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931.
大气低频振荡对四川盆地持续性强降水的影响   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0       下载免费PDF全文
利用1981—2016年我国地面气象站降水资料和NCEP/NCAR再分析资料,通过小波分析、合成分析、Butterworth滤波等方法,定义了适用于四川盆地的持续性强降水,对降水和大气15~30 d低频振荡特征进行详细分析,可为该地延伸期预报提供参考。结果表明:该地降水具有15~30 d和30~60 d低频振荡特征,其中以15~30 d振荡为主。降水期间各高度层和各纬度带低频系统具有垂直斜压性,在三维空间上相互配合,形成有利于降水产生的低频环流形势。低层和中层南北气流汇合于四川盆地形成辐合区,高层表现为北风南下。低层低纬度气旋在西太平洋生成并逐渐向西北移动至南海、华南,带来暖湿气流,中高纬度贝加尔湖东南侧生成气旋并向东移动至鄂霍次克海附近,加强北风输送。中层中高纬度欧亚大陆低压中心向东南方移动,降水时到达蒙古,并分裂小槽传播至下游,在日本海加强,高压中心紧随其后到达乌拉尔山。降水期间四川盆地上空高层为辐散区,有利于中低层辐合上升运动的维持。  相似文献   
932.
非饱和渗流Richards方程数值求解的欠松弛方法   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
陈曦  于玉贞  程勇刚 《岩土力学》2012,33(Z1):237-243
非饱和土渗流理论是岩土工程问题的基础理论,在土石坝渗流、污染物传输、冻土渗流相变和边坡稳定分析等领域有着广泛的应用。非饱和土渗流Richards方程的数值求解过程中,某些参数如水力传导系数计算不当可能引起非线性方法,如Picard方法或Newton方法的迭代收敛震荡,从而导致非线性迭代方法收敛缓慢和精度降低。为了消除或降低迭代收敛震荡对求解精度和计算性能的影响,目前主要采用欠松弛方法。通过一维入渗算例和二维非均质土坝渗流算例演示已有欠松弛方法的局限性,进而提出新的短项混合欠松弛法,并对其实用性和可靠性进行验证。  相似文献   
933.
The permeabilities of fault rocks from the rupture of Wenchuan earthquake were measured by using nitrogen gas and distilled water as pore fluids under the confining pressure ranging from 20 to 180 MPa at room temperature. Experimental results indicate that both gas and water permeabilities decrease with increasing confining pressure, described by power law relationship, i.e., b = 0.2×10–3kl–0.557. The water permeability is about one order less than gas permeability and also half order smaller than the permeability corrected by the Klinkenberg effect, so-called intrinsic permeability. The differences in the permeabilies imply that the reduction of effective pore size caused by the adhesion of water molecules to clay particle surface and water-swelling of expandable clay minerals contributes to lessening the water permeability besides the Klinkenberg effect. Hence, the liquid permeability of fault rocks cannot be deduced by gas permeability by the Klinkenberg correction reliably and accurately, and it is necessary to use liquid as pore media to measure their transport property directly.  相似文献   
934.
The thermally and wind-driven ocean circulation is a complicated natural phenomenon in the atmospheric physics. Hence we need to reduce it using basic models and solve the models using approximate methods. A non-linear model of the thermally and wind-driven ocean circulation is used in this paper. The results show that the zero solution of the linear equation is a stable focus point, which is the path curve trend origin point as time (t) trend to infinity. By using the homotopic mapping perturbation method,...  相似文献   
935.
Based on the 45-year (09/1957-08/2008) European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Reanalysis (ERA-40) wave reanalysis dataset, this study analyzes interannual and interdecadal variabilities and intraseasonal oscillations of sea surface wind speed (WS), wind sea wave height (Hw), swell wave height (Hs) and significant wave height (Hs) in the Roaring Forties and tropical waters of the Indian Ocean, to determine swell propagation characteristics. The results show: (1) monthly variabilities of Hs in the Roaring Forties are in good agreement with those in tropical waters of the Indian Ocean; swell plays a dominant role in mixed waves throughout most of the Indian Ocean; and WS, Hw, Hs, and Hs exhibit a significant increasing trend over the 45-year study period. (2) Hs in the Roaring Forties and tropical waters of the Indian Ocean share a common period of 9.8–10.4 years on an interdecadal scale; and WS and Hs in the Roaring Forties and Hs in the tropical waters of the Indian Ocean share a common period of approximately 8 days (weekly oscillation) on an intraseasonal scale. (3) Swell of the Roaring Forties needs approximately 30 h to fully respond to the wind in this region. Approximately 84 h are required for Hs to propagate from the Roaring Forties to the tropical waters of the south Indian Ocean, while it takes approximately 132–138 h for Hs to propagate from the Roaring Forties to the tropical waters of the north Indian Ocean.  相似文献   
936.
刘超  徐永生 《海洋科学》2017,41(4):88-97
本文研究和估计了1950~2010年不同太平洋年代际涛动(Pacific decadal oscillation, PDO)事件对北太平洋地区的海平面上升趋势所造成的影响。研究使用了SODA(Simple Ocean Data Assimilation)的海表面高度(sea surface height, SSH)数据资料, 通过多元线性回归方法, 分离了由PDO事件所引起的海表面高度变化(PDO-SSH), 以此分析PDO事件对海平面变化所造成的影响。结果表明, PDO-SSH所引起的海表面变化趋势的空间分布, 及其对区域海平面变化的遮掩效果, 和对应时期内PDO信号的振幅和周期有着紧密的关系。进一步的分析表明, PDO事件对北太平洋地区SSH变化所造成的影响是不均匀的, 在东西太平洋有着相反的变化趋势。1960~1989年, 具有较长数据时间长度的PDO信号对海平面变化的影响, 要强于高度计投入使用后的时期的表现, 而受其影响最重的海域出现在赤道西太平洋海域、阿留申群岛及北美沿岸地区, PDO-SSH在上述地区SSH的占比甚至高达60%。  相似文献   
937.
基于1980~2015年的全球简单海洋资料同化分析系统(SODA)、全球海气通量(OAFlux)和全球降水气候学计划(GPCP)等海洋、大气观测再分析资料,采用线性拟合、经验正交函数(EOF)分解、相关分析和波谱分析等数理统计方法,分析了热带西太平洋海表盐度(SSS)和淡水通量时空变化特征及其关系.结果表明,SSS与淡水通量的气候态及长期线性变化趋势有较好的空间对应关系,两者均有多种时间尺度的EOF模态,其年代际变化模态有较好的正相关关系,并与太平洋年代际振荡(PDO)有密切的滞后相关.分析表明,PDO可能通过影响Walker环流的变化来影响热带西太平洋的淡水通量分布,从而影响SSS的时空格局.  相似文献   
938.
Based on analyses of the spatio-temporal evolutionary characteristics of teleseismic response recorded by Fu-jian subsurface fluid network and in combination with earthquakes happened in Fujian province during the same period, this paper points out that the step-like rising of water level after distant earthquakes may include some regional stress field information, and the area where water level step-like rises could be the position that the stress concentrated on and where the future earthquakes would occu...  相似文献   
939.
Based on the daily turbulent heat fluxes and related meteorological variables datasets (1985–2006) from Objectively Analyzed air-sea Fluxes (OAFlux) Project of Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI), characteristics of low-frequency oscillation intensity of air-sea turbulent heat fluxes over the northwest Pacific are analyzed by linear perturbation method and correlation analysis. It can be concluded that: 1) the distribution of low-frequency oscillation intensity of latent heat flux (LHF) over the northwest Pacific is mainly affected by that of low-frequency oscillation intensity of anomalous air-sea humidity gradient (Δq′) as well as mean air-sea humidity gradient (), while the distribution of low-frequency oscillation intensity of sensible heat flux (SHF) is mainly affected by that of low-frequency oscillation intensity of anomalous air-sea temperature gradient (ΔT′). 2) The low-frequency oscillation of turbulent heat fluxes over the northwest Pacific is the strongest in winter and the weakest in summer. And the seasonal transition of low-frequency oscillation intensity of LHF is jointly influenced by those of low-frequency oscillation intensity of Δq′, low-frequency oscillation intensity of anomalous wind speed (U′), and mean wind speed (Ū), while the seasonal transition of low-frequency oscillation intensity of SHF is mainly influenced by those of low-frequency oscillation intensity of ΔT′ and Ū. 3) Over the tropical west Pacific and sea areas north of 20°N, the low-frequency oscillation of LHF (SHF) is mainly influenced by atmospheric variables q a ′ (T a ′) and U′, indicating an oceanic response to overlying atmospheric forcing. In contrast, over the tropical eastern and central Pacific south of 20°N, q s ′ (T s ′) also greatly influences the low-frequency oscillation of LHF (SHF). Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 40675028) and National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No. 2006CB403600)  相似文献   
940.
We examine joint effects of the solar activity and phase of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) on modes of low-frequency variability of tropospheric circulation in the Northern Hemisphere in winter. The winter months (December–March) are stratified by the solar activity into two (below/above median) classes, and each of these classes is subdivided by the QBO phase (west or east). The variability modes are determined by rotated principal component analysis of 500 hPa heights separately in each class of solar activity and QBO phase. Detected are all the modes known to exist in the Northern Hemisphere. The solar activity and QBO jointly affect the shapes, spatial extent, and intensity of the modes; the QBO effects are, however, generally weaker than those of solar activity. For both solar maxima and minima, there is a tendency to the east/west phase of QBO to be accompanied by a lower/higher activity of zonally oriented modes and increased meridionality/zonality of circulation. This means that typical characteristics of circulation under solar minima, including a more meridional appearance of the modes and less activity of zonal modes, are strengthened during QBO-E; on the other hand, circulation characteristics typical of solar maxima, such as enhanced zonality of the modes and more active zonal modes, are more pronounced during QBO-W. Furthermore, the zonal modes in the Euro-Atlantic and Asian sectors (North Atlantic Oscillation, East Atlantic pattern, and North Asian pattern) shift southwards in QBO-E, the shift being stronger in solar maxima.  相似文献   
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