Advances in studying oceanic circulation from hydrographic data with applications in the South China Sea   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

王桂华  李荣凤  闫长香 《大气科学进展》2003,20(6):914-920

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甘肃省春季沙尘暴强弱年份大气环流特征对比分析   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

俞亚勋  赵建华 《干旱气象》2003,21(3):48-57

文中使用NCEP/NCAR1955～2000年全球月平均再分析网格点资料(2.5°×2.5°纬度/经度)和甘肃省区域性沙尘暴过程资料,分别选取了甘肃省5个春季典型沙尘暴年份和5个春季非沙尘暴年份,对其气候平均的大尺度环流场和有关物理量场的动力和热力结构差异进行了对比分析。初步探讨了甘肃省春季沙尘暴发生与全球海温异常的关系。分析结果表明,甘肃省春季沙尘暴年和非沙尘暴年大尺度高低空环流场和有关物理量场差异明显,从而揭示了沙尘暴形成的大尺度环流以及动力和热力因子影响的事实,以期对我国西北地区沙尘暴气候成因有更全面深入的了解,为沙尘暴短期气候预测提供理论依据和强信号。  相似文献   

青藏高原地面加热及上空环流场与东侧旱涝预测的关系   总被引：25，自引：5，他引：20  

李跃清 《大气科学》2003,27(1):107-114

应用奇异值分解(SVD)技术研究了青藏高原地面加热场与高原上空100 hPa高度场及其东侧川渝地区夏季降水场的时空联系和旱涝预测的关系.结果表明:地面加热场与高度场的第一模态代表了两场间的主要耦合特征,具有高度的时空相关;前期青藏高原地面加热场通过影响后期高原上空100 hPa高度场,导致未来高原东侧川渝地区夏季降水异常;加热场-高度场-降水场之间的这种非同步关系,反映了川渝地区旱涝灾害的影响因子和物理成因; 前期高原地面加热场与前期100 hPa高度场SVD第一模态的变化,是高原东侧地区未来夏季旱涝异常的预测信号.并由此提出了一种基于SVD技术的旱涝预测思路.  相似文献   

Köppen Climate Types in Observed and Simulated Climates     

Kalvová  Jaroslava  Halenka  Tomáš  Bezpalcová  Klára  Nemešová  Ivana 《Studia Geophysica et Geodaetica》2003,47(1):185-202

The Köppen climate classification was applied to the observed gridded climatological sets and the outputs of four general circulation models (GCMs) over the continents of the Earth. All data had been acquired via the Data Distribution Centre established by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The ability of the GCMs to simulate the Köppen climate zones identified in the real data was explored and possible future (global warming) changes in the climate types' distribution for each GCM were assessed. Differences in the area distributions derived from the GCMs' recent climate simulations give evidence about uncertainties generally involved in climate models. As to the global warming simulations, all GCM projections of warming climate (horizon 2050) show that the zones representing tropical rain climates and dry climates become larger, and the zones identified with boreal forest and snow climates together with the polar climates are smaller.  相似文献   

Application of matrix analysis in delineating sinkhole risk areas along highway (I-70 near Frederick,Maryland)     

Wanfang?ZhouEmail author  Barry?F.?Beck  Angela?L.?Adams 《Environmental Geology》2003,44(7):834-842

Sinkhole collapse in the area of Maryland Interstate 70 (I-70) and nearby roadways south of Frederick, Maryland, has been posing a threat to the safety of the highway operation as well as other structures. The occurrence of sinkholes is associated with intensive land development. However, the geological conditions that have been developing over the past 200 million years in the Frederick Valley control the locations of the sinkholes. Within an area of approximately 8 km², 138 sinkholes are recorded and their spatial distribution is irregular, but clustered. The clustering indicates the existence of an interaction between the sinkholes. The point pattern of sinkholes is considered to be a sample of a Gibbsian point process from which the hard-core Strauss Model is developed. The radius of influence is calculated for the recorded sinkholes which are most likely to occur within 30 m of an existing sinkhole. The stochastic analysis of the existing sinkholes is biased toward the areas with intensive land use. This bias is adjusted by considering (1) topography, (2) proximity to topographic depressions, (3) interpreted rock formation, (4) soil type, (5) geophysical anomalies, (6) proximity to geologic structures, and (7) thickness of overburden. Based on the properties of each factor, a scoring system is developed and the average relative risk score for individual 30-m segments of the study area is calculated. The areas designated by higher risk levels would have greater risk of a sinkhole collapse than the areas designated by lower risk levels. This risk assessment approach can be updated as more information becomes available.  相似文献   

陕甘宁接壤区气候暖干化及其生态环境意义   总被引：9，自引：0，他引：9  

杨新  延军平 《地球科学进展》2003,18(1):127-132

应用陕甘宁接壤区1951-2000年气温、降水及1956-2000年陕甘宁接壤区 7条主要河流径流量实测记录,在实地调研的基础上对气象数据和水文数据分析后得出结论,陕甘宁接壤区近年来气候呈现暖干化趋势,全区增温线性倾向值为 0．194℃／10 a,高于全球近百年的趋势（0．05℃／10 a）,区内增温趋势强弱差异显著。陕甘宁接壤区气候变干表现在 2个方面：①年降水量减少;②地表径流量减少。降水线性倾向值平均为－1．0759 mm／a,地表径流总量1956-2000年减少速率为 0．4844 m³／a。陕甘宁接壤区生态环境在暖干化的气候背景下继续恶化,生态贫水化严重,水土流失加剧,沙漠扩大。  相似文献   

Peculiarities of the UV continuum energy distribution for T Tauri stars     

A. S. Kravtsova  S. A. Lamzin 《Astronomy Letters》2003,29(9):612-620

In the UV spectra of BP Tau, GW Ori, T Tau, and RY Tau obtained with the Hubble Space Telescope, we detected an inflection near 2000 Å in the F _λ ^c (λ) curve that describes the continuum energy distribution. The inflection probably stems from the fact that the UV continuum in these stars consists of two components: the emission from an optically thick gas with T<8000 K and the emission from a gas with a much higher temperature. The total luminosity of the hot component is much lower than that of the cool component, but the hot-gas radiation dominates at λ<1800 Å. Previously, other authors have drawn a similar conclusion for several young stars from low-resolution IUE spectra. However, we show that the short-wavelength continuum is determined from these spectra with large errors. We also show that, for three of the stars studied (BP Tau, GW Ori, and T Tau), the accretion-shock radiation cannot account for the observed dependence F _λ ^c (λ) in the ultraviolet. We argue that more than 90% of the emission continuum in BP Tau at λ>2000 Å originates not in the accretion shock but in the inner accretion disk. Previously, a similar conclusion was reached for six more classical T Tau stars. Therefore, we believe that the high-temperature continuum can be associated with the radiation from the disk chromosphere. However, it may well be that the stellar chromosphere is its source.  相似文献   

一个灵活的海洋——大气耦合环流模式   总被引：33，自引：13，他引：20  

Yu Yongqiang  Yu Rucong  Zhang Xuehong  Liu Hailong 《大气科学进展》2002,19(1):169-190

Based on the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Climate System Model version 1(CSM-1), a Flexible coupled General Circulation Model version 0 (FGCM-0) is developed in this study through replacing CSM-1＇s oceanic component model with IAP L30T63 global oceanic general circulation model and some necessary modifications of the other component models. After the coupled model FGCM--0 is spun up for dozens of years, it has been run for 60 years without flux correction. The model does not only show the reasonable long-term mean climatology, but also reproduce a lot of features of the interannual variability of climate, e.g. the ENSO-like events in the tropical Pacific Ocean and the dipole mode pattern in the tropical Indian Ocean. Comparing FGCM-0 with the NCAR CSM-1, some common features are found, e.g. the overestimation of sea ice in the North Pacific and the simulated double ITCZ etc.The further analyses suggest that they may be attributed to errors in the atmospheric model.  相似文献   

高、低空急流中的锢囚锋环流   总被引：5，自引：5，他引：0  

蒋后硕  吕克利 《高原气象》2000,19(3):265-276

利用原始方程模式探讨了高空西风急流和低空南风急流中锢囚锋环流的演变和增强机制。数值结果显示,在干大气中,高空西风急流的存在使锢囚锋非地转环流和锋区上升速度迅速变化、增强,并有利于重力内波的垂直传播;低空南风急流对锋区环流型的变化影响较大,但环流较为平直,对锋区上升速度的增强作用不大,产生的锋区速度比高空西风急流中小得多;高低空急流的同时存在,对锢囚锋环流的作用比较复杂,其影响比高低空急流各自作用的  相似文献   

Ionospheric measurements of relative coronal brightness during the total solar eclipses of 11 August, 1999 and 9 July, 1945     

C. J. Davis  M. Lockwood  S. A. Bell  J. A. Smith  E. M. Clarke 《Annales Geophysicae》2000,18(2):182-190

Swept-frequency (1/10 MHz) ionosonde measurements were made at Helston, Cornwall (50°06N, 5°18W) during the total solar eclipse on August 11, 1999. Soundings were made every three minutes. We present a method for estimating the percentage of the ionising solar radiation which remains unobscured at any time during the eclipse by comparing the variation of the ionospheric E-layer with the behaviour of the layer during a control day. Application to the ionosonde date for 11 August, 1999, shows that the flux of solar ionising radiation fell to a minimum of 25±2% of the value before and after the eclipse. For comparison, the same technique was also applied to measurements made during the total solar eclipse of 9 July, 1945, at Sörmjöle (63°68N, 20°20E) and yielded a corresponding minimum of 16 ± 2%. Therefore the method can detect variations in the fraction of solar emissions that originate from the unobscured corona and chromosphere. We discuss the differences between these two eclipses in terms of the nature of the eclipse, short-term fluctuations, the sunspot cycle and the recently-discovered long-term change in the coronal magnetic field.  相似文献