History matching with an ensemble Kalman filter and discrete cosine parameterization   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Behnam Jafarpour  Dennis B. McLaughlin 《Computational Geosciences》2008,12(2):227-244

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不同模式扰动方案在风暴尺度集合预报中的对比试验研究   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

刘畅  闵锦忠  冯宇轩  贲海荣  王世璋 《气象学报》2018,76(4):605-619

由于适用于中长期集合预报的模式扰动技术在风暴尺度集合预报系统中的影响并不明确,为探究不同模式扰动方案在风暴尺度集合预报中的效果,基于WRF模式设计了3组模式扰动方案:多物理扰动（MP）方案、随机物理倾向扰动（Stochastically Perturbed Parameterization Tendencies,SPPT）方案以及由MP方案与SPPT方案组合构建的一种新混合扰动（SPMP）方案。对2013年7月5—6日发生在江淮流域的一次强对流天气过程进行了数值模拟。结果表明:MP方案在积分前期的降水概率评分较高,对高层大气的扰动效果更为合理;SPPT方案主要作用于积分中后期,对大气低层及近地面的扰动效果最为理想,尤其是对于地面水汽场的模拟;SPMP方案能显著提高大气中高层各预报变量的离散度,降低均方根误差,提升集合成员的可信度,有效弥补降水预报评分在单独使用MP方案和SPPT方案不同积分时段的不足。在扰动水平传播方向上,SPMP方案的扰动形态主要受MP方案主导;垂直方向上,SPMP方案在低层的扰动形态与SPPT方案一致,在高层受MP方案控制。波谱能量分析表明3组方案的扰动能量随积分时间均有向大尺度传播的趋势,SPMP方案能有效补偿两种方案能量在各尺度的耗散。   相似文献   

大气粒子散射相函数的参数化方案比较及其改进     

刘琨  张峰  吴琨  周秀骥  张华  刘仁强 《气象学报》2016,74(5):784-795

大气粒子散射相函数的参数化是大气辐射传输参数化的重要组成部分。文中全面比较了大气粒子的HenyeyGreenstein(HG)方案和双Henyey-Greenstein(DHG)方案,并在四流球谐函数展开累加法中,应用这两种相函数参数化方案计算气溶胶、云、霾粒子的反射率、透射率或吸收率。该研究结果表明:HG方案无法表现相函数的后向峰值,因而其计算的大气粒子反射率和透射率精度较差;DHG方案能较好地表征相函数的整体特征,但是该方案计算的相函数易出现后向异常峰值或为负值,并导致计算得到的气溶胶、云、霾粒子的反射率和透射率精度甚至会低于HG方案。对DHG方案进行进一步研究,提出了改进的DHG方案(MDHG)。MDHG方案计算结果稳定,并能很好表征相函数的前向和后向峰值的特征,其计算的大气粒子的反射率和透射率精度也较高。因此,MDHG方案是一种理想的相函数参数化方案。  相似文献   

Nonlocal Turbulent Mixing Based on Convective Adjustment Concepts (Ntac)     

William H. Raymond 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》1999,92(2):263-291

A nonlocal turbulent mixing parameterization is introduced in this study and denoted by the acronym NTAC, which stands for Nonlocal parameterization of Turbulent mixing using convective Adjustment Concepts. NTAC uses the average value of quantities in the turbulent domain in much the same way that local convective adjustment schemes use the average potential temperature. Averages are determined in the region with non-convective turbulence using information from the two end layers (denoted by TLA, Two Layer Average), while all layers contribute to the average in regions with convective turbulence (denoted by CLA, Convective Layer Average). The NTAC parameterization estimates the mixing percentage and uses this percentage as a mixing coefficient. These percentages are determined from a simplified turbulent kinetic energy equation. The scheme is versatile, conservative, and when programmed efficiently the proposed parameterization is a computationally acceptable nonlocal procedure that can be used in many existing numerical weather prediction forecast models.Numerical weather forecast model simulations using the NTAC parameterization and traditional K-theory are compared against radiosonde data. The accuracy of the proposed NTAC parameterization is found to be competitive with K theory. The greatest improvement of the NTAC over K-theory occurs during the daytime and early nighttime hours when (dry) convective activity is high. Also, areal cloud coverage is increased by the NTAC parameterization. Our findings show that the greatest nonlocal vertical mixing occurs between the layer nearest the earth's surface and the remaining layers making up the planetary boundary layer.  相似文献   

辐射收支对降水数值预报的影响   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

尹宏  贾逸勤 《气象学报》2000,58(1):115-122

将辐射参数化子程序与中国科学院大气物理研究所降水有限区域模式结合 ,进行数值模拟 ,所得结果合理。辐射子程序能模拟并提供各高度及地面的辐射收支、温度、湿度日变化。对于大尺度降水过程 ,辐射使夜间降水量显著增加 ,是夜间降水多的原因之一。而辐射使白天降水有小量增加。  相似文献   

Optimizing and comparing gap-filling techniques using simulated NDVI time series from remotely sensed global data     

《International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation》2019

NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) time series usually suffer from remaining cloud presence, even after data pre-processing. To address this issue, numerous gap-filling (or reconstruction) techniques have been developed in the literature, although their comparison has mainly been local to regional, with only two global studies to date, and has led to sometimes contradictory results. This study builds on these different comparisons, by testing different parameterizations for five NDVI temporal profile reconstruction techniques, namely HANTS (Harmonic Analysis of Time Series), IDR (iterative Interpolation for Data Reconstruction), Savitzky-Golay, Asymmetric Gaussian and Double Logistic, and then comparing them as generally parameterized, and then with the best of the tested parameterizations. These comparisons show that the HANTS reconstruction technique provides lower errors in cloud prone areas, while the IDR method works best with shorter cloud covers. However, the remaining errors in cloud prone areas are still high, and there is room for new reconstruction techniques. Although these results are only applicable to the range of the tested parameterizations, these latter have been chosen within widely used configurations, and should provide interested users with a better understanding of the different methods and the best parameterization for their needs, as well as an estimate of the expected error in the reconstruction of NDVI time series.  相似文献   

陆面过程模式的研究进展简介   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

汪薇  张瑛 《气象与减灾研究》2010,33(3):1-6

陆面过程是影响大气环流和气候变化的基本物理、生化过程之一。根据陆面过程研究的发展进程,介绍了三代陆面过程模式的不同特点和发展历程,指出在未来陆面方案中,引入光合作用和碳循环,可以更加真实地反映土壤、地表、大气、生物圈相互作用。陆面过程模式发展应该着眼于综合并且动态考虑植被类型变化、光合作用、碳循环和水循环的真实水文生化模型建立,将有效增强对气候变化的研究,提高天气预报模式的准确率。  相似文献   

陕西省气象灾害灾情特征及年景评估          下载免费PDF全文

蔡新玲  雷向杰  王娜  王娟敏  胡国玲 《陕西气象》2011,(4):17-20

本文利用WRF模式对2011年7月3日成都地区的一次强雷暴伴强降水过程进行了数值模拟分析。通过采用不同的物理过程参数化方案的对比研究表明,物理过程对降水及雷暴的落区和强度非常重要,试验结果也表明,在成都这样紧邻青藏高原的特殊地形环境下进行WRF模式的模拟及应用也是可行的。  相似文献   

沙尘天气过程临界起沙因子的研究进展   总被引：6，自引：1，他引：5  

朱好  张宏升 《地球科学进展》2011,26(1):30-38

临界起沙摩阻风速u*t或临界起沙风速ut是土壤可蚀性的度量指标之一,是表征沙尘颗粒进入大气的重要因子,也是沙尘暴预报模块中最重要的参数之一.野外实验、模式参数化和统计理论是近年来确定临界起沙摩阻风速u*t或临界起沙风速ut的3种主要方法.利用不同方法获取u*t或ut的结果可以相互校验.野外实验的实测结果可为获取适用的起...  相似文献   

The energy-cycle analysis of the interactions between shallow and deep atmospheric convection     

《Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans》2013

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