内蒙古乡镇精细化预报模型及业务试验   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

姜学恭  孙鑫  胡英华  金迎春 《内蒙古气象》2009,(1):8-11

文章利用县级台站天气实况插值生成乡镇天气实况资料库进而建立乡镇MOS预报方程的处理方法,建立了内蒙古1242个乡镇及一般风景点24小时天气要素精细化客观预报模型,并建成了业务化系统进行了业务试验运行。预报效果检验表明,这一方法是一种可行的精细化预报研制技术,其预报效果明显好于中央台精细预报指导产品,个别要素甚至略好于人工订正产品,完全可以应用于业务工作中。  相似文献   

晴天地表总辐射和净辐射瞬时值计算方法     

孙治安  刘晶淼  曾宪宁  梁宏 《气象与环境学报》2014,30(2):1-13

以较为精确的大气辐射传输模式为基础,研制出晴天地表总辐射和净辐射瞬时值的计算方案。与以往的经验计算方法不同,该方案将辐射传输带模式的思路引入地面太阳辐射计算,并尽可能将大气中吸收和散射物质对太阳辐射的影响考虑进去,从而使该方法具有较好的精确性和普适性。在此基础上采用了Kokhanovsky等人提出的大气气溶胶反射率和透过率参数化方案,使得气溶胶对地面总辐射和净辐射的影响得到较好的处理。采用的自变量都是数值预报模式或卫星观测能提供的气象要素,因此该方案即可用于数值预报模式或陆面过程模式计算地表辐射平衡,又可以利用卫星观测或再分析资料估算地面太阳能资源分布。利用美国能源部三个大气辐射观测站点2005年全年的观测资料及欧洲宇航局提供的卫星反演气溶胶资料对计算方案进行了检验。结果表明,该方法十分精确,所有点的平均相对误差都小于6%,误差的均方差都小于0.3 W•m^-2。  相似文献   

Inter-Comparison of Numerical Model Generated Surface Winds with QuikSCAT Winds over the Indian Ocean     

Sanjib K. Deb  Suchandra A. Bhowmick  Raj Kumar  Abhijit Sarkar 《Marine Geodesy》2013,36(4):391-408

The accurate surface wind in the equatorial Indian Ocean is crucial for modeling ocean circulation over this region. In this study, the surface wind analysis generated at the European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) are compared with NASA QuikSCAT satellite derived Level2B (swath level) and Level3 (gridded) surface winds for the year 2005. It is observed that the ECMWF winds exhibit speed bias of 1.5 m/s with respect to QuikSCAT Level3 in the southern equatorial Indian Ocean. The NCEP winds are found to exhibit speed bias (1.0–1.5 m/s) in the southern equatorial Indian Ocean specifically during January–February 2005. The biases are also observed in the analysis when compared with Level2B product as well; however, it is less in comparison to Level3 products. The amplitude of daily variations of both ECMWF and NCEP wind speed in Bay of Bengal and parts of the Arabian Sea is about 80% of that in QuikSCAT, while in the equatorial Indian Ocean it is about 60% of that of QuikSCAT.  相似文献   

三江平原沼泽湿地植被净初级生产力空间变化特征分析   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

国志兴  王宗明  宋开山  刘殿伟  张柏 《湿地科学》2008,6(3)

基于EOS/MODIS卫星2000～2005年的MOD17A3数据集,分析21世纪初三江平原沼泽湿地植被净初级生产力(NPP)时间变化和空间分异特征及其与气候因子(气温和降水)的关系,并采用空间分析方法,分析道路、河流、居民点等因子对沼泽湿地生产力的影响.结果表明,三江平原沼泽湿地生产力(C)的变化范围为92.2～675 g/(m2·a),平均值为374.2 g/(m2·a).沼泽湿地生产力主要受三江平原综合水热条件控制,其与气温和降水显著复相关,复相关系数为0.49(n=6,p<0.05).低生产力沼泽湿地主要分布在三江平原西、北部地区,高生产力沼泽湿地主要分布在东、南部地区.河流在0～8 km的范围内对三江平原沼泽湿地生产力有一定促进作用,但影响不显著.居民点扩建,道路修筑等人类活动影响沼泽湿地分布,并导致沼泽湿地生产力下降,其有效影响范围分别是0～6 km区域和0～8 km区域.  相似文献   

Global Warming Potential in an Intensive Vegetable Cropping System as Affected by Crop Rotation and Nitrogen Rate   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3       下载免费PDF全文

Ju Min  Kouping Lu  Haijun Sun  Longlong Xia  Hailin Zhang  Weiming Shi 《洁净——土壤、空气、水》2016,44(7):766-774

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Prediction of the consumption rates for juvenile Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar L.) on the scale of habitat patches: Development of empirical models based on stomach contents     

Frédéric Burton  Daniel Boisclair 《Limnologica》2013,43(5):332-338

Rivers and streams are unstable environments in which estimation of energetic costs and benefits of habitat utilization are the daunting exercise. Empirical models of food consumption may be used to estimate energetic benefits based on abiotic and biotic conditions in patches of habitat. We performed thirty daily surveys of fish stomach contents to estimate the consumption rates for juvenile Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) in a river. The data were used to assess whether variations of daily consumption rates existed within the river, and to develop empirical models that could predict fish consumption rates using abiotic and biotic conditions as independent variables. Daily consumption rates based on stomach content surveys in the field (range: 0.15–1.49 g dry/(100 g wet day)) varied significantly depending on habitat patch (500–1000 m²), summer period, and sampling year. Variables such as water temperature, numerical density of salmon, water depth and moon phase explained 83–93% of the variations in daily food consumption rates. Daily consumption rates tended to increase with water temperature and depth, and were also higher near a full moon. However, they tended to decrease with the numerical density of salmon. Our work suggests that empirical models based on independent variables that are relatively simple to estimate in the field may be developed to predict fish consumption rates in different habitat patches in a river.  相似文献   

无线传感器网络和遥感技术结合监测煤矿环境地质     

廖志宏  谭琨  杜培军  李二珠 《测绘科学》2013,38(4):46-48

针对矿区环境地质监测面临的主要问题,本文探讨了结合无线传感器网络技术和遥感技术对矿区进行环境地质监测的方案,并针对该方案面临的问题与难点,提出了运用这两种技术在矿区建立植被净初值生产力(NPP)动态模型来实时监测矿区的环境地质状况的设想。  相似文献   

Point set generalization based on the Kohonen Net     

Yongxiang Cai  Qingsheng Guo 《地球空间信息科学学报》2013,16(3):221-227

Point set generalization is one of the essential problems in map generalization. On the demands analysis of point set generalization, this paper proposes a method to generalize point sets based on the Kohonen Net model; the standard SOM algorithm has been improved so as to preserve the spatial distribution properties of the original point set. Examples illustrate that this method suits the generalization of point sets.  相似文献   

2011年6—8月T639、ECMWF及日本模式中期预报性能检验   总被引：3，自引：2，他引：1  

蒋星  蔡芗宁 《气象》2011,37(11):1448-1452

为更好地应用数值模式中期预报产品,对2011年6—8月T639模式进行天气学检验,并与ECMWF、日本模式进行了对比分析。结果表明：三家模式均对亚洲中高纬环流形势的调整和演变具有较好的预报性能。综合来看,ECMWF模式对大尺度环流形势、影响天气系统及要素的预报最接近实况;日本模式和T639模式稍差,稳定性也不如ECMWF模式。对1109号台风梅花（MUIFA）的路径及强度预报,三家模式的预报效果均不理想,T639模式对＂梅花＂登陆后的预报与零场较接近,而ECMWF模式及日本模式预报相对较差。  相似文献   

Net ecosystem metabolism of a coastal embayment fertilised by upwelling and continental runoff     

D. Villegas-Ríos  X.A. Álvarez-Salgado  G. Rosón 《Continental Shelf Research》2011,31(5):400-413

O₂, N, P and Si net ecosystem metabolism of the Ría de Ares-Betanzos (NW Iberian upwelling system) was estimated during two 3-wk periods of contrasting summer downwelling and autumn upwelling conditions by means of a transient 2-D kinematic box model. The subtidal circulation was positive in both situations, although it was depressed during downwelling and enhanced during upwelling. Concurrently, the ría was fertilised mainly by shelf bottom waters, which introduced from 69% (under downwelling) to almost 100% (under upwelling) of the limiting N nutrients. The ría was an efficient nutrient trap: about 70% of the N nutrients that entered the embayment were retained under downwelling conditions (average flushing time, 9 days) and about 50% under upwelling conditions (average flushing time 3 days). Although the trapping efficiency was lower, the net ecosystem production (NEP) was much higher under upwelling (from 1.0±0.3 to 1.5±0.4 g C m⁻² d⁻¹), than under downwelling favourable winds (from 0.2±0.1 to 0.3±0.1 g C m⁻²). The stoichiometry of NEP suggests that P and N compounds recycled faster than C compounds, specially in the inner segment of the ría. The net degree of silification was twice in the inner than in the outer segment of the ría.  相似文献