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81.
冯桂力  陈文选  刘文 《气象》1997,23(12):3-8
利用二维雹云模拟济南地区1996年7月24日出现的一次冰雹过程,模拟结果表明对雹云26个主要微物理过程双参数化较细致地描述对流过程的热,动力反馈和微物理特点2。根据计算结果,对该次冰雹过程进行了AgI催化试验,结果得出在云发展初期对暖底雹云实施高浓度的冰晶催化,可起到减少地面冰雹和增加地面降水的作用。  相似文献   
82.
何立富 《气象》1997,23(12):24-28
利用热带天气图,日本GMS卫星云图,ECMWF格点风场资料,对澳大利亚东南部持续性降水的两类主要天气过程,热带云涌-冷锋尾流气旋锋生过程和阻塞反气旋北侧回流降水过程进行了分析,从云型演变,环流形热,热带流场等方面揭示了澳大利亚东南部持续性降水天气过程的基本特征、为业务预报提供参考。  相似文献   
83.
There have been several claims, either explicit or by implication, either based on experimental evidence or on theoretical reasoning, that the wind stress is modified by the stage of development of the wind sea. However, the overall evidence is weak, because theories are still incomplete and because it is questionable whether the sea-state effect, which is of the order of 10%, can be separated from experimental noise, which is of the order of 20%. In this paper a rigorous statistical analysis of HEXMAX data is pursued in order to establish the significance of sea-state effects. It appears that the enhanced drag, especially at high winds, which has already been established by previous analyses, cannot be attributed to the effect of young waves. The analysis provides no clues for the actual mechanism, which could be related to breaking or shoaling waves. As the effect of sea-state on wind stress is much smaller than the experimental noise level, it is hard to detect. Nevertheless, HEXMAX seems to contain a wave effect that is at the edge of statistical significance. It is, however, not the wave age itself that influences the drag, but a parameter involving wave height.Because the HEXMAX evidence is only indicative, we conclude that the issue set out in this paper cannot be answered on the basis of the HEXMAX data alone. It is recommended that error analyses are also carried out for other relevant observational data sets and that new measurements with suppressed noise will be taken up.  相似文献   
84.
岩体结构统计均质区的划分   总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6  
本文介绍由Miller提出的基本概率统计理论的关联表分析,结合施密特投影图研究岩体统计均质区的划分方法。对该法进行了适当的修改,编写了相应的计算机程序。并对三峡永久船闸地区的岩体结构,进行了岩体结构统计均质区的划分,获得了良好的效果。  相似文献   
85.
Through a detailed study of sequence boundaries, it is concluded that sequence stratigraphy is an independent regional and transitional stratigraphic system between local lithostratigraphy and global chronostratigraphy. Therefore, a new tripartite stratigraphic classification scheme has been proposed. By combining organically the concept of sequence boundaries with the GSSP, it is suggested that the GSSP should be chosen in a conformale portion of a related sequence boundary, and the boundary established in light of this concept is defined as the Best Natural Boundary (BNB). The definition of the BNB points out the working area and stratigraphic level for the GSSP. By referring to a case study of the Permian Guadalupian/Lopingian boundary, the concept of the BNB has been elaborated in detail, and it is proposed that the BNB of the Guadalupian and the Lopingian lies between the Mesogondolella granti Zone and the Ctarkina postbitteri Zone, which is also the sequence chronostratigraphic boundary between th  相似文献   
86.
Erosion is a complex process consisting of many components such as surface runoff, impact of raindrops, wind forces, soil and rock mechanics, etc. Trying to integrate all these processes into a physical model seems to be hopeless. In order to understand the variety of natural shapes and patterns produced by erosion we present an integrated statistical approach. Our model is based on simple physical constraints for the separation of amalgamated particles (abrasion) and for the movement of loose particles (denudation) and on the laws of statistics. After some simplifications, we obtain a nonlinear system of partial differential equations which is solved using finite volume techniques. The model is suitable for the formation of different types of rill systems and the episodic behaviour of erosion processes, a kind of self-organized criticality. Besides effects of inhomogeneities, e.g. the formation of terraces can be investigated.  相似文献   
87.
胡绍康 《铀矿地质》1996,12(6):331-335
随着核电事业在我国的发展,对铀资源保证的要求将越来越迫切。这里所指的铀资源保证应包含数量和效益两层意思,而超大型铀矿床则能同时满足对这两方面的要求。因此,在我国寻找超大型铀矿床是一项刻不容缓的任务。为了确立找矿目标,作者尝试提出了一种将矿床产出地质特征和经济效益相结合的超大型铀矿床分类方案,共划分出3大类13个亚类。结合我国情况,作者认为在7个有远景的类型中,有3个(即Ⅰ-2、Ⅱ-1和Ⅲ-5)在我国最有突破的希望,特别是Ⅲ-5。最后,作者参考国外超大型铀矿床的找矿经验,对于加强我国对超大型铀矿床的探索提出了四点具体意见。  相似文献   
88.
In Smith (1986, J. Hydrol. 86, 27–43), a family of statistical distributions and estimators for extreme values based on a fixed number r > = 1 of the largest annual events are presented. The method of estimation was numerical maximum likelihood. In this paper, we consider the robust estimation of parameters in such families of distributions. The estimation technique, which is based on optimal B-robust estimates, will assign weights to each observation and give estimates of the parameters based on the data which are well modeled by the distribution. Thus, observations which are not consistent with the proposed distribution can be identified and the validity of the model can be assessed. The method is illustrated on Venice sea level data.  相似文献   
89.
对对流占优的三维溶质运移问题提出了分步广义迎风解法,首先利用N.N.Ya-nenko对水动力弥散方程分步求解的思想,将原来的一个定解问题分解为两个定解问题即对流定解问题和扩散定解问题,对对流定解问题采用广义迎风对偶单元均衡法求解,对扩散定解问题采用一般的Galerkin有限元法求解,不仅避免了用一般有限元法和有限差分法求解对流占优的地下水水质数学模型时常出现数值弥散和过量问题,而且避免了求节点速度这一步,节省运算步骤,对井点的浓度变化给出了更合适的求解方法。  相似文献   
90.
Introduction With the development of the seismological observation technique and deep-going of seismicdata application fields, especially the digitization of data in earthquake station networks, theimprovement of the precision, the data quantity increases as geometric order, which bringdifficulty to saving and transfering these data. To keep all information, seismic data, like medicalimages, should be compressed without error in many applications. In generally, traditionalcompression meth…  相似文献   
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