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利用小震调制比法、动态空区法、震群链式活动轨迹交汇法和短期震中迁移带交汇法这4种地震活动时空图像动态监测方法,结合震源模式中震源和其它单元之间的差异性以及各调整单元、调整层、深浅构造之间的差异性对若干震例进行研究,发现应用不同时段多个异常区边界或空区边界或条带交汇可求得未来强震的位置。交汇法使地震的预报范围大大缩小,这对防震减灾有一定的现实意义。另外,交汇法不仅具有明确的物理基础,而且具有可操作性和普适性。只要异常边界比较正确,采用的又是动态监测方法,这种预测强震位置的思路和方法还可推广到其它各种地震活动性参数和前兆场的分析中。 相似文献
144.
桩头侧向集中荷载作用下桩—土系统的非线性动力性能分析 总被引:10,自引:0,他引:10
在对侧向动荷作用下桩-土相互作用系统的数值模拟方法进行了评述之后,一个三维显式有限元模型被用来描述桩-土系统,以分析其在施加于桩头的侧向脉冲式动载作用下的非线性动力性能,其中混凝土桩被考虑为线弹性材料,而桩周土体被模拟为一种可进入破坏状态的弹塑性材料,同时滑移界面单元被用来模拟桩、土间的滑移和分离。计算结果表明,桩-土系统的侧向动力性能由桩头的约束条件和地表以下一定深度内的系统上部的性能参数所控制 相似文献
145.
热敏半导体器件中电位与温度满足的方程组,是一个椭圆-抛物耦合组,并带有混合边界条件。利用不动点定理可证明该问题解的存在性。 相似文献
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AN EVALUATION OF SEVERAL TURBULENCE SCHEMES FOR THE PREDICTION OF MEAN AND TURBULENT FIELDS IN COMPLEX TERRAIN 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
PETER J. HURLEY 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》1997,83(1):43-73
A prognostic three-dimensional mesoscale model has been developed andused in one- and two-dimensional modes to evaluate ten local turbulenceclosure schemes. The schemes ranged from first-order to the two-equationprognostic schemes. Predictions by the models were compared for aone-dimensional convective boundary layer using mixed layer scaling andmeasurements to interpret the results. Two-dimensional simulations were alsoperformed for a sea-breeze flow and for flow over a hill. The results showedthat for all of the models considered, minor differences were produced in themean meteorological fields and in the vertical scalar fluxes, but majordifferences were apparent in the velocity variances and dissipation rate.Predicted tracer concentrations were very sensitive to the turbulence modelformulation for dispersion from a point source in the convective boundarylayer, particularly for the prediction of maximum concentrations. Predictedtracer concentrations from a surface volume source for the two-dimensionalsimulations were similar for all models, although the degree of mixing in themorning growth period produced some differences. Generally, good results forthe mean meteorological fields can be obtained with first-order schemes, evenif they underpredict the magnitude of turbulence in the convective boundarylayer, and reasonable tracer concentrations can also be obtained with thesemodels provided near-source effects are not important. The two-equationprognostic models performed best for the prediction of turbulence in theconvective boundary layer. 相似文献
150.
H. E. Scheel H. Areskoug H. Geiss B. Gomiscek K. Granby L. Haszpra L. Klasinc D. Kley T. Laurila A. Lindskog M. Roemer R. Schmitt P. Simmonds S. Solberg G. Toupance 《Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry》1997,28(1-3):11-28
Surface ozone data from 25 Europeanlow-altitude sites and mountain sites located between79°N and 28°N were studied. The analysiscovered the time period March 1989–February 1993.Average summer and winter O3 concentrations inthe boundary layer over the continent gave rise togradients that were strongest in the north-west tosouth-east direction and west-east direction, respectively. WintertimeO3 ranged from 19 to 27 ppbover the continent, compared to about 32 ppb at thewestern border, while for summer the continentalO3 values ranged between 39 and 56 ppb and theoceanic mixing ratios were around 37 ppb. In the lowerfree troposphere average wintertime O3 mixingratios were around 38 ppb, with only an 8 ppbdifference between 28°N and 79°N. For summerthe average O3 levels decreased from about 55 ppbover Central Europe to 32 ppb at 79°N. Inaddition, O3 and Ox(= O3 + NO2)in polluted and clean air were compared. Theamplitudes of the seasonal ozone variations increasedin the north-west to south-east direction, while thetime of the annual maximum was shifted from spring (atthe northerly sites) to late summer (at sites inAustria and Hungary), which reflected the contributionof photochemical ozone production in the lower partsof the troposphere. 相似文献