Machine Learning Approach to Predict Sediment Load – A Case Study     

Hazi Md. Azamathulla  Aminuddin Ab. Ghani  Chun Kiat Chang  Zorkeflee Abu Hasan  Nor Azazi Zakaria 《洁净——土壤、空气、水》2010,38(10):969-976

In this study, a novel machine learning technique called the support vector machine (SVM) method is proposed as a new predictive model to predict sediment loads in three Malaysian rivers. The SVM is employed without any restriction to an extensive database compiled from measurements in the Muda, Langat, and Kurau rivers. The SVM technique demonstrated a superior performance compared to other traditional sediment‐load methods. The coefficient of determination, 0.958, and the mean square error, 0.0698, of the SVM method are higher than those of the traditional method. The performance of the SVM method demonstrates its predictive capability and the possibility of the generalization of the model to nonlinear problems for river engineering applications.  相似文献   

基于最小二乘支持向量机的城市桥梁震害预测模型研究     

肖行辉  高惠瑛  孙海  王俊杰? 《震灾防御技术》2016,11(1):93-99

针对地震中城市桥梁震害状态具有较强的非线性、复杂性的特点,采用了具有RBF核函数的最小二乘支持向量机(LS-SVM)算法。在大量收集我国地震中城市桥梁震害资料的基础上,将此算法引入桥梁的震害预测中,选取了地震烈度、上部结构、地基失效程度、支座类型、墩台高度、桥梁跨数和场地类别等因素作为模型的特征输入向量,建立了最小二乘支持向量机的桥梁震害预测模型。通过反复地样本训练及模型参数设置,仿真结果表明,该方法具有一定的准确度和可行性。基于最小二乘支持向量机的桥梁震害预测方法是一种可以用于地震中桥梁震害预测的良好方法。  相似文献   

Rapid uranium-series age screening of carbonates by laser ablation mass spectrometry     

《Quaternary Geochronology》2016

Uranium-series dating is a critical tool in quaternary geochronology, including paleoclimate work, archaeology and geomorphology. Laser ablation (LA) methods are not as precise as most isotope dilution methods, but can be used to generate calendar ages rapidly, expanding the range of dating tools that can be applied to late Pleistocene carbonates. Here, existing LA methods are revisited for corals (cold- and warm-water) and speleothems spanning the last 343 thousand years (ka). Measurement of the required isotopes (²³⁸U, ²³⁴U, ²³⁰Th and ²³²Th) is achieved by coupling a laser system to a multi-collector inductively-coupled-plasma mass spectrometer (MC-ICPMS) using a combination of a single central ion counter and an array of Faraday cups. Each sample analysis lasts for ∼4.3 min, and fifty samples can be measured in 12 h with an automated set up, after a day of sample preparation. The use of different standard materials and laser systems had no significant effect on method accuracy. Uncertainty on the measured (²³⁰Th/²³⁸U) activity ratios ranges from 5.4% to 7.6% for (²³⁰Th/²³⁸U) ratios equal to 0.7 and 0.1 respectively. Much of this uncertainty can be attributed to the heterogeneity of the standard material (²³⁰Th/²³⁸U) at the length scale of LA. A homogeneous standard material may therefore improve measurement uncertainty but is not a requirement for age-screening studies. The initial (²³⁴U/²³⁸U) of coral samples can be determined within ∼20‰, making it useful as a first indicator of open-system behaviour. For cold-water corals, success in determination of (²³²Th/²³⁸U) – which can affect final age accuracy – by LA depended strongly on sample heterogeneity. Age uncertainties (2 sigma) ranged from <0.8 ka at 0–10 ka, ∼1.5 ka at 20 ka to ∼15 ka at 125 ka. Thus, we have demonstrated that U-series dating by LA-MC-ICPMS can be usefully applied to a range of carbonate materials as a straightforward age-screening technique.  相似文献   

深海热液硫化物矿体3D瞬变电磁正演   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

李瑞雪  王鹤  席振铢  龙霞  侯海涛  刘愿愿  蒋欢 《地球物理学报》2016,59(12):4505-4512

深海热液硫化物矿体瞬变电磁的正演是考虑深海环境的全空间条件下三维体的涡流电磁响应.采用全空间矢量有限元法模拟计算深海热液硫化物矿的三维瞬变电磁响应,对硫化物矿体采用矩形单元模型剖分,应用Galerkin法推导有限元方程,先计算频率域响应,再通过Fourier反变换将其转换至时间域,得出深海热液硫化物矿矿体的瞬变电磁响应.并用双半空间模型的解析解检验了全空间矢量有限元法模拟计算算法和程序的正确性,最后按照等比例缩小电磁物理实验原则,比对数值计算和物理实验结果论证了全空间3D模型数值的正确性.结果表明:对于海水、矿体以及围岩复杂电磁边界,应用全空间矢量有限元法模拟计算深海热液硫化物矿瞬变电磁响应异常与物理模拟结果一致,而且计算方法简单精确,异常幅值明显,边界清晰.  相似文献   

基于各向异性分析的微地震震源矢量场重建和裂缝解释   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0       下载免费PDF全文

宋维琪  徐奔奔  喻志超  秦晅  张宇 《地球物理学报》2015,58(2):656-663

针对微地震裂缝解释的复杂性,从震源矢量场的重建开始研究,在研究VTI介质速度模型各向异性条件下的走时和透射系数的变化特征基础上,形成了各向异性条件下的群、相速度及透射系数的计算方法.针对多级检波器水平分量朝向的多向性特点,提出了多级检波器水平分量的偏振分析方法,得到了完整的水平特征矢量,克服了单级检波器水平分量偏振分析构建特征矢量信息不全的问题,形成了高精度微地震事件定位方法,实现各向异性VTI介质速度模型的高斯束微地震格林函数正演模拟.利用格林函数模拟场、观测记录场,从构建完整场研究入手,重建震源矢量场.根据重建的震源矢量场,提出了裂缝解释的全新的系列方法,包括单条裂缝、裂缝网络的解释方法.通过实际资料的测试分析,验证了研究技术的实用性.  相似文献   

基于PCA-GASVM的晋陕甘宁地区生态环境评价   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

陈莉 《干旱区地理》2015,38(6):1262-1269

我国新型城镇化进程中产生较严重的生态环境问题。选取晋陕甘宁地区为研究对象,从城镇生态压力、状态、响应3个方面构建了生态环境的评价指标体系,并通过2013年中国统计年鉴整理到相关数据,利用PCA-GA-SVM对晋陕甘宁地区生态环境进行评价。结果表明:PCA-GASVM生态环境评价比GASVM评价具有更高的准确率,而且PCA-GASVM比GASVM评价收敛速度更快。甘肃、宁夏的自然保护区占辖区面积比重指标排名比山西、陕西两个省名次靠前,从森林覆盖率分析只有陕西位于第11位,山西、甘肃、宁夏森林覆盖率均位于后20名;从SO₂排放量、烟尘(粉尘)排放量、工业废弃物产生量、废水排放量上分析,在晋陕甘宁地区中,宁夏最优,甘肃次之,陕西、山西排放很严重。晋陕甘宁地区生态环境保护应在"新常态"下要有"新状态",将市场机制与政府的补贴、税收等政策宏观调控相结合,严守生态红线,发展生态经济绿色科技、清洁生产,减少工业废弃物排放,建立环保交易市场,推行污染第三方治理,完善生态补偿制度,走集约、智能、绿色、低碳的新型城镇化道路。  相似文献   

Geometric Alignments of the Subgrid-Scale Force in the Atmospheric Boundary Layer   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Chad W. Higgins  Charles Meneveau  Marc B. Parlange 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2009,132(1):1-9

In recent years field experiments have been undertaken in the lower atmosphere to perform a priori tests of subgrid-scale (SGS) models for large-eddy simulations (LES). The experimental arrangements and data collected have facilitated studies of variables such as the filtered strain rate, SGS stress and dissipation, and the eddy viscosity coefficient. However, the experimental set-ups did not permit analysis of the divergence of the SGS stress (the SGS force vector), which is the term that enters directly in the LES momentum balance equations. Data from a field experiment (SGS2002) in the west desert of Utah, allows the calculation of the SGS force due to the unique 4 × 4 sonic anemometer array. The vector alignment of the SGS force is investigated under a range of atmospheric stabilities. The eddy viscosity model is likely aligned with the measured SGS force under near-neutral and unstable conditions, while its performance is unsatisfactory under stable conditions.  相似文献   

基于交叉验证的多模式超级集合预报方法研究   总被引：7，自引：1，他引：6  

陈超辉  李崇银  谭言科  王铁 《气象学报》2010,68(4):464-476

利用AREM、MM5和WRF 3个中尺度有限区域模式,通过选取对短期天气预报影响颇大的积云参数化方案和边界层方案构成15个集合预报成员,以2003年7月汛期天气为研究对象,分别采用相关加权、多元线性回归以及支持向量机回归与"交叉验证"相结合的方法,开展有限区域模式的多模式短期超级集合预报研究.文中主要对上述3种方法的24 h降水和700 hPa流场的超级集合预报结果与多模式集合平均预报结果以及T213模式结果进行了对比分析,结果表明:(1)对于24 h降水,支持向量机回归方法的超级集合预报得到的均方根误差比多模式集合平均小,各降水临界值的TS异常评分比多模式集合平均高;并且它也较相关加权法和多元线性回归的超级集合预报效果好.(2)对于700 hPa流场,对比分析各预报结果经过向量EOF分析得到的风场第1模态和第2模态表明,多模式集合平均主要使风场强度变小,多元线性回归和支持向量机回归的超级集合预报可以较好地刻画风场的强度分布,其中支持向量机回归的超级集合预报对风场强度及其区域分布的预报效果最好.(3)对于700 hPa流场,超级集合预报明显优于同期T213模式预报,从相同的预报均方根误差意义看,支持向量机回归的超级集合预报至少较T213模式预报能提前12 h.  相似文献   

Computation of the safety factor for slope stability using discontinuous deformation analysis and the vector sum method     

《Computers and Geotechnics》2017

This study introduces the vector sum method into discontinuum-based methods by considering the sliding vector and the stress state of the discrete block system. The sliding direction computation and force projection in the new approach are detailed, and the safety factor is solved by explicit equations. The vector sum method is implemented in the discontinuous deformation analysis (DDA) program and is used to compute the safety factors for two numerical examples. A comparison of the solutions obtained with the theoretical analysis and limit equilibrium analysis demonstrates that the new method is suitable for calculating the safety factor of a slope.  相似文献   

Pioneering patterns of ballast treatment in the emerging era of marine vector management     

《Marine Policy》2017

Human-mediated transfer and invasions of organisms have permanently altered distribution patterns on a global scale. In response to growing numbers and impacts of invasions, global-scale vector management is advancing to curtail unintentional and unwanted species re-distributions. In marine systems, ocean-going ships have been the major dispersal mechanism across biogeographic barriers, and maritime vector management has become a priority global initiative, including national regulations and recent ratification of an international convention to manage ballast water. This paper provides the first analysis of the pioneering patterns of ballast water treatment systems (BWTS) on board commercial ships, using vessel arrivals to the United States as a model system. Over an opening 28-month period, >200 unique vessels arriving to the U.S. reported BWTS operations, using 58 different systems to treat 4.42 million m³ of discharged ballast water. Although this volume represents <2% of all ballast water discharged in the U.S. per month during this period, there was substantial growth in treated ballast discharge throughout this time. Through 2015, ‘Filtration+UV’ systems were the most common BWTS type installed across all ship types. Currently, BWTSs occur on higher numbers of tankers and bulkers, but a higher proportion of passenger vessels, than other ship types. If BWTSs meet the required discharge standards as intended, this will cause a steep reduction in total discharge of organisms ≥50 µm compared to current practices. While several hurdles in fleet-wide BWTS adoption remain, including the timeline for BWTS installation across the global fleet, we are at a significant milestone in the history and evolution of global shipping, which is undergoing wholesale transition to a new and more effective global-scale ballast vector management strategy.  相似文献