历史时期关中地区气候变化的初步研究   总被引：79，自引：6，他引：73       下载免费PDF全文

朱士光  王元林  呼林贵 《第四纪研究》1998,18(1):1-11

关中地区地理位置特殊,是中华民族的一个重要发祥地,历史时期气候曾发生多次明显的变化。通过对这一地区考古发掘、抱粉分析研究成果以及丰富的史籍文献、地方志等资料的收集、整理、分析,划分出全新世早期寒冷、全新世中期暖湿、西周冷干、春秋至西汉前期暖润、西汉后期至北朝凉干、隋和唐前中期暖润、唐后期至北宋凉干、金前期温干、金后期和元凉干、明清冷干等10个气候变化阶段,从而建立起该地区历史时期完整的气候变化序列。  相似文献   

火山活动与构造气候旋回   总被引：5，自引：2，他引：3       下载免费PDF全文

刘嘉麒  郭正府 《第四纪研究》1998,18(3):222-228

火山活动是一种重要的地质现象,它的发生总是与构造运动相关联,构造运动有强有弱,持续时间有长有短,具有旋目性,火山活动同样也具有旋回性。大规模的火山喷发往往会对气候变化产生影响,而影响的程度取决于火山所处的位置和喷发的性质及程度。强烈的火山喷发将造成局部地区乃至全球气温下降,由此人们推测火山喷发多发生在冰期,然而统计资料表明,绝大多数火山喷发发生在间冰期,此时的构造运动也比较活跃,而在冰期时很少有火山喷发。至于火山喷发后在短时间内造成的降温与长时间的冰期不能相提并论。火山活动有旋回性,它影响的气候变化也具备有旋回性,这是构造气候旋回的一种表现形式。  相似文献   

气候变化对新疆玛纳斯河流域水文水资源的影响   总被引：14，自引：0，他引：14       下载免费PDF全文

何新林  郭生练 《水科学进展》1998,9(1):77-83

考虑积雪和降水不均等特点,对流域进行分带处理,提出和建立了包含积雪融雪结构的水文评价模型。利用该模型求得未来不同气候变化情况下的月均流量过程,分析气候变化对玛纳斯河流域水文水资源的影响。结果表明:若气温升高2℃,降水减少20%,则夏季径流减少52.59%,冬季径流减少1.77%,年均径流减少46.87%。  相似文献   

吉林东部延吉地区中生代火山岩地球化学特征     

张洪武  王泽利  李明哲 《世界地质》1998,(2)

吉林东部延吉地区大面积出露的中生代火山岩,根据岩性特征可分为三个火山喷发旋回。各旋回火山岩均属ＳｉＯ２过饱和的中基性—中酸性岩类。从第一旋回至第三旋回岩石碱度变化较大,岩浆分异明显,特别是第三旋回分异作用明显高于第一、二旋回。火山岩中金、铜微量元素的平均含量普遍高于同类岩石的克拉克值几倍至几十倍,而且随着岩浆分异程度的升高,其平均含量有明显升高的趋势,为本区金、铜矿床的形成提供了物质来源。  相似文献   

地下水资源经济管理研究：以昌吉市为例   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

宋雷  莽惠晨 《世界地质》1998,17(2):51-54

针对冲洪和扇区水文地质单元,结合中长期用水规划,提出了地下水资源经济管理模型,采用妥协约束法求解多目标规划问题,取得满意效果,为昌吉市水资源管理提供了科学依据。  相似文献   

内蒙古达拉特旗平原区第四纪沉积环境及找水方向研究   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

闫俊萍  任增平 《中国煤田地质》1998,10(2):27-30

通过大量的植物孢粉、Ｃ１４、水土样等样品的取样测试,分析了黄河断陷盆地的形成与发展,重点研究了达拉特旗平原区主要供水目的层—第四纪地层的沉积环境,结合其它勘察手段取得的成果,指出找水方向应为罕台川以西山前地带承压水及罕台川冲、洪积扇与黄河近岸潜水最为理想。  相似文献   

Monitoring,causality, and uncertainty in a stratospheric context     

A. Barrie Pittock 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1980,118(1):643-660

Our increasingly complex understanding of stratospheric chemistry and transport processes leaves us with various theoretical possibilities of appreciable and perhaps serious environmental impact due to human activities. These possibilities raise policy questions in which the economic and other costs of regulating human activities must be weighed against the possible consequences of no such regulation. The natural variability of the atmosphere, the physical and other limitations on our global sampling and monitoring abilities, and the difficulties in establishing causal connections leave us in a state of uncertainty as to the reality and magnitude of at least some of these theoretical environmental impacts. Policy-makers must make decisions in the face of these uncertainties.The proper role of scientists as such in narrowing and quantifying the uncertainties is discussed, with particular regard to the evidence that cultural and other biases often affect individual scientists' conclusions. Conscious efforts are needed to minimize bias, quantify uncertainties, and speed up the process of scientific consensus-building. A careful distinction should be drawn between scientifically determined probabilities, and cost-benefit analyses which necessarily involve value judgments.  相似文献   

A Three-year Study of Nonmethane Hydrocarbons in Surface Air over Saxony (Germany)     

Thomas Gnauk  Wolfgang Rolle 《Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry》1998,30(3):371-395

Measurements of the nonmethane hydrocarbon (NMHC) mixing ratio over a period of 42 months were carried out for the first time in the air of a research station situated in the former East Germany during the SANA project. Apart from four species, all other species analysed showed a statistically significant downward trend at the 95% significance level. The decrease of the hydrocarbon concentrations was superimposed by seasonal variations. A drop of about 40% of the annual mean values from 1993 to 1995 was observed. This development reflects the dramatic changes in traffic, industry, power economy, and agriculture in Saxony after the reunification of Germany. The remove of two-stroke engined cars is reflected in NMHC mixing ratio changes, as is the removal of obsolete chemical plants. Generally it was not possible to relate causes and effects of a single event, but in some cases major changes in concentrations and NMHC ratios occurred coincidentally with the disappearance of a specific emission source.  相似文献   

SIMULATION OF MONTHLY CLIMATIC MEAN FIELD IN JANUARY AND JULY IN QINGHAI-XIZANG PLATEAU AND NORTHWESTERN CHINA          下载免费PDF全文

Liu Liping  Qian Yongfu  Zhang Yaocun 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》1998,12(1):18-26

In this paper,we simulate the regional climate in summer and winter in northwestern part ofChina and the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau with regional climate model(MM4)nested with GFDLdata,and compare the simulated results with observed data and GFDL data.The results show thatthe regional model reproduces the regional climate systems,such as the high pressure on theplateau and the low pressure in the north of the plateau in winter,the warm-low pressure over theplateau and pressure ridge in south and north of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau in summer.Theseregional climate features could not be distinguished by the GCM.The simulations of precipitationdistribution are reasonable.But differences between the simulated and observed precipitationvalues in some places are obvious.The precipitation in south of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau isunderestimated,and in north of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau,the precipitation is overestimated.The simulation of height field is better than temperature field.  相似文献   

浅探兰州市城区大气环境污染与治理的若干问题   总被引：15，自引：5，他引：10  

张强  胡隐樵 《高原气象》1998,17(2):204-210

介绍了兰州市城区大气污染的物理机制和客观成因,总结了目前正在采用或论证的一些治理措施和方法,并对这些进行了分析与讨论,提出了今后应重点研究的几个问题,最后对兰州市城区大气污染的治理提出了一些初步看法与建议。  相似文献