Flow–duration curve integration into digital filtering algorithms for simulating climate variability based on river baseflow     

R. Mohammed 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(10):1558-1573

ABSTRACT

A baseflow separation methodology combining the outcomes of the flow–duration curve and the digital filtering algorithms to cope with the restrictions of traditional procedures has been assessed. Using this methodology as well as the monitored and simulated hydro-climatological data, the baseflow annual variations due to climate change and human-induced activities were determined. The outcomes show that the long-term baseflow index at the upstream sub-basin is nearly half of that at the downstream from October to April, whereas they are close to each other for the remaining months. Some of the groundwater reacts to precipitation and an evident rise in the groundwater contribution was detected for the hydrological years 1998–2001 and 2006–2008. The contrary was recorded for1987. The water released from the reservoir in the dry periods led to distinctions in the detected baseflow index between the pre-damming and post-damming periods of the river.  相似文献   

Diurnal timing of warmer air under climate change affects magnitude,timing and duration of stream temperature change     

Mousa Diabat  Roy Haggerty  Steven M. Wondzell 《水文研究》2013,27(16):2367-2378

Stream temperature will be subject to changes because of atmospheric warming in the future. We investigated the effects of the diurnal timing of air temperature changes – daytime warming versus nighttime warming – on stream temperature. Using the physically based model, Heat Source, we performed a sensitivity analysis of summer stream temperatures to three diurnal air temperature distributions of +4 °C mean air temperature: i) uniform increase over the whole day, ii) warmer daytime and iii) warmer nighttime. The stream temperature model was applied to a 37‐km section of the Middle Fork John Day River in northeastern Oregon, USA. The three diurnal air temperature distributions generated 7‐day average daily maximum stream temperatures increases of approximately +1.8 °C ± 0.1 °C at the downstream end of the study section. The three air temperature distributions, with the same daily mean, generated different ranges of stream temperatures, different 7‐day average daily maximum temperatures, different durations of stream temperature changes and different average daily temperatures in most parts of the reach. The stream temperature changes were out of phase with air temperature changes, and therefore in many places, the greatest daytime increase in stream temperature was caused by nighttime warming of air temperatures. Stream temperature changes tended to be more extreme and of longer duration when driven by air temperatures concentrated in either daytime or nighttime instead of uniformly distributed across the diurnal cycle. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Simulating the response of a closed‐basin lake to recent climate changes in tropical West Africa (Lake Bosumtwi,Ghana)     

Timothy M. Shanahan  Jonathan T. Overpeck  W. E. Sharp  Christopher A. Scholz  Justice A. Arko 《水文研究》2007,21(13):1678-1691

Historical changes in the level of Lake Bosumtwi, Ghana, have been simulated using a catchment‐scale hydrological model in order to assess the importance of changes in climate and land use on lake water balance on a monthly basis for the period 1939–2004. Several commonly used models for computing evaporation in data‐sparse regions are compared, including the Penman, the energy budget, and the Priestley–Taylor methods. Based on a comparison with recorded lake level variations, the model with the energy‐budget evaporation model subcomponent is most effective at reproducing observed lake level variations using regional climate records. A sensitivity analysis using this model indicates that Lake Bosumtwi is highly sensitive to changes in precipitation, cloudiness and temperature. However, the model is also sensitive to changes in runoff related to vegetation, and this factor needs to be considered in simulating lake level variations. Both interannual and longer‐term changes in lake level over the last 65 years appear to have been caused primarily by changes in precipitation, though the model also suggests that the drop in lake level over the last few decades has been moderated by changes in cloudiness and temperature over that time. Based on its effectiveness at simulating the magnitude and rate of lake level response to changing climate over the historical record, this model offers a potential future opportunity to examine the palaeoclimatic factors causing past lake level fluctuations preserved in the geological record at Lake Bosumtwi. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Regression‐based approach to low flow prediction in the Maryland Piedmont region under joint climate and land use change     

Mohamad I. Hejazi  Glenn E. Moglen 《水文研究》2007,21(14):1793-1801

We examine the low flow records for six urbanized watersheds in the Maryland Piedmont region and develop regression equations to predict annual minimum low flow events. The effects of both future climate (based on precipitation and temperature projections from two climate models: Hadley and the Canadian Climate Centre (CCC)) and land use change are incorporated to illustrate possible future trends in low flows. A regression modelling approach is pursued to predict the minimum annual 7‐day low flow estimates for the proposed future scenarios. A regional regression model was calibrated with between 10 and 50 years of daily precipitation, daily average temperature, annual imperviousness, and the daily observed flow time‐series across six watersheds. Future simulations based on a 55 km² urbanizing watershed just north of Washington, DC, were performed. When land use and climate change were employed singly, the former predicted no trends in low flows and the latter predicted significant increasing trends under Hadley and no trends under CCC. When employed jointly, however, low flows were predicted to decrease significantly under CCC, whereas Hadley predicted no significant trends in low flows. Antecedent precipitation was the most influential predictor on low flows, followed by urbanization. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

大亚湾西部海域沉积物中生物硅的含量及其分布特征          下载免费PDF全文

周鹏  李冬梅  李海涛  赵力  赵峰  郑远来  吴梅桂  余汉生 《应用海洋学学报》2019,38(1):109-117

采用2. 0 mol/dm~3Na_2CO_3溶液5h单点化学提取-硅钼蓝连续分光光度分析法分别测定了大亚湾西部海域13个表层沉积物和1个沉积物岩芯中生物硅的含量.表层沉积物和沉积物岩芯中生物硅含量占比分别为0. 69%～2. 02%和1. 24%～2. 05%,平均值分别为1. 42%和1. 60%.结果证实西大亚湾沉积物中生物硅含量水平与我国南海近岸海域基本一致.在210Pbex测年的基础上,通过分析沉积物岩芯中生物硅、有机物、无机碳等多指标,揭示近百年来大亚湾周边环境变化对海洋环境的影响,证实了上世纪80年代以来西大亚湾周边农业、海水养殖业和工业发展等人类活动加剧了该海域生态环境变化,尤其90年代核电站运行对海洋生态变化造成一定的影响.  相似文献   

Environmental evolution of Gongwang Mountains during Holocene in northeastern Yunnan, China     

Wei ZHANG  Chuanchuan LI  Zhijiu CUI  Jinliang FENG . College of Urban  Environmental Sciences  Liaoning Normal University  Dalian  Liaoning  China. College of Environmental Sciences  Peking University  Beijing  China 《东北亚地学研究》2008,11(3):156-167

This paper presents the study on two continuous glacio-lacustrine sedimentary deposits, Laotanfang （3 597 m） and Shibantang （3 689 m） located on the southern and northern sides of Hulifang peak in Yunan, China. Environmental change indexes are constructed for each deposit, based on grain size, geochemical and pollen analysis, environmental magnetic susceptibility, and 14C dating. The study of climatic environmental change since the Holocene epoch in this region shows that the climate fluctuated at different stages during the early Holocene, that is, the climate was cool and wet during 8.4-7. 7r ka, cold and wet during 7.7-6. 5 ka, cold and dry during 6. 5-4.7 ka, cool and wet during 4.7-2. 1 ka, warm and wet during 2. 1-1.0 ka, and warmer and wet since 1 ka. These findings reflect the overlapping influences of the southwest and southeast monsoons in different times during the Holocene in the north part of southwestern China are in accord with other Holocene climate change models in this part of China.  相似文献   

Landscape Dynamics and Driving Factors in Da＇an County of Jilin Province in Northeast China During 1956-2000     

Zongming Wang  Yubo Zhang  Bai Zhang  Kaishan Song  Zhixing Guo  Dianwei Liu  Fang Li 《中国地理科学(英文版)》2008,18(2):137-145

The landscape pattern of Da＇an County, Northeast China has undergone significant changes since the 1950s as a result of climatic change and human activities. The aim of this paper is to quantitatively study landscape pattern and its spatial dynamics of Da＇an County at the landscape level over the nearly 50-year span. Patch dynamics were examined according to land use and land cover change processes built from a series of images, as well as topographic maps, and temporal patterns built from landscape pattern metrics. The transition matrix of landscape patch types and changes of various landscape metrics were applied. The results showed that, from 1956 to 2000, the landscape within the study area had undertaken a complicated evolution in landscape structure and composition. The outstanding characteristic is that saline-alkali land increased and grassland decreased. As some smaller patches amalgamated, the heterogeneity of patch decreased. All those changes were the synthetic result of both climatic and anthropogenic influences, but the predominant factor was different in different parts. In the southern part of the study area, the landscape pattern changes resulted from the modification of climate obviously, while in the northern part, the landscape pattern changes were mainly caused by human activities, such as the conversion between farmland and saline-alkali land. This phenomenon showed that human activities played more important role in the north than in the south of Da＇an County.  相似文献   

对模式匹配算法的存储优化研究     

林南晖  张国军 《中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)》2008,(Z1)

基于确定性有限自动机(DFA)的多模式匹配算法被广泛用于数据包深度检测系统中。它功能虽然强大,但是对内存的需求也比较大,因此很多算法提出了对它的优化方法,以减少对内存的需求量。本文通过用动态默认转移来替代DFA的failto转移,将DFA中大部分的failto转移删掉,从而达到优化DFA的目的。而且本算法易于用硬件实现,因此在对速度有要求的场合,可以通过专门的硬件来计算默认转移,这样默认转移的计算并不会对检测产生延迟,从而加快匹配速度。  相似文献   

基于区域特征的高分辨率遥感影像变化检测研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

王慕华  张继贤  李海涛  徐华龙 《测绘科学》2009,34(1)

传统像素级变化检测往往忽略邻近有意义的整片区域的空间、纹理、结构等信息,对高分辨率遥感影像具有很大的局限性。本文利用面向对象的思想,提出了一种基于区域特征的特定目标变化检测方法。该方法的技术流程包括:数据预处理;同质区域获取;区域特征选择;同名区域搜索;区域特征比较;变化检测精度评价及变化显示。利用提出的方法对伊朗2003年地震前后的巴姆古城标志性建筑进行检测,总体精度达到89.73%。  相似文献   

农村土地制度改革与乡村振兴   总被引：2，自引：4，他引：2  

陈坤秋  龙花楼  马历  张英男 《地理科学进展》2019,38(9):1424-1434

乡村发展现实困境与乡村振兴战略目标之间存在巨大鸿沟。论文总结了1949年以来农村土地制度改革与乡村发展的演进态势与时代特征,基于农村土地制度改革的功能体系,剖析了二者的互动机制,探讨了农村土地制度改革助推乡村振兴的发展路径与典型模式,并进行了研究展望。结论如下：① 农村土地制度改革是破解当前乡村发展困境、推进乡村振兴的突破口,本质是新时期为适应城乡生产力发展的生产关系再调整,二者均具迫切性、交融性与攻坚性的时代特征。1949年以来农村土地制度与乡村发展总体耦合联动、互促互馈。② 新时期,农村土地制度改革具有多功能价值,通过补短板促进乡村重构与乡村多功能发展,发挥制度联动、城乡融合与经济转型的乘数效应,助推乡村振兴,并带动城乡地域系统功能优化。③ 农村土地制度改革沿整合要素、重组结构、优化功能的路径,因地制宜、分类推进乡村地域功能演变与乡村振兴。④ 未来需发挥农村土地制度改革的制度联动作用,同时重视改革的政策性摩擦,深化乡村振兴对农村土地制度改革的正反馈,并权衡农村土地制度改革举措与乡村发展的适应性问题。  相似文献