有指导意义.  相似文献   

湿地资源调查更新若干问题探讨     

方爱玲  宋立明  刘军  周孝明 《测绘与空间地理信息》2019,42(4):115-118

对古浪县第二次全国湿地资源调查的技术、结果进行了系统分析,探索了研究区内湿地资源调查更新的方法,通过"天空地"协同和"互联网+"的调查更新技术全面更新研究区内湿地资源调查数据库,以全面掌握湿地资源状况。研究结果:1)古浪县第二次湿地资源调查范围内的非湿地类型面积达4 615.35 hm2,占全县第二次湿地调查总面积的59.31%。2)变更后县域内湿地资源总面积4 131.54 hm2,以河流水面、内陆滩涂、水库水面、沟渠为主要用地类型,较第二次调查湿地面积净减少3 650.25 hm2。3)"天空地"协同遥感监测技术为湿地资源变更监测提供高精度多源数据,保证了调查、监测的精度和准确性。  相似文献   

QUICKBIRD影像的正射纠正及地形图更新应用研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

石玉华 《地理空间信息》2007,5(6):45-47

介绍了Quick Bird影像的波段合成、分辨率融合、图像增强以及自然色彩变换等技术,阐述了Quick Bird影像的正射纠正的方法、纠正后的精度分析、纠正后应用于地形图及空间数据更新的技术方法。  相似文献