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911.
912.
The identifiability of parameters in a water quality model of the Biebrza River, Poland 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
The identifiability of model parameters of a steady state water quality model of the Biebrza River and the resulting variation in model results was examined by applying the Monte Carlo method which combines calibration, identifiability analysis, uncertainty analysis, and sensitivity analysis. The water quality model simulates the steady state concentration profiles of chloride, phosphate, ammonium, and nitrate as a function of distance along a river. The water quality model with the best combination of parameter values simulates the observed concentrations very well. However, the range of possible modelled concentrations obtained for other more or less equally eligible combinations of parameter values is rather wide. This range in model outcomes reflects possible errors in the model parameters. Discrepancies between the range in model outcomes and the validation data set are only caused by errors in model structure, or (measurement) errors in boundary conditions or input variables. In this sense the validation procedure is a test of model capability, where the effects of calibration errors are filtered out. It is concluded that, despite some slight deviations between model outcome and observations, the model is successful in simulating the spatial pattern of nutrient concentrations in the Biebrza River. 相似文献
913.
K. -C. Yeh J. -C. Yang Y. -K. Tung 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》1997,11(2):173-192
Hydrologic model parameters obtained from regional regression equations are subject to uncertainty. Consequently, hydrologic
model outputs based on the stochastic parameters are random. This paper presents a systematic analysis of uncertainty associated
with the two parameters, N and K, in Nash's IUH model from different regional regression equations. The uncertainty features
associated with N and K are further incorporated to assess the uncertainty of the resulting IUH. Numerical results indicate
that uncertainty of N and K from the regional regression equations are too significant to be ignored. 相似文献
914.
The hydrocarbon generation mechanism and the three-stage type model of hydrocarbon generation for carbonate source rocks 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
The diagenetic mechanism and process of carbonate rocks, which is different to that of clastic rocks, decides the existence
of different existing state organic matters in carbonate rocks. This has been verified by both the microscopic observation
of organic petrology and the analysis of organic geochemistry of many samples. Based on the hydrous pyrolysis simulation experiment
of the low-mature carbonate rocks, the contrasting study on the yield and their geochemistry characteristics of different
existing state soluble organic matters of a series of various maturity samples shows that the different existing state organic
matters make different contributions to hydrocarbon generation during every evolution state. So that, the hydrocarbon generation
process of carbonate rocks can be summarized as the following three stages: the first is the direct degradation of biogenic
bitumen macromolecules during the immature stage, the second is the thermal degradation of a large amount of kerogen at the
mature stage, the last stage is the expulsion or release of inclusion organic matter owing to the increased thermal expansion
pressure during the high evolution stage.
Part of achievements of the Eighth Five-Year National Science-Technology Key-Task Project “85-102-02-07”. 相似文献
915.
A methodology for improving geopotential models has been developed. Theoretical relations have been derived converting coefficients in harmonic expansions for radial distortions due to geopotential models into geopotential Stokes coefficients. Terms of the order of 10
–10
in magnitude have been retained. 相似文献
916.
Based on characteristics and trap types of gas reservoirs in large and medium gas fields in China, 4 gas reservoir models
have been established:(i) structural trap gas reservoir model I, formed earlier than or simutaneously with generating of gases;
(ii) structural trap gas reservoir model II, formed later than generating of gases; (iii) fossil weathered residuum gas reservoir
model; and (iV) mud diapir abnormal temperature and pressure gas reservoir model. Distribution patterns of large-medium gas
fields are described with the concept of “sealed compartment”. It is concluded that the inner-compartment area, marginal area
of the compartment and the areas between two overlapped sealed compartments are the most favourable areas for discovering
large-medium gas fields.
Project supported by the “85–102” Chinese National Key Science and Technology Project. 相似文献
917.
Evolution model and formation mechanism of bio-thermocatalytic transitional zone gas 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
As a new genetic type of natural gas exploration area, the bio-thermocatalytic transitional zone gas (BTTZG) has been highly
stressed by geologists both at home and abroad. Systematic study on the generation mechanism of hydrocarbon at the transitional
zone is presented. Based on simulating experiments and geochemistry analysis of the source rock with lower evolution, a hydrocarbon-forming
model at the transitional zone has been established. The mechanism is proposed that under the condition of low temperature
and pressure combining with extremely active structural stress and clay mineral catalysis, BTTZG is formed by de-group of
soluble organic matter and polarized compositions through orthocarbon ion as well as by condensation polymerization of aromatic
ring-rich insoluble organic matter. This mechanism controls the formation of BTTZG, and furthermore, BTTZG is the product
of superimposition and interaction of all the factors mentioned above. 相似文献
918.
In this contribution we discuss the geometry-free GPS single baseline model and show how the least-squares ambiguities are affected by changes in the stochastic model. We particularly pay attention to the effect of time correlation, cross-correlation and satellite elevation dependence. We also differentiate between the impact on the location of the ambiguity search space and the impact on the size and shape of the search space. The analysis is carried out for both the model in which the ionospheric delays are assumed absent, and for the model in which they are assumed present. The former model is applicable to short baselines only. 相似文献
919.
Hydrologic model parameters obtained from regional regression equations are subject to uncertainty. Consequently, hydrologic
model outputs based on the stochastic parameters are random. This paper presents a systematic analysis of uncertainty associated
with the two parameters, N and K, in Nash's IUH model from different regional regression equations. The uncertainty features
associated with N and K are further incorporated to assess the uncertainty of the resulting IUH. Numerical results indicate
that uncertainty of N and K from the regional regression equations are too significant to be ignored. 相似文献
920.