多元回归模型在坝基渗透稳定性预测中的应用   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

王初生  唐辉明  杨裕云 《华东地质学院学报》2003,26(4):367-370

在坝的失事事故中，渗透破坏占了30～40％。坝基渗流长期观测资料是病险土石坝渗透稳定性预测的主要依据。多元回归模型是定量处理观测数据的有力工具。本文根据坝基水文地质特征的差异性以及渗流场的非平面性，将多元回归数学模型应用于坝基渗透稳定性预测中，给出了在计算机上实现的计算算例。通过对陆浑水库的研究分析，对坝基渗透稳定现状及变化趋势的有了进一步认识，成功地解决了影响水库正常运行的坝基渗流问题，为水库投入正常高水位运行提供了详实的依据。其研究成果与其它方法结论一致，从而证明多元回归模型具有较强的实用性。  相似文献   

江苏高邮地震台地磁变化与地震关系的初探   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：1  

赵卫红  蒋延林  赵永红  王福才  赵峰  张骞  李凤如 《山西地震》2003,(4):36-39

分析了江苏高邮地磁台1980年至2002年地磁垂直分量日变幅逐日比值的高值异常与江苏及邻区ML5．0以上地震之间的关系，发现它们之间有良好的对应关系，通过分析地磁垂直分量谐波幅度的逐日比，提出了适用于高邮地磁台的地震分析预报参数，并对其内检预报效能进行了评价。  相似文献   

曲线拟合法在地电场资料处理中的应用          下载免费PDF全文

王兰炜  赵家骝  席继楼  王燕琼 《地震工程学报》2003,25(2):131-135

地电场和电阻率同场地观测时，电阻率观测会干扰地电场的观测数据发生大幅度变化。本主要探讨通过曲线拟合的方法消除这种干扰及其它随机干扰，并给出了对实际观测数据处理的结果。  相似文献   

Methodology for construction, calibration and validation of a national hydrological model for Denmark   总被引：13，自引：0，他引：13  

Hans Jrgen Henriksen  Lars Troldborg  Per Nyegaard  Torben Obel Sonnenborg  Jens Christian Refsgaard  Bjarne Madsen 《Journal of Hydrology》2003,280(1-4):52-71

An integrated groundwater/surface water hydrological model with a 1 km² grid has been constructed for Denmark covering 43,000 km². The model is composed of a relatively simple root zone component for estimating the net precipitation, a comprehensive three-dimensional groundwater component for estimating recharge to and hydraulic heads in different geological layers, and a river component for streamflow routing and calculating stream–aquifer interaction. The model was constructed on the basis of the MIKE SHE code and by utilising comprehensive national databases on geology, soil, topography, river systems, climate and hydrology. The present paper describes the modelling process for the 7330 km² island of Sjælland with emphasis on the problems experienced in combining the classical paradigms of groundwater modelling, such as inverse modelling of steady-state conditions, and catchment modelling, focussing on dynamic conditions and discharge simulation. Three model versions with different assumptions on input data and parameter values were required until the performance of the final, according to pre-defined accuracy criteria, model was evaluated as being satisfactory. The paper highlights the methodological issues related to establishment of performance criteria, parameterisation and assessment of parameter values from field data, calibration and validation test schemes. Most of the parameter values were assessed directly from field data, while about 10 ‘free’ parameters were subject to calibration using a combination of inverse steady-state groundwater modelling and manual trial-and-error dynamic groundwater/surface water modelling. Emphasising the importance of tests against independent data, the validation schemes included combinations of split-sample tests (another period) and proxy-basin tests (another area).  相似文献   

Scaling effects on modeled surface energy-balance components using the NOAH-OSU land surface model   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

V. Sridhar  Ronald L. Elliott  Fei Chen 《Journal of Hydrology》2003,280(1-4):105-123

As surface exchange processes are highly non-linear and heterogeneous in space and time, it is important to know the appropriate scale for the reasonable prediction of these exchange processes. For example, the explicit representation of surface variability has been vital in predicting mesoscale weather events such as late-afternoon thunderstorms initiated by latent heat exchanges in mid-latitude regions of the continental United States. This study was undertaken to examine the effects of different spatial scales of input data on modeled fluxes, so as to better understand the resolution needed for accurate modeling. A statistical procedure was followed to select two cells from the Southern Great Plains 1997 hydrology experiment region, each 20 km×20 km, representing the most homogeneous and the most heterogeneous surface conditions (based on soil and vegetation) within the study region. The NOAH-OSU (Oregon State University) Land Surface Model (LSM) was employed to estimate surface energy fluxes. Three scales of study (200 m, 2 and 20 km) were considered in order to investigate the impacts of the aggregation of input data, especially soil and vegetation inputs, on the model output. Model results of net radiation and latent, sensible and ground heat fluxes were compared for the three scales. For the heterogeneous area, the model output at the 20-km resolution showed some differences when compared with the 200-m and 2-km resolutions. This was more pronounced in latent heat (12% decrease), sensible heat (22% increase), and ground heat flux (44% increase) estimation than in net radiation. The scaling effects were much less for the relatively homogeneous land area with 5% increase in sensible heat and 4% decrease in ground heat flux estimation. All of the model outputs for the 2- and 20-km resolutions were in close agreement. The results suggested that, for this study region, soils and vegetation input resolution of about 2 km should be chosen for realistic modeling of surface exchange processes. This resolution was sufficient to capture the effects of sub-grid scale heterogeneity, while avoiding the data and computational difficulties associated with higher spatial resolutions.  相似文献   

路基施工沉降观测精度要求及数据处理     

蒋玉明  胡伍生  张志伟 《现代测绘》2003,26(1):17-18,23

本文通过对路基施工沉降观测的精度分析,提出了路基施工沉降观测的精度要求；根据路基施工沉降观测的特点，提出了相应的观测措施及数据处理方法。  相似文献   

无验潮模式下的GPS水下地形测量技术   总被引：1，自引：2，他引：1  

马小计  何义斌  赵建虎 《测绘科学》2003,28(2):29-30,34

传统的水下地形测量模式定型于利用GPS测定水底点的平面位置,利用测深仪测定水底点的深度,附之以瞬时潮位资料,获得点位的高程。这种模式在上述条件具备的情况下,可取得完满的结果。但当验潮条件不具备时,该模式将不能获得测点的高程。为了弥补这一缺陷,简化工作流程,提高水下地形测量的精度,本文提出了一种无验潮模式下的水下地形测量思想,该思想不用专门测定潮位,而直接利用GPS的RTK测量技术,辅之以姿态测量和补偿,从而获得高精度的水底点高程。该方法被验证是正确的,希望进一步推广应用。  相似文献   

自动变形监测系统在地铁结构变形监测中的应用   总被引：11，自引：2，他引：11  

包欢徐忠阳  张良琚 《测绘学院学报》2003,20(2):103-105

介绍了以TCA自动化全站仪为基础组成的自动变形监测系统和广州地铁“非地铁施工时地铁结构变形监测”项目的现场方案及优化设计。实际应用表明，该系统稳定可靠，可以胜任地铁结构变形监测的工作。  相似文献   

对地观测小卫星的相位噪声分析与控制     

胡国军  李世忠吕源 张继年 《测绘学院学报》2003,20(3):157-160

结合传输型对地观测小卫星一体化设计的特点，介绍了一种用于对地观测小卫星系统的锁相接收机的-构成及原理，并对系统的相位噪声性能进行了详尽的分析，提出了对其相位噪声进行技术控制的方法。通过文中的分析与研究，消除了由于对地观测小卫星相位噪声所引起的系统误码率的恶化，提高了系统的可靠性，为下一步对地观测小卫星的发展与应用打下了良好的技术基础。  相似文献   

陕西省2002年气候影响评价   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

肖科丽  雷向杰  田武文 《山西气象》2003,(3):35-38

通过对自动观测站与人工观测站各气象要素资料的对比分析，找出自动站观测资料与人工观测资料之间的差异，为自动站沿续观测资料的使用提供依据。  相似文献