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31.
本文运用福建省沿海气象要素的异常变化,作台湾省的中、短期地震预报,取得了成功的效果。采用长乐历年各月14时最低气压的距平值,作台湾省未来4~7个月内出现强震的预报依据,并采用热异常进行短临跟踪。当秋冬季节连续4d 长乐、福州、台北的气温均比广州累计高出10℃时,预报未来1~5d 台湾省出现7级强震。又根据近百年来台湾发生的强震,统计其活动季节,得到近20年来7级地震发生的时间,绝大部分在9~12月。 相似文献
32.
采用TOGA/COARE国际合作考察期间(1992年10月─1993年2月)获得的267次定点(2°S,155°E)定时高空大气探测资料,进行计算分析,发现1992年12月─1993年2月低空存在一支西风急流,有两次分别持续半月之久,而1992年11月的两次赤道西风急流,因无赤道高空急流配合,仅持续2d便消失。本文还指出:(1)赤道低空西风急流是各种海-气指数产生ENSO异常的重要信息;(2)赤道高空急流有滞后赤道低空急流2d左右的响应关系;(3)赤道低空急流是纬向水汽输送的狭窄通道。 相似文献
33.
E.R. Jefferys 《Applied Ocean Research》1984,6(1):31-39
Classical frequency and time domain models of a single degree of freedom wave power device are presented. In the time domain, a convolution integral is conventionally used to represent the fluid dynamic radiation force, characterised by added mass and damping in the frequency domain. This integral is replaced by an approximate ordinary differential equation (ODE) model which is faster and more convenient in simulations. A time domain model of the fluid dynamics of an oscillating water column (OWC) device is derived to illustrate the technique. Digital simulations of the OWC are used to compare the accuracy of the classical and ODE models. The simulation of the ODE model runs about six times as fast as the classical model based on convolution, yet characterises the fluid dynamics accurately. 相似文献
34.
Weather in the North Gulf of Alaska is characterized by a high frequency of deep synoptic-scale low-pressure systems, especially during the cold season. The strong pressure gradients of these storms interact with the extremely rugged terrain of the coastal mountains to produce a variety of channeled flows. These surface wind regimes are not well documented in the scientific community, due to the paucity of observations. Modeling of these phenomena in regions of complex terrain is of great interest to those working with hydrodynamic, wave, and pollutant transport models in coastal and shelf areas. Such models, when coupled with ocean and coastal-ecology counterparts, give a broad view of the role surface winds play in shaping local coastal marine ecosystem in this region. This paper presents a climatology of simulated low-level wind jets over the domain of Cook Inlet and Shelikof Strait along Alaska's south-central coast. Daily simulations using the RAMS model were conducted in a 36-h forecast mode for the cold-season period 10/1/03 to 3/31/04. Systematic analysis of the resulting simulated low-level wind field makes it possible to characterize these jets and gap flows in spatial and temporal detail. The comparison between the RAMS winds and the Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR)-derived winds when available verifies the existence of these wind jets and the capability of the model to simulate these cases. Clearly, the results of a study in this region depend on the fidelity of the model at these scales (O[5 km]). The SAR comparisons attempt to help establish this. From the 6 months of simulations over Cook Inlet and Shelikof Strait, the low-level wind jets are classified into 10 different regimes by location and orientation. These regimes are categorized into four more general groups: cross-channel westerly, easterly, and up and down Inlet flows. The nature of a particular regime is largely a function of pressure gradient orientation and local topography. Jets in the same group have a similar occurrence distribution with time. Some form of jet occurred in the study region almost daily each month of the period, with December 2003 having the highest frequency of wind jets. 相似文献
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用北太平洋(含赤道太平洋区)1949~1979年的COADS资料,通过矢量EOF分解得到北太平洋异常风场的分布型及其时间变化规律。分析表明,EOF1~5场与大气活动中心、海洋相互作用有联系,具有明显的天气学意义。此外,还讨论了EOF异常风场间的转换及其季节性差异。 相似文献
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We have examined wind-induced circulation in the Sea of Okhotsk using a barotropic model that contains realistic topography
with a resolution of 9.25 km. The monthly wind stress field calculated from daily European Centre for Medium-Range Weather
Forecasting (ECMWF) Re-Analysis data is used as the forcing, and the integration is carried out for 20 days until the circulation
attains an almost steady state. In the case of November (a representative for the winter season from October to March), southward
currents of velocity 0.1–0.3 m s−1 occur along the bottom contours off the east of Sakhalin Island. The currents are mostly confined to the shelf (shallower
than 200 m) and extend as far south as the Hokkaido coast. In the July case (a representative for the summer season from April
to September), significant currents do not occur, even in the shallow shelves. The simulated southward current over the east
Sakhalin shelf appears to correspond to the near-shore branch of the East Sakhalin Current (ESC), which was observed with
the surface drifters. These seasonal variations simulated in our experiments are consistent with the observations of the ESC.
Dynamically, the simulated ESC is interpreted as the arrested topographic wave (ATW), which is the coastally trapped flow
driven by steady alongshore wind stress. The volume transport of the simulated ESC over the shelf reaches about 1.0 Sv (1
Sv = 106 m3s−1) in the winter season, which is determined by the integrated onshore Ekman transport in the direction from which shelf waves
propagate.
This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date. 相似文献
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