归一化植被指数与降水量、土壤湿度的关系   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

普布次仁 《气象》1995,21(12):8-12

归一化植被指数是描述植被绿度及生长状况的指数，由于植被生长依赖于环境条件因此ＮＤＶＩ与环境参量的关系是应用ＮＤＶＩ监测环境状况的基础。分别应用位于中国北部的干旱及半干旱地区的降水量资料对ＮＤＶＩ与降水量之间的关系地分析，结果表明仅在干旱半干旱地区生长季末的累积降水量与累积ＮＤＶＩ存在着显著的非线性关系，相关系数为０．７８。  相似文献   

区域资料四维同化试验   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3       下载免费PDF全文

朱宗申  马清云 《应用气象学报》1995,6(1):1-8

根据国家气象中心有限区分析预报系统的基本方案，设计一个以6小时为周期的间歇区域资料四维同化方案，对我国的两次暴雨过程进行两种不同粗细水平分辨率的资料四维同化和短期模式预报的试验。结果表明，由同化方案初值获得的短期预报明显好于LAFS方案的预报结果，高分辨率同化方案对预报的改进更明显。  相似文献   

一个三重嵌套的中尺度模式及暴雨模拟试验          下载免费PDF全文

郑国安  郭肖容 《应用气象学报》1995,6(2):129-137

该文介绍了新近发展的一个高分辨率有限区模式(HLAM)。它是通过三重嵌套在现有计算机(CYBER-992)条件下实现的，其范围、地理位置及侧边界宽度均设计为灵活可变，尤其水平分辨率可按任意倍数提高。利用水平分辨率为50km左右的模式版本进行了实际资料的降水个例实验。结果是令人鼓舞的:(1)与嵌套的低分辨率(格距增大4倍)模式预报比较，不论低压中心位置、强降水落区、雨带走向及降水中心位置的预报都更接近实况;(2)高分辨率模式积分区域虽然缩小，但并未影响预报效果，其48小时预报仍有较高精度。初步试验表明，进一步完善和改进后的HLAM完全可以发展为一个用于中尺度研究及业务使用的高分辨率区域模式。  相似文献   

High resolution time series of lead and zinc in sediments of Lake Constance   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

Martin Wessels  Angela Lenhard  Federico Giovanoli  Andreas Bollhöfer 《Aquatic Sciences - Research Across Boundaries》1995,57(4):291-304

Sediments in Lake Constance have been dated by radiometric methods and lamination counting. Investigations into the concentrations of lead and zinc in the sediments were carried out to get detailed information about environmental history. Maximum concentrations were found at the beginning of the 1960's. The lead maximum contamination occurred 3 years before the zinc maximum and has an unidentified source. The use of coal, leaded gasoline or the remobilization within the sediment could be excluded to result in the lead maximum. The fluctuations in zinc contamination could be explained with increasing and decreasing pollution (industry, coal burning, building of sewage plants). The greatest fluctuations of both metals occur during periods of great change in the economic history of Germany.  相似文献   

Characteristics of air flow over Andaman islands including precipitation     

Sarat C. Kar  N. Ramanathan 《Journal of Earth System Science》1987,96(2):169-188

The characteristics of simulated air flow over Andaman Islands are studied with a two-dimensional version of the University of Virginia meso scale model (UVMM). Using the observed synoptic data as initial conditions, 24 hr simulations are obtained for a day each in April and November. These days are chosen to study the variations in the simulated flow pattern under different synoptic conditions including precipitation effects. A large scale condensation scheme is employed to consider the effect of latent heat release on the perturbations. The results show that the latent heat released by condensation strengthens the intensity of perturbations and the topography accelerates the arrival of sea breeze by about an hour. The model-simulated results, given in graphical form, are discussed and compared with available observations.  相似文献   

云南月气候变化的一种多时间序列预测模型   总被引：2，自引：2，他引：0  

段旭  李敏  尤卫红 《高原气象》2001,20(4):441-446

为了充分利用过去和现在对气候系统进行定时观测而积累的大量数据 ,本文提出了月气候变化的一种多时间序列逐月滚动预测模型 ,并从与云南月气候变化有某种物理关系的 2 0多个时间序列出发 ,实际建立了一个云南月气候变化的多时间序列逐月滚动预测模型。在提前预测的时间尺度为 2个月的条件下 ,该模型对云南 80个气象观测站点 1995年 1月— 1999年 10月的逐月雨量和气温预测结果检验的最新业务标准评分平均可分别达到 6 6 .7%和 79.0 %。该评分成绩已明显高于云南省气象台目前的实际业务预测水平 ,并达到了“九五”攻关的目标要求 ,因此该模型的建立具有重要的实际意义  相似文献   

Probabilistic Assessment of Temperature in the Euganean Geothermal Area (Veneto Region, NE Italy)     

P. Fabbri 《Mathematical Geology》2001,33(6):745-760

In the geothermal Euganean area (Veneto region, NE Italy) water temperatures range from 60 to 86°C. The aquifer considered is rocky and the production wells in this study have a depth ranging from 300 to 500 m. For exploitation purposes, it is important to identify zones with a high probability that the temperature is more than 80°C and zones with a high probability that the temperature is less than 70°C. First, variographic analysis was conducted from 186 temperature data of thermal ground waters. This analysis gave results that are consistent with the main regional tectonic structure, the NW-SE trending Schio-Vicenza fault system. Then indicator variograms of the second, fifth, and eighth decile were compared to identify the spatial continuity at different thresholds. The unacceptability of a multigaussian hypothesis of the random function and the necessity to know the cumulative distribution function in any location, suggested the use of a nonparametric geostatistical procedure such as indicator kriging. Thus, indicator variograms at the cutoffs of 65, 70, 73, 75, 78, 80, 82, and 84°C were analyzed, fitted, and used during the indicator kriging procedure. Finally, probability maps were derived from postprocessing indicator kriging results. These maps identified scarcely exploited areas with a high probability of the temperature being higher than 80°C, between 70 and 80°C and areas with high probability of the temperature being below 70°C.  相似文献   

Type Ia supernovae: An explosion in the regime of a convergent delayed detonation wave     

N. V. Dunina-Barkovskaya  V. S. Imshennik  S. I. Blinnikov 《Astronomy Letters》2001,27(6):353-362

The model of a presupernova’s carbon-oxygen (C-O) core with an initial mass of 1.33 M _⊙, an initial carbon abundance X _C ⁽⁰⁾ =0.27, and a mean rate of increase in mass of 5 × 10^?7 M _⊙ yr^?1 through accretion in a binary system evolved from the central density and temperature ρ_c=10⁹ g cm^?3 and T _c=2.05 × 10⁸K, respectively, by forming a convective core and its subsequent expansion to an explosive fuel ignition at the center. The evolution and explosion equations included only the carbon burning reaction ¹²C+¹²C with energy release corresponding to the complete conversion of carbon and oxygen (at the same rate as that of carbon) into ⁵⁶Ni. The ratio of mixing length to convection-zone size α_c was chosen as the parameter. Although the model assumptions were crude, we obtained an acceptable (for the theory of supernovae) pattern of explosion with a strong dependence of its duration on α_c. In our calculations with sufficiently large values of this parameter, α_c=4.0 × 10^?3 and 3.0×10^?3, fuel burned in the regime of prompt detonation. In the range 2.0×10^?3≥α_c≥3.0×10^?4, there was initially a deflagration with the generation of model pulsations whose amplitude gradually increased. Eventually, the detonation regime of burning arose, which was triggered from the model surface layers (with m ? 1.33 M _⊙) and propagated deep into the model up to the deflagration front. The generation of model pulsations and the formation of a detonation front are described in detail for α_c=1.0 × 10^?3.  相似文献   

On determining the noon polar cap boundary from SuperDARN HF radar backscatter characteristics     

M. Pinnock  A. S. Rodger 《Annales Geophysicae》2001,18(12):1523-1530

Previous work has shown that ionospheric HF radar backscatter in the noon sector can be used to locate the footprint of the magnetospheric cusp particle precipitation. This has enabled the radar data to be used as a proxy for the location of the polar cap boundary, and hence measure the flow of plasma across it to derive the reconnection electric field in the ionosphere. This work used only single radar data sets with a field of view limited to 2 h of local time. In this case study using four of the SuperDARN radars, we examine the boundary determined over 6 h of magnetic local time around the noon sector and its relationship to the convection pattern. The variation with longitude of the latitude of the radar scatter with cusp characteristics shows a bay-like feature. It is shown that this feature is shaped by the variation with longitude of the poleward flow component of the ionospheric plasma and may be understood in terms of cusp ion time-of-flight effects. Using this interpretation, we derive the time-of-flight of the cusp ions and find that it is consistent with approximately 1 keV ions injected from a subsolar reconnection site. A method for deriving a more accurate estimate of the location of the open-closed field line boundary from HF radar data is described.  相似文献   

Temporal and spatial rainfall analysis across a humid tropical catchment     

P. Campling  A. Gobin  J. Feyen 《水文研究》2001,15(3):359-375

Temporal and spatial rainfall patterns were analysed to describe the distribution of daily rainfall across a medium‐sized (379km²) tropical catchment. Investigations were carried out to assess whether a climatological variogram model was appropriate for mapping rainfall taking into consideration the changing rainfall characteristics through the wet season. Exploratory, frequency and moving average analyses of 30 years' daily precipitation data were used to describe the reliability and structure of the rainfall regime. Four phases in the wet season were distinguished, with the peak period (mid‐August to mid‐September) representing the wettest period. A low‐cost rain gauge network of 36 plastic gauges with overflow reservoirs was installed and monitored to obtain spatially distributed rainfall data. Geostatistical techniques were used to develop global and wet season phase climatological variograms. The unscaled climatological variograms were cross‐validated and compared using a range of rainfall events. Ordinary Kriging was used as the interpolation method. The global climatological variogram performed better, and was used to optimize the number and location of rain gauges in the network. The research showed that although distinct wet season phases could be established based on the temporal analysis of daily rainfall characteristics, the interpolation of daily rainfall across a medium‐sized catchment based on spatial analysis was better served by using the global rather than the wet season phase climatological variogram model. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献