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151.
152.
Volcanic activities can create cataclysmic hazards to surrounding environments and human life not only during the eruption but also by hydrologic remobilisation (lahar) processes after the cessation of eruptive activity. Although there are many studies dealing with the assessment and mitigation of volcanic hazards, these are mostly concentrated on primary eruptive processes in areas proximal to active volcanoes. However, the influence of volcaniclastic resedimentation may surpass the impacts of primary eruptive activity in terms of both extent and persistence, and can ultimately result in severe hazards in downstream areas.Examination of the volcaniclastic successions of non-marine Pliocene–Holocene sedimentary basins in Japan has revealed hydrological volcaniclastic sedimentation in fluvial and lacustrine environments hundreds of kilometres from the inferred source volcano. Impacts on these distal and often spatially separated basins included drastic changes in depositional systems caused by sudden massive influxes of remobilised pyroclastic material. Typical volcaniclastic beds comprise centimetre- to decimetre-thick primary pyroclastic fall deposits overlain by metre- to 10s of metres-thick resedimented volcaniclastic deposits, intercalated in sedimentary successions of non-volcanic provenance. The relatively low component of primary pyroclastic fall deposits in the volcaniclastic beds suggests that: 1) potential volcanic hazards would be underestimated on the basis of primary pyroclastic fall events alone; and 2) the majority of resedimented material was likely derived from erosion of non-welded pyroclastic flow deposits in catchment areas rather than remobilisation of local fallout deposits from surrounding hillslopes.The nature, distribution and sequence of facies developed by distal volcaniclastic sediments reflect the influence of: 1) proximity to ignimbrite, but not directly with the distance to the eruptive centre; 2) ignimbrite nature (non-welded or welded) and volume; 3) temporal changes in sediment flux from the source area; 4) the physiography and drainage patterns of the source area and the receiving basin, and any intervening areas; and 5) the formation of ephemeral dam-lakes and intra-caldera lakes whose potential catastrophic failure can impact distal areas. Models of the styles and timing of distal volcaniclastic resedimentation are thus more complicated than those developed for proximal settings of stratovolcanoes and their volcaniclastic aprons and hence present different challenges for hazard assessment and mitigation. 相似文献
153.
采用常规资料、自动站资料、多普勒雷达资料和NCEP每6 h1次,1°×1°的实时分析资料,对2007年8月10-12日庄河地区出现的一次大暴雨天气过程进行诊断分析。结果表明:受副热带高压后部深厚的暖湿气流及西风带高空槽、切变线及气旋倒槽等动力系统共同影响,庄河地区出现了大暴雨天气,但没有出现强雷暴,此过程主要影响系统是地面气旋倒槽;700 hPa和850 hPa低涡、切变线使中低层辐合加强,形成了较强的动力抬升和水汽辐合;庄河地区处于强而宽的假相当位温锋区中,位势不稳定的建立是造成此次强降水的必要条件。造成本次大暴雨天气的水汽通道有2条:一条来自孟加拉湾和减弱的热带低压,另一条来自东海。 相似文献
154.
北太平洋风暴轴的三维空间结构 总被引:9,自引:1,他引:8
文中利用最新的0.5°×0.5°分辨率QuikSCAT(QuikBird Satellite Microwave Scatterometer Sea Winds Data)海面风场资料、NCEP(National Center for Environmental Prediction)的10 m高度风场资料和全球客观再分析资料,对1999-2005年冬季(1月)和夏季(7月)北太平洋风暴轴的三维空间结构进行了分析,发现冬季北太平洋风暴轴的强度较强,呈明显的纬向拉伸带状分布特征,位置偏南.夏季北太平洋风暴轴的强度较弱,位置偏北.根据不同高度上位势高度方差的水平分布特征,绘制了北太平洋风暴轴的三维结构示意图.利用高分辨率QuikSCAT资料对风暴轴特征的刻画更为细致,不但验证了Nakamu-ra在南大洋发现的双风暴轴现象,而且还发现在北太平洋和北大西洋下层分别存在"副热带风暴轴"和"副极地风暴轴"两个风暴轴.对1999-2005年冬季北太平洋气旋和反气旋的移动路径进行的统计分析,为北太平洋"双风暴轴"的存在提供了强有力的证据. 相似文献
155.
The shapes of 268 tropical cyclone tracks in the South West Indian Ocean (SWIO) basin are investigated over the period 1977 to 2011 using an established metric for track sinuosity. Original cyclone position data from the RSMC La Réunion area of responsibility were accessed from the IBTrACS archive maintained by NOAA. Cyclone track sinuosity was measured within a GIS environment and the filtered results were normalised with a cube-root transformation function to reduce positive skew in the output sinuosity distribution. Several key findings from spatial and temporal analysis of sinuosity results may be highlighted. To assess geographical patterns, mapping tracks within designated quartile categories (straight, quasi-straight, curving and sinuous tracks) indicates which land areas in the SWIO are more likely to be affected by cyclones following sinuous tracks that are more difficult to forecast, in particular Madagascar and the islands of Réunion and Mauritius. Over the past three decades, the temporal sinuosity pattern shows a high degree of variability that will probably continue into the future. Yet crucially, a number of conspicuous episodes of relatively magnified or subdued sinuosity are recognised compared to long-term averages. This may present opportunities for identifying major climatic controls on regional anomalous cyclone migration behaviour. Within the average yearly cyclone season, the early months (September–December) have a tendency to produce more predictable straighter-moving cyclones, whereas January stands out as the singular month marking an abrupt swing towards a greater proportion (64%) of curving and sinuously-moving storms. This finding is of importance for vulnerability assessment, because a strong positive correlation is also identified between track sinuosity and cyclone longevity, such that storms steering less predictable sinuous courses are also those that tend to survive for longer durations. 相似文献
156.
B. F. Houghton C. J. N. Wilson M. D. Rosenberg I. E. M. Smith R. J. Parker 《Bulletin of Volcanology》1996,58(1):59-66
A series of alternating phreatomagmatic ("wet") and magmatic ("dry") basaltic pyroclastic deposits forming the Crater Hill
tuff ring in New Zealand contains one unit (M1) which can only be interpreted as the products of mixing of ejecta from simultaneous
wet and dry explosions at different portions of a multiple vent system. The principal characteristics of M1 are (a) rapid
lateral changes in the thicknesses of, and proportions in juvenile components in individual beds, and (b) wide ranges of juvenile
clast densities in every sample. M1 appears to have been associated with an elongate source of highly variable and fluctuating
magma : water ratios and magma discharge rates. This contrasts with the only other documented mixed (wet and dry) basaltic
pyroclastic deposits where mixing from two point sources of quite different but stable character has been inferred.
Received: July 11, 1995 / Accepted: February 13, 1996 相似文献
157.
Chemical and mineralogical data for samples collected from a surge sequence from La Fossa cone (Vulcano Island, Italy) show a wide variety of alteration states between adjoining beds, the macroscopic features of which are expressed by various degrees of reddening. The effects of the alteration processes on pyroclastic rocks are as follows: hydration and oxidation of each component of the pyroclastic rocks to varying degrees; formation of authigenic smectite; precipitation of a large variety of soluble salts; and corrosion on the surface of glass fragments (pitting). Dry surge beds, emplaced from a two-phase, dry steam + solid, suspension do not show significant alteration. By contrast, wet surge deposits, suggesting an emplacement from free water-bearing turbulent flows, show an increasing degree of alteration, passing from grey to red coloured beds. The strict relationship between the present alteration state and the depositional unit rules out any post-depositional processes. The occurrence of alteration in wet surge beds and the lack of alteration in dry beds shows that the main controlling agent was water condensed from the eruptive cloud and suggests a syn-depositional character to the alteration itself. These observed differences can be ascribed to the different chemical reactivities of the water, probably related to the amounts of acidic species carried by the eruptive cloud and/or by the efficiency of their capture during the condensation of the water vapour. 相似文献
158.
用天气学、云物理学、统计计算和数值模拟等方法,对1997年5月份影响我省的两次江淮气旋降水系统进行了综合分析研究,发现(1)中低空水汽输送条件较好,都形成了大范围较稳定的降水性层状云系,出现了连续性降水。两次过程的深厚程度、动力条件有差别,云雨的宏微观特征也有所不同;(2)云中过冷层较厚,过冷水含量较高,大滴浓度较高,众数直径较大,有利于人工催化;(3)云层降水粒子的形成,在冷层以凝华和淞附增长为主,核化和繁生相对较小,进入暖层后,主要是云滴与雨滴以及雨滴间碰并为主;(4)用干冰进行了6架次人工增雨催化作业,经综合检验,约增雨10%~40%;(5)使用层状云数值模式进行人工催化模拟,当加入50个/L人工冰核,可使地面降水增加30%左右。如果过量播撒(加入500个/L)人工冰核,降水反而减少。 相似文献
159.
Gazi Md. Khalil 《Natural Hazards》1992,6(1):11-24
Bangladesh, with its repeated cycle of floods, cyclones, and storm surges, has proved to be one of the most disaster-prone areas of the world. During the years from 1797 to 1991, Bangladesh has been hit by 60 severe cyclones (mostly accompanied by storm surges). This paper gives a brief account of these disasters with particular reference to the wind speed, surge height, loss of life, and damage to crops and properties, etc.In order to protect the coastal areas of Bangladesh from cyclonic storm surges and floods, a major system of embankments was constructed during the 1960s and 1970s, but this is now in need of rehabilitation. The Cyclone Protection Project, which was approved by the World Bank in 1989, would rehabilitate some of the existing embankments, build new embankments, and construct roads. Locally available materials, indigenous technology, and cheap surplus manpower should be used in this project. A variety of fruit trees should be planted along the dikes and roads.To the south-western part of Bangladesh bordering the Bay of Bengal, lies the world's largest single mangrove tract, known as the Sunderban, which covers a total area of 571 500 ha. This mangrove forest is of extreme importance since it provides efficient protection to life and property against cyclones and storm surges. But due to deforestation, the width of the mangrove belt is being rapidly diminished. The author therefore lays emphasis on coastal afforestation.Absolute security against cyclone hazard is probably out of the question, but an effective cyclone warning response can definitely reduce loss of life and damage to property. The author discusses the current conditions for cyclone forecasting and warning in Bangladesh, and then puts forward some proposals for improving the Cyclone Preparedness Programme. 相似文献
160.
西北太平洋热带气旋在ENSO发展和衰减年的路径变化 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
本文运用有限混合模型算法对1979~2015年夏、秋季(6~11月)中国气象局(CMA)上海台风研究所(STI)的最佳路径数据集热带气旋(TC)路径进行聚类,将其路径分为七类,分别为第一类(西太西移型)、第二类(南海西移型)、第三类(沿海转折型)、第四类(低纬转折型)、第五类(洋面转折型)、第六类(近海转折型)、第七类(日本海转折型);并利用S-EOF(季节EOF,Seasonal Empirical Orthogonal Function)方法确定ENSO四个位相(El Ni?o发展年、El Ni?o衰减年、La Ni?a发展年、La Ni?a衰减年),分析在不同ENSO位相下TC路径的年际变化以及相应的流场,得到一些有意义的结论:El Ni?o发展年,TC在西北太平洋东南海域活动频繁,以第六类(近海转折型)路径为主;El Ni?o衰减年以第二类(南海西移型)路径居多,第七类(日本海转折型)路径也较为活跃;La Ni?a发展年,TC集中在西北象限海域,以第七类(日本海转折型)路径为主;La Ni?a衰减年,TC源地多位于我国沿海地区与台湾岛附近洋面上,以第三类(沿海转折型)路径为主。 相似文献