Sea surface temperature record off central Japan since the Last Glacial Maximum using planktonic foraminiferal Mg/Ca thermometry     

Takuya Sagawa  Kazuhiro Toyoda  Tadamichi Oba 《第四纪科学杂志》2006,21(1):63-73

We conducted paired measurements of the Mg/Ca ratio and δ¹⁸O of planktonic foraminifera, Globigerina bulloides, from a sediment core (MD01‐2420) off central Japan in the northwest Pacific, to reconstruct current movements since the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM). These methods make it possible to determine the magnitude and timing of the sea surface temperature (SST) changes and to reconstruct the variations of the past seawater δ¹⁸O (δ¹⁸Ow) off central Japan. The amplitude of Mg/Ca‐based SST changes between the Holocene and the LGM was about 10°C. The strong resemblance of the SSTs estimated from both methods, Mg/Ca‐based and δ¹⁸O‐based, suggests that the SST changes were caused primarily by latitudinal displacement of the Kuroshio–Oyashio currents and no distinct change in the carbonate dissolution of the core. The southward migration of the water mass was 5–6° in latitude at the LGM. The values for regional δ¹⁸Ow changes, which were obtained by subtracting the ice volume contribution from the calculated δ¹⁸Ow, describe the millennial‐scale water mass migration over the last 30 kyr. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

有限元分析技术在空间太阳望远镜结构设计中的应用   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

张锐  陈志远  陈志平  杨世模 《天文学进展》2005,23(4):355-362

有限元分析技术是现代工程领域中进行结构分析的一种数值方法，已经广泛应用于天文仪器设计。它可使设计者了解被设计对象相应的特性，发现强度或刚度等方面的薄弱点，从而改进和优化设计。以空间太阳望远镜主桁架和主镜室的设计为例，从几何建模、单元划分入手，对静力学分析、模态分析、动态响应和热分析等各方面在空间太阳望远镜设计中的应用进行了阐述；分析了有限元分析存在的误差、产生的原因以及如何减少误差；叙述了有限元分析技术应用于天文仪器尤其是空间天文仪器的发展趋势。  相似文献   

Seasonal flooding in Bangladesh – variability and predictability     

Md. Rashed Chowdhury  M. Neil Ward 《水文研究》2007,21(3):335-347

At present, Bangladesh has a flood forecasting lead time of only 3 days or so. There is demand for a forecasting lead time of a month to a season. The primary objectives of this paper are to study the variability and predictability of seasonal flooding in Bangladesh, as revealed by large‐scale predictors of the climate across the watersheds. To explore the source of predictability, accessible Bangladesh hydrological indicators are related to large‐scale oceanic variability and to large‐scale atmospheric circulation patterns predicted by general circulation models (GCMs). Correlation analyses between the flood‐affected area (FAA) for July–September and tropical sea‐surface temperature (SST) indicate connections to tropical Pacific and Indian Ocean SSTs, at a short lead time of a month or so. These are related to El Niño–southern oscillation (ENSO). Correlations between the SSTs of the preceding October–December and the July–September FAA are weaker but notable. Forecasts of the FAA using the leading principal components (PCs) of SST were made, which provided good skill with a lead time of a month or so. The streamflows and rainfall observed in Bangladesh have been added to these prediction models. Finally, the SST PCs were replaced with PCs of GCM prediction fields (precipitation). The prediction models at short lead time that were constructed for FAA were of generally similar levels of skill to that for SST. This is encouraging, as it suggests that linkages with SST can be successfully recovered in a physical model of the climate system in Bangladesh. This study concludes that seasonal flood prediction in Bangladesh is possible from the unusually warm or cold SST in parts of the tropics. This predictability can be enhanced with the information achievable from monitoring the downstream streamflows (which are generated mainly from upstream rainfall conditions) in advance of the flooding season. Finally, this study recommends formalizing a regional cooperation among the countries in the principal co‐basin areas of the Ganges–Brahmaputra–Meghna to achieve this goal. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

NUMERICAL STUDY ON THE EFFECTS OF SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ON TROPICAL CYCLONE INTENSITY—PART Ⅱ:COUPLING MODEL AND EXPERIMENT          下载免费PDF全文

端义宏  秦曾灏  顾建峰  李永平 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2000,(2)

A tropical cyclone-marine mixed layer model including air-sea interaction is established to conductnumerical experiment with the effects of SST on the cyclone's intensity,Evidence suggests that withair-sea interaction involved,SST rise causes a drop of central pressure of the storm and SST impact onthe intensity is weaker in the coupling case.Moreover,study is undertaken of the intensity variationof another tropical cyclone moving in the cyclone's cold-tail sector,with the results in good agreementwith the observational fact.  相似文献   

Abrupt summer warming and changes in temperature extremes over Northeast Asia since the mid-1990s: Drivers and physical processes     

Buwen Dong  Rowan T. Sutton  Wei Chen  Xiaodong Liu  Riyu Lu  Ying Sun 《大气科学进展》2016,33(9):1005-1023

This study investigated the drivers and physical processes for the abrupt decadal summer surface warming and increases in hot temperature extremes that occurred over Northeast Asia in the mid-1990 s. Observations indicate an abrupt increase in summer mean surface air temperature(SAT) over Northeast Asia since the mid-1990 s. Accompanying this abrupt surface warming, significant changes in some temperature extremes, characterized by increases in summer mean daily maximum temperature(Tmax), daily minimum temperature(Tmin), annual hottest day temperature(TXx), and annual warmest night temperature(TNx) were observed. There were also increases in the frequency of summer days(SU) and tropical nights(TR).Atmospheric general circulation model experiments forced by changes in sea surface temperature(SST)/ sea ice extent(SIE),anthropogenic greenhouse gas(GHG) concentrations, and anthropogenic aerosol(AA) forcing, relative to the period 1964–93, reproduced the general patterns of observed summer mean SAT changes and associated changes in temperature extremes,although the abrupt decrease in precipitation since the mid-1990 s was not simulated. Additional model experiments with different forcings indicated that changes in SST/SIE explained 76% of the area-averaged summer mean surface warming signal over Northeast Asia, while the direct impact of changes in GHG and AA explained the remaining 24% of the surface warming signal. Analysis of physical processes indicated that the direct impact of the changes in AA(through aerosol–radiation and aerosol–cloud interactions), mainly related to the reduction of AA precursor emissions over Europe, played a dominant role in the increase in TXx and a similarly important role as SST/SIE changes in the increase in the frequency of SU over Northeast Asia via AA-induced coupled atmosphere–land surface and cloud feedbacks, rather than through a direct impact of AA changes on cloud condensation nuclei. The modelling results also imply that the abrupt summer surface warming and increases in hot temperature extremes over Northeast Asia since the mid-1990 s will probably sustain in the next few decades as GHG concentrations continue to increase and AA precursor emissions over both North America and Europe continue to decrease.  相似文献   

ENSO与印度洋海盆海温多尺度相互作用及其对气候影响的研究进展     

孙舒悦  任荣彩 《气象科技》2015,43(5):858-865

系统回顾了近年来有关ENSO与印度洋海盆海温多时间尺度相互作用及其气候效应研究的相关成果。主要包括年际和年代际时间尺度上,ENSO与印度洋海盆海温之间相互联系的基本事实和机制,以及与之相关的气候影响,特别是上述联系对亚洲季风系统及气候异常的影响。在年际尺度上,ENSO通过“大气桥”过程主导着印度洋海温变化,而后者的异常也可通过纬向环流的“齿轮式耦合”对ENSO产生影响。在年代际尺度上,一方面印度洋海盆海温显著的夏季增暖可能来自ENSO暖事件持续时间的年代际延长,另一方面印度洋秋季海温空间分布模态的年代际变化,则对ENSO暖事件强度的年代际增强具有贡献。二者的多时间尺度相互作用进而通过影响大气和海洋环流、辐射反馈、蒸发降水等多种海气耦合过程产生显著的气候效应。研究成果表明印度洋海温变化对亚洲乃至全球气候异常的重要作用。在回顾上述研究成果的基础上,讨论了进一步研究ENSO与印度洋海盆海温多时间尺度变率影响全球气候的前景和重要意义。  相似文献   

Diurnal Variations of Precipitation over the Steep Slopes of the Himalayas Observed by TRMM PR and VIRS     

Xiao PAN  Yunfei FU  Sen YANG  Ying GONG  Deqin LI 《大气科学进展》2021,38(4):641-660

This study investigates diurnal variations of precipitation during May–August, 1998–2012, over the steep slopes of the Himalayas and adjacent regions(flat Gangetic Plains–FGP, foothills of the Himalayas–FHH, the steep slope of the southern Himalayas–SSSH, and the Himalayas-Tibetan Plateau tableland–HTPT). Diurnal variations are analyzed at the pixel level utilizing collocated TRMM precipitation radar and visible infrared data. The results indicate that rain parameters(including rain frequency, rain rate, and storm top altitude) are predominantly characterized by afternoon maxima and morning minima at HTPT and FGP, whereas, maximum rain parameters at FHH typically occur in the early morning. Rain parameters at SSSH are characterized by double peaks;one in the afternoon and one at midnight. Over HTPT and FGP,convective activity is strongest in the afternoon with the thickest crystallization layer. Over FHH, the vertical structure of precipitation develops most vigorously in the early morning when the most intense collision and growth of precipitation particles occurs. Over SSSH, moist convection is stronger in the afternoon and at midnight with strong mixing of ice and water particles. The results of harmonic analysis show that rain bands move southward from lower elevation of SSSH to FHH with apparent southward propagation of the harmonic phase from midnight to early morning. Moreover, the strongest diurnal harmonic is located at HTPT, having a diurnal harmonic percentage variance of up to 90%. Large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns exhibit obvious diurnal variability and correspond well to the distribution of precipitation.  相似文献   

On the weakened relationship between spring Arctic Oscillation and following summer tropical cyclone frequency over the western North Pacific: A comparison between 1968–1986 and 1989–2007     

Xi Cao  Shangfeng Chen  Guanghua Chen  Wen Chen  Renguang Wu 《大气科学进展》2015,32(10):1319-1328

This study documents a weakening of the relationship between the spring Arctic Oscillation (AO) and the following summer tropical cyclone (TC) formation frequency over the eastern part (150°-180°E) of the western North Pacific (WNP). The relationship is strong and statistically significant during 1968-1986, but becomes weak during 1989-2007. The spring AO-related SST, atmospheric dynamic, and thermodynamic conditions are compared between the two epochs to understand the possible reasons for the change in the relationship. Results indicate that the spring AO leads to an El Niño-like SST anomaly, lower-level anomalous cyclonic circulation, upper-level anomalous anticyclonic circulation, enhanced ascending motion, and a positive midlevel relative humidity anomaly in the tropical western-central Pacific during 1968-1986, whereas the AO-related anomalies in the above quantities are weak during 1989-2007. Hence, the large-scale dynamic and thermodynamic anomalies are more favorable for TC formation over the eastern WNP during 1968-1986 than during 1989-2007.  相似文献   

华南前汛期开始日期异常与大气环流和海温变化的关系   总被引：5，自引：1，他引：4  

伍红雨  杨崧  蒋兴文 《气象学报》2015,73(2):319-330

利用1961—2012年美国国家环境预报中心/大气研究中心(NCEP/NCAR)的再分析资料、NOAA海温资料,CMAP降水资料和华南261个测站降水观测资料,首先分析华南前汛期开始日期(以下简称华南开汛)异常的气候特征,然后采用相关分析、合成分析的方法研究华南开汛异常与3—4月大气环流以及海温变化的关系。结果表明,近52 a来华南开汛具有显著的年际变化特征,但变化趋势不明显。开汛最早出现在1983年3月1日,最晚出现在1963年6月1日,1961—2012年华南平均开汛日期是4月6日。华南开汛主要出现在3—4月,占92.3%。华南开汛与3—4月华南降水相关最显著,开汛偏早(晚),对应华南3—4月降水偏多(少)。华南开汛偏早年,在3—4月,对流层高层副热带西风急流偏强,中层西太平洋副热带高压偏强偏西、低层南支槽偏强,华南上空西南气流偏强;华南开汛偏晚年则相反。华南开汛与3—4月中国南海及周边地区海温显著相关,海温偏低(高)对应华南开汛偏晚(早)。华南开汛偏晚年的海温和大气环流异常比早年显著。  相似文献   

Spatial pattern of the air-sea interaction near the South China Sea during winter   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

周发琇  张翼  黄菲  刘齐 《中国海洋湖沼学报》1999,17(2):132-141

mODUCnONTheSOuthChinaSea(SCS)isasend-enclosedoceanbasinlocatednearthewesternPeripheryofthePacificOcean.SpreadingfIDmtheeqUatorto20"Nands~ngzonallaboutl5'inlooptUde,theSCSlocatesbetweenthesouthChinacoastandtheInaritha6continent,andissurroundedbyInanislandcountries.Duringwinter,S0UthwwhmedngcoldSUrges,mwhfiedbytheSST,affectthepressure,tempethe,andwindfieldsneartheInaritimecontinent,andsomeInayeveninIluencetheS0uthernHdrispheremonsoon(Davids0netal.,1983).msuniqUegeOpophyoftheSCS…  相似文献