An essay on the interactions between climate and society     

Michael H  GLANTZ  Qian YE 《Frontiers of Earth Science》2008,2(3):356-363

There has been increasing concern about the lack of involvement by social scientists and humanists in a global change program, although many social scientists are already directly involved in various aspects of research on environmental change, and their research interests are clearly central to a global change research agenda. Based on a historical review, the role of social science disciplines as well as social science institutes in an emerging multidecadal global change program is discussed. Both “plan of action” and “plan of inaction” are suggested to avoid potential pitfalls due to the rush development of a social science program into the existing global climate change problem.  相似文献   

Climate changing characteristics of Zhangye City in Heihe River basin during 1968–2005     

Mingji Li  Yuxia Ma  Peiji Shi 《Frontiers of Earth Science》2008,2(2):243-248

At present, researches on climate change of the Heihe River basin mainly focus on the relationship between basin climate change and regional water resources, regional desertification and dynamic climatic seasons of sandstorm, but less on climate change of oasis region, where there are more intense and frequent human activities. Based on data of precipitation, temperature, strong wind and dust events frequencies obtained from the six meteorological stations of Zhangye region in Heihe River basin, the features of climate change during 1968–2005 were carefully studied. Results show that the regional temperature rise rate exceeded the average level of China. The annual precipitation changed a little, but the precipitation had a slowly increasing trend in spring and winter. Frequencies of strong wind and sandstorm days show obviously descending trends, which had a close correlation with the regional temperature rise and the precipitation increase in spring and winter. Meanwhile, further human economic activities and exploitations to the oasis in the inland valley of arid regions also affected the climate change of this region, which has a sensitive and fragile eco-environment. __________ Translated from Journal of Desert Research, 2007, 27(6): 1048–1054 [译自: 中国沙漠]  相似文献   

Holocene climate reconstructions of Ulungur Lake (Xinjiang,China) inferred from ostracod species assemblages and stable isotopes     

Qingfeng JIANG  Ji SHEN  Xingqi LIU  Enlou ZHANG 《Frontiers of Earth Science》2008,2(1):31-40

In this paper, the data on the paleoclimatic and paleoenvironmental changes during the Holocene are presented and a discussion is made on a 225-cm-long sediment core from Ulungur Lake, located in Northwest China. The chronology is constructed from six AMS radiocarbon dates on the bulk organic matter. On the basis of the analysis of ostracod assemblages and the shell stable isotopes, the core is divided into three paleoclimatic and paleoenvironmental evolution stages: 9 985–5 250 cal.aB.P. stage is the wettest phase of the core section. The climate changed from moderate-dry to cool-wet, and then to warm-wet in turn, and the lake level rose accordingly, showing the characteristic of a high lake level. 5 250–1 255 cal.aB.P. stage was the driest phase of the core sediment. The climate turned from the early warm-dry to the late warm-wet and the lake level fell and rose again. Finally, the 1 255 cal.aB.P. stage was the medium stage of the section. The temperature was low and then increased after the 1920s and the climate was dry. The whole climatic and environmental evolution records of Lake Ulungur were not only in agreement with the sporopollen record of the same core but also in agreement with the record of environmental changes of adjacent areas. It responded to regional environmental changes and global abrupt climate events, following the westerly climate change mode on 100-year-scale, primarily with cold-wet and warmdry characteristics. __________ Translated from Quaternary Sciences, 2007, 27(3):382–391 [译自:第四纪研究]  相似文献   

Accelerating ground warming in the Canadian Prairie provinces: Is it a result of global warming?     

Jacek A. Majorowicz 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1996,147(1):1-24

The results of precision temperature logs made to depths of several hundred meters in some 80 wells in Western Canada, most of which are located in the Prairie Provinces, show evidence of warming at the ground surface in the 0.5 K to 3.5 K range (average=2.2±0.7 K, for 80 unevenly distributed sites). Modeling shows that this warming mostly pertains to this century and it has been most substantal in the last four decades if the ramp function of the linear increase of surface temperature is assumed. Using the step function model's increase of surface temperature (land clearing, forest fires, etc.) the calculated onset of warming would pertain mostly to the last two decades. Contour maps of ground temperatures currently and previously and a contour map of the ground warming magnitude dilineate a large regional character of the ground temperature change at the southern marigin of permafrost for the large area of the Prairie Provinces. In many cases however, the magnitude of ground warming is much larger than the magnitude of air warming. This is especially evident for the northern areas of Alberta in the boreal forest ecoprovince. The magnitude of ground warming is equal to the magnitude of surface air warming in southern Alberta in the grassland and aspen parkland ecoprovinces. The analysis of the temperature depth response to the surface warming from well data shows the integrated effect of surface air warming together with the increases in ground temperature due to natural terrain effects and other anthropogenical changes to the surface of the earth.  相似文献   

Ostracode carbonate δ18O- and δ13C-signature of hydrological and climatic changes affecting Lake Neuchâtel,Switzerland, since the latest Pleistocene     

Antje Schwalb  Guy S. Lister  Kerry Kelts 《Journal of Paleolimnology》1994,11(1):3-17

Floating and grounded peat plateaus were studied in fens in the Yukon Territory (Canada). The peat deposit may be over 4 m thick and consists of a lower bed of aquatic peat overlain by humic fen peat, mesic fen peat and woody peat. Permafrost in the grounded peat plateaus is older than the 1200 year old White River Ash, whereas permafrost in the floating peat plateau is younger.Peat accumulation rates since 1200 years B.P. were greater in the fens (85–100 cm) than on the surface of the peat plateaus (25–55 cm). Where the peat plateau is free-floating, it will persist until the climate changes, causing the icy core to thaw. Where the peat plateau is frozen to the mineral substrate, it slowly drowns since the fen peat accumulates faster than the woody peat. This drowning results in degradation of the landform independently of the climate. Only degradation of floating peat plateaus can be used to identify climatic changes.This publication is the first paper in a series of papers presented at the session on Past Climatic Change and the Development of Peatlands at the ASLO and SWS Meetings in Edmonton, Canada, May 30–June 3, 1993. Dr. P. Kuhry and Dr S. C. Zoltai are serving as Guest Editors.  相似文献   

未来气候变化对云南柠檬气候适宜性的影响     

范丹华  杨弘伟  邵晨扬  王鹏云  朱勇 《气象科技》2021,49(6):968-974

气候变化影响柠檬生长、产量和品质，本文利用云南省125个国家气象站1981—2018年,月平均气温、月平均降水量、月日照时数，进行基准年代下云南柠檬气候适宜性分区；采用RCP2.6、RCP4.5、RCP8.5气候情景模式，研究2021—2030年、2031—2040年、2041—2050年云南柠檬气候适宜区的变化，探讨未来气候变化背景下，云南柠檬气候适宜性变化，以期对柠檬产业布局、规划、引种提供科学的指导。结果表明：21世纪中叶，RCP2.6情景下柠檬最适宜种植区增加了3成左右，RCP4.5情景下柠檬最适宜种植区增加了5成左右，RCP8.5情景下柠檬最适宜种植区增加了9成左右。但由于受降水因子的限制，中度适宜区到2041—2050年开始缩减，总的可适宜种植区（高度适宜区+中度适宜区）基本趋于稳定，这将给柠檬在云南的种植发展提供广阔空间。  相似文献   

基于FPN Res-Unet的高分辨率遥感影像建筑物变化检测     

王明常  朱春宇  陈学业  王凤艳  李婷婷  张海明  韩有文 《吉林大学学报(地球科学版)》2021,51(1):296-306

针对城市土地资源变化检测工作繁杂、工作量大、自动化程度低等问题，本文提出一种基于深度学习模型的高分辨率遥感影像建筑物变化检测方法，将语义分割的思想引入到遥感变化检测。基于残差结构特征较卷积层提取性能更优和特征金字塔网络多尺度预测的特点，将残差结构和特征金字塔网络融合到Unet模型中，建立FPN Res-Unet模型。该模型以Unet为基础，引入ResNet18的残差结构作为编码路径特征提取层，在每次卷积后使用边界填充，使得输入图像和输出图像尺寸一致；在解码路径每级上采样过程中，拓展支路径将特征金字塔网络融合到模型的网络主干中，将残差结构、Unet及特征金字塔网络的优点相互融合，增强了Unet的特征提取，弥补了语义分割网络对小目标检测的欠缺；在获取深层语义信息的同时关注细节信息，提高建筑物变化检测精度。实验表明，该方法在所用数据集，准确率、召回率、F₁ 3种指标均达到90%以上。  相似文献   

碳中和目标下关键矿产在清洁能源转型中的作用、供需分析及其建议          下载免费PDF全文

王欢  马冰  贾凌霄  于洋  胡嘉修  王为 《中国地质》2021,48(6):1720-1733

在"碳中和"目标的驱动下，全球能源系统向清洁化、低碳化甚至无碳化发展已是大势所趋。针对向清洁能源转型的需求，采用了统计对比、分类汇总、综合分析等方法，分析研究了关键矿产在电池、电网、低碳发电和氢能等行业中的作用和需求。结合当前关键矿产产量的地理集中度高、项目开发周期长、资源质量下降等矿产供应和投资计划不能满足清洁能源转型的需求等问题，提出确保关键矿产多样性供应，推动价值链各环节的技术创新，扩大回收利用，增强供应链弹性和市场透明度，将更高的环境、社会和治理标准纳入主流程及加强生产者和消费者之间的国际合作等建议。  相似文献   

利用主成分分析改善土地利用变化的遥感监测精度——以珠江三角洲城市用地扩张为例   总被引：41，自引：7，他引：34  

黎夏  叶嘉安 《遥感学报》1997,1(4):282-289

近年来,珠江三角洲由于经济的快速发展,城市用地急剧增加,利用多时相的遥感图,可以定量地监测这种城市化的现象。但理,由一般的遥感动态监测方法所得的结果往往夸大变化的程度,以及获得一些不合理的结论．该文提出主成分分析的方法来改善遥感动态监测的精度。将该方法应用应用于珠江三角洲发展最快的东莞市,获得了较满意的结果。  相似文献   

Global climatic change – the latest scientific understanding     

Bruce A. Callander 《GeoJournal》1997,42(1):55-63

IPCCs statement in its 1995 report (IPCC 1996) that a human influence was discernible in global climate has been widely quoted but often misunderstood. The character of the evidence underpinning this detection statement is explained so that its strengths and weaknesses can be better understood and the subtleties of its message better appreciated. To demonstrate the close linkage between the government-approved summary and the underlying chapters of the IPCC report the detailed evolution of the detection statement from first draft through to the form finally approved by the IPCC is described.  相似文献