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381.
利用小波分析重力的长期变化   总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5       下载免费PDF全文
运用小波滤波方法估算Chandler和周年项的潮汐因子.本文分析了四个台站(Brussels, Boulder, Membach以及Strasbourg)的观测记录,运用合成潮方法得到重力残差后,用Daubechies小波带通滤波器滤波残差,得到256~512 d时间尺度上的序列,根据标准差最小原则确定观测极潮周年和Chandler项的周期,然后利用最小二乘法估算它们的潮汐因子,同时给出未经模型改正的周年重力.由于高阶Daubechies小波构造的滤波器具有良好的频率响应,且能压制信号中的高阶异常成分,使滤波的信号更加光滑,因此计算结果具有更小的均方差,更加可靠.  相似文献   
382.
辽宁地区第一对流层顶高度变化特征分析   总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1       下载免费PDF全文
本文利用趋势分析、突变分析以及小波分析等方法对近42 a辽宁南部(大连)和北部(沈阳)第一对流层顶高度变化特征进行分析和比较,结果表明:近42 a,辽宁第一对流层顶高度除冬季以外其它三季和年呈下降趋势,南部地区的降幅明显大于北部;多年均值的年变化表现为在夏季最高、春秋季次之、冬季最低,各个季节南部高度值普遍高于北部;年际变化幅度在夏季最大,除冬季外,南部大于北部;发生气候突变的时段基本上都在1970年代中期前后;周期变化特征时空差异较大。  相似文献   
383.
The hydrography of the Laptev Sea is significantly influenced by river water and sea-ice processes, which are highly variable over the annual cycle. Despite of an estuarine structure the inner and outer shelf regions are decoupled at times as documented by the stability of a warm intermediate layer formed during summer below the Lena River plume. We demonstrate that a remnant of this warm layer is preserved below the fast ice until the end of winter, while only slightly farther to the north, offshore of the landfast ice in the polynya region, the pycnocline is eroded and no signature of this layer is found. The warm intermediate layer (WIL) formed during summer can be used as tracer for Laptev Sea shelf waters throughout the winter. Thereby, residence times of southern Laptev Sea waters can be estimated to be at least from summer to the end of winter/spring of the following year.  相似文献   
384.
It is uncertain whether the residual (perennial) south polar cap on Mars is a transitory or a permanent feature in the current Martian climate. While there is no firm evidence for complete disappearance of the cap in the past, clearly observable changes have been documented. Observations suggest that the perennial cap lost more CO2 material in the spring/summer season prior to the Mariner 9 mission than in those same seasons monitored by Viking and Mars Global Surveyor. In this paper we examine one process that may contribute to these changes—the radiative effects of a planet encircling dust storm that starts during late Martian southern spring on the stability of the perennial south polar cap. To approach this, we model the radiative transfer through a dusty planetary atmosphere bounded by a sublimating CO2 surface.A critical parameter for this modeling is the surface albedo spectrum from the near-UV to the thermal-IR, which was determined from both space-craft and Earth-based observations covering multiple wavelength regimes. Such a multi-wavelength approach is highly desirable since one spectral band by itself cannot tightly constrain the three-parameter space for polar surface albedo models, namely photon “scattering length” in the CO2 ice and the amounts of intermixed water and dust.Our results suggest that a planet-encircling dust storm with onset near solstice can affect the perennial cap's stability, leading to advanced sublimation in a “dusty” year. Since the total amount of solid CO2 removed by a single storm may be less than the total CO2 thickness, a series of dust storms would be required to remove the entire residual CO2 ice layer from the south perennial cap.  相似文献   
385.
根据Cluster卫星在中高度极尖区的观测数据,分析研究了两次连续磁暴期间极尖区场向电子事件的持续时间以及与Dst值和Dst时间变化率之间的关系.结果表明,磁暴期间场向电子事件的持续时间的范围为6~54 s,大多数场向事件的持续时间小于34 s;极尖区场向电子事件的最大密度和最大场向通量与Dst值没有明显的相关关系;而随着Dst变化率的增加,场向电子最大密度和最大通量也随之增加,场向电子最大密度与Dst变化率之间的相关系数为0.81,场向电子最大通量与Dst变化率之间的相关系数为0.56,下行电子最大通量与Dst变化率之间的相关系数为0.85.经讨论认为行星际磁场持续南向、太阳风速度和动压的急剧增加是引起场向电子通量增加的主要原因.  相似文献   
386.
本文利用2009—2011年EISCAT/ESR雷达的场向观测数据,统计研究了低太阳活动期间极区E层占优电离层(ELDI)事件的发生规律及其主要特征.地面雷达观测表明,极区ELDI表现出明显的季节变化特征:在冬季和早春发生率较高.EISCAT雷达(极光椭圆纬度)观测到的ELDI多出现在磁午夜扇区,平均持续30 min;ESR雷达(极尖/极隙区纬度)观测到的ELDI多出现在磁正午附近,平均持续14 min,表现出与之前无线电掩星观测结果不一致的日变化特征.在ELDI事件期间,两处雷达观测到的电离层NmE/NmF2比值和E层厚度都没有表现出显著的空间差异.事例分析证实E层电子增强和F层电子密度耗空都能够独立地导致ELDI,然而,统计分析表明上述两个过程对ELDI的形成都起着不可或缺的作用.  相似文献   
387.
极盖等离子体云块是极区空间天气重要现象之一,其形成过程是当前重要研究课题.观测表明,日侧磁场重联对应的极区电离层高速流可能对舌状等离子体(TOI)形成"切割"作用,最终形成极盖等离子体云块.伴随磁场重联,同时存在极光粒子沉降,会引起F层等离子体密度的增大,阻碍"切割"效应.本文利用耦合极区电离层模型,模拟研究电场和软电子沉降共同作用下F层等离子体密度的演化.结果表明,在局部电离层电场大于一定数值(80 mV)的情况下,"切割"效应能有效发生.并详细分析了"切割"效应发生时等离子体各参量的演化过程,对"切割"效应的内在物理过程进行了探讨.  相似文献   
388.
F-lacuna是高纬极区电离层测高仪频高图上经常出现的一种F层回波描迹部分或全部消失的现象,直接影响电离层参数的标定,其表征的电离层物理过程尚未定论.利用南极中山站测高仪频高图数据,本文统计分析了Flacuna在不同太阳风速度水平下的发生频率,主要对2012年2月15日一次F2-lacuna观测实例的粒子沉降及电离层特性进行了分析.观测特征表明,F2-lacuna发生期间,电离层电子总含量TEC明显减小,昭和站SuperDARN高频雷达观测到的中山站上空电离层Bragg后向散射增强,但对应来自磁层的电子和离子沉降并不明显.这可能是由磁层亚暴引起的极区电离层电流体系扰动,触发电离层F-B不稳定性,产生沿场向排列的小尺度不规则体,其热效应导致F2层密度减小,F2-lacuna出现.  相似文献   
389.
Compared to the Chandler and annual wobbles, the higher-frequency components of polar motion (PM) have substantially smaller amplitudes. Therefore, their study has had to wait until higher-quality time series with high temporal resolution, as measured by space geodetic techniques, have become available. Based on the combined Earth orientation series SPACE99 computed by the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) from 1976 to 2000 at daily intervals, the periodic PM terms, in particular at the quasi-biennial, 300-day, semi-Chandler, semi-annual, 4-month, 90-day, 2-month and 1.5-month periods, have been separated by band-pass filtering and it has been found that the persistence of oscillations becomes less with increasing frequency. In order to quantify and better describe the parameter variability of these PM components over time, the radii, direction angles and period lengths were computed from the periodic terms filtered out from the time series. The results clearly show the characteristics and time evolution of the periodic PM components. The largest elliptic oscillation is the semi-annual wobble with a maximum semi-major axis of up to 13 mas (milliarc seconds). The other wobbles are smaller. They have maximum semi-major axes of between 3 and 8 mas. If the oscillations have period lengths of 4 months and less, then they are elapsed not only progradly, but also retrogradly. AcknowledgementsThis paper was presented at the 27th General Assembly of the European Geophysical Society in Nice, France, 22–26 April 2002. Thanks go to Kevin Fleming for his linguistic advice. The author would also like to thank Barbara Koaczek for suggesting some valuable improvements.  相似文献   
390.
Short-term forecast of the polar motion is considered by introducing a prediction model for the excitation function that drives the polar motion dynamics. The excitation function model consists of a slowly varying trend, periodic modes with annual and several sub-annual frequencies (down to the 13.6-day fortnightly tidal period), and a transient decay function with a time constant of 1.5 days. Each periodic mode is stochastically specified using a second-order auto-regression process, allowing its frequency, phase, and amplitude to vary in time within a statistical tolerance. The model is used to time-extrapolate the excitation function series, which is then used to generate a polar motion forecast dynamically. The skills of this forecast method are evaluated by comparison to the C-04 polar motion series. Over the lead-time horizon of four months, the proposed method has performed equally well to some of the state-of-art polar motion prediction methods, none of which specifically features forecasting of the excitation function. The annual mode in the 2 component is energetically the most dominant periodicity. The modes with longer periods, annual and semi-annual in particular, are found to contribute more significantly to forecast accuracy than those with shorter periods.  相似文献   
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