帕隆藏布河流纵剖面演化的最小功模式   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

蒋忠信 《山地学报》2002,20(1):26-31

河流地貌最小功原理表明河流纵误时面形态将向力示使流速增大的方向演化，据此推导出矩形流域全程流速的平均值（u^-）与河流纵误时面形态指数（N）的关系式：u^∝-f(N)={1/2-1/[(N 1)(N 2)]}^1/2，f(N)被称为流速函数。这一最小功模式表明河流纵剖面演化方向是N由小变大。以西藏帕隆藏布中上游流域系统、干流全程及Ⅰ级阶地为例，由最小功模式计算的全程流速均值与实测值相吻合，从而检验了上述最小功原理和数学模式。  相似文献   

中国西部山地发展的一般模式——以天山巴音布鲁克地区为例   总被引：7，自引：1，他引：7  

张百平  陈晓东  叶尔·道来提  巴特尔  李建新  李宝林  阿里西尔·库尔班  姚永慧 《山地学报》2002,20(4):394-400

中国西部山区是我国的水源地及生态屏障，它们的合理开发与保护是西部大开发的基本内容。研究归纳出山地发展的“巴音布鲁克模式”：（1）天鹅及其生境的绝对保护（核心）；（2）建立可持续牧业（主体）；（3）规范和发展旅游业（突破口）；（4）西蒙古土尔扈特传统文化的保护（文化多样性）。中国西部山区的发展模式都可以概括为一个核心（自然保护）三个圈层（与当地主要土地资源相适应的主导产业，与当地特有资源相联系的新兴产业，当地民族文化保护）。这种模式能够充分体现生态优先的思想，同时考虑到促进地区新老经济及文化的发展与保护，符合西部大开发的方针。  相似文献   

改进的灰色模型在中国能源消费及其CO2排放预测中的研究   总被引：5，自引：1，他引：5  

穆海林  董旭辉  王伟  SAKAMOTO K  TONOOKA Y  周伟生  宁亚东 《中国沙漠》2002,22(2):141-149

中国高速的经济发展导致了快速的能源消费和地球温暖化气体的排放量。本文应用灰色理论建立了中国的终端能源消费量的动态预测模型，同时应用等维递补及带有马尔科夫链符号估计的残差修正，对原始模型进行了改进。后验检验的结果证明了改进的预测模型具有较高的计算精度。预测结果表明，两种经济发展情况（高速及低速）下，从2000年到2030年期间的终端能源消费量的平均增长率将分别达到3．06％和2．18％，2030年CO2 的排放量将分别达到2000年的 2． 15及 1．60倍。其中工业及居民生活的能源消费量的增加速度快于其他部门。这表明了中国将要加快其工业化及都市化的进程．终端消费中，煤炭的消费量所占的比例将要逐年减少，而电力的比例则将逐年增大。  相似文献   

山岳型旅游区人文建筑环境后效与调控模型   总被引：4，自引：1，他引：4  

全华 《山地学报》2002,20(6):706-711

许多山岳型旅游区内或其流域上游，都建有人文建筑，而且在急剧增多，导致自然环境日趋恶化，其中乱建疗养院和旅馆的影响最为严重。通过地监测并全面分析张家界环境演变趋势，发现住宿施对环境的影响，比其他游乐设施更为明显。张家界国家森林公园生态环境的脆弱因子是金鞭溪水质。金鞭溪水质恶化主要表现为蓝藻，绿藻迅速繁殖，感官质量下降。主要原因是磷污染较重，总磷年均值100%超标。本文提出了基于环境脆弱因子的动态阈值调控模型，通过计算得出：在不超出张家界景区最为脆弱的环境因子-金鞭溪水质标准：总磷≤0.02前提下，金鞭溪上游接待区住宿设施生态阈值的动态系列：春季临界床位数为1186，夏季为3057，冬季为545，秋季为333。目前的建筑规模已超过了金鞭溪上游接待区住宿设施生态阈值。  相似文献   

基于GIS的滑坡CF多元回归模型及其应用   总被引：14，自引：0，他引：14  

兰恒星  伍法权  王思敬 《山地学报》2002,20(6):732-737

目前基于GIS滑坡变形失稳危险性评价方法均有各自的局限性。本文在基于数据的数学统计模型的基础上提出CF多元回归模型。通过将滑坡确定性稳定系数与回归模型的融合，在一定程度以解决了滑坡评价过程中影响因子的选择和量化的问题，有利于建立准确的滑坡分析模型。最后，将模型应用于云南小江流域，进行了该区的滑坡空间分布及稳定性分析。  相似文献   

Groundwater regime and calculation of yield response in North China Plain: a case study of Luancheng County in Hebei Province     

Jia Jin-sheng  Yu Jing-jie  Liu Chang-ming 《地理学报(英文版)》2002,12(2):217-225

The groundwater table has been declining at a rate of 0.65 m/yr in Luancheng County since large scale groundwater extraction carried out in the 1960s. The drop of precipitation, substantial increase in agricultural output, variations of crop planting structure and construction of water conservancy projects in the headwater area all tie up with the decline of the groundwater table. On the basis of analyzing the hydrogeological conditions and the water resources utilization of Luancheng County, a three-dimensional groundwater flow model was developed to simulate the county’s groundwater flow through finite-difference method using Visual Modflow software. We divide the research field into four parts after analyzing the hydrogeological condition. Based on parameter calibration and adjustment using measured data, the hydraulic conductivity and specific yield were simulated. Using the calibrated model, we analyze the agricultural water saving potentiality and its influence on the groundwater. The results are as follows: (1) if we decrease the amount of water extracted by 0.14xl0⁸ m³, the average groundwater table of the five observation wells in December will rise by 0.33 m; (2) if we decrease the water by 0.29x 10⁸m³, the average groundwater table of the five observation wells in December will rise by 0.64 m; and (3) if we increase the water by 0.29 x 10⁸m³, the average groundwater table of the five observation wells in December will decline by 0.45 m. So we can draw a conclusion that controlling the agricultural water use is an important way to prevent the decline of groundwater table.  相似文献   

The 3D simulation and optimized management model of groundwater systems based on eco-environmental water demand     

Zhang Guang-xin Ph.D.  Deng Wei  He Yan 《地理学报(英文版)》2002,12(2):226-235

Through the study of mutual process between groundwater systems and eco-environmental water demand, the eco-environmental water demand is brought into groundwater systems model as the important water consumption item and unification of groundwater’s economic, environmental and ecological functions were taken into account. Based on eco-environmental water demand at Da’an in Jilin province, a three-dimensional simulation and optimized management model of groundwater systems was established. All water balance components of groundwater systems in 1998 and 1999 were simulated with this model and the best optimal exploitation scheme of groundwater systems in 2000 was determined, so that groundwater resource was efficiently utilized and good economic, ecologic and social benefits were obtained.  相似文献   

History and necessity: the evolution of soil conservation technology in a Jamaican farming system     

Rebecca J. Kent 《The Geographical journal》2002,168(1):48-56

The soil conservation campaigns that have been a prominent feature of Jamaican agricultural policy since the 1950s are frequently presented as having failed to ameliorate the problem of soil erosion in hillside agriculture. A case study of a small farming community in the Blue Mountains explores the development of the soil conservation practices currently employed by farmers. The use of trash barriers in carrot farming is described and the origins of this technology and its subsequent adaptation are considered. The study concludes that extension interventions and government policy have influenced the development of current soil conservation practices; practices which have their roots in indigenous techniques. Other factors such as the adaptation of trash barriers to suit local conditions and their importance in soil fertility management also play a role in their widespread use in the study area. The study demonstrates that to understand the process of technical change in farming communities, it is necessary to consider a range of factors, external and internal, technical and social, that have over time influenced farmers' decision making.  相似文献   

La « Mission d'Andalousie », expédition géologique de l'Académie des sciences de Paris à la suite du grand séisme de 1884The ‘Mission d'Andalousie’, a geological expedition of the French Academy of Sciences,following the great Andalusian earthquake of 1884     

Jean Bonnin  Michel Durand-Delga  André Michard 《Comptes Rendus Geoscience》2002,334(10):795-808

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Accessibility Measures in Spatial Mismatch Models     

Eugene D. Perle  Harald Bauder  Nancy Beckett 《The Professional geographer》2002,54(1):106-110

Implicit in all spatial mismatch models is the concept of accessibility. However, there is an immense variety of measures utilized in the literature to index the concept, and it is not clear how much of the disparity in findings between studies is attributable to alternative measures. This research note attempts to provide some evidence on the impact of alternative measures of accessibility in employment probability models.  相似文献