三峡澎溪河水-气界面温室气体模型估算及其敏感性分析   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

赫斌  李哲  姚骁  郭劲松  陈永柏  李翀 《湖泊科学》2017,29(3):705-712

模型估算法是水-气界面温室气体通量监测的主要方法,所得成果也不胜枚举.然而监测过程中诸多环境因素会对最终结果产生不确定的影响.结合三峡库区澎溪河背景条件,利用模型估算法进行水-气界面温室气体通量(以CO_2为例)估算,并且采用修正Morris筛选法尝试分析模型估算法中各个参数对温室气体扩散通量(以CO_2为例)的局部敏感性.研究结果表明:利用模型估算法计算三峡澎溪河流域水-气界面温室气体通量具有较高的可行性和可靠性;风速、水温以及pH值会对监测结果产生影响,且风速越强、水温越高、pH值越小,CO_2扩散通量就越大;pH值是高灵敏参数,风速和水温是灵敏参数.在三峡库区澎溪河监测过程中更应注意pH值的精确性,每次采样前需校正仪器.  相似文献   

Some remarks on Q-compensated sparse deconvolution without knowing the quality factor Q     

Xintao Chai  Ronghua Peng  Genyang Tang  Wei Chen  Jingnan Li 《Geophysical Prospecting》2019,67(8):2003-2021

The subsurface media are not perfectly elastic, thus anelastic absorption, attenuation and dispersion (aka Q filtering) effects occur during wave propagation, diminishing seismic resolution. Compensating for anelastic effects is imperative for resolution enhancement. Q values are required for most of conventional Q-compensation methods, and the source wavelet is additionally required for some of them. Based on the previous work of non-stationary sparse reflectivity inversion, we evaluate a series of methods for Q-compensation with/without knowing Q and with/without knowing wavelet. We demonstrate that if Q-compensation takes the wavelet into account, it generates better results for the severely attenuated components, benefiting from the sparsity promotion. We then evaluate a two-phase Q-compensation method in the frequency domain to eliminate Q requirement. In phase 1, the observed seismogram is disintegrated into the least number of Q-filtered wavelets chosen from a dictionary by optimizing a basis pursuit denoising problem, where the dictionary is composed of the known wavelet with different propagation times, each filtered with a range of possible values. The elements of the dictionary are weighted by the infinity norm of the corresponding column and further preconditioned to provide wavelets of different values and different propagation times equal probability to entry into the solution space. In phase 2, we derive analytic solutions for estimates of reflectivity and Q and solve an over-determined equation to obtain the final reflectivity series and Q values, where both the amplitude and phase information are utilized to estimate the Q values. The evaluated inversion-based Q estimation method handles the wave-interference effects better than conventional spectral-ratio-based methods. For Q-compensation, we investigate why sparsity promoting does matter. Numerical and field data experiments indicate the feasibility of the evaluated method of Q-compensation without knowing Q but with wavelet given.  相似文献   

Non-point source pollution estimation in the Pingqiao River Basin,China, using a spatial hydrograph-separation approach     

Han Xue  Kaoru Takara  Bin He  Guangwei Huang  Weili Duan 《水文科学杂志》2019,64(8):962-973

For efficient and targeted management, this study demonstrates a recently developed non-point source (NPS) pollution model for a year-long estimation in the Pingqiao River Basin (22.3 km²) in China. This simple but physically reasonable model estimates NPS export in terms of land use by reflecting spatial hydrological features and source runoff measurements under different land-use types. The NPS export was separately analysed by a distributed hydrological model, a spatial hydrograph-separation technique, and an empirical water quality sub-model. Simulation results suggest that 57 890 kg of total nitrogen (TN) and 1148 kg of total phosphorus (TP) were delivered. The results, validated with observed stream concentrations, show relative errors of 23.3% for TN and 47.4% for TP. Countermeasures for urban areas (5.3% of total area) were prioritized because of the high contribution rate to TN (14.1%) and TP (26.2%) which is caused by the high degree of runoff (8.5%) and pollution source.  相似文献   

Evaporation modelling by heuristic regression approaches using only temperature data   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Ozgur Kisi  Salim Heddam 《水文科学杂志》2019,64(6):653-672

Accurate estimation of pan evaporation (E_pan) is very important in water resources management, irrigation scheduling and water budget of lakes. This study investigates the accuracy of two heuristic regression approaches, multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) and M5 model tree (M5Tree) in estimating pan evaporation using only temperature data as input. Monthly minimum temperature, maximum temperature and E_pan data from three Turkish stations were used, with month number (periodicity information) added as input to see its effect on estimation accuracy. The models were compared with the calibrated Hargreaves-Samani (CHS), Stephens-Stewart (SS) and multiple linear regression methods. Three different train-test splitting strategies (50%–50%, 60%–40% and 75%–25%) were employed for better evaluation of the applied methods. The results show that the MARS method generally estimated monthly E_pan with higher accuracy compared to the M5Tree, CHS and SS methods. When extraterrestrial radiation, calculated from Julian date and latitude information, was used as input to the SS instead of solar radiation, satisfactory estimates were obtained. A positive effect on model accuracy was observed when involving periodicity information in inputs and increasing training data length.  相似文献   

基于天地图高精度建筑物的四川宝兴县人口估算     

赵真  郭红梅  张莹  申源 《地震研究》2019,42(2):204-209,I0002

为了提高震前灾害风险评估和震后灾情快速评估工作中人口空间分布估计的准确性,利用2016年四川宝兴县乡镇人口数据及天地图中的建筑物数据,运用居住建筑人口密度方法得到四川宝兴县各乡镇居住建筑物尺度的人口分布矢量数据,并利用实地调研获取的单体建筑物实际人口进行精度验证。实验结果表明:以居住建筑物体积作为人口空间分布指示因子建模,得到的拟合精度为0.9027,人口平均相对误差为15.23%,结果具有可靠性,可为震前灾害风险评估和震后灾情快速评估提供更为可靠的数据支撑。  相似文献   

Guidelines on the use of structure-from-motion photogrammetry in geomorphic research     

Mike R. James  Jim H. Chandler  Anette Eltner  Clive Fraser  Pauline E. Miller  Jon P. Mills  Tom Noble  Stuart Robson  Stuart N. Lane 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2019,44(10):2081-2084

As a topographic modelling technique, structure-from-motion (SfM) photogrammetry combines the utility of digital photogrammetry with a flexibility and ease of use derived from multi-view computer vision methods. In conjunction with the rapidly increasing availability of imagery, particularly from unmanned aerial vehicles, SfM photogrammetry represents a powerful tool for geomorphological research. However, to fully realize this potential, its application must be carefully underpinned by photogrammetric considerations, surveys should be reported in sufficient detail to be repeatable (if practical) and results appropriately assessed to understand fully the potential errors involved. To deliver these goals, robust survey and reporting must be supported through (i) using appropriate survey design, (ii) applying suitable statistics to identify systematic error (bias) and to estimate precision within results, and (iii) propagating uncertainty estimates into the final data products. © 2019 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

元谋地电场观测数据小波阈值去噪     

朱杰 《地震地磁观测与研究》2019,40(5):70-78

为了解决元谋地电场观测数据的噪声干扰问题,采用小波阈值去噪的方法,根据元谋地电场观测数据特征,选取适当的阈值及不同的小波函数、分解层数进行研究。综合各小波函数去噪效果,通过对相对误差、均方根误差、信噪比等指标进行评价,确定适合元谋地电场观测数据去噪的阈值为软阈值函数、分层阈值;最优小波函数分别为Sym4、Sym5、db6和db8;分解层数分别为5、7、9。最后应用研究结果处理实际地电场观测数据,取得了较好的去噪效果。  相似文献   

地震活动性总体参量Rt在北京及邻区地震预测中的应用     

岳晓媛  武安绪  马梁 《地震地磁观测与研究》2019,40(6):28-34

采用地震活动性总体参量R_t方法,研究北京及邻区R_t值在中等地震前随时间的变化特征,分析跟踪地震发生前研究区域地震活动状态,探讨中等地震孕震过程的异常信息的变化特征。结果显示:当R_t值大于阈值0.84时,研究区域地震活动状态比较稳定,发生中等地震的可能性较小;反之,表明地震活动处于不稳定状态,具有发生中等地震的危险。检验R_t值的地震预测效能,预测效果比较理想,利用地震活动状态参量R_t研究北京及邻区地震活动状态,判定中等地震发生的风险性,具有一定预测意义。  相似文献   

CO2 saturation estimates at Sleipner (North Sea) from seismic tomography and rock physics inversion     

Hong Yan  Bastien Dupuy  Anouar Romdhane  Børge Arntsen 《Geophysical Prospecting》2019,67(4):1055-1071

CO₂ saturations are estimated at Sleipner using a two-step imaging workflow. The workflow combines seismic tomography (full-waveform inversion) and rock physics inversion and is applied to a two-dimensional seismic line located near the injection point at Sleipner. We use baseline data (1994 vintage, before CO₂ injection) and monitor data that was acquired after 12 years of CO₂ injection (2008 vintage). P-wave velocity models are generated using the Full waveform inversion technology and then, we invert selected rock physics parameters using an rock physics inversion methodology. Full waveform inversion provides high-resolution P-wave velocity models both for baseline and monitor data. The physical relations between rock physics properties and acoustic wave velocities in the Utsira unconsolidated sandstone (reservoir formation) are defined using a dynamic rock physics model based on well-known Biot–Gassmann theories. For data prior to injection, rock frame properties (porosity, bulk and shear dry moduli) are estimated using rock physics inversion that allows deriving physically consistent properties with related uncertainty. We show that the uncertainty related to limited input data (only P-wave velocity) is not an issue because the mean values of parameters are correct. These rock frame properties are then used as a priori constraint in the monitor case. For monitor data, the Full waveform inversion results show nicely resolved thin layers of CO₂–brine saturated sandstones under intra-reservoir shale layers. The CO₂ saturation estimation is carried out by plugging an effective fluid phase in the rock physics model. Calculating the effective fluid bulk modulus of the brine–CO₂ mixture (using Brie equation in our study) is shown to be the key factor to link P-wave velocity to CO₂ saturation. The inversion tests are done with several values of Brie/patchiness exponent and show that the CO₂ saturation estimates are varying between 0.30 and 0.90 depending on the rock physics model and the location in the reservoir. The uncertainty in CO₂ saturation estimation is usually lower than 0.20. When the patchiness exponent is considered as unknown, the inversion is less constrained and we end up with values of exponent varying between 5 and 20 and up to 33 in specific reservoir areas. These estimations tend to show that the CO₂–brine mixing is between uniform and patchy mixing and variable throughout the reservoir.  相似文献   

反应谱控制选波的地震动时频非平稳特性差异性分析     

雷屹欣  陈辉国  杨晓瑞 《华北地震科学》2019,37(3):1-9

时程分析法中地震波的选取关乎结构抗震分析结果是否准确,基于规范反应谱进行选波分析,研究不同选波控制指标下所选出的地震波在时域、频域等方面的特性及误差大小,并进行工程验证。结果表明:采用拟合反应谱选波方法所选的地震动在时、频域上特性差异较大,是导致时程分析法中结构响应差异性较大的主要原因,且选用更为严格的控制指标并不能有效降低所选出地震动时频非平稳之间的差异性。  相似文献