大气环状模对夏季中国大陆登陆热带气旋频数气候变化的影响     

马圆  余锦华  方珂  董晓云 《气象科学》2020,40(2):264-269

采用1949—2016年7—8月美国国家环境预报中心及大气研究中心(NCEP/NCAR)再分析资料与中国气象局(CMA)上海台风所整编的热带气旋最佳路径数据集,研究大气环状模(Circumglobal Teleconnection,CGT)与中国大陆地区登陆热带气旋(Tropical Cyclone,TC)频数气候变化的关系。定义200 hPa经向风经验正交展开(EOF)的第一模态为CGT,其时间系数为环状模指数(Circumgolbal Teleconnection Index,CGTI)。CGT在北半球中纬度地区有5个异常中心,CGTI在1949—2016年呈明显的下降趋势,且存在一个2~3 a的周期振荡。CGT与大尺度环流异常存在密切的联系。研究表明:CGTI与中国大陆登陆TC频数气候变率具有显著的正相关,即CGTI表现为正异常时,登陆中国大陆的TC频数增加,反之减少。当CGT表现为正位相时,东亚副热带西风急流增强,急流南侧的反气旋切变增强,使TC登陆过程的活动区域200 hPa的辐散增强,此外,对流层高层Rossby波能量向南传播增强,形成波通量辐合,导致东风异常,产生了东风异常的引导气流和纬向风垂直切变,东风切变使得切变减小,增加了TC登陆中国大陆的可能性。  相似文献   

Circulation on the newfoundland continental shelf     

Brian Petrie  Carl Anderson 《大气与海洋》2013,51(2):207-226

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WATER ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE BELT OF XINJIANG SECTION OF THE NEW EURASIAN CONTINENTAL BRIDGE     

郝毓灵 《中国地理科学(英文版)》1997,7(3):251-258

TheimportantgUidingprinciplethatenstiresthesustainabledevelOPmentOfChinais"The21stCentury'sAgendaofChina"(Office,1994).ThesustainabledevelopmentintheareasalongthenewEtirasiancontinentalBridge(sectioninXinjiang)belongstooneoftheprioritemsof"theagenda".TheopeningofthenewEtirasiancontinentalBridgenotonlybringsabbotgreatoPPOrtunitiesfordevelopmentofXinjiang,butalsoplaysamajorroleinreducingthegapbetweentheWesternandeasternpartsofChina.Furthermore,itcantriggerfuttiresustainabledevelOPmentin…  相似文献   

北大西洋涛动与欧亚冬季气温     

任广成 《成都信息工程学院学报》1990,(Z1)

本文首先分析了北大西洋涛动的自身振动及其对欧亚地区冬季气温的影响,而后又对北大西洋涛动与500hpa西风指数变异之联系作了探讨。结果发现:北大西洋涛动存在着较显著的9年变化周期,其强弱变化对欧亚大范围冬季气温具有一定程度的影响,尤其是对大西涛动与同期和前期5月及10月特定区域500hpa西风指数关系密切。  相似文献   

江苏冬夏极端气温与大气环流及海温场的遥相关   总被引：14，自引：3，他引：14  

何卷雄  丁裕国  姜爱军 《热带气象学报》2002,18(1):73-82

以江苏夏季最高气温和冬季最低气温场为例，研究海气耦合作用对区域气温场异常型态的影响，结果表明，江苏夏季最高气温受到同期海气耦合作用的影响较明显，冬季最低气温受同期海气耦合作用的影响较少；从一定意义上说，夏季最高气温的降低是由于东太平洋遥相关型强度的变化及同期北太平洋海温距平分布型的强度加强所致，而冬季最低气温的升高则是由于WA型及欧亚大陆上空环流型强度的变化及同期北太平洋海温距平分布型的强度减弱所致。  相似文献   

Nino C区秋季海温异常对东亚冬季大气环流的影响   总被引：14，自引：5，他引：14  

陈海山  孙照渤  倪东鸿 《热带气象学报》2002,18(2):148-156

研究了秋季赤道中东太平洋（Nino C区:0～10°S,180～90°W）的SST异常对东亚冬季大气环流的可能影响。在揭示二者联系的基础上,通过分析海温异常所引起的500hPa高度、经向风及纬向风的异常特征,探讨了秋季海温异常影响东亚冬季大气环流的可能途径。研究发现,Nino C区秋季SST异常,能够对东亚及西太平洋地区的大气环流及风场产生显著影响,进而影响东亚冬季风活动:秋季SST正（负）异常,引起西太平洋地区出现类似负（正）WP遥相关型的环流异常,中纬度纬向西风加强（减弱）,东亚及沿海地区出现异常南（北）风分量,经向风减弱（加强）,最终导致偏弱（强）的东亚冬季风活动。这是海温异常影响东亚冬季大气环流的一种可能途径。  相似文献   

夏季东亚高空急流与太平洋-日本遥相关型的关系   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：1  

钟中  唐筱之  卢伟  陈中一 《气象科学》2015,35(6):672-683

利用NCEP/NCAR和NOAA月平均资料,采用奇异值分解方法分析了夏季东亚高空纬向风场和西北太平洋海表温度(SST)的耦合关系,并据此研究了东亚副热带高空急流和太平洋-日本(Pacific-Japan,PJ)遥相关型的可能联系。合成分析结果表明,东亚副热带高空急流正模态年,急流偏南偏强,对流层上层南亚高压增强东进,中层西太平洋副热带高压加强西伸,菲律宾周边海域SST升高,中纬度黑潮延伸体区SST降低,菲律宾海和热带西太平洋地区对流活动偏弱,日本海和黑潮延伸体海区对流活动增强,对应PJ遥相关型的负位相;而东亚副热带高空急流负模态年,急流偏北偏弱,对流层上层南亚高压减弱西退,中层西太平洋副热带高压减弱东撤,菲律宾周边SST降低,中纬度黑潮延伸体区SST升高,菲律宾海和热带西太平洋地区对流活动强盛,日本海和黑潮延伸体海区对流活动减弱,对应PJ遥相关型的正位相。由于夏季东亚副热带高空急流活动与PJ遥相关型存在关联,PJ遥相关型可能是东亚副热带高空急流响应太平洋海温异常的纽带。  相似文献   

Analysis of the rainfall variability and change in the Republic of Benin (West Africa)     

Yédjinnavènan Ahokpossi 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(15-16):2097-2123

ABSTRACT

The temporal variation and trends of annual rainfall distribution in Benin were examined using data from 1940 to 2015 at six meteorological stations and three raingauges stationed throughout the country. The nonparametric modified Mann-Kendal (MK) and Levene tests were applied to detect trends and heteroscedasticity, respectively. For six of the time series, no significant trends were detected. A Bayesian multiple change points detection approach was applied to the rainfall time series, and most (six of nine) exhibited abrupt change points, corresponding to the alternation between wet (before 1968 and after 1990) and dry (1969–1990) periods. No significant trends or breakpoints and changes in the variance were observed for the spatial average rainfall time series. Seven modified MK trend tests were applied; the trends are affected by the selected MK method and rainfall statistics. Oceanic and/or atmospheric influences on the rainfall in Benin were examined by investigating the correlation between the precipitation time series and several indices. Negative seasonal correlations were determined for the North Atlantic Oscillation, Pacific Decadal Oscillation and Niño3, while positive seasonal correlations were observed for the Southern Oscillation, Antarctic Oscillation and Dipole Mode Index.  相似文献   

欧亚东边缘的双向板块汇聚及其对大陆的影响   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0       下载免费PDF全文

姜辉  高祥林 《地球物理学报》2012,55(3):897-905

自3 Ma至现今,在欧亚东缘太平洋、菲律宾海板块以较大速率朝NWW方向运动,并沿海沟向欧亚大陆俯冲;同时欧亚板块以较小速率朝SEE方向移动,构成双方向的板块汇聚格局.沿日本岛弧东侧,海洋板片以较小的倾角插入欧亚大陆下面,在浅部产生的挤压变形扩展到日本海东边缘.琉球岛弧的中、北部,菲律宾海俯冲板片的倾角较大,其西南段由NE向转变为EW向,正经历活动的海沟后退与弧后扩张.台湾是3种板块汇聚的交点:欧亚沿马尼拉海沟向东俯冲,吕宋弧与台湾碰撞,使台湾岛陆壳东西向缩短与隆升,形成年轻的造山带,菲律宾海板块沿琉球海沟的西南段向北俯冲到欧亚下面.位于南海与菲律宾海之间的菲律宾群岛是宽的变形过渡带,两侧被欧亚向东、菲律宾海向西俯冲夹击,中间是大型左旋走滑断层.总体上,现今时期的太平洋、菲律宾海板块的西向俯冲运动所产生的变形主要分布在俯冲板片内部及岛弧,未扩散到弧后地区,可能这种俯冲运动产生的水平应力较小,不能阻挡欧亚大陆的向东移动,对大陆内部的现今构造没有明显的影响.  相似文献   

Ice-free conditions in Novaya Zemlya 35 000–30 000 cal years B.P., as indicated by radiocarbon ages and amino acid racemization evidence from marine molluscs     

Jan Mangerud  Darrell Kaufman  Jesper Hansen  & John Inge Svendsen 《Polar research》2008,27(2):187-208

Novaya Zemlya was covered by the eastern part of the Barents–Kara ice sheet during the glacial maximum of marine isotope stage 2 (MIS 2). We obtained ¹⁴C ages on 37 samples of mollusc shells from various sites on the islands. Most samples yielded ages in the range of 48–26 ¹⁴C Ky. Such old samples are sensitive to contamination by young ¹⁴C, and therefore their reliability was assessed using replicate analyses and amino acid geochronology. The extent of aspartic acid racemization (Asp D/L) indicates that many of the ¹⁴C ages are correct, whereas some are minimum ages only. The results indicate that a substantial part of Novaya Zemlya was ice-free about 35–27 ¹⁴C Kya, and probably even earlier. Corresponding shorelines up to >140 m a.s.l. indicate a large Barents–Kara ice sheet during early MIS 3. These results are consistent with findings from Svalbard and northern Russia: in both places a large MIS 4/3 Barents–Kara ice sheet is postulated to have retreated about 50 Kya, followed by an ice-free interstadial that lasted until up to ca. 25 Kya. The duration of the MIS 2 glaciation in Novaya Zemlya was calculated by applying the D/L values to a kinetic equation for Asp racemization. This indicates that the islands were ice covered for less than 3000 years if the basal temperature was 0^oC, and for less than 10 000 years if it was −5^oC.  相似文献