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981.
982.
Seasonal climate forecasts have been promoted as a means to increase the resilience of marginal groups in Africa. The manifestations of this are still to be seen. This paper argues that successful dissemination and adoption of the forecast requires an in-depth profile of the characteristics and needs of user groups. The case study of a mountainous village in southern Lesotho is used to highlight the decisions which one group of marginal users – smallholder farmers – might make in response to the forecast. A participatory role-play exercise explores what information households presently receive and how new climate forecast information could be integrated into seasonal decision making. Results show that there are a number of low-input options available to these farmers for responding to the forecast. Adoption, however, is going to require repeated exposure to the forecast in conjunction with forecast development that is suited to users' needs. The case study is linked back to the larger scale by suggesting paths that seasonal climate forecast development could take if it is to contribute to improving livelihood sustainability among marginal groups.  相似文献   
983.
The development of Taiwan's agricultural sector contributed significantly to the country's transformation from virtual poverty after World War II to a modern industrial nation. Success resulted from the use of appropriate technologies, developed through an exceptionally close working relationship between government, research and development institutions, extension services and farmers in Taiwan. As part of their overseas development aid programme, the Republic of China on Taiwan has established Technical Missions in those developing countries where it receives political recognition. Among these is The Gambia, West Africa, where one focus of Taiwan's current Technical Mission is the development of women's market gardens. Although the gardens have proved successful, there is doubt as to whether their achievements will be sustained once Taiwan's Technical Mission in The Gambia has ended. Field research in Taiwan and in The Gambia, based largely on participatory techniques, has revealed that the low-tech methods introduced from Taiwan are appropriate for the Gambian environment. However, much depends on whether women participating in the schemes can commit sufficient time and energy to the gardens, as at present this is a limiting factor. The potential of the gardens may also be constrained by a lack of appropriate institutional infrastructure, particularly the scope for profitable disposal of garden produce. A major conclusion of the article is that successful transfer of appropriate technology to The Gambia is likely to be impeded by poorly developed coordination between groups that proved to be key 'players' in the development of agriculture in Taiwan: government, research and development institutions, extension services and producers.  相似文献   
984.
The Mekele Plateau, located in the semi-arid northern highland region of Ethiopia, is a drought-prone, highly degraded area. It has long been neglected by policymakers and thus recurring famine, widespread poverty, armed conflicts and mass outmigration have contributed to the near collapse of the farming systems and the livelihoods of the population. Traditional stream diversion irrigation has been practised in this area for several centuries. The systems of water management in particular may be considered inappropriate owing to the need for thriftiness in water use imposed by the local environment. The systems of headworks and canals are crude and wasteful on water. Recent interventions to improve the small-scale irrigation systems of the area have not been successful. Most interventions have preferred to introduce rainwater harvesting systems using micro-dams rather than trying to upgrade the traditional diversion schemes. Evaluation of irrigation structures in the field, interviews with key informants in government, analysis of documents and discussions with irrigators indicate that both the Ministry of Agriculture and SAERT-Commission's rainwater harvesting programmes have generally failed. The case of the most recent intervention by SAERT has failed because of myopic project planning, inadequate engineering studies, unsound designs, too short a time for implementation, and lack of full farmer involvement at different levels of project planning and implementation.  相似文献   
985.
宋韬 《世界地理研究》2004,13(4):75-78,85
农村合作医疗是我国农村主要的医疗保障形式。但是由于我国各地社会经济发展水平不平衡,中央政府的扶持政策也有所不同,合作医疗出现了多种不同的地区模式。高收入地区、中等收入地区及低收入地区的合作医疗在筹资方式、管理方式和补偿方式上都各有特点。  相似文献   
986.
基于非线性平差模型的坐标转换公式   总被引:4,自引:2,他引:4  
用线性近似法以及非线性参数估计法讨论了直角坐标系七参数转换模型,指出改进的Gauss-Newton方法具有理论严密、计算简洁、易于编程、精度较高等持点。对于处理类似坐标转换的非线性模型具有重要的理论和实践意义。  相似文献   
987.
用L-曲线法确定半参数模型中的平滑因子   总被引:7,自引:0,他引:7  
提出了一种新的方法——L-曲线法确定平滑因子。通过确定合适的平滑因子,更好地控制了残差部分V^TPV与光滑度部分S^TRS之间的平衡,得到了更准确的参数估值。通过算例,将基于L-曲线法确定平滑因子的半参数模型解算方法和其他方法进行了比较。结果表明,用L-曲线法确定平滑因子后,提高了半参数模型计算结果的精度,可以更好地将观测值中的系统误差分离出来。  相似文献   
988.
基于EM算法和单幅雷达图像阴影的控制点坡度校正   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
对在我国现有的条件下进行控制点坡度校正的必要性进行了阐述,并分析了EM算法。根据EM算法以及基于区域增长的余弦散射模型建立了控制点坡度校正模型,并用河北省张北地区的雷达影像进行了实验,取得了较高的精度初值。  相似文献   
989.
建筑物沉降规律的综合时序分析   总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6  
建筑物的沉降监测数据序列具有趋势变化和随机变化的特点,本文针对两种变化项的特点分别建立相应的数学模型,再将其组合起来建立综合数学模型,从总体上把握沉降数据序列的变化规律。实例计算分析表明,此方法具有较高的拟合精度和预测能力,具有一定的应用参考价值。  相似文献   
990.
起伏地形下我国太阳直接辐射空间制图   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
建立了起伏地形下太阳直接辐射分布式计算模型 ;成功地解决了起伏地形中地形相互遮蔽对太阳直接辐射影响的难题 ;采用数据集群技术 ,探讨了不同数据集情况下太阳直接辐射计算模式的时空有效性 ;以 1km× 1km分辨率的DEM数据作为地形的综合反映 ,完成了我国 1km× 1km分辨率各月气候平均太阳直接辐射空间分布制图  相似文献   
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