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101.
利用土壤水分平衡方程,结合河南省冬小麦和夏玉米的生长规律和1994~2000年冬小麦、夏玉米田实测土壤湿度资料,建立了河南省冬小麦、夏玉米土壤水分预报及优化灌溉的计算机模型。用1998~1999年郑州市麦田实测土壤湿度资料验证该模型模拟结果,未来10、20、30天土壤湿度相对误差分别为-7.3%~7.7%、-8.3%~6.8%、-7.6%~7.7%,表明利用该模型,可以较为准确地预报未来1个月的土壤水分变化,并可根据小麦、玉米不同发育期特点,给出以最高产量和最佳经济效益为目标的灌溉建议。 相似文献
102.
春秋时期吴国都城遗迹位置的遥感调查及预测 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
利用遥感技术对苏州及太湖地区做了大面积的地学调查与分析,并在进一步研究了史料和前人工作成果后,进行了春秋吴国都城遗迹位置的遥感调查及预测,它将为考古界进一步有计划地探查和发掘提供参考。 相似文献
103.
为解决城市边界层中大气O3浓度的预报问题,选用一种简明有效的光化学反应方案建立光化学模式, 并与大气平流扩散的箱格预报模型进行了嵌套,从而将大气化学过程引入到城市空气污染数值预报系统 (CAPPS) 中。同时,根据实际需要研究了VOC (Volatile Organic Compounds) 浓度及NOx源排放量等参数缺测时,根据前期监测浓度采用遗传算法反演未知参数的具体方法。利用2001年9月8~17日在北京舞蹈学院监测的O3、NOx资料及相应的气象数据,用改进后的CAPPS模式进行了单箱预报试验。预报试验结果表明,嵌套后的模式对O3浓度的变化具备一定的预报能力。 相似文献
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106.
Currently used and newly proposed calculation techniques for the heightof the stable boundary layer (SBL), including the bulk-Richardson-numbermethod, diagnostic equations for the equilibrium SBL height, and a relaxation-typeprognostic equation, are discussed from the point of view of their physical basis andrelevance to experimental data. Among diagnostic equations, the best fit to data exhibits an advanced Ekman-layer height model derived recently with due regard to the role of the free-flow stability. Its extension to non-steady regimes provides a prognostic equation recommended for use in practical applications. 相似文献
107.
结合近年来“九五”国家重中之重项目有关ENSO业务预报系统研究工作的体会和见解 ,简要综述了近年来ENSO的预报问题 ,尤其是ENSO统计预测方法的研究成果 ,并对各种预报方法的效果进行评价。 相似文献
108.
原油在储层介质中的加水裂解生气模拟实验 总被引:5,自引:2,他引:5
采用高温高压热模拟实验方法,开展了原油在砂岩和火成岩储层介质中的加水裂解生气模拟实验研究.结果表明,原油开始大量裂解的温度是400℃,随模拟温度增加,甲烷相对含量增大,乙烷以上重烃气尤其是丙烷相对含量减小.其中砂岩的油水混合物裂解生气主要发生在450~500℃之间,生气窗范围小,对应的烃气产率高,火成岩的油水混合物裂解生气主要发生在450~600℃之间,生气窗范围大,对应的烃气产率小.模拟烃气的组分碳同位素分馏显著,随模拟温度增加呈变重趋势.在裂解生气过程中,水解加氢和催化作用对烃气的组成、产率和碳同位素分布有重要影响。 相似文献
109.
Scott Lamoureux 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2002,27(10):1107-1124
A 487‐year annually laminated (varved) sediment record from Nicolay Lake, Cornwall Island, in the Canadian High Arctic was evaluated to determine the impact that years with high sediment yields had on sediment yields in subsequent years. All of the 40 largest years showed evidence for increased sediment yield in the subsequent 10–30 years. The positive anomalies in lagging years were approximately scaled according to the size of the initiating year, although many intermediate years (25‐ to 100‐year recurrence) showed weak or variable responses. The smallest events considered (10‐ to 25‐year recurrence) showed a consistent, but low‐amplitude response. Additionally the 10‐year events revealed frequent negative sediment yield anomalies in the preceding decade. This behaviour was interpreted as a frequent sediment activation cycle initiated by the modest year, and leading to sediment yield hysteresis lasting 15–25 years. The largest years (greater than 50‐year recurrence) showed consistently above‐average sediment yields in the preceding decade, in part due to the frequent occurrence of moderate (Q10) years. It is hypothesized that temporary storage of sediment and previous initiation of erosion sites resulted in extraordinary sediment yields during intense summer rainfall events. This study demonstrates the potential use of varved lake sediment records to improve our understanding of long‐term sediment dynamics. These records present an opportunity to further develop and test sediment dynamic and routing models to gain insight into the interaction of time and space in fluvial and sediment delivery processes. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
110.
Dynamic damaging potential of ground motions must be evaluated by the response behaviour of structures, and it is necessary to indicate what properties of ground motions are most appropriate for evaluation. For that purpose, the behaviour of energy input process and hysteretic energy dissipation are investigated in this study. It is found that the momentary input energy that is an index for the intensity of input energy is related to the characteristics of earthquakes such as cyclic or impulsive, and to the response displacement of structures immediately. On the basis of these results, a procedure is proposed to predict inelastic response displacement of structures by corresponding earthquake input energy to structural dissipated damping and hysteretic energy. In this procedure the earthquake response of structures is recognized as an input and dissipation process of energy, and therefore structural properties and damaging properties of ground motions can be taken into account more generally. Lastly, the studies of the pseudodynamic loading test of reinforced concrete structure specimens subjected to ground motions with different time duration are shown. The purpose of this test is to estimate the damaging properties of ground motions and the accuracy of the proposed prediction procedure. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献