基于主成分分析和贝叶斯正则化方法的神经网络年最大洪峰流量预测模型探讨     

李红霞  许士国  范垂仁 《水文》2006,26(6):30-32

针时水文预测建模中输入因子过多而导致神经网络结构规模过大,泛化能力差的问题,利用主成分分析和贝叶斯正则化方法对神经网络进行改进,优化网络结构,从而提高泛化能力。以洮儿河流域镇西站年最大洪峰流量预测为例,研究结果表明,改进的神经网络预测方法与传统的神经网络方法相比,泛化能力有显著提高,而且网络的收敛也比较稳定,实际预测中效果良好。  相似文献   

主成分估计在多项式曲面拟合GPS高程中的应用     

冯光财  陈正阳 《测绘信息与工程》2006,31(4):12-13

阐述了多项式曲面拟合GPS高程中参数数目对结果的影响,比较了传统最小二乘平差、主成分估计和岭估计在不同参数时的计算结果,主成分回归在不同参数时都可以取得比较满意的结果。  相似文献   

一种安全可靠的分布式气象数据库系统设计   总被引：5，自引：1，他引：5       下载免费PDF全文

赵伟脱宇峰  杨银娟蒋南 杜衍富 《应用气象学报》2006,17(2):250-256

该文论述了在分布式数据库基础上建立安全、可靠气象资料数据库系统的一般方法。在数据库安全设计中首次提出了安全组件概念及模型, 并将其应用到具体的数据库管理模块中, 较好地解决了数据库系统存在的安全性问题。在数据库应用软件设计中, 采用COM技术和B/S结构, 开发了一套气象数据Web综合查询显示系统, 解决了气象数据Web动态实时发布和查询显示问题。  相似文献   

中国春季气温异常变率的非线性特征   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

徐同  郭品文  居丽丽 《气象与环境科学》2007,30(2):9-12

运用一种基于神经网络的非线性主成分分析法(NLPCA)对中国1951-2003年53 a春季气温距平场进行分析,结果表明,春季气温异常变率具有显著的非线性特征,当非线性主元u分别取最大值和最小值时,对应的空间气温异常分布型具有显著的非对称性.  相似文献   

GIS辅助下的小层对比成图系统     

李少华  何贞铭  刘珍祥 《地理空间信息》2007,5(3):18-20

小层对比是油藏描述中一项十分基础且重要的工作。目前不少油田采用CorelDraw等绘图软件进行小层对比成图,图件美观,但是效率低,无法快速得到任意联井剖面的对比图。利用GIS强大的数据管理与图形可视化功能,能方便地对井的各种数据进行有效的管理。在此基础上,运用组件式开发技术,以VC为开发工具,基于SuperMap Objects控件实现了井位置与属性的双向查询及小层对比等功能。该系统能快速建立任意剖面的对比图,提高了小层对比成图的效率。  相似文献   

Statistical empirical index of chemical weathering in igneous rocks: A new tool for evaluating the degree of weathering   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

Tohru Ohta  Hiroyoshi Arai 《Chemical Geology》2007,240(3-4):280-297

Chemical weathering indices are useful tools in characterizing weathering profiles and determining the extent of weathering. However, the predictive performance of the conventional indices is critically dependent on the composition of the unweathered parent rock. To overcome this limitation, the present paper introduces an alternative statistical empirical index of chemical weathering that is extracted by the principal component analysis (PCA) of a large dataset derived from unweathered igneous rocks and their weathering profiles. The PCA analysis yields two principal components (PC1 and PC2), which capture 39.23% and 35.17% of total variability, respectively. The extent of weathering is reflected by variation along PC1, primarily due to the loss of Na₂O and CaO during weathering. In contrast, PC2 is the direction along which the projections of unweathered felsic, intermediate and mafic igneous rocks appear to be best discriminated; therefore, PC1 and PC2 represent independent latent variables that correspond to the extent of weathering and the chemistry of the unweathered parent rock. Subsequently, PC1 and PC2 were then mapped onto a ternary diagram (MFW diagram). The M and F vertices characterize mafic and felsic rock source, respectively, while the W vertex identifies the degree of weathering of these sources, independent of the chemistry of the unweathered parent rock.

The W index has a number of significant properties that are not found in conventional weathering indices. First, the W index is sensitive to chemical changes that occur during weathering because it is based on eight major oxides, whereas most conventional indices are defined by between two and four oxides. Second, the W index provides robust results even for highly weathered sesquioxide-rich samples. Third, the W index is applicable to a wide range of felsic, intermediate and mafic igneous rock types. Finally, the MFW diagram is expected to facilitate provenance analysis of sedimentary rocks by identifying their weathering trends and thereby enabling a backward estimate of the composition of the unweathered source rock.  相似文献   

Analysis on the noises from continuously monitoring GPS sites     

黄立人  符养 《地震学报(英文版)》2007,20(2):206-211

In this paper,we analyze the time series of site coordinates of 27 continuously monitoring GPS sites covered bythe Crustal Movement Observation Network of China over the whole country.The data are obtained in the periodfrom the beginning of the observation to the November of 2005.On the basis of data processing,we analyze thepower spectrum density of coordinate component noise at each site and calculate the spectral indexes manifestingthe noise property of each component.The spectral indexes indicate that for most sites,the noise of time series ofeach coordinate component can be addressed by the model of white noise flicker noise;and for a small amountof sites,it can be described by the model of white noise flicker noise random walk noise.We also quantita-tively estimate each noise component in the model by using the criterion of maximum likelihood estimation.Theresult shows that the white noise in the time series of GPS site coordinates does not constitute the main part ofnoise.Therefore,the error estimation of site movement parameters is usually too small,or too optimistic if weconsider the white noise only.Correspondingly,if this factor is not fully considered in explaining these movementparameters,it might mislead the readers.  相似文献   

Implications of broad dose distributions obtained with the single-aliquot regenerative-dose method on quartz fine-grains from loess     

S.C. Packman  B. Mauz  D.-D. Rousseau  P. Antoine  J. Rossignol  A. Lang 《Quaternary Geochronology》2007,2(1-4):39-44

Six samples were collected from a section of Peoria Loess in Eustis, North America, for optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) dating of quartz, and all except one (LV90) produced narrow dose distributions. A comparative study was conducted on this sample and on a ‘well-behaved’ sample (LV91), involving other dating methods and examination of the quartz OSL. These investigations revealed differences in the quartz OSL growth with dose, OSL response to thermal treatments and the range of components within the OSL signals. An ultra-fast component was found in LV90 that displayed a higher rate of sensitivity change than the fast component and this had a malign influence on the determination of the equivalent dose. The distinctive luminescence characteristics of LV90 imply either a change in wind dynamics and/or the source area for the silt.  相似文献   

提高地磁绝对观测数据精度的有效途径     

吕风章  解用明  张双凤 《华北地震科学》2007,25(1):53-55

经过长期观察发现用CZM-2型核旋仪(及其同类仪器)进行定点观测读数时,运用分量仪线圈“单向”旋转的方法进行分量观测,再加上做好一些其它辅助措施,能够充分消除人为因素和仪器本身误差所带来的影响,明显提高仪器的观测精度,达到使观测资料更加准确的目的。  相似文献   

地磁Z分量低点时间季节性变化研究     

李金龙  邹振轩  于俊宜 《地震地磁观测与研究》2007,28(6):19-23

通过小波分析和频谱分析,发现Z分量低点时间的小波变换结果曲线(α=6)明显地随节气而变化;对地磁Z分量低点时间季节性变化进行了初步的比较分析.  相似文献