贵州气候变化的科学事实   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

吴战平  许丹 《贵州气象》2007,31(4):3-4

介绍了中国气候变化及贵州气候变化的主要特征,提出了贵州气候变化的科学事实及贵州应对气候变化需要关注的5个问题.  相似文献   

贵州气候业务现状与发展趋势分析     

陈静  吴战平 《贵州气象》2007,31(5):3-4

气候轨道业务包括月、季、年和年际尺度的气候系统监测与诊断、短期气候预测、气候系统影响评价、气候应用与服务、气候资源开发利用等。通过对贵州省气候轨道业务现状的分析,介绍了目前贵州气候轨道工作存在和需要解决的若干问题,展望了今后的发展目标。  相似文献   

大气季节内振荡的数值模拟 II. 全球变暖的影响     

俞永强  蒋国荣  何金海 《大气科学》2007,31(4):577-585

利用中国科学院大气物理研究所大气科学和地球流体力学数值模拟国家重点实验室（LASG）发展的耦合气候模式FGOALS1.0_g控制试验、二氧化碳（CO2）浓度加倍试验模拟结果及实测结果（NCEP/NCAR逐日再分析资料）研究了全球变暖对大气季节内振荡（ISO）特征变化的影响。通过对比分析控制试验、二氧化碳浓度加倍试验模拟结果及观测结果发现:（1）FGOALS1.0_g耦合气候模式具有一定的模拟季节内振荡的能力，主要表现为模式能够模拟出ISO活跃区的位置、中心位置的季节变动以及强度的季节变化，其缺陷是模拟的ISO强度偏弱，模拟的ISO周期不显著且偏高频；（2）实测资料诊断分析得到的近六十年来偏暖阶段ISO活跃区强度增强及范围扩大可能不是人类活动影响使温室气体增加所导致的，它可能是大气ISO本身的年代际尺度变化；（3）近六十年来纬向东传波（西传波）的能量的存在增长（减少）趋势的主要原因可能是人类活动影响引起温室气体增加所导致的；（4）由于FGOALS1.0_g耦合气候模式在模拟ISO主周期及强度方面时存在不足，因此实测结果诊断分析得到的偏暖阶段ISO小波能量强，主周期范围大，偏冷阶段反之的结论用FGOALS1.0_g耦合气候模式尚难以证实。  相似文献   

Testing the Ability of Numerical Model to Simulate Climate and Its Change With 4D-EOF Analysis     

ZHAO Deming  SU Bingkai  TANG Jianping 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2007,21(2):179-191

The four-dimensional empirical orthogonal function (4D-EOF), which in reality is a simple combination of three-dimensional EOF (3D-EOF) and extended EOF (EEOF), is put forward in this paper to test the ability of numerical model to simulate climate and its change. The 4D-E0F analysis is able to reveal not only the horizontal characteristic pattern of analyzed variable, and its corresponding annual and inter-annual variations, but also the vertical structural characteristics. The method suggested is then used to analyze the monthly mean 100-, 500-, 70G-, and 1000-hPa geopotential height fields (4941 grids and grid spacing 60 km) and their anomaly fields in 1989-1998 simulated by the MM5V3 from the RMIP (Regional Climate Model Inter-comparison Project for East Asia)-II, as well as their counterparts (used as the observed fields) from the NCEP/NCAR re-analysis dataset in the same period. The ability of MM5V3 in simulating East Asian climate and its change is tested by comparing the 4D-EOF analysis results of the simulated and observed datasets. The comparative analyzed results show that the horizontal pattern of the first eigenvector of the observed monthly mean geopotential height fields and its vertical equivalent barotropic feature were well simulated; the simulations of the first two eigenvectors of the observed monthly mean geopotential height anomaly fields were also successful for their horizontal abnormal distributions and significant equivalent barotropic features in the vertical were well reproduced; and furthermore, the observed characteristics, such as the variation with height, the annual and inter-annual variations of the monthly mean geopotential height/anomaly fields were also well reflected in the simulation. Therefore, the 4D-EOF is able to comprehensively test numerical model's ability of simulating the climate and its change, and the simulation ability of MM5V3 for the climate and its change in East Asia in the 1990s was satisfactory.  相似文献   

Influence of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation on the Winter Climate of East China   总被引：11，自引：0，他引：11  

李双林 《大气科学进展》2007,24(1):126-135

The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation （AMO）, the multidecadal variation of North Atlantic sea surface temperature （SST）, exhibits an oscillation with a period of 65-80 years and an amplitude of 0.4℃. Observational composite analyses reveal that the warm phase AMO is linked to warmer winters in East China, with enhanced precipitation in the north of this region and reduced precipitation in the south, on multidecadal time scales. The pattern is reversed during the cold phase AMO. Whether the AMO acts as a forcing of the multidecadal winter climate of East China is explored by investigating the atmospheric response to warm AMO SST anomalies in a large ensemble of atmospheric general circulation model （AGCM） experiments. The results from three AGCMs are consistent and suggest that the AMO warmth favors warmer winters in East China. This influence is realized through inducing negative surface air pressure anomalies in the hemispheric-wide domain extending from the midlatitude North Atlantic to midlatitude Eurasia. These negative surface anomalies favor the weakening of the Mongolian Cold High, and thus induce a weaker East Asian Winter Monsoon.  相似文献   

陕西省2006年气候影响评价     

田武文  雷向杰  黄祖英 《陕西气象》2007,(3):26-29

2006年陕西年平均气温全省大部异常偏高,根据全省29个气象站的资料统计,有20站突破了建站以来的历史最高记录。年降水量全省大部属正常年份,降水时空分布不均,北部和南部偏少,中部接近常年或略偏多;冬季偏多,春季偏少,夏季大部接近常年同期,秋季偏少;暴雨日数及强度接近常年,全省无大面积洪涝事件发生。苹果花期冻害强度大、范围广、危害重,为严重花期冻害级别;盛夏陕南中西部遭遇严重干旱,干旱程度居50 a以来第3位;10—11月气候异常偏暖使部分地区的冬小麦出现冬前旺长现象。2006年属一般年景。  相似文献   

气温明显偏高,降水大部偏少——广东省2007年第1季度气候评述     

曾侠 《广东气象》2007,29(2):66-66

2007年第1季度广东省各地气温明显偏高,降水大部偏少。全省共13个县(市)季平均气温位列历史前3位。2月气温异常偏高,全省83个县(市)月平均气温位列历史前3位,其中25个县(市)破或平历史同期最高记录。1~2月由于整体上冷空气偏弱,造成广东省灰霾天气较重。3月下旬出现今年首次强对流天气,佛山遭龙卷风袭击。  相似文献   

洞庭盆地安乡凹陷CZ04孔第四纪孢粉记录及其古环境意义     

向轲  刘庚寅  魏方辉  赵伟  罗来  谭陈诚 《华南地质与矿产》2020,36(2):104-116

  相似文献   

拉斯曼丘陵的短期气候特征   总被引：15，自引：5，他引：10       下载免费PDF全文

卞林根  薛正夫  逯昌贵  陆龙骅  贾朋群 《极地研究》1998,10(1):40-49

利用中山站１９８９年以来的气象资料,对拉斯曼丘陵的短期气候特征进行了初步分析。结果表明,拉斯曼丘陵的气候特点与东南极沿岸其它绿洲区相似,共同受大尺度气候过程的影响,同时还具有许多局地气候特征。  相似文献   

塔克拉玛干沙漠石油公路沿线风沙活动的气候环境   总被引：5，自引：2，他引：3  

温向乐  韩致文 《中国沙漠》1998,18(1):77-80

塔克拉玛干沙漠石油公路沿线风沙活动是由塔木盆地内热能释放与冷空气入侵相互作用的结果。冷期,盆地内冷高压逆温作用较强,地面热能不足,使得风力和风沙活动强度弱;暖期,盆地内热源剧增,每当热能源饱和遇到冷空气入侵诱导,导致了强风及强风沙活动天气。可见,区内风沙活动及风成景观的塑造过程,主要是在暖干期进行的。  相似文献