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971.
Features of the Extremely Severe Drought in the East of Southwest China and Anomalies of Atmospheric Circulation in Summer 2006 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
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The spatial-temporal features of the extremely severe drought and the anomalous atmospheric circulation in summer 2006 are
analyzed based on the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, the characteristic circulation indices given by the National Climate Center
of China, and the daily precipitation data of 20 stations in the east of Southwest China (ESC) from 1959 to 2006. The results
show that the rainless period started from early June and ended in early September 2006 with a total of more than 80 days,
and the rainfall was especially scarce from around 25 July to 5 September 2006. Precipitation for each month was less than
normal, and analysis of the precipitation indices shows that the summer precipitation in 2006 was the least since 1959. The
extremely severe drought in the ESC in summer 2006 was closely related to the persistent anomalies of the atmospheric circulation
in the same period, i.e., anomalies of mid-high latitude atmospheric circulation, western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH),
westerlies, South Asian high, lower-level flow, water vapor transport, vertical motion, and so on. Droughts usually occur
when the WPSH lies anomalously northward and westward, or anomalously weak and eastward. The extreme drought in summer 2006
was caused by the former. When the WPSH turned stronger and shifted to the north and west of its normal position, and the
South Asian high was also strong and lay eastward, downdrafts prevailed over the ESC and suppressed the water vapor transfer
toward this area. At the same time, the disposition of the westerlies and the mid-high latitude circulation disfavored the
southward invasion of cold air, which jointly resulted in the extremely severe drought in the ESC in summer 2006. The weak
heating over the Tibetan Plateau and vigorous convective activities over the Philippine area were likely responsible for the
strong WPSH and its northwestward shift in summer 2006. 相似文献
972.
A Comparative Analysis of Primary and Extreme Characteristics of Dry or Wet Status between Asia and North America 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
In this study, the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) was used to analyze the average and extreme dry/wet states of Asia and North America from 1953 to 2003. The results indicate that the two continents underwent drying trends during this period. Compared with North America, Asia showed more severe drought trends. However, more significant and regular seasonal variation for drought was found in North America. The driest regions in Asia were located in the northern region of China, Mongolia, and eastern mid-Siberian plateau. Most regions in central North America were relatively wetter than other regions. The northern and southwestern regions of North America, as well as the Atlantic and Pacific coastal areas, experienced the most drought during this period. A sharp increase of the drought area and the number of extreme drought events took place from 1997 to 2003 in both Asia and North America. Severe drought events were more likely to occur during the summer on both continents. Asia had the most extreme drought events during July, but North America reached its highest drought frequency from June to September. In Asia, a persistent increasing trend of extreme drought emerged throughout the studied period. However, a more complex evolution of drought emerged in North America: a decreasing trend appeared before the mid-1960s and an increasing trend appeared after the late 1970s. A relatively steady dry/wet status was observed between the mid-1960s and the late 1970s. The role of exceptional, extreme drought events with respect to the La Nin?a event was considered during 1997–2003. 相似文献
973.
LANG Xianmei 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2011,25(5):682-690
In this paper, seasonal prediction of spring dust weather frequency (DWF) in Beijing during 1982-2008 has been performed. First, correlation analyses are conducted to identify antecedent climate signals during last winter that are statistically significantly related to spring DWF in Beijing. Then, a seasonal prediction model of spring DWF in Beijing is established through multivariate linear regression analysis, in which the systematic error between the result of original prediction model and the observation, averaged over the last 10 years, is corrected. In addition, it is found that climate signals occurring synchronously with spring dust weather, particularly meridional wind at 850 hPa over western Mongolian Plateau, are also linked closely to spring DWF in Beijing. As such, statistical and dynamic prediction approaches should be combined to include these synchronous predictors into the prediction model in the real-time operational prediction, so as to further improve the prediction accuracy of spring DWF in Beijing, even over North China. However, realizing such a prediction idea in practice depends essentially on the ability of climate models in predicting key climate signals associated with spring DWF in Beijing. 相似文献
974.
2011年2月环流特征如下:北半球高纬度地区为单一极涡,中心偏向西半球,强度较常年同期偏强,欧亚中高纬呈现4波型,副高强度偏弱,南支槽活动偏弱.2月,全国平均降水量为11.4 mm,比常年同期偏少4.9 mm.上、中旬,我国北方地区处于高压脊控制,华北、黄淮气象干旱持续发展,月底,随着环流形势的调整,上述地区干旱得到有... 相似文献
975.
The range of response frequencies for which spectral ordinates obtained from accelerograms may be considered reliable is limited by several factors, primary among them being the effects of filters that are routinely applied to remove noise from the records. Considerable attention has been focused on the low‐frequency limit of the usable spectral ordinates because of various engineering applications requiring long‐period spectral accelerations or displacements but only recently have rational approaches to selecting the high‐frequency limit been proposed. Since there are applications for which the high‐frequency spectral ordinates are important, the approaches to this issue presented in the recent studies are reviewed and their application to the ground‐motion database from Europe and the Middle East is explored. On the basis of the results of these analyses, it is concluded that a large proportion of this dataset can be used to provide reliable estimates of response spectral ordinates at much shorter periods than may have previously been considered feasible. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
976.
977.
希尔伯特—黄变换(Hilbert-Huang transform,HHT)是一种新的适合非平稳和非线性信号的分析方法,由于地震信号一般呈现出非平稳与非线性特性,因此HHT非常适合地震信号的分析。本文首先介绍了HHT中关于经验模态分解(Empirical Mode Decomposition,EMD)的实现过程,在此基础上分析了几种基于EMD获得本征模态函数(Intrinsic Mode Functions,IMF)来计算瞬时频率的算法,其中利用了两个采样间隔瞬时频率的平均来计算瞬时频率,较好地反映了地震信号频率成分随时间变化的特征。将该方法应用于四川东北部某地区海相碳酸盐岩地层三维地震叠后偏移数据处理,提取"三瞬"地震属性,与传统的希尔伯特变换提取的"三瞬"地震属性进行对比,结果表明基于HHT的"三瞬"地震属性结果具有更高的分辨率,IMF2的瞬时相位能够较好地刻画台地边缘生物礁相,IMF2的瞬时频率亦具有较好的分带性。将IMF2的"三瞬"地震属性与钻井等资料结合分析,能够更好地识别沉积相的分布。 相似文献
978.
重庆市伏旱时空变化特征 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
利用1961—2008年重庆34个台站的逐日降水资料,采用主成分分析、旋转主成分分析等方法对重庆伏旱变化的时空特征进行了分析。结果表明:重庆中西部是伏旱高频区,约10年7遇,且多重伏旱。重庆伏旱的第1载荷向量场表明重庆伏旱变化具有很好的整体一致性。重庆伏旱空间异常可分为4个区,即西部区、东北部区、东南部区和中部区。西部伏旱在1960—1970年代最强,东北部伏旱在90年代最强,其次是70年代,中部伏旱在70年代最强,其次是2000年以后,东南部伏旱的年代际变化趋势不明显,且伏旱整体较轻。 相似文献
979.
980.
采用MODIS的1 km×1 km分辨率数据,以我国黑龙江为研究区,对基于植被指数的植被状态指数 (IVC)、基于地表温度的温度状态指数 (ITC) 和基于植被指数-地表温度特征空间的植被温度状态指数 (IVTC) 与10 cm,20 cm土壤相对湿度、降水量的关系、3种指数监测结果及其相互关系进行了对比分析。结果表明:IVTC相对于ITC,IVC更适于反映土壤湿度的变化,对浅层土壤湿度更加敏感;IVTC相对于ITC,IVC对降水更敏感,与监测时段的降水和前期总体降水都密切相关;在生长季早期,IVTC和ITC用于干旱监测的适用性明显优于IVC;不同区域间,IVTC的可比性较好,IVC和ITC则较差;IVTC所反映的地表温度信息对干旱的直接指示作用最强,所反映的植被信息对干旱的直接指示作用较弱。 相似文献