基于奇异谱分析的南方涛动指数短期气候预测试验   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Liu Jianwen  Dong Peiming 《大气科学进展》2001,18(5):873-881

The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) time series is analyzed by means of the singular spectrum analysis (SSA) method with 60-month window length. Two major oscillatory pairs are found in the series whose pe riods are quasi-four and quasi-two years respectively. The auto-regressive model, which is developed on the basis of the Maximum Entropy Spectrum Analy sis, is fitted to each of the 9 leading components including the oscillatory pairs. The prediction of SOI with the 36-month lead is obtained from the reconstruction of these extrapolated series. Correlation coefficient between predicted series and 5 months running mean of observed series is up to 0.8. The model can successfully predict the peak and duration of the strong ENSO event from 1997 to 1998. It＇s also shown that the proper choice of reconstructed components is the key to improve the model prediction.  相似文献   

位场小波分析的物理解释   总被引：13，自引：3，他引：10       下载免费PDF全文

梁锦文 《地球物理学报》2001,44(6):865-870

采用二进小波变换,构造了位场基小波,通过简单模型,分析了位场信号小波分解与重构的物理实质,阐明了小波变换的频带分布与“归一化”位场空间分布的一致性,以及小波重构的规律,并叙述了小波重构与异常分解的关系.  相似文献   

The structure of the mid- and high-latitude ionosphere during the November 2004 storm event obtained from GPS observations   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：1  

Andrzej Krankowski  Irk I. Shagimuratov  Lubomir W. Baran  Galina Yakimova 《Acta Geophysica》2007,55(4):490-508

GPS data from the International GNSS Service (IGS) network were used to study the development of the severe geomagnetic storm of November 7–12, 2004, in the total electron content (TEC) on a global scale. The TEC maps were produced for analyzing the storm. For producing the maps over European and North American sectors, GPS measurements from more than 100 stations were used. The dense network of GPS stations provided TEC measurements with a high temporal and spatial resolution. To present the temporal and spatial variation of TEC during the storm, differential TEC maps relative to a quiet day (November 6, 2004) were created. The features of geomagnetic storm attributed to the complex development of ionospheric storm depend on latitude, longitude and local time. The positive, as well as negative effects were detected in TEC variations as a consequence of the evolution of the geomagnetic storm. The maximal effect was registered in the subauroral/auroral ionosphere during substorm activity in the evening and night period. The latitudinal profiles obtained from TEC maps for Europe gave rise to the storm-time dynamic of the ionospheric trough, which was detected on November 7 and 9 at latitudes below 50°N. In the report, features of the response of TEC to the storm for European and North American sectors are analyzed.  相似文献   

Analysis of Physical and Chemical Parameters for Discrimination of Water Origin in a Hydroelectric Reservoir     

Wagner José Barreto  Ieda Scarminio  Maria Cristina Solci  Dílson Norio Ishikawa  Melissa Tiemi Ogasawara  Sônia Naomi Nomi  Sônia Regina Giancoli Barreto 《洁净——土壤、空气、水》2007,35(3):239-245

Seventeen physical and chemical parameters were obtained from a hydroelectric reservoir located in a tropical region in the south of Brazil. Multivariate Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Hierarchical Group Analysis (HGA) were used to identify the parameters discriminating the origin of water from the Tibagi and the Primeiro de Maio River, after it has passed the mixing region. The study was conducted during the dry and rainy seasons in July 2002 and February 2003 at three depths and three sampling sites located 0, 5, and 10 km away from the mixing region. The statistical methods showed to be appropriate for identifying the contribution of each tributary in the water mixing site of a complex water system. The most important discriminating parameter was the absorbance relation A(253 nm)/A(203 nm), followed by the concentrations of Fe(III), Mn(III), and Ni(II). An anthropogenic interference was found in the reservoir due to high Ni(II) and orthophosphate concentrations caused by a nearby town sewage discharge. The interference was more important during the dry periods due to the lower dispersion of the pollutants. Urgent initiatives should be taken from the state government to build treatment stations for the wastewater of the small cities around the Capivara hydroelectric reservoir to prevent the drinking water quality from deteriorating.  相似文献   

中子活化分析在公路交通燧洞水文地质调查中的应用   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

侯新生  贾疏源  王永利  虞修竞  唐光洁  于静 《物探与化探》2002,26(4):293-295

利用中子活化测试结果 ,对岩石及泉水干涸残余物中常量及微量元素的进行分析对比 ,以了解深层岩体有关的地质与水文地质信息  相似文献   

Robustness analysis of geodetic horizontal networks   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：2  

P. Vaníček  M. R. Craymer  E. J. Krakiwsky 《Journal of Geodesy》2001,75(4):199-209

  相似文献   

一次人工增雨作业云回波个例分析   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：2  

杨梅  许彬  经爱凤  李玉林 《气象与减灾研究》2001,24(4):24-27

根据雷达连续观测所获取的降水回波资料,对2000年7月29日人工增雨作业前后的天气背景、雷达回波演变等特征进行分析,得到了一些有益的结论。  相似文献   

颅脑转移瘤的高分辨率CT诊断分析     

杨春明  孙宁  赵家德 《CT理论与应用研究》2001,10(1):25-27

目的：对颅脑转移瘤的来源、分布部位及瘤周水肿三者关系进行分析与探讨。方法：将54例颅脑转移瘤检出93个病灶，行平扫及增强扫描。将颅脑分为三个区：1区指大脑半球皮髓质交界区；2区指大脑半球；3区指小脑、脑干。水肿分为四个级别：0度无水肿；1度ETR<=1；2度1相似文献   

最大树法模糊聚类分析在台湾地区地震预报中的应用     

方宏芳 《华南地震》2001,21(4):44-49

运用最大树法模糊聚类分析,将台湾地区1936年至1989年间的35个地震事件分成了三类6型,并运用聚类结果对1990年至2000年的11个地震事件进行检验,得出了比较合理的检验结果,最后用聚类结果对台湾地区2001年的地震趋势进行了预测,得出了与其它手段一致的预报结果.  相似文献   

北秦岭地带断裂活动性氡气测试成果分析评价   总被引：6，自引：4，他引：6  

张骏  李西建  邹艳琴  齐朝辉  卢玉东  高秀君  文丽敏  杨蘅 《工程地质学报》2001,9(1):81-86

采用断层气体测试方法, 对北秦岭地带主要断裂及其活动性进行了测试, 首次提出了该区断裂活动性测氡成果判别的相对标准。进而对区内典型的氡气测试成果剖面作了解释分析, 并判别了断裂 (带)的相对活动强弱与活动水平等有关断裂活动性问题。最后, 简要地探讨了在北秦岭地区未来可持续发展中断裂 (带)对其模式及格局的影响。  相似文献