亚洲中部干旱气候研究综述与机理分析     

戴新刚  汪萍 《沙漠与绿洲气象(新疆气象)》2020,14(1):1-12

综述了亚洲中部干旱气候若干研究进展,并对亚洲中纬度干旱区形成机理进行了深入分析。依据大尺度气候分类法将全球陆地划分为季风、地中海及西风带气候区,分别对应于年内季节循环中多雨—高温的同位相、反位相及不相关等类型水—热配置特征。亚洲中部干旱区南北部分属地中海和西风带气候区,其不同水—热位相配置又对应于不同的水汽通量及其散度等特征。研究揭示了欧亚大陆中部干旱区形成于降水不足且季节性水—热配置不当,起因于大气环流平均槽脊季节变化引起的大气动力—热力配置,其根源是海陆热力差异及大地形对大气环流强迫的结果。本文还讨论了季风区与非季风区之间平均气流水汽散度的季节性互动,以及行星尺度上不同气候区之间平均气流与瞬变涡动水汽散度之间的配置等问题。  相似文献   

天津地区一次局地大暴雨过程MCS传播发展机制     

刘一玮  王颖 《沙漠与绿洲气象(新疆气象)》2020,14(5):61-68

利用常规观测资料、卫星云图、雷达、风廓线组网资料对2017年8月8日-9日天津地区局部大暴雨天气进行分析,得到以下结论：A、B两个中尺度雨团先后影响天津,A雨团持续了4个小时,雨强相对较大；B雨团持续了3个小时,雨强相对较小；对应有两个MCS,强降水发生在TBB低值中心偏向温度梯度最大的区域；降水回波的移动路径和强度特征存在差异,A雨团回波为自西北向东南方向移动的带状的高质心降水回波；B雨团回波自西南向东北方向移动,为低质心降水回波带状回波,高质心降水回波雨强高于低质心降水回波。新型探测资料有助于分析中尺度影响系统,判断对流系统的移动方向。用风廓线组网资料对比两个阶段降水的中尺度系统,A雨团为上冷下暖的高低空配置,B雨团降水出现在整层西南气流中,引导风的不同,导致回波的移动方向、天气剧烈程度的不同；变压梯度、温度梯度等环境因素对判断局地对流暴雨发生的环境条件有一定指示性。  相似文献   

安溪雷暴24h潜势预报模型研究     

韦英英 《沙漠与绿洲气象(新疆气象)》2020,14(6):46-53

利用安溪县国家气象站2004年至2015年的雷暴观测资料，分析了安溪县雷暴的气候特征及环境背景分类。并根据雷暴活动特征及雷暴天气产生的环境场条件，诊断和分析T639数值模式输出产品与雷暴观测资料的相关性，对41个相关因子做显著性检验，挑选相关性较好的9个因子做分析。对9个预报因子进行0,1化处理并进行逐步回归，最后选取850hPa垂直速度、850hpa假相当位温、700hPa温度、K指数、850hPa比湿等5个因子，建立雷暴潜势预报方程。利用2015年至2017年T639模式资料进行回代分析评估，发现当雷暴概率预报Y值>0.6时，雷暴预报准确率最高，达85.60%，且漏报率、空报率很低。再以2018年T639数值模式资料对雷暴潜势概率进行计算评估，准确率为83.84%，漏报率为5.75%，空报率为10.41%。由此可见，基于T639数值产品的雷暴潜势方程可以为安溪县雷暴天气的预警预报和防雷减灾服务提供客观的参考和依据。  相似文献   

The fraction of galaxies that contain active nuclei and their accretion rates     

M.J. Page 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2001,328(3):925-930

We investigate the relationship between the present-day optical luminosity function of galaxies and the X-ray luminosity function of Seyfert 1s to determine the fraction of galaxies that host Seyfert 1 nuclei and their Eddington ratios. The local type 1 active galactic nuclei (AGN) X-ray luminosity function is well reproduced if ∼1 per cent of all galaxies are type 1 Seyferts which have Eddington ratios of ∼10⁻³. However, in such a model the X-ray luminosity function is completely dominated by AGN in E and S0 galaxies, contrary to the observed mix of Seyfert host galaxies. To obtain a plausible mix of AGN host galaxy morphologies requires that the most massive black holes in E and S0 galaxies accrete with lower Eddington ratios, or have a lower incidence of Seyfert activity, than the central black holes of later-type galaxies.  相似文献   

The magnetic field and wind confinement of β Cephei: new clues for interpreting the Be phenomenon?     

J.-F. Donati  G.A. Wade  J. Babel  H_f. Henrichs  J.A. de Jong  T.J. Harries 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2001,326(4):1265-1278

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Cosmological solution with an energy flux     

Bijan Modak 《Journal of Astrophysics and Astronomy》1984,5(3):317-322

The paper presents some spherically symmetric cosmological Solutions in which the velocity field is shear-free but there is a flux of energy. The solutions are believed to be new and the previous known solutions of this class due to Bergmann and Maiti may be obtained as special cases of our metrics.  相似文献   

Upwelling and the distribution of chlorophyll a within the Bay of Concepción,Chile     

Dagoberto F. Arcos  Robert E. Wilson 《Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science》1984,18(1):25-35

The influence of upwelling on the distribution of chlorophyll a within the Bay of Concepción, Chile is discussed in light of continuous measurements of surface in vivo chlorophyll fluorescence and temperature taken simultaneously along horizontal transects, and hydrographic stations' data. Results suggest significant temporal variability both in the distribution of in vivo fluorescence, temperature and salinity within the Bay and in the characteristics of the exchange between the Bay and the adjacent shelf waters, induced by variable upwelling. Upwelling is produced by the predominant south-westerly winds during the summer. Significant variations in the wind direction occur with periods from two to seven days. During active upwelling, exchange is characterized by a surface outflow through the mouth of the Bay and an inflow at depth. Low chlorophyll fluorescence is confined to the upwelling areas on the eastern shore either within or outside the Bay; high chlorophyll fluorescence is confined to the central and western Bay. Density data suggest a three-layered circulation pattern at the mouth of the Bay during the upwelling relaxation involving an inflow both at the surface and bottom and outflow at mid-depth. Associated with this exchange is an active high chlorophyll transport from the Bay to the adjacent coastal waters at mid-depth and inflow of low chlorophyll water from the adjacent shelf at the surface and near the bottom.  相似文献   

中国北方年沙尘暴日数的气候特征及对春季高原地面感热的响应   总被引：41，自引：12，他引：29  

李栋梁  钟海玲  魏丽  吕兰芝 《高原气象》2003,22(4):337-345

选用中国185个常规气象观测站,从建站～2000年历年沙尘暴日数资料,分析了近50年来中国北方沙尘暴的气候特征及其对青藏高原地面感热异常的响应。结果表明：虽然单个沙尘暴过程具有一定的区域特征,但年沙尘暴日数具有较好的空间一致性,在空间上有5个自然尘源区,即河西走廊、南疆盆地南缘、阿拉善高原、鄂尔多斯高原和浑善达克沙地等沙尘暴高发区。比较近50年来中国沙尘暴日数的年代际变化,总体趋势在减少,20世纪90年代是近5个年代中最少的。但20世纪末至21世纪初,中国沙尘暴日数有明显的回升趋势。进一步研究表明,中国沙尘暴与春季青藏高原地面感热关系密切,当春季青藏高原地面感热呈EOF1模态时,当年中国北方沙尘暴日数明显较常年偏多。  相似文献   

Analysis of the influence of Taihu Lake and the urban heat islands on the local circulation in the Yangtze Delta   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

李维亮  刘洪利  周秀骥  秦瑜 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》2003,46(4):405-415

The influences of human activities on regional climate and weather are tremendous. The re-gional temperature and the distributing of wind field are influenced, whereas the precipitation in-tensity and the spatial and temporal distribution of the precipita…  相似文献   

Observational estimation of heat budgets on drifting ice and open water over the Arctic Ocean   总被引：9，自引：0，他引：9  

卞林根  高志球  陆龙骅  张雅宾  C.Roger  X.D.Zhang 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》2003,46(6):580-591

It is of major scientific interests to determine the parameters of momentum, heat and vapor exchange in the planetary boundary layer in order to study the effects of ocean-ice-atmosphere interactions and their feedback mechanisms on global climate[1]. Lin…  相似文献