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101.
We statistically analyze the tropical typhoon forming in the South China Sea and use TC (Tropical
Cyclone) for short in the following) by typhoon yearbook. The typhoon quantity is very different in different
months and years. TC appears in all months except March, and the most TC quantity in a year is 11, the least is 1
and 6.2 on average. The most TC quantity in a month is 5 and the least is 0. TC lands most in August and no TC
lands on Chinese continent from December to the following April. The primary landing area is between Shantou
and Hainan Island. The sustaining period of TC is usually between 4 days to 7days, and the longest is 19 days.
Only 15% of the TC forming in the South China Sea can intensify to typhoon, and they all form in the ocean area
deeper than 150m. The South China Sea is the ocean area over which the TC occurs frequently. 相似文献
102.
Local knowledge has played an active role in the lives of rural communities in virtually every part of the world. In Jamaica, traditional cropping systems based on local informal knowledge have been practiced since the days of slavery and play a vital role in meeting food security. Yet, some negative attitudes remain about the legitimacy and relevance of small-scale farmers' local and traditional knowledge. This paper discusses some conceptual and empirical issues related to the application of local knowledge among small-scale food farmers in central Jamaica. The paper argues that contextually speaking, local and traditional knowledge is valuable, adaptable and necessary in coping with risk and uncertainty in a changing world, while cautioning against a misguided notion of traditional knowledge as a panacea to all the ills of local agriculture. 相似文献
103.
104.
Bellie Sivakumar 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2007,32(7):969-979
Whether or not river flow exhibits nonlinear determinism remains an unresolved question. While studies on the use of nonlinear deterministic methods for modeling and prediction of river flow series are on the rise and the outcomes are encouraging, suspicions and criticisms of such studies continue to exist as well. An important reason for this situation is that the correlation dimension method, used as a nonlinear determinism identification tool in most of those studies, may possess certain limitations when applied to real river flow series, which are always finite and often short and also contaminated with noise (e.g. measurement error). In view of this, the present study addresses the issue of nonlinear determinism in river flow series using prediction as a possible indicator. This is done by (1) reviewing studies that have employed nonlinear deterministic methods (coupling phase‐space reconstruction and local approximation techniques) for river flow predictions and (2) identifying nonlinear determinism (or linear stochasticity) based on the level of prediction accuracy in general, and on the prediction accuracy against the phase‐space reconstruction parameters in particular (termed as the ‘inverse approach’). The results not only provide possible indications to the presence of nonlinear determinism in the river flow series studied, but also support, both qualitatively and quantitatively, the low correlation dimensions reported for such. Therefore, nonlinear deterministic methods are a viable complement to linear stochastic ones for studying river flow dynamics, if sufficient caution is exercised in their applications and in interpreting the outcomes. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
105.
光电式互感器的研究和发展及其在电力系统中的应用 总被引:12,自引:0,他引:12
易本顺 《武汉大学学报(信息科学版)》2002,27(1):57-62
在电力系统中,光学传感器较之传统的电气传感器具有本质上的优越性。叙述了近年来电流互感器(OCT)、光学电压互感器(OVT)在实际电力系统中的应用方面的研究及发展,详细总结了从110kV三相OCT到500k V组合式光学电流电压测量系统(OMU)等实际项目的研究工作。对光学电流互感器的一些新型设计进行了探讨,并展望了应用于电站的基于光纤传感、光纤监控、光纤通信及光纤继电保护的光纤局域网。 相似文献
106.
环境氟与人体健康——致世界卫生组织的一封公开信 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
总结了环境中的氟与人体健康的关系。呼吁人们不可忽视微量元素氟对人体的生理功能,摄入不足轻则臻龋齿,重则导臻大骨节病的发生;在全面认识氟的基础上,发现了卤素和人体健康有氟主骨,氯主心,溴主神和碘主智的重要关系。同时提出“元素丰欠皆致病”和“多祛少补乃原则”的地方病发病机制和治疗原则;地方病的防治提倡食疗和饮疗,最后建议地方病以摄入的元素多少来命名,因为它既能反映致病原因,又明确了治疗方法,医患皆知。 相似文献
107.
2000年我国主要天气气候特点为:全国大部地区降水偏少或接近常年,出现全国性干旱,特别是北方地区春夏季遭遇多年来罕见的特大干旱,汛期未发生大范围的暴雨洪涝灾害,秋季黄淮以南地区出现持续连阴雨天气,全国大部分气温接近常年成偏高,持续暖冬态势发生转折,夏季高温酷热,春季北方扬沙和沙尘暴天气异常频繁,登陆我国台风个数偏少,风雹等强对流天气明显偏少。 相似文献
108.
局地自适应多级模式降水预报 总被引:8,自引:1,他引:8
近年来,我国对西北太平洋上的热带气旋的实时业务定位精度有了很大的提高,平均定位误差均在20-30km,美国在同一海区的定位误差也在这一精度水平上。值得注意的是,计算业务定位误差的标准是各国确定的所谓“最佳位置”,然而,该“最佳位置”并不一定能代表实况。事实上,我国和美国的“最佳位置”是有差别的,平均达54.4km,且存在明显的年际变化和地理分布特征。这意味着,我们可能过小地估计了业务定位误差。 相似文献
109.
Two kinds of observational data,fluctuation and mean profile measurements,from a 325 m meteorological tower in Beijing,China,are used to evaluate local scales of velocity and temperature for higher heights by flux-gradient mean profiles and eddy-correlation techniques.A comparison of these methods each other was made in terms of vertical turbulence fluxes for momentum and beat at the same heigbt.The vertical profiles of non-dimensional second moments.such as vertical turbulent fluxes of momentum and heat.velocity and temperature standard deviations,were derived by local similarity theory.The local similarity relations expressed that the vertical distributions of non-dimensional second moment variables were found to be functions of z/Λ and z/h in the stable boundary layer and the function of z/Zi for the convective boundary layer,where A the local Monin Obukhov(M-O) length. h the height of stable boundary layer and Zi the height of mixed-layer.These relations are shown to agree well with the observational data. 相似文献
110.