A variance-ratio test for supporting a variable mean in kriging     

Peter K. Kitanidis 《Mathematical Geology》1997,29(3):335-348

This article discusses the issue of whether to use a variable mean and describes a test that can be used to evaluate whether it is justified to add terms to the drift (deterministic part) of a geostatistical model. The basic model could be the intrinsic one, where the deterministic part is a constant, and the alternate model could be any model that includes a constant term in the expression for the drift. Also, differences between constant- and variable-mean models are discussed.  相似文献   

岩溶地下水集中开采区水质系统预测研究     

王伍军  鄢贵权 《物探化探计算技术》1997,19(4):337-342

在岩溶地区，地下水的超强度开采与工业“三废”及生活废弃物不合理的排放，造成了地下水较严重的污染。用动态系统方法建立的地下水污染时间序列递推预测模型，在岩溶地下水环境质量预测与管理方面都具有指导意义。  相似文献   

中国古大陆及其边缘早古生代层序地层及海平面变化的基本特征   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

贾振远  李志明  蔡忠贤 《地球科学》1997,6(5)

着重总结了我国古大陆及其边缘早古生代大层序（ｍｅｇａｓｅｑｕｅｎｃｅ，一级层序）和中层序（ｍｅｓｏｓｅｑｕｅｎｃｅ，二级层序），以及一级、二级海平面变化的基本特征，并与国外早古生代海平面变化进行对比．我国３大古陆（华北陆块、扬子陆块、塔里木陆块）及其边缘早古生代大层序可划分为两个（ＭＧ－１，ＭＧ－２）．中层序划分为５个（ＭＳ－１，ＭＳ－２，ＭＳ－３，ＭＳ－４，ＭＳ－５）．ＭＧ－１包括ＭＳ－１，ＭＳ－２和ＭＳ－３，时限为９４～１１２Ｍａ（寒武纪和早奥陶世），底以巨大不整合为界，顶以著名巨大沉没不整合为限，沉积了我国显生宙大部分的碳酸盐岩，赋存着丰富的油气和各种金属及非金属矿产．ＭＧ－２包括ＭＳ－４和ＭＳ－５，时限为５８～６８Ｍａ（中、晚奥陶世和志留纪），底界以巨大沉没不整合为界，为硅质碎屑－碳酸盐岩组合．海平面变化的级别划分对应于层序．中国３大古陆及其边缘早古生代海平面变化的总貌：ＭＧＳＣ－１初期普遍发生快速海进，海平面升高，尔后海平面下降，其间有多期次的小幅度海进和海退变化．ＭＧＳＣ－２则普遍海平面升高，上升幅度大于ＭＧＳＣ－１，尔后逐渐下降．  相似文献   

Seismic Ground Motion Expected for the Eastern District of Naples     

C. Nunziata  F. Vaccari  G.F. Panza  G. Luongo  D. FÄH 《Natural Hazards》1997,15(2-3):183-197

The seismic ground motion of a test area in the eastern district of Naples is computed with a hybrid technique based on the mode summation and the finite difference methods. This technique allows us the realistic modelling of source and propagation effects, including local soil conditions. In the modelling, we consider the 1980 Irpinia earthquake, a good example of strong shaking for the area of Naples, which is located about 90 km from the epicenter.The detailed geological setting is reconstructed from a large number of drillings. The sub-soil is mainly formed by alluvial (ash, stratified sand and peat) and pyroclastic materials overlying a pyroclastic rock (yellow neapolitan tuff), representing the neapolitan bedrock. The detailed information available on mechanical properties of the sub-soil and its geometry warrants the application of the sophisticated hybrid technique.As expected, the sedimentary cover causes an increase of the signal's amplitudes and duration. If thin peat layers are present, the amplification effects are reduced, and the peak ground accelerations are similar to those observed for the bedrock model. This can be explained by the backscattering of wave energy at such layers, that tend to seismically decouple the upper from the lower part of the structure.For SH-waves, the influence of the variations of the S-wave velocities on the spectral amplification is studied, by considering locally measured velocities and values determined from near-by down-hole measurements. The comparison between the computed spectral amplifications confirms the key role of an accurate determination of the seismic velocities of the different layers.The comparison performed between a realistic 2-D seismic response and a standard 1-D response, based on the vertical propagation of waves in a plane layered structure, shows considerable difference, from which it is evident that serious caution must be taken in the modelling of expected ground motion at a specific site.  相似文献   

An urban hydrological model with high spatial resolution rainfall from a meteorological model     

J. Thielen  J. -D. Creutin 《Journal of Hydrology》1997,200(1-4):58-83

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The identifiability of parameters in a water quality model of the Biebrza River, Poland   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Marcel van der Perk  Marc F. P. Bierkens 《Journal of Hydrology》1997,200(1-4):307-322

The identifiability of model parameters of a steady state water quality model of the Biebrza River and the resulting variation in model results was examined by applying the Monte Carlo method which combines calibration, identifiability analysis, uncertainty analysis, and sensitivity analysis. The water quality model simulates the steady state concentration profiles of chloride, phosphate, ammonium, and nitrate as a function of distance along a river. The water quality model with the best combination of parameter values simulates the observed concentrations very well. However, the range of possible modelled concentrations obtained for other more or less equally eligible combinations of parameter values is rather wide. This range in model outcomes reflects possible errors in the model parameters. Discrepancies between the range in model outcomes and the validation data set are only caused by errors in model structure, or (measurement) errors in boundary conditions or input variables. In this sense the validation procedure is a test of model capability, where the effects of calibration errors are filtered out. It is concluded that, despite some slight deviations between model outcome and observations, the model is successful in simulating the spatial pattern of nutrient concentrations in the Biebrza River.  相似文献   

The hydrocarbon generation mechanism and the three-stage type model of hydrocarbon generation for carbonate source rocks   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Zhaoyun Wang  Keming Cheng 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》1997,40(3):232-238

The diagenetic mechanism and process of carbonate rocks, which is different to that of clastic rocks, decides the existence of different existing state organic matters in carbonate rocks. This has been verified by both the microscopic observation of organic petrology and the analysis of organic geochemistry of many samples. Based on the hydrous pyrolysis simulation experiment of the low-mature carbonate rocks, the contrasting study on the yield and their geochemistry characteristics of different existing state soluble organic matters of a series of various maturity samples shows that the different existing state organic matters make different contributions to hydrocarbon generation during every evolution state. So that, the hydrocarbon generation process of carbonate rocks can be summarized as the following three stages: the first is the direct degradation of biogenic bitumen macromolecules during the immature stage, the second is the thermal degradation of a large amount of kerogen at the mature stage, the last stage is the expulsion or release of inclusion organic matter owing to the increased thermal expansion pressure during the high evolution stage. Part of achievements of the Eighth Five-Year National Science-Technology Key-Task Project “85-102-02-07”.  相似文献   

Converting Radial Distortions Due to Geopotential Models to Geopotential Stokes Coefficients     

Burša  Milan 《Studia Geophysica et Geodaetica》1997,41(4):407-415

A methodology for improving geopotential models has been developed. Theoretical relations have been derived converting coefficients in harmonic expansions for radial distortions due to geopotential models into geopotential Stokes coefficients. Terms of the order of 10 ^–10 in magnitude have been retained.  相似文献   

Numerical modeling of 3-D terrain effect on MT field   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Shizhe Xu  Baiyao Ruan  Hui Zhou  Leshou Chen  Shiwen Xu 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》1997,40(3):269-275

Using the boundary element method, the numerical modeling problem of three-dimensional terrain effect on magnetotelluric (MT) field is solved. This modeling technique can be run on PC in the case of adopting special net division. The result of modeling test for 2-D terrain by this modeling technique is basically coincident with that by 2-D modeling technique, but there is a great difference between the results of 3-D and 2-D modeling for 3-D terrain. Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China.  相似文献   

Main models and distribution patterns of gas reservoirs in large-medium gas fields of China     

Yan Song  Jinxing Dai  Chunsen Dai  Ying Chen  Feng Hong 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》1997,40(1):23-31

Based on characteristics and trap types of gas reservoirs in large and medium gas fields in China, 4 gas reservoir models have been established:(i) structural trap gas reservoir model I, formed earlier than or simutaneously with generating of gases; (ii) structural trap gas reservoir model II, formed later than generating of gases; (iii) fossil weathered residuum gas reservoir model; and (iV) mud diapir abnormal temperature and pressure gas reservoir model. Distribution patterns of large-medium gas fields are described with the concept of “sealed compartment”. It is concluded that the inner-compartment area, marginal area of the compartment and the areas between two overlapped sealed compartments are the most favourable areas for discovering large-medium gas fields. Project supported by the “85–102” Chinese National Key Science and Technology Project.  相似文献