中国房间空气调节器行业节能减排潜力分析     

刘援  王雷  韵晋琦 《气候变化研究进展》2015,11(3):205-211

2012年,中国房间空气调节器（空调器）保有量约为3.57亿台,依据抽样调查数据计算得到保有量装机容量,采用各省市夏季平均温度估算超过26℃的时间作为运行时间计算得出年电力消耗约3.28×1011 kW?h,折合碳排放约为318 Mt CO₂当量。由于空调器国内需求量将进一步增长,预计到2030年保有量将达到当前的4～5倍。在电力结构不变情景下,空调器总体能效提高1倍,2030年空调器电力消耗产生的温室气体排放约为603 Mt CO₂当量。假设空调器总体能效提高1倍、高能效产品消费比例进一步提高并伴随中国能源结构调整,如水电、核电、太阳能等低碳能源比例不断提高,在满足中国空调器需求的前提下,2030年中国空调器电力消耗产生的温室气体排放可以争取控制在当前的水平。  相似文献   

台湾碰撞带现今地壳变形场特征及其动力学成因的有限单元法模拟研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

龙小刚  朱守彪 《地球物理学报》2015,58(7):2350-2365

台湾是菲律宾海板块与欧亚板块会聚、碰撞的产物,区内地质构造复杂,地震频发,变形强烈.为定量研究台湾地区变形特征及其动力学成因,文中运用二维不连续变形体弹性力学的有限单元计算方法,利用台湾地区1995—2005年GPS的观测结果作为边界约束,对台湾地区地壳变形场进行了模拟.计算结果显示,台湾中部地区主要呈压缩状态,但在台湾的东北部及南部地区出现了拉张的变形环境.变形程度最大的区域位于台湾东部海岸山脉及其附近海域,同时,计算给出台湾纵谷断裂滑移速率约为13.8~23.5mm/yr,由于纵谷断裂对变形的吸收,因此变形在纵谷断裂以西及西北地区迅速衰减.此外,计算结果还发现,计算给出的台湾岛上的速度值与GPS观测结果吻合得较好;计算给出的主应力方位与地应力观测及震源机制解结果也颇为一致.由此说明文中的有限元模型是合理的.此外,计算结果还表明,菲律宾海板块向北西方向的推挤,板块边界形状,观音、北康高地的抵阻,冲绳海槽扩张及琉球海沟的向南后撤以及断裂作用等,共同造成了台湾地区现今变形场的主要格局.  相似文献   

Response to ‘Discussion of paper “Development of a family of unconditionally stable explicit direct integration algorithms with controllable numerical energy dissipation” by Chinmoy Kolay and James M. Ricles’ in Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics 2014; 43:1361–1380          下载免费PDF全文

Chinmoy Kolay  James M. Ricles 《地震工程与结构动力学》2015,44(2):329-332

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Hydraulic properties of concentrated flow of a bank gully in the dry‐hot valley region of southwest China          下载免费PDF全文

Zhengan Su  Donghong Xiong  Yifan Dong  Baojun Zhang  Su Zhang  Xueyong Zheng  Dan Yang  Jianhui Zhang  Jianrong Fan  Haidong Fang 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2015,40(10):1351-1363

To quantify spatiotemporal variation in hydraulic properties of bank gully concentrated flow, a series of scour experiments were run under water discharge rates ranging from 30 to 120 l min^?1. Concentrated flows were found to be turbulent and supercritical in the upstream catchment area and downstream gully beds. As discharge increased, values of the soil erosion rate, Reynolds number (Re), shear stress, stream power, and flow energy consumption (ΔE) increased while values of the Froude number (Fr) and the Darcy–Weisbach friction factor (resistance f ) did not. With the exception of gully headcut collapse under discharge rates of 60, 90, and 120 l min^?1, a declining power function trend (P < 0.05) in the soil erosion rate developed in the upstream catchment area, headcuts, and downstream gully beds. However, increasing trends were observed in temporal variations of hydraulic properties for downstream gully beds and the upstream catchment area. Despite significant differences in temporal variation between the soil erosion rate and hydraulic property values, relative steady state conditions of the soil erosion rate and ΔE were attained following an initial period of adjustment in the upstream catchment area, headcuts, and downstream gully beds under different discharge rates. A logarithmic growth of flow energy consumption per unit soil loss (ΔE_u) was observed in bank gullies and the upstream catchment area as the experiment progressed, further illustrating the actual reason behind the discrepancy in temporal variation between soil erosion rates and ΔE. Results demonstrate that ΔE can be used to estimate headcut erosion soil loss, but further quantitative studies are required to quantify coupling effects between hydraulic properties and vertical variation in soil mechanical properties on temporal variation for bank gully soil erosion rates. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

陕西省能源消费结构、产业结构演变对碳排放强度的冲击影响分析     

朱妮  张艳芳 《干旱区地理》2015,38(4):843-850

基于陕西省1989-2011年能源消费等统计数据,分析能源消费结构、产业结构的演变特征,建立陕西省能源消费结构-产业结构-碳排放强度系统的VAR模型,对该系统的长期和短期动态关系进行实证分析。结果表明:陕西省的发展模式,是能源消费结构长期以高碳能源为主和产业结构长期以高碳产业为主导。能源消费结构与产业结构的变化对陕西省碳排放强度的减小作用初期微弱;从中长期来,两个结构多元化提高的负效应对碳排放强度的增加有长期持久的抑制作用,且能源消费结构演进对碳排放强度的冲击效果始终大于产业结构变化的冲击效果。优化产业结构和调整能源消费结构尤其是提高低碳产业与低碳能源比重是驱动陕西省碳排放强度下降的有效措施。  相似文献   

一种基于植被指数-地表温度特征空间的蒸散指数     

贺广均  冯学智  肖鹏峰  李虎  余涛  叶李灶 《干旱区地理》2015,38(5):887-899

利用遥感获取的植被指数和地表温度信息,进行地表能量和水分平衡过程研究是目前陆表过程研究的前沿。根据地表能量和水分平衡原理,对地表温度(Ts)、植被指数(VI),地表蒸散发(ET)之间的空间关系进行了分析,并基于假设条件,构建了温度植被蒸散指数(TVETI)。为验证TVETI表征地表蒸散的能力,利用环境卫星数据和SEBAL模型,对SEBAL模型中各能量通量构建的蒸散指数与TVETI进行线性回归分析,从2012年4~9月6个不同日期的确定性系数分别为:0.838、0.935、0.912、0.921、0.926、0.825, TVETI能很好的表征地表蒸散能力。通过对SEBAL模型估算的ET和TVETI估算的ET进行交叉验证发现,两者大小一致性显著, TVETI可以实现区域尺度地表蒸散发的快速估算。  相似文献   

中国天山西部山区森林积雪消融过程观测分析——以巩乃斯河谷为例     

陆恒  魏文寿  刘明哲  韩茜  洪雯 《干旱区地理》2015,38(5):936-947

通过对2013年春季中国科学院天山积雪与雪崩研究站区内阳坡无林地和阴坡不同开阔度森林内积雪深度、融雪速率以及常规气象的观测,分析了融雪期不同开阔度森林积雪的消融过程以及积雪表面能量平衡特征。结果表明:不同开阔度林冠下积雪深度具有相同的变化趋势,森林的林冠开阔度越大,林下积雪深度越大,林下积雪开始消融和完全消融的时间越晚,消融期也越长。森林积雪融雪开始和结束时间比阳坡无林地区晚20~30 d左右。融雪前期林冠开阔度越大,其林下融雪速率越小。融雪后期则森林开阔度越大,森林积雪的融雪速率越大。不同时期由于不同开阔度林冠下雪面能量收支以及雪层深度等物理特性的差异,从而使不同开阔度林冠下森林积雪融雪速率的相对大小,融雪速率最大值出现时间和日变化特征均不相同。晴天森林积雪的消融速率和日变化特征取决于净短波辐射和长波辐射变化特征。降水期间,其融雪速率的变化则主要受降水形式、降水量以及积雪深度等雪层特性的影响。  相似文献   

Spatial energy efficiency patterns and the coupling relationship with industrial structure:A study on Liaoning Province,China   总被引：3，自引：3，他引：0  

Wei GUAN  Shuting XU 《地理学报(英文版)》2015,25(3):355-368

Using a sample of 14 prefecture-level cities in Liaoning Province, this study first explored the spatial hierarchy and structural characteristics of energy efficiency from the following three viewpoints: energy technical efficiency based on data envelopment analysis, energy consumption per unit of GDP, and energy utilization efficiency combining the previous two indexes. After measuring and analyzing the advancement, rationality, and concentration of the industrial structure in each city, we made some generalizations about the coupling features of the energy efficiency and industrial structure in Liaoning, using the coupling degree rating model. Some of our conclusions are as follows: (1) The 14 cities differ significantly in their energy efficiency, with Shenyang, Dalian, Anshan, and Jinzhou enjoying the highest energy efficiency. Northwestern Liaoning and other heavy-industrial cities such as Fushun and Benxi belong to low-efficiency and high-consumption areas. (2) In areas with higher efficiency, the spatial patterns of the energy technical efficiency, energy consumption per unit of GDP, and energy utilization efficiency are, respectively, "π"-,"Ⅱ"- and "H"- shaped. Geographically, the energy utilization efficiency shows different trends from east to west and from north to south. Factors such as the binuclear structure of economic development have a major effect on this spatial pattern of energy efficiency. (3) Southeastern Liaoning enjoys a highly advanced industrial structure. Areas with a highly rational industrial structure form an “H” shape, with Shenyang and Dalian at the two poles. The urban agglomerations in middle and southern Liaoning have a highly concentrated industrial structure. (4) Overall, the coupling between energy efficiency and industrial structure is low in Liaoning, except for Shenyang and Dalian at both ends, where the coupling between an advanced industrial structure and energy efficiency is higher than in other cities.  相似文献   

动载作用下岩石类材料破坏模式及能量特性     

赵光明  马文伟  孟祥瑞 《岩土力学》2015,36(12):3598-3605

对岩石类材料的破坏模式和能量特性进行分析研究,利用ANSYS/LS_DYNA数值模拟软件模拟SHPB冲击的整个过程。通过对试验和数值模拟所得测试曲线进行对比确定模型的有效性,进而分析试件中有效应力的传播过程,提出试件张应变破坏、轴向劈裂拉伸破坏、压碎破坏的3种破坏模式;通过对数值模拟所得试件的内能-时间历程分析表明,试件的内能具有显著的应变率效应,在应变率较低时,可以划分为2个阶段,而在应变率较高时,可以划分为4个阶段。  相似文献   

岩石单轴压缩下能量与损伤演化规律研究     

张国凯  李海波  夏祥  李俊如  于崇  刘景森 《岩土力学》2015,36(Z1):94-100

能量变化是材料各参数变化的本质特征。通过颗粒流模拟岩石单轴压缩试验,从细观力学角度分析能量转化、裂纹扩展及损伤演化规律。颗粒流利用细观颗粒的运动克服了宏观力学理论不易实现试件多裂纹破坏形态的缺点,以此研究能量变化更加合理。应力-应变各阶段能量与微裂纹及损伤存在着相互对应的发展关系。通过3种工况论证了宏-细观力学参数对应关系,采用最小二乘法拟合得出微裂纹与轴向应变呈幂次函数关系。采用割线模量定义损伤变量,取模量加速下降处（对应裂纹加速扩展）为损伤门槛,对应损伤阈值为0.158。3种工况下微裂纹数量与损伤呈线性发展关系,为损伤演化的深入研究提供参考。  相似文献