宁镇地区地质灾害预报模型——以镇江润州区为例     

谢金元  洪斌  程远金 《江苏地质》2019,43(2):307-314

宁镇地区是长江中下游地质灾害最严重的地区之一。镇江润州区虽然仅是宁镇地区的一个局部区域,但其气候和地质环境特征具有典型意义,所提出的地质灾害气象预警预报模型同样适用于整个宁镇地区,对长江中下游地区亦有借鉴作用。气候环境、降雨尤其是连续降雨或强降雨是诱发地质灾害的重要因素。润州区地质灾害主要与梅雨期总降雨量有关,其次与台汛期台风带来的降雨量有关,而与台汛期总降雨量无关。地质灾害预测预警方程应针对不同时期采用不同的预警模型：非梅雨期的预警方程采用预报日降雨量结合前5日降水之和的综合模型,梅雨期的预警方程采用梅雨期降雨总量模型。提出地质灾害气象预报预警等级应根据《国家突发公共事件总体应急预案》将等级统一划分为4级。该模型可作为完善我国现有地质灾害气象预警预报系统的参考。  相似文献   

我国城市地下空间规划现状、问题与对策     

彭芳乐  乔永康  程光华  朱合华 《地学前缘》2019,26(3):57-68

地下空间规划是城市地下空间开发利用有序开展的重要保障。随着我国轨道交通建设的全面展开以及相关政策的陆续出台,我国城市地下空间开发利用必将迎来更大的发展。城市地下空间规划也在近年越来越得到重视。从目前各城市的地下空间规划实践来看,我国城市地下空间规划的技术体系已基本成型,但其中仍然存在着各种各样的问题。在摸清我国城市地下空间规划编制现状和实施效果的基础上,掌握我国城市地下空间规划所面临的问题,并结合未来地下空间发展趋势提出我国城市地下空间规划解决问题的对策,有助于城市地下空间规划理论和方法进一步完善,更好地保障我国城市地下空间事业的可持续发展。  相似文献   

FLAC3D在复杂工程条件下的应用     

崔亮  李连营  马乐民 《岩土工程技术》2019,(2):79-83

利用建筑垃圾堆山造景是现代城市的一个新方向。但由于堆山工程占地范围大,荷载大,往往会产生一系列的工程地质问题,在软土地区这个问题更为突出。为使堆山工程能顺利进行,必须对地基进行一定的处理,而常规计算只能选择典型剖面或者地段进行局部分析,不能反映真实的三维影响特征,但数值分析可以有效解决这一问题。利用有限差分软件FLAC3D,对天津某堆山工程进行分析,为优化地基处理方案提供有力依据。  相似文献   

袖阀管注浆在人工填土暗挖施工中的应用     

夏向东  张丹 《岩土工程技术》2019,(4):218-221

阜石路分洪暗涵某暗挖段,浅涵暗挖洞身大部位于人工填土内,部分区域洞底人工填土厚度仍达2m。人工填土松散,自稳能力差,易发生塌落现象,不易成洞,施工难度大。为避免暗挖施工期间人工填土产生安全隐患并减少后期隧道变形,采用了袖阀管注浆技术对填土地层进行注浆加固,以确保工程施工安全及隧道工程质量&根据工程实施效果可见,袖阀管注浆加固对在人工填土中进行暗挖隧道开挖的沉降、变形控制的效果较好。  相似文献   

基于数学形态学的位场数据边缘增强方法     

张建民  胡英飒  曾昭发  杜威  张领  槐楠  胡志鹏 《吉林大学学报(地球科学版)》2019,49(3):845-856

位场数据边缘增强对于地质构造研究和矿床勘查具有重要意义。现有的边缘增强方法多数基于位场数据的导数构建,往往存在对噪声敏感的缺点,且处理结果中常有虚假边界的出现。本文基于数学形态学良好的形状分析和噪声压制性能,通过数学形态学基本算子的组合叠加,提出了一种新的位场数据边缘增强方法。该方法容易实现,且不需要计算位场数据的水平和垂向导数。板状体模型试验结果表明,该方法能有效地对重力异常和化极后的磁异常数据进行边缘增强。针对三维模型试验中正负异常同时存在的情况,相比以往几种方法,该方法输出的边缘更清晰且没有额外边缘的产生,并表现出更强的抗噪能力。最后将该方法和以往几种方法应用到老挝万象地区实际重力异常数据的处理中,结果显示该方法刻画出的边缘更加连续清晰;同时结合以往地质资料,推断了成矿的有利部位。  相似文献   

Height prediction of water flowing fractured zones based on BP artificial neural network     

YANG Liu  WEN Xue-ru  WU Xiao-li  PEI Li-xin  YUE Chen  LIU Bing  GUO Si-jia 《地下水科学与工程》2019,(4):354-359

Factures caused by deformation and destruction of bedrocks over coal seams can easily lead to water flooding(inrush)in mines,a threat to safety production.Fractures with high hydraulic conductivity are good watercourses as well as passages for inrush in mines and tunnels.An accurate height prediction of water flowing fractured zones is a key issue in today's mine water prevention and control.The theory of leveraging BP artificial neural network in height prediction of water flowing fractured zones is analysed and applied in Qianjiaying Mine as an example in this paper.Per the comparison with traditional calculation results,the BP artificial neural network better reflects the geological conditions of the research mine areas and produces more objective,accurate and reasonable results,which can be applied to predict the height of water flowing fractured zones.  相似文献   

卫星面降水估计人工神经网络方法   总被引：9，自引：1，他引：8  

师春香  卢乃锰  张文建 《气候与环境研究》2001,6(4):467-472

介绍了人工神经网络原理和卫星云图估计降水的原理.从GMS红外卫星云图资料中抽取12个降水云图特征量,构造了网络结构为12-98-7的降水估计人工神经网络模型,并用1993年的小时地面雨量资料和GMS数字云图资料对神经网络模型进行训练,用1992和1994年资料对该神经网络模型分别进行测试.在日面降水估计试验中,地面雨量计值和卫星估计降水之间的相关系数分别为0.94和0.97,相对误差分别为41%和32%.  相似文献   

2007—2019年山东省短时强降水时空分布特征          下载免费PDF全文

赵海军  曹洁  潘玲  王庆华  曹张驰  毛国荣 《海洋气象学报》2021,41(2):149-155

选用山东 123 个国家级地面气象观测站 2007—2019 年地面逐小时降水资料,分析短时强降水分布特征,主要结论如下：1）其间共有 695 个短时强降水日、3 337 个短时强降水时次和 6 257 个短时强降水样本,基于排序法确定山东省极端短时强降水间值为 71.2 mm • h-1,鲁东南地区间值最高,鲁中地区间值最低。2）各站年均发生 3.9 次短时强降水天气,鲁东南地区短时强降水和极端短时强降水发生频次最多,半岛地区短时强降水发生最少,鲁西南地区极端短时强降水发生最少。3）短时强降水集中出现在 6 月中旬至 8 月下旬,又以 8 月上旬最多。4）日变化显著,呈现典型 “双峰” 特征,主要集中在午后至傍晚,其次是后半夜;6 月中旬至 8 月下旬傍晚和后半夜发生短时强降水的可能性大,需重点关注。  相似文献   

Long-term hydrology and aquatic biogeochemistry data from H. J. Andrews Experimental Forest,Cascade Mountains,Oregon     

Sherri L. Johnson  Don Henshaw  Greg Downing  Steve Wondzell  Mark Schulze  Adam Kennedy  Greg Cohn  Stephanie A. Schmidt  Julia A. Jones 《水文研究》2021,35(5):e14187

The H. J. Andrews Experimental Forest (HJA) encompasses the 6400 ha Lookout Creek watershed in western Oregon, USA. Hydrologic, chemistry and precipitation data have been collected, curated, and archived for up to 70 years. The HJA was established in 1948 to study the effects of harvest of old-growth conifer forest and logging-road construction on water quality, quantity and vegetation succession. Over time, research questions have expanded to include terrestrial and aquatic species, communities and ecosystem dynamics. There are nine small experimental watersheds and 10 gaging stations in the HJA, including both reference and experimentally treated watersheds. Gaged watershed areas range from 8.5 to 6242 ha. All gaging stations record stage height, water conductivity, water temperature and above-stream air temperature. At nine of the gage sites, flow-proportional water samples are collected and composited over 3-week intervals for chemical analysis. Analysis of stream and precipitation chemistry began in 1968. Analytes include dissolved and particulate species of nitrogen and phosphorus, dissolved organic carbon, pH, specific conductance, suspended sediment, alkalinity, and major cations and anions. Supporting climate measurements began in the 1950s in association with the first small watershed experiments. Over time, and following the initiation of the Long Term Ecological Research (LTER) grant in 1980, infrastructure expanded to include a set of benchmark and secondary meteorological stations located in clearings spanning the elevation range within the Lookout Creek watershed, as well as a large number of forest understory temperature stations. Extensive metadata on sensor configurations, changes in methods over time, sensor accuracy and precision, and data quality control flags are associated with the HJA data.  相似文献   

Cover crops and precipitation influence soluble reactive phosphorus losses via tile drain discharge in an agricultural watershed     

Matt T. Trentman  Jennifer L. Tank  Todd V. Royer  Shannon L. Speir  Ursula H. Mahl  Lienne R. Sethna 《水文研究》2020,34(23):4446-4458

Subsurface tile drainage speeds water removal from agricultural fields that are historically prone to flooding. While managed drainage systems improve crop yields, they can also contribute tothe eutrophication of downstream ecosystems, as tile-drained systems are conduits for nutrients to adjacent waterways. The changing climate of the Midwestern US has already altered precipitation regimes which will likely continue into the future, with unknown effects on tile drain water and nutrient loss to waterways. Adding vegetative cover (i.e., as winter cover crops) is one approach that can retain water and nutrients on fields to minimize export via tile drains. In the current study, we evaluate the effect of cover crops on tile drain discharge and soluble reactive phosphorus (SRP) loads using bi-monthly measurements from 43 unique tile outlets draining fields with or without cover crops in two watersheds in northern Indiana. Using four water years of data (n = 844 measurements), we examined the role of short-term antecedent precipitation conditions and variation in soil biogeochemistry in mediating the effect of cover crops on tile drain flow and SRP loads. We observed significant effects of cover crops on both tile drain discharge and SRP loads, but these results were season and watershed specific. Cover crop effects were identified only in spring, where their presence reduced tile drain discharge in both watersheds and SRP loads in one watershed. Varying effects on SRP loads between watersheds were attributed to different soil biogeochemical characteristics, where soils with lower bioavailable P and higher P sorption capacity were less likely to have a cover crop effect. Antecedent precipitation was important in spring, and cover crop differences were still evident during periods of wet and dry antecedent precipitation conditions. Overall, we show that cover crops have the potential to significantly decrease spring tile drain P export, and these effects are resilient to a wide range of precipitation conditions.  相似文献