岩芯钻探中地层压力预测初探   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

汪涛 《探矿工程》2012,39(10):16-19

地层压力变化是导致孔内情况复杂化的关键因素,地层压力预测是钻探施工中泥浆设计和事故防范的重要手段,合理预知地层压力情况有助于最大限度地解决深孔钻探中的复杂问题[1]。近年来,地层应力预测技术在国内外得到了广泛探讨,而传统的水压致裂地层压力测量方法仍然是简单实用的手段之一。通过云南某矿区复杂地层深孔钻探工程中的应用实例,验证了地层压力预测在绳索取心钻探工程上的合理性和可行性。  相似文献   

一种改进的GNSS高维模糊度快速降相关算法     

鲁铁定  汪鑫  鲁春阳 《大地测量与地球动力学》2021,41(5):511-515

为了提高GNSS高维模糊度的解算效率,提出一种改进的GNSS模糊度快速降相关算法。算法采用对称旋转排序策略和延后降相关策略对下三角Cholesky分解的整数高斯变换算法进行改进。通过模拟和实测数据进行验证,结果表明,改进算法在一定程度上减少了降相关过程中的条件方差交换次数和整数高斯变换次数,从而有效提高了解算效率,增强了解算时间的稳定性。  相似文献   

Effect of Stochastic MJO Forcing on ENSO Predictability   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

PENG Yuehu  DUAN Wansuo  XIANG Jie 《大气科学进展》2011,28(6):1279-1290

Within the frame of the Zebiak-Cane model,the impact of the uncertainties of the Madden-Julian Oscillation(MJO) on ENSO predictability was studied using a parameterized stochastic representation of intraseasonal forcing.The results show that the uncertainties of MJO have little effect on the maximum prediction error for ENSO events caused by conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation(CNOP);compared to CNOP-type initial error,the model error caused by the uncertainties of MJO led to a smaller prediction uncertainty of ENSO,and its influence over the ENSO predictability was not significant.This result suggests that the initial error might be the main error source that produces uncertainty in ENSO prediction,which could provide a theoretical foundation for the data assimilation of the ENSO forecast.  相似文献   

Nonlinearity and finite-time instability in a T21L3 quasigeostrophic model          下载免费PDF全文

姜智娜  王东海 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2011,25(4):419-429

In this paper, a nonlinear optimization method is used to explore the finite-time instability of the atmospheric circulation with a three-level quasigeostrophic model under the framework of the conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation (CNOP). As a natural generalization of linear singular vector (SV), CNOP is defined as an initial perturbation that makes the cost function the maximum at a prescribed forecast time under certain physical constraint conditions. Special attentions are paid to the different structures and energy evolutions of the optimal perturbations.  相似文献   

Analytic Study on Potential Instability and Spiral Structure of Rain Clusters   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

于杰  张铭 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2011,17(1):79-86

This paper presents a study on potential instability and spiral structure of unstable rain clusters.First,we develop a linearized non-axisymmetrical mathematic model for rain clusters in circular cylindrical coordinates and acquire its analytic solution.Second,we discuss the potential instability of non-axisymmetrical rain clusters.Finally,we conclude that spiral structures can exist in rain clusters.Our analysis indicates that potential instability occurs when humid stratification coefficient is less than zero.Unstable growth rate increases with the increase of the absolute value for humid stratification coefficient.The simpler the vertical structure of perturbation,the thicker the inversion layer;additionally,the smaller the radius of the rain clusters,the larger the unstable growth rate.Simulation results agree well with those from observation and forecast.The spiral structure simulated by our model is similar to a radar echo,suggesting that rain clusters with spiral structures can occur in the atmosphere.In addition,they are generally close to the model solution in this work.  相似文献   

Archimedean族Copulas函数在多变量干旱特征分析中的应用     

于艺  宋松柏  马明卫 《水文》2011,31(2):6-10

以甘肃省陇西站月降水资料为例,应用9种3维Archimedean Copulas函数构造了干旱历时、干旱烈度和烈度峰值的联合概率分布,并进行了多变量的拟合优度评价,利用优选出的3维非对称型M12 Copula函数,计算联合分布的重现期以及不同组合下的条件概率与条件重现期。结果表明,M12Copula函数可以描述干旱历时、干旱烈度和烈度峰值间的联合分布。由于Copula函数能够用来构建不同边缘分布的联合分布,可以获得变量间不同组合下的重现期,因而能够更全面客观地反映干旱的特征,是描述干旱多变量分布的一种有效途径。  相似文献   

A numerical study on the role of wind forcing,bottom topography,and nonhydrostacy in coastal upwelling     

Lide Jiang  Xiao-Hai Yan  Yu-Heng Tseng  Laurence C. Breaker 《Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science》2011

The responses of coastal upwelling to different magnitudes of wind stress over a narrow and a wide shelf are studied using a 3-D primitive equation numerical model. The results show that the position of the upwelling front depends on both the strength and the duration of the wind forcing. The comparison between different shelf widths shows that wide shelf will limit the cold water intrusion, so that the corresponding decrease in sea surface temperature is less compared to narrow shelves. Besides, the difference between hydrostatic and nonhydrostatic model results shows that nonhydrostatic effects will enhance the growth of surface meandering, and can be more pronounced near steep fronts. Although difference does exist, our results show that the nonhydrostatic effects are very small at least in this idealized study case.  相似文献   

Limited flow characteristics of sand with fines under cyclic loading     

《Geomechanics and Geoengineering》2013,8(1):15-25

Experimental studies on a sand with a well-graded low plasticity fines were conducted to study a number of issues related to limited flow. Cyclic behaviour in relation to instability and limited flow are compared with corresponding monotonic behaviour. A single set of rules for a range of fines contents was proposed to correlate cyclic and monotonic behaviour.  相似文献   

COMPARISON OF ON-LINE COUPLED AND CONSTANT TRANSFER SIMULATION METHODS FOR DIRECT RADIATIVE FORCING OF ANTHROPOGENIC SULFATE     

吴涧  刘红年  王卫国  刘罡 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2006,12(1):87-88

1 INTRODUCTIONOf three main methods for studying the radiativeforcing of anthropogenic sulfate and climatic responseon the regional scale, the first is, with given rates fortransforming SO2 to sulfate, converting actuallyreleased SO2 into sulfate and acqu…  相似文献   

Delayed baroclinic response of the Antarctic circumpolar current to surface wind stress   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

XiaoYi Yang  RuiXin Huang  Jia Wang  DongXiao Wang 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》2008,51(7):1036-1043

The Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) responds to the surface windstress via two processes, i.e., the instant barotropic process and the delayed baroclinic process. This study focuses on the baroclinic instability mechanism in ACC, which was less reported in the literatures. Results show that the strengthening of surface zonal windstress causes the enhanced tilting of the isopycnal surface, leading to more intense baroclinic instability. Simultaneously, the mesoscale eddies resulting from the baro- clinic instability facilitate the transformation of mean potential energy to eddy energy, which causes the remarkable decrease of the ACC volume transport with the 2-year lag time. This delayed negative cor- relation between the ACC transport and the zonal windstress may account for the steadiness of the ACC transport during last two decades.  相似文献