粗差验后方差的无偏估计与最优稳健估计   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

彭军还 《测绘学院学报》2000,17(2):82-85

在正态粗差假设下导出了粗差验后方差的无偏估计,对误差工膨胀模型和误差均值移动模型,两者的无偏估计公式是相同的。这证明了李德仁验后方差的朱建军方差不是无偏的。由于偏方定义的彭方法是正态粗差假设下的最优稳健估计。  相似文献   

Catastrophic and dangerous inflows to salt mines in Poland as related to the origin of water determined by isotope methods   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

A. Zuber  J. Grabczak  A. Garlicki 《Environmental Geology》2000,39(3-4):299-311

 Tritium, ¹⁴C, δ¹³C, δ¹⁸O and δD measurements indicated as early as 1973 the existence of inflows of modern meteoric water to the Wapno salt mine in a Zechstein diapir. In spite of these early warnings, the continuation of improper exploitation led, in 1977, to sudden flooding of the mine followed by catastrophic land subsidence. The lesson learned from that catastrophe, as well as the results of isotope investigations performed in the Inowrocław salt mine, led to the decision to flood the mine artificially in order to avoid a similar land subsidence. The Kłodawa mine was not regarded to be in danger of flooding due to a thick clay cap. In fact, a large number of usually short-lasting water occurrences had the isotopic composition characteristic for evaporated ocean water. However, since 1956 an inflow has existed with δ¹⁸O and δD values close to that of pre-Quaternary saline waters and brines in the Mesozoic formations adjacent to the diapir. Two other inflows have recently occurred with the initial δ¹⁸O and δD values of modern waters. As a consequence, the mine is regarded to be in danger, and the exploitation of salt in the areas of inflows has been stopped. The Wieliczka mine, southern Poland, exploits Miocene salts overthrusted together with the Carpathian flysch from the south. The most dangerous and catastrophic inflows were caused by human errors. Isotope data show the water to be of glacial or Holocene age stored in Tertiary, slightly cemented rocks of low permeability, which neighbor the mine from the north. Owing to specific geology, the mine has survived for a long time, in spite of relatively large and long-lasting inflows. However, its existence is in permanent danger. Received: 7 March 1997 · Accepted: 17 November 1998  相似文献   

多波束声呐图像条带中央和边缘残差处理方法     

朱正任  樊妙  邢喆  冯成凯  孙毅  阳凡林 《海洋技术学报》2019,38(5)

多波束声呐图像是进行海底底质分类的主要数据源之一,由于受海洋噪声、声波散射和混响、仪器设备等因素影响,其经各项常规改正后仍存在明显残差,突出表现在中央波束区和条带重叠区,难以形成高质量的声呐图像。文中分析了多波束声呐图像残差的成因及影响,提出了一种基于多条带最小二乘拟合的多波束声呐图像残差处理方法。首先,得到相邻声脉冲(ping)信号中央区域、重叠区域以及整体趋势的拟合函数;然后,通过拟合函数计算得到中央和重叠区域的残差改正系数;最后,通过改正系数进行残差改正。实验分析表明,该方法在保留原始细节的基础上,有效削弱了残差对声呐图像的影响,对多波束声呐图像处理具有参考和应用价值。  相似文献   

Accuracy of tretyakov precipitation gauge: Result of wmo intercomparison     

Daqing Yang  Barry E. Goodison  John R. Metcalfe  Valentin S. Golubev  Esko Elomaa  Thilo Gunther  Roy Bates  Timothy Pangburn  Clayton L. Hanson  Douglas Emerson  Voilete Copaciu  Janja Milkovic 《水文研究》1995,9(8):877-895

The Tretyakov non-recording precipitation gauge has been used historically as the official precipitation measurement instrument in the Russian (formerly the USSR) climatic and hydrological station network and in a number of other European countries. From 1986 to 1993, the accuracy and performance of this gauge were evaluated during the WMO Solid Precipitation Measurement Intercomparison at 11 stations in Canada, the USA, Russia, Germany, Finland, Romania and Croatia. The double fence intercomparison reference (DFIR) was the reference standard used at all the Intercomparison stations in the Intercomparison. The Intercomparison data collected at the different sites are compatible with respect to the catch ratio (measured/DFIR) for the same gauge, when compared using mean wind speed at the height of the gauge orifice during the observation period. The Intercomparison data for the Tretyakov gauge were compiled from measurements made at these WMO intercomparison sites. These data represent a variety of climates, terrains and exposures. The effects of environmental factors, such as wind speed, wind direction, type of precipitation and temperature, on gauge catch ratios were investigated. Wind speed was found to be the most important factor determining the gauge catch and air temperature had a secondary effect when precipitation was classified into snow, mixed and rain. The results of the analysis of gauge catch ratio versus wind speed and temperature on a daily time step are presented for various types of precipitation. Independent checks of the correction equations against the DFIR have been conducted at those Intercomparison stations and a good agreement (difference less than 10%) has been obtained. The use of such adjustment procedures should significantly improve the accuracy and homogeneity of gauge-measured precipitation data over large regions of the former USSR and central Europe.  相似文献   

一种估计粗差大小的新方法——先验方差待定参数法     

王杰龙  汪章辉  陈义 《大地测量与地球动力学》2020,40(4):422-424

提出一种利用先验方差信息进行测量数据处理中粗差估计的新方法——先验方差待定参数法。该方法无需进行最小二乘和假设检验,计算简便。从基本原理出发,给出其数学模型,然后通过3个算例,与QUAD法等其他常用的粗差估计方法进行对比,证明该方法的可靠性和实用性。  相似文献   

拟准检定法及其在测量中的应用初探     

黄康钰  王义琴  唐海龙  张俊 《测绘与空间地理信息》2017,(2):43-44

经典最小二乘平差假定观测数据中不含有粗差,但随着现代测绘技术发展,数据采集的自动化程度越来越高,对数据采集过程进行人工干预较难实现,观测结果包含粗差在所难免。本文探讨利用拟准检定法进行粗差探测的原理、特点及优势,并通过模拟算例,验证了拟准检定法处理粗差的有效性。  相似文献   

测量数据的质量控制理论探讨   总被引：4，自引：1，他引：4  

欧吉坤 《测绘工程》2001,10(2):6-10

从可靠性和粗差检测两方面分析了质控制理论研究的进展；介绍了新的统一的可靠性指标，它完全由系统的结构决定，不包含受主观因素影响的概率因子（非中心参数λ0)。详细介绍了拟准检定法的原理和实施办法，特别是初选拟准观测的一些技巧，通过一个算例比较了拟准检定法与假设检验的三种形式的计算结果，后者存在部分粗差不能发现的问题，而前者能发现全部粗差，效果较好。  相似文献   

Traditional and New Ways to Handle Uncertainty in Geology   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

Bárdossy  George  Fodor  János 《Natural Resources Research》2001,10(3):179-187

The paper presents an overview of the main types of uncertainty in geology. The best guess and uncertainty oriented approaches are outlined. Traditional methods of uncertainty analysis—deterministic and probabilistic—are discussed with special references to their limitations in geology. New mathematical methods, developed during the last decades are suitable to handle uncertainty in geology in scalar, spatial, and spatial-temporal conditions, such as uncertainty intervals, fuzzy sets, probability bounds, neural networks, hybrid arithmetic and fuzzy geostatistics. Geological applicability of these methods is discussed. Uncertainty of risk analysis for geological purposes also is outlined.  相似文献   

LaCoste—Romberg G型重力仪的漂移探讨     

沈晶  刘端法 《地震地磁观测与研究》1992,13(2):67-74

本文针对LaCoste-Romberg G型重力仪(下文简称为LCR-G型重力仪)长期、中期、短期及静态漂移问题进行了探讨。从大量观测数据及曲线中发现,LCR-G147、LCR-G570及LCR-G596三台重力仪的漂移均存在着年变化。对8年来观测数据分析后,得出结论:如果同一测段两个往返时间差不超过1小时,一般就不必进行漂移改正,并不影响观测结果的可靠性。  相似文献   

门限自回归模型在地震预报中的应用初探     

和宏伟 《地震研究》1992,15(2):154-161

本文简要介绍了应用门限自回归方法处理浑沌时间序列,建立了浑沌时间序列自回归预报模型,并用其进行外推预报的基本方法及步骤。作者运用该方法建立了云南及滇西、滇东和滇西南等三个片区的半年最大震级序列的震级预报模型。由此预测了1991年上半年模型相应地区可能发生的最大地震震级。  相似文献