Atlantic Ocean sea-surface temperatures and regional streamflow variability in the Adour-Garonne basin,France     

Abdoul Aziz Oubeidillah  Glenn Tootle  Sally-Rose Anderson 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(3):496-506

Abstract

The identification of Atlantic Ocean (AO) climatic drivers may prove valuable in long lead-time forecasting of streamflow in the Adour-Garonne basin in southwestern France. Previous studies have identified the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) as drivers of European hydrology. The current research applied the singular value decomposition (SVD) statistical method to AO sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) to identify the primary AO climatic drivers of the Adour-Garonne basin streamflow. Annual and seasonal streamflow volumes were selected as the hydrological response, while average AO SSTs were calculated for three different 6-month averages (January–June, April–September and July–December) for the year preceding streamflow. The results identified a region along the Equator as the probable driver of the basin streamflow. Additional analysis evaluated the influence of the AMO and NAO on Adour-Garonne basin streamflow.

Editor Z.W. Kundzewicz; Associate editor H. Aksoy

Citation Oubeidillah, A.A., Tootle, G. and Anderson, S.-R., 2012. Atlantic Ocean sea-surface temperatures and regional streamflow variability in the Adour-Garonne basin, France. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 57 (3), 496–506.  相似文献   

Mesozoic to Cenozoic tectono‐metamorphic history of the South Pamir–Hindu Kush (Chitral,NW Pakistan): Insights from phase equilibria modelling,and garnet–monazite petrochronology     

Mathieu Soret  Kyle P. Larson  John M. Cottle  Matthijs Smit  Alex Johnson  Sudip Shrestha  Asghar Ali  Shah Faisal 《Journal of Metamorphic Geology》2019,37(5):633-666

The Karakoram–Hindu Kush–Pamir and adjacent Tibetan plateau belt comprise a series of Gondwana‐derived crustal fragments that successively accreted to the Eurasian margin in the Mesozoic as the result of the progressive Tethys ocean closure. These domains provide unique insights into the thermal and structural history of the Mesozoic to Cenozoic Eurasian plate margin, which are critical to inform the initial boundary conditions (e.g. crustal thickness, structure and thermo‐mechanical properties) for the subsequent development of the large and hot Tibetan–Himalaya orogen, and the associated crustal deformation processes. Using a combination of microstructural analyses, thermobarometry modelling and U–Th–Pb monazite and Lu–Hf garnet geochronology, the study reappraises the metamorphic history of exposed mid‐crustal metapelites in the Chitral region of the South Pamir–Hindu Kush (NW Pakistan). This study also demonstrates that trace elements in monazite (especially Y and Dy), combined with thermodynamical modelling and Lu–Hf garnet dating, provides a powerful integrated toolbox for constraining long‐lived and polyphased tectono‐metamorphic histories in all their spatial and temporal complexity. Rocks from the Chitral region were progressively deformed and metamorphosed at sub‐ and supra‐solidus conditions through at least four distinct episodes from the Mesozoic to the Cenozoic. Rocks were first metamorphosed at ~400–500°C and ~0.3 GPa in the Late Triassic–Early Jurassic (210–185 Ma), likely in response to the accretion of the Karakoram during the Cimmerian orogeny. Pressure and temperature subsequently increased by ~0.3 GPa and 100°C in the Early‐ to Mid Cretaceous (140–80 Ma), coinciding with the intrusion of calcalkaline granitic plutons across the Karakoram and Pamir regions. This event is interpreted as the record of crustal thickening and the development of a proto‐plateau within the Eurasian margin due to a long‐lived episode of slab flattening in an Andean‐type margin. Peak metamorphism was reached in the Late Eocene–Early Oligocene (40–30 Ma) at conditions of 580–600°C and ~0.6 GPa and 700–750°C and 0.7–0.8 GPa for the investigated staurolite schists and sillimanite migmatites respectively. This crustal heating up to moderate anatexis likely resulted in the underthrusting of the Indian plate after a NeoTethyan slab‐break off or to the Tethyan Himalaya–Lhasa microcontinent collision and subsequent oceanic slab flattening. Near‐isothermal decompression/exhumation followed in the Late Oligocene (28–23 Ma) as marked by a pressure decrease in excess of ~0.1 GPa. This event was coeval with the intrusion of the 24 Ma Garam Chasma leucogranite. This rapid exhumation is interpreted to be related to the reactivation of the South Pamir–Karakoram suture zone during the ongoing collision with India. The findings of this study confirm that significant crustal shortening and thickening of the south Eurasian margin occurred during the Mesozoic in an accretionary‐type tectonic setting through successive episodes of terrane accretions and probably slab flattening, transiently increasing the coupling at the plate interface. Moreover, they indicate that the south Eurasian margin was already hot and thickened prior to Cenozoic collision with India, which has important implications for orogen‐scale strain‐accommodation mechanisms.  相似文献   

20世纪全球温度年代和年代际变化的区域特征   总被引：9，自引：2，他引：7  

江志红  李建平  屠其璞  张强 《大气科学》2004,28(4):545-558

利用多窗谱方法,对全球各区域平均温度序列进行多种信号的检测、重构,着重分析不同区域温度年代和年代际变化的演变特征及其遥相关特点,初步研究显著年代际振荡信号的传播特征.结果表明20世纪年代至世纪尺度温度变化的显著信号有准70年波动和准30～50年、准20～30年、准15年、准7～10年多种时间尺度的振荡,其中准70年波动主要存在于北大西洋及北太平洋的中高纬度;准30～50年振荡则覆盖了除部分中纬度海域以外的大部分海陆表面,其演变特征基本相似,全球年平均温度序列中的显著年代际振荡信号主要反映了这一振荡信号;准20～30年振荡则主要集中于大洋的中纬度和副热带纬度,且具有沿副热带海洋环流传播的特点;准15年振荡主要位于热带太平洋海域,自1930年后,该信号与北太平洋中纬度准20～30年振荡反位相;准7～10振荡则主要集中于北大西洋及北半球中高纬陆地.  相似文献   

欧亚大陆积雪分布及其类型划分   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

张廷军  钟歆玥 《冰川冻土》2014,36(3):481-490

利用1966-2012年欧亚大陆1152个地面气象台站积雪深度资料,对欧亚大陆积雪深度、累计积雪天数和连续积雪天数的空间分布进行了分析,以连续积雪天数为标准对欧亚大陆季节性积雪类型进行了划分,并与应用累计积雪天数对积雪区类型的划分进行了比较研究. 结果表明：欧亚大陆积雪分布具有显著纬度地带性特征,积雪深度、累计积雪天数和连续积雪天数的大值分布区均位于俄罗斯平原的东北部、科拉半岛、西西伯利亚平原、中西伯利亚高原以及俄罗斯远东北部大部分区域. 与累计积雪天数划分方法相比,利用连续积雪天数对欧亚大陆季节性积雪分区,在前苏联地区积雪类型分区差异并不显著,但蒙古和中国的稳定积雪区明显缩减,青藏高原无稳定积雪区,中国大部分地区为非周期性不稳定积雪区. 两种积雪分区划分方法比较结果显示,连续积雪天数划分方法更能体现积雪累积的连续性和持久性,更符合对稳定积雪和不稳定积雪的划分标准.  相似文献   

A Mechanism for the Interannual Variation of the Early Summer East Asia-Pacific Teleconnection Wave Train          下载免费PDF全文

YANG Ruowen  TAO Yun  CAO Jie 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2010,24(4):452-458

Based on the 500-hPa geopotential height, surface air temperature, and China summer rain-belt type data from 1978 to 2002, the spatial spectrum function sets which well represent the variation of large scale atmospheric circulations were obtained using the least square method. A mechanism for the interannual variation of the East Asia-Pacific teleconnection (EAP) wave train in early summer was identified with the low-order spectral method and the hypothesis-test method. The results indicate that, when nonlinear wave-wave and wave-flow interactions on large scale are stronger in the inner dynamic process of the atmosphere,there are obvious nonlinear features in the evolution of the atmospheric circulation, and the EAP exhibits a negative-positive-negative ("- + -") spatial distribution in low to high latitudes in early summer. The corresponding EAP index is positive, which leads to a northward shift of the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) and the China rain-belt is located in the Huaihe River valley and its north in summer. On the contrary,when nonlinear wave-wave and wave-flow interactions on large scale are weaker, there appears a linear feature in the evolution of the atmospheric circulation, and the EAP shows a positive-negative-positive("+ - +") spatial distribution in low to high latitudes. The corresponding EAP index is negative, which inhibits the WPSH against moving northward, and the China rain-belt is located in the Huaihe and Yangtze River valleys and their south.  相似文献   

Eurasian Snow Conditions and Summer Monsoon Rainfall over South and Southeast Asia： Assessment and Comparison   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Hengchun YE  Zhenhao BAO 《大气科学进展》2005,22(6):877-888

This study reveals the complex nature of the connection between Eurasian snow and the following summer season＇s monsoon rainfall by using four different indicators of snow conditions and correlating each of them to summer monsoon rainfall. Using 46 years of historical records of mean winter snow depth, maximum snow depth, and snow starting dates, and 27 years of snow area coverage from remote sensing observations over Eurasia, the authors found diverse correlation patterns between snow conditions and the following warm season＇s rainfall over South and Southeast Asia. Some of the results contradict the well-known inverse relationships between snow and the summer monsoon. This study provides an easy comparison of results in that it shows the connections between Eurasian snow and monsoon rainfall by using different Eurasian snow indicators based on the best available historical records without discrimination of regional variations in snow conditions.  相似文献   

1961-2008年中国西北东部旱涝异常分布及干旱变化特征   总被引：4，自引：1，他引：3       下载免费PDF全文

赵红岩  王有恒  王兴  谭丹 《干旱区地理》2012,35(4):552-558

 应用主成分分析和旋转主成分分析方法,利用陕、甘、宁、青四省（区）170个测站,对1961-2008年大气干旱指数S＝ΔT/δT-ΔR/δR的地域相关和年际变化特征进行了分析。结果表明：西北地区东部旱涝异常在空间上表现为较高的整体一致性,其次表现为东西相反和南北相反的变化趋势。西北地区东部旱涝异常存在三个基本相关的区域：甘肃东南部及陕西、河西走廊及河套地区、青海区。50 a来,各区在1974-1977年间和1982-1985年间湿润多雨,1994年以后相对少雨干旱。进一步分析发现,研究区域中西部尽管降水是增加的,但干旱指数变化不明显,而区域东部地区干旱指数变化很明显,说明区域中西部地区变湿不明显,而区域东部暖干化趋势明显。  相似文献   

20世纪70年代末前后北半球冬季对流层遥相关的时空演变研究   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

曹杰  李湘瑞  应俊 《大气科学》2012,36(2):283-296

应用NOAA提供的1950～2008年月平均500 hPa高度场再分析资料、海表温度、太平洋年代际振荡(PDO)指数和大西洋三极模(ATM)指数, 研究了20世纪70年代末前后北半球冬季对流层遥相关的时空演变规律。相关分析、Mann-Kendall分析和凝聚小波分析的结果表明, 20世纪70年代末以来, 太平洋—北美(PNA)型、欧亚(EUP)型、西太平洋(WP)型和西大西洋(WA)型四种遥相关空间分布和时间演变产生较为显著的变化。空间分布的变化既体现在遥相关正、负异常中心的强度上, 也体现在正、负异常的范围上; 时间演变方面的变化则体现在PNA和WP遥相关指数具有上升趋势, EUP和WA遥相关指数具有一定下降趋势。20世纪70年代末以来, 影响北半球冬季5种遥相关型的海温关键区均有所改变。其中, 各大洋上影响EUP遥相关型的海温关键区面积显著缩小, 影响WA遥相关型的太平洋海温关键区面积显著缩小, 影响EA遥相关型海温关键区在北大西洋中南部改变明显; 在16年以上时间尺度上, PDO变化是造成北半球冬季PNA、 EUP、 WP三种遥相关型变化的主要原因; ATM变化是造成北半球冬季WA和EA两种遥相关型变化的主要原因。  相似文献   

华南6月降水异常及其与东亚—太平洋遥相关的关系   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

陈锐丹  温之平  陆日宇  吴丽姬 《大气科学》2012,36(5):974-984

利用1959～2010年共52年的大气环流和降水资料,我们分析了华南前汛期季风降水 (6月降水) 的变化特征,发现6月华南降水与同期EAP (East Asia-Pacific,东亚—太平洋) 遥相关型有显著的相关关系,两者之间的相关系数为0.35.EAP指数为正时,长江中下游以南的地区降水偏多,而长江以北和黄河之间的地区降水偏少.将华南6月降水分为与EAP相关的降水序列和与EAP独立的降水序列,比较了二者所对应环流异常的异同点.结果表明,与EAP相关的降水异常对应着EAP相关型的环流异常分布特征,降水为正异常时,850hPa风场从低纬度到高纬度呈现“反气旋、气旋、反气旋”的异常分布,湿的偏南风和干的偏北风在华南上空交汇,降水增多;而整个淮河流域上空为偏北风异常,导致南风带来的水汽输送减少,降水偏少,因此降水异常呈现偶极子分布.相比之下,与EAP独立的降水正异常对应的环流异常表现为热带西北太平洋上空的反气旋性环流异常,华南地区上空为显著的西南风异常,输送到华南地区的水汽增多,导致降水偏多.  相似文献   

黑河流域气象要素与全球性大气环流特征量的多尺度遥相关分析   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

祁晓凡  李文鹏  李海涛  刘春华 《干旱区地理》2017,40(3):564-572

黑河流域生态-水文过程集成研究是我国近年来干旱半干旱地区的研究热点,气候变化条件下流域生态-水文过程的响应机制是其中一个重要科学问题。基于1956-2015 年黑河流域气温、湿度、降水观测数据及多个大气环流特征量监测资料,采用小波分析方法研究了流域气象要素与大气环流特征量的周期性及遥相关。结果表明：（1）流域气温与大气环流特征量的遥相关关系最为明显,湿度、降水次之。（2）气温与Niño3.4 SSTA、SOI 的显著遥相关共同周期为12～16 a,与NAO、AO为9～11 a,与WP遥相关周期为5～9 a,与PDO为8～15 a。（3）湿度与NAO遥相关周期为4～5 a,与POL为3～6 a,与WP为9～15 a,与PNA为2～8 a。（4）降水与Niño3.4 SSTA遥相关周期为9～15 a,与NAO为2～4 a,与AO为3～7 a,与POL为11～19 a,与WP为9～14 a。（5）上述各遥相关周期的地域分布、显著时段与时滞特征各有差异。本文研究有助于加深流域气象要素对环流特征量响应机制的认识,为我国干旱半干旱地区内陆河流域严峻的水-生态问题的解决及水资源管理提供依据。  相似文献