Developing a high-resolution climatology for the Central California coastal region     

Hyun-Sook Kim  Avijit Gangopadhyay  Leslie K. Rosenfeld  Frank L. Bub 《Continental Shelf Research》2007

This work presents a procedure for developing a high-resolution, regional climatology estimate, named RClimo, off the coast of central California. This high-resolution climatology may provide an alternative way to initialize numerical nowcast/forecast exercises in coastal regions. The methodology includes two primary steps: (1) averaging available data on a high-resolution grid and (2) objective interpolating the resulting average profiles onto a regular grid. The first step involves the computation of averages over density layers in the vertical and allowing for data gaps in the horizontal if data are unavailable at a high resolution. The OA in the second step uses anisotropic correlation length scales derived from the data themselves and an averaging radius to preserve the scales and variability of the synoptic fields.  相似文献   

Peak runoff contributing area as hydrological signature of the probability distribution of floods     

Mauro Fiorentino  Salvatore Manfreda  Vito Iacobellis 《Advances in water resources》2007

For the analysis of hydrological extremes and particularly in flood prediction, deeper investigation is needed on the relative effects of different hydrological processes acting at the basin scale in different hydroclimatic areas of the world. In this framework, the theoretical derivation of flood distribution shows a great potential for development and knowledge advancement. In addition, another promising path of investigation is represented by the use of distributed hydrological models via simulation modelling (including Monte Carlo, discrete event and continuous simulation). In this paper results of a theoretically derived flood frequency distribution are analyzed and compared with the results of a simulation scheme that uses a distributed hydrological model (DREAM) in cascade with a rainfall generator (IRP). The numerical simulation allows the reproduction of a large number of extreme events and provides insight into the main control for flood generation mechanisms with particular emphasis to the peak runoff contributing areas, highlighting the relevance of soil texture and morphology in different climatic environments. The proposed methodology is applied here to the Agri and the Bradano basin, in Southern Italy.  相似文献   

Simulation analysis on the regulation of overflow ecological water consumption in arid areas——A case study in the Canmrik ecological area of the mainstream zone of the Tarim River     

CHEN Xi  HUANG Yue  QIAN Jing  LIU HaiLong  FENG XianWei  LIU Ying  BAO AnMing  WANG WeiSheng 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》2007,50(Z1)

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Determining the size of spatial clusters in focused tests: Comparing two methods by means of simulation in a GIS     

Yifei Sun 《Journal of Geographical Systems》2002,4(4):359-370

 Based on a four-point evaluation system consisting of accuracy, consistency, power, and chance to commit type I errors, this study compares Tango's minimum p (MinP) and Stone's maximum relative risk (MaxRR) methods for detecting focused cluster size through simulations in GIS. It reveals that the MinP method is more effective than the MaxRR method. The MinP method exhibits higher levels of accuracy and consistency; and its power and chance to commit type I errors are similar to the MinP method. The MaxRR method has a tendency to underestimate the cluster size, while the MinP method tends to overestimate the cluster size, particularly when the clusters are relatively big and have high relative risk levels. In addition, the MinP method seems to be most effective in revealing the size of clusters when clusters are neither too strong nor too weak. The lowest detection rates for clustering occur when the clustering signal is relatively weak, which is easily understandable. In practice, it might be useful to use both the methods to estimate a range of possible cluster sizes, where the MaxRR method indicates the lower estimate, while the MinP method gives the higher estimate of the cluster size. Received: 24 August 2002 / Accepted: 20 December 2002  相似文献   

Toward micro-scale spatial modeling of gentrification   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

David O'Sullivan 《Journal of Geographical Systems》2002,4(3):251-274

 A simple preliminary model of gentrification is presented. The model is based on an irregular cellular automaton architecture drawing on the concept of proximal space, which is well suited to the spatial externalities present in housing markets at the local scale. The rent gap hypothesis on which the model's cell transition rules are based is discussed. The model's transition rules are described in detail. Practical difficulties in configuring and initializing the model are described and its typical behavior reported. Prospects for further development of the model are discussed. The current model structure, while inadequate, is well suited to further elaboration and the incorporation of other interesting and relevant effects. Received: 1 November 2001 / Accepted: 12 April 2002 Town centres data were made available by kind permission of the UK Department of the Environment, Transport and the Regions.  相似文献   

虚拟实体生成技术研究   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

夏青  万刚 《测绘学院学报》2002,19(4):303-305

介绍了虚拟实体的定义、研究内容和一个研究实例，并指出了虚拟实体生成研究对测绘保障的意义。  相似文献   

青藏高原下垫面对中国夏季环流影响的研究   总被引：14，自引：4，他引：14  

王兰宁  郑庆林  宋青丽 《南京气象学院学报》2002,25(2):186-191

发展了一个CCM3－RegCM2单向嵌套模式，用以研究青藏高原中西部地区下垫面特征对我国夏季环流和降水的影响。结果表明：若青藏高原中西部植被破坏，变为沙漠，则该地区地面返照率增加，热容量减少，气温升高。从而导致高原北侧的温度梯度增大，西风槽则被削弱；西风急流被推至更西更北的地区，使得北方冷空气难以到达我国长江、黄河流域；由于高原上空气温增高，导致该地区上空的反气旋环流增强，使原来位于槽前西南气流的长江中下游地区处在平直西风气流当中，不利于降水的产生。与此同时，副热带高压西伸北抬，使得长江、黄河中下游地区处在副热同压控制之下，造成我国大部分地区夏季降水减少。  相似文献   

陆气相互作用及陆面模式的研究进展   总被引：20，自引：2，他引：20  

陈海山  孙照渤 《南京气象学院学报》2002,25(2):277-288

较为全面地回顾了有关陆气相互作用的研究进展及陆面模式的发展现状，结合近年来开展的有关陆气相互作用的20多个大型国际研究计划和目前国内外具有代表性的陆面模式，分析了当前陆气相互作用及陆面模式研究中存在并有待进一步解决的问题，探讨了未来陆面模式的发展趋势。  相似文献   

湛江港邻近海域台风浪的模拟研究   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

陈希  沙文钰  闵锦忠  李妍 《南京气象学院学报》2002,25(6):779-786

对第三代近岸海浪数值模式SWAN及包含的物理过程进行了简要介绍，利用该模式对影响南海湛江港海域的二次台风浪过程进行了模拟研究：由藤田台风风场模型同化相应时刻的台风要素、NCAR/NCEP网格点资料、单站观测资料后，提供模式所需风场；利用自嵌套的方式，提供模式波谱边界条件；两次模拟结果与实际海浪观测资料相符较好，可以为该海域台风浪的模拟预报提供较为重要的参考。  相似文献   

1998年“4.18”强沙尘暴分析及数值模拟   总被引：8，自引：2，他引：8  

许东蓓  康凤琴  郑新江 《气象》2002,28(8):9-14

对1998年4月18－19日发生在新疆、甘肃、宁夏、内蒙古等地的一次强沙尘暴天气过程从天气事实、天气学成因等方面进行了分析和诊断，然后利用非静力MM5模式对这次沙尘暴天气进行了数值模拟。结果表明，西西伯利亚强冷空气迅速东移，在新疆西部上空形成强锋区，对应的地面冷锋东移至前期增暖显著的新疆、内蒙古、甘肃、宁夏等地形成了本次大风、强沙尘暴天气。用非静力MM5模式较好地模拟出了此次强沙尘暴天气过程的地面强风系统、高空锋区的发生发展。  相似文献