A Quick Report on a Dynamical Downscaling Simulation over China Using the Nested Model   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5       下载免费PDF全文

YU En-Tao  WANG Hui-Jun  SUN Jian-Qi 《大气和海洋科学快报》2010,3(6):325-329

This paper describes a dynamical downscaling simulation over China using the nested model system, which consists of the modified Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) nested with the NCAR Community Atmosphere Model (CAM). Results show that dynamical downscaling is of great value in improving the model simulation of regional climatic characteristics. WRF simulates regional detailed temperature features better than CAM. With the spatial correlation coefficient between the observation and the simulation increasing from 0.54 for CAM to 0.79 for WRF, the improvement in precipitation simulation is more perceptible with WRF. Furthermore, the WRF simulation corrects the spatial bias of the precipitation in the CAM simulation.  相似文献   

云凝结物平流输送对降水云系发展影响的数值模拟研究     

齐彦斌  冉令坤  洪延超 《气象学报》2009,67(6):1045-1057

大气动力学中"平流输送"是非常重要的宏观动力学过程,云凝结物的平流输送与降水云系的发展演变密切相关,它把宏观动力过程与各种云凝结物粒子的时空演变联系起来,云凝结物的平流输送可以增加或减少局地大气中云凝结物的含量,改变云凝结物的空间分布状况,影响云凝结物的微观物理过程,进而促进或抑制降水云系的发展演变.本文在数值模拟研究中.通过改变云凝结物平流输送的状况来研究宏观动力过程对云微观物理过程的影响,因而利用ARPS模式开展3个分别排除云凝结物水平平流输送、垂直平流输送和三维平流输送的敏感试验,进行关于云凝结物平流输送对降水云系发展演变影响的敏感性数值模拟研究.结果表明,云凝结物的平流输送对水汽比湿的影响很小.云凝结物的三维平流输送有利于增加降水云系中雪和霰的混合比含量,抑制云水、雨水和云冰混合比含量的增长.云凝结物的水平平流输送可以降低降水云系中云水和雨水的混合比含量,增加云冰和雪的混合比含量;云凝结物垂直平流输送的作用是增加降水云系中雨水、雪和霰的混合比含量,减少云与冰混合比含量.云凝结物三维平流输送效应的分析表明,云凝结物的三维平流输送主要通过调整云凝结物的微物理过程源汇项以及降水粒子(雨水、雪和霰)的下落末速项来改变降水云系中云凝结物的垂直结构;另外,雪的三维平流输送对雪本身的分布也有一定影响.  相似文献   

天津一次突发性局地大暴雨中尺度分析   总被引：11，自引：3，他引：8  

何群英  东高红  贾慧珍  孟冬梅  于莉莉  朱男男 《气象》2009,35(7):16-22

利用加密自动气象站、天津MM5、NCEP1°×1°的6小时再分析资料以及多普勒雷达等资料,对2007年8月26日出现在天津东部地区的局地大暴雨进行了天气学、动力学诊断和中尺度分析.结果表明,暴雨是在大尺度环流形势由经向调整为纬向时期产生的,中低层西风槽、切变线以及地面中尺度辐合线是其主要影响系统;强降水的时空分布有明显的中尺度特征;暴雨区上空形成的斜升气流,有利于强雷暴云的稳定发展;低空东南急流和地面偏东风为暴雨区输送了大量的水汽;地面中尺度辐合线的存在和维持不仅增强了地面的辐合抬升,同时也是造成此次局地大暴雨的中尺度系统和触发条件.多普勒雷达图中明显的列车效应以及强回波伸展的高度与当天0℃层高度的对应关系也是产生强降水的主要原因.  相似文献   

强雷暴云中电荷多层分布与形成过程的三维数值模拟研究   总被引：13，自引：5，他引：8  

周志敏  郭学良 《大气科学》2009,33(3):600-620

通过建立云物理耦合电过程的冰粒子分档模式, 对北京一次强雷暴天气的云中空间电荷结构分布、 形成机制及放电过程进行了模拟分析研究。结果表明: (1) 云水含量主要通过感应起电来影响云水、 霰粒子之间的电荷转移, 然后再影响空间电荷分布。而包含了雨水后的液水含量主要通过非感应起电在不同含水量条件下的起电机制影响霰粒子同雪粒子 (或冰晶) 碰撞后转移电荷的极性与大小, 从而影响空间电荷结构。 (2) 微物理过程的不均匀性将导致水成物含水量源汇项的不均匀性。而这种不均匀性首先会使得水成物在不同垂直剖面上的分布也不均匀, 从而使得感应、 非感应起电变得更复杂。源汇项的不均匀性还会导致水成物之间因质量转移而产生的电荷转移也不均匀。 (3) 强的上升气流将冰相物携带到较高处, 从而使得水成物间发生电荷转移的高度也比较高。雪粒子在强上升气流上部及两侧区域出现多个含量中心, 霰粒子含量分布相对均匀, 而质量中心向背风侧倾斜。因此, 非感应起电过程主要发生在背风侧的辐散区域, 从而导致空间电荷也主要分布在该区域。强上升气流使得冰相水成物在不同区域出现含量中心, 使得同一冰相物在不同区域携带不同电荷 (尤其是在强风暴的成熟期), 从而使得空间电荷易于出现多层结构。 (4) 由于放电会改变空间电荷结构, 放电通道中的感应电荷会重新分配到各个水成物表面, 所以在微物理过程和动力过程等作用下, 在水成物质量转移过程中发生的电荷转移将会更加复杂, 从而使得空间电荷浓度分布更加复杂。但是该作用的重要性还需要进一步的研究。以上因子均是造成空间电荷多层分布的重要原因。  相似文献   

T63月动力延伸预报产品的检验     

汪丽  杨淑群  杨小波 《四川气象》2009,(2):41-44

采用NCEP／NCAR再分析资料和T63谱模式月动力延伸预报产品资料,对200、500hPa高度场及200hPa、700hPaU、V风场进行相关系数、距平、距平同号率、距平相关系数的分析,得出如下结论：月动力延伸预报产品对极涡、南亚高压、副热带高压预报能力较强,夏季副热带系统预报偏强,西风带系统预报偏弱;冬季西风带系统预报偏强,副热带系统预报偏弱。西风带和副热带系统的距平误差基本反映出影响我国年季气候变化主导系统的进退及预报误差。  相似文献   

Response of the Asian summer monsoon to weakening of Atlantic thermohaline circulation   总被引：3，自引：1，他引：2  

陆日宇 《大气科学进展》2008,25(5):723-736

Various paleoclimate records have shown that the Asian monsoon was punctuated by numerous suborbital time-scale events, and these events were coeval with those that happened in the North Atlantic. This study investigates the Asian summer monsoon responses to the Atlantic Ocean forcing by applying an additional freshwater flux into the North Atlantic. The simulated results indicate that the cold North Atlantic and warm South Atlantic induced by the weakened Atlantic thermohaline circulation （THC） due to the freshwater flux lead to significantly suppressed Asian summer monsoon. The authors analyzed the detailed processes of the Atlantic Ocean forcing on the Asian summer monsoon, and found that the atmospheric teleconnection in the eastern and central North Pacific and the atmosphere-ocean interaction in the tropical North Pacific play the most crucial role. Enhanced precipitation in the subtropical North Pacific extends the effects of Atlantic Ocean forcing from the eastern Pacific into the western Pacific, and the atmosphere-ocean interaction in the tropical Pacific and Indian Ocean intensifies the circulation and precipitation anomalies in the Pacific and East Asia.  相似文献   

Kepler-9b、c的近2:1平运动共振分析          下载免费PDF全文

陈媛媛  王雪枫  马月华 《天文学报》2020,61(2):12-12

对多行星系统中行星周期比的统计发现,行星周期比在简单整数比2:1、3:2的右侧边缘处有明显聚集,而在其紧邻的左边有明显空缺.针对这一现象有各种不同的动力学解释. Kepler-9系统中已发现的3个行星中,行星b、c周期比约为2.03,是接近2:1共振的一个典型例子.利用关于偏心率的二阶哈密顿方程,针对只考虑长期作用和加入共振摄动两种情况,通过研究当前状态下系统在能量等高线图与相空间截面图中的位置,讨论了两行星可能的近共振状态.  相似文献   

Near future (2016-40) summer precipitation changes over China as projected by a regional climate model (RCM) under the RCP8.5 emissions scenario: Comparison between RCM downscaling and the driving GCM     

邹立维  周天军 《大气科学进展》2013,30(3):806-818

Multi-decadal high resolution simulations over the CORDEX East Asia domain were performed with the regional climate model RegCM3 nested within the Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System model, Grid-point Version 2 (FGOALS-g2). Two sets of simulations were conducted at the resolution of 50 km, one for present day (1980–2005) and another for near-future climate (2015–40) under the Representative Concentration Pathways 8.5 (RCP8.5) scenario. Results show that RegCM3 adds value with respect to FGOALS-g2 in simulating the spatial patterns of summer total and extreme precipitation over China for present day climate. The major deficiency is that RegCM3 underestimates both total and extreme precipitation over the Yangtze River valley. The potential changes in total and extreme precipitation over China in summer under the RCP8.5 scenario were analyzed. Both RegCM3 and FGOALS-g2 results show that total and extreme precipitation tend to increase over northeastern China and the Tibetan Plateau, but tend to decrease over southeastern China. In both RegCM3 and FGOALS-g2, the change in extreme precipitation is weaker than that for total precipitation. RegCM3 projects much stronger amplitude of total and extreme precipitation changes and provides more regional-scale features than FGOALS-g2. A large uncertainty is found over the Yangtze River valley, where RegCM3 and FGOALS-g2 project opposite signs in terms of precipitation changes. The projected change of vertically integrated water vapor flux convergence generally follows the changes in total and extreme precipitation in both RegCM3 and FGOALS-g2, while the amplitude of change is stronger in RegCM3. Results suggest that the spatial pattern of projected precipitation changes may be more affected by the changes in water vapor flux convergence, rather than moisture content itself.  相似文献   

A global available potential energy‐kinetic energy budget in terms of the two‐dimensional wavenumber for the FGGE year     

Steven J. Lambert 《大气与海洋》2013,51(3):265-282

Abstract

A global vertically integrated available potential energy‐kinetic energy budget in terms of the two‐dimensional wavenumber is formulated using spherical harmonics. Results of the budget equations applied to the four mid‐season months of the FGGE year are given.  相似文献   

动态调节模型的三阶段最小二乘辨识方法     

王杰  初燕云 《南京气象学院学报》2013,5(1):55-59

针对动态调节模型提出一种三阶段最小二乘辨识方法.先将模型变换为CARMA模型,估计出变换后的CARMA模型参数,再利用已得到的参数估计依次辨识原模型中的系统模型参数和噪声模型参数.该方法原理简单,有效可行.  相似文献