Deriving rules from activity diary data: A learning algorithm and results of computer experiments   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Theo A. Arentze  Frank Hofman  Harry J.P. Timmermans 《Journal of Geographical Systems》2001,3(4):325-346

 Activity-based models consider travel as a derived demand from the activities households need to conduct in space and time. Over the last 15 years, computational or rule-based models of activity scheduling have gained increasing interest in time-geography and transportation research. This paper argues that a lack of techniques for deriving rules from empirical data hinders the further development of rule-based systems in this area. To overcome this problem, this paper develops and tests an algorithm for inductively deriving rules from activity-diary data. The decision table formalism is used to exhaustively represent the theoretically possible decision rules that individuals may use in sequencing a given set of activities. Actual activity patterns of individuals are supplied to the system as examples. In an incremental learning process, the system progressively improves on the selection of rules used for reproducing the examples. Computer experiments based on simulated data are performed to fine-tune rule selection and rule value update functions. The results suggest that the system is effective and fairly robust for parameter settings. It is concluded, therefore, that the proposed approach opens up possibilities to derive empirically tested rule-based models of activity scheduling. Follow-up research will be concerned with testing the system on empirical data. Received: 31 January 2001 / Accepted: 13 September 2001  相似文献   

空间大地测量的最新进展(一)     

胡明城 《测绘科学》2001,26(3):52-55

现代大地测量的进展主要是空间大地测量的进展 ,而空间大地测量的进展以 GPS的进展最为突出。因此 ,本刊曾在 2 0 0 0年 4期和 2 0 0 1年 1期连载了 GPS的最新进展。现陆续介绍现代空间大地测量最新进展的全貌 ,包括 :1.空间大地测量最新进展的概况 ;2 .甚长基线干涉测量 (VL BI)的最新进展 ;3.激光测月 (L L R)和激光测卫 (SL R)的最新进展 ;4.卫星雷达测高的最新进展 ;5 .合成孔径雷达干涉测量 (INSAR)的最新进展 ;6 .由卫星集成的多普勒和无线电定位系统 (DORIS)的最新进展等  相似文献   

Developing a bivariate spatial association measure: An integration of Pearson's r and Moran's I   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Sang-Il Lee 《Journal of Geographical Systems》2001,3(4):369-385

 This research is concerned with developing a bivariate spatial association measure or spatial correlation coefficient, which is intended to capture spatial association among observations in terms of their point-to-point relationships across two spatial patterns. The need for parameterization of the bivariate spatial dependence is precipitated by the realization that aspatial bivariate association measures, such as Pearson's correlation coefficient, do not recognize spatial distributional aspects of data sets. This study devises an L statistic by integrating Pearson's r as an aspatial bivariate association measure and Moran's I as a univariate spatial association measure. The concept of a spatial smoothing scalar (SSS) plays a pivotal role in this task. Received: 07 November 2000 / Accepted: 02 August 2001  相似文献   

Solution and econometric estimation of spatial dynamic models in continuous space and continuous time     

Kieran P. Donaghy 《Journal of Geographical Systems》2001,3(3):257-270

 This paper presents and demonstrates a general approach to solving spatial dynamic models in continuous space and continuous time that characterize the behaviour of intertemporally and interspatially optimizing agents and estimating from discrete data the parameters of such models. The approach involves the use of a projection method to solve the models and a quasi-Newton algorithm to update quasi-FIML parameter estimates. Received: 26 July 2000 / Accepted: 31 January 2001  相似文献   

The development of computer networks: First results from a microeconomic model     

Gunther Maier  Alexander Kaufmann 《Journal of Geographical Systems》2001,3(2):155-166

 Computer networks like the Internet are gaining importance in social and economic life. The accelerating pace of the adoption of network technologies for business purposes is a rather recent phenomenon. Many applications are still in the early, sometimes even experimental, phase. Nevertheless, it seems to be certain that networks will change the socioeconomic structures we know today. This is the background for our special interest in the development of networks, in the role of spatial factors influencing the formation of networks, and consequences of networks on spatial structures, and in the role of externalities. This paper discusses a simple economic model – based on a microeconomic calculus – that incorporates the main factors that generate the growth of computer networks. The paper provides analytic results about the generation of computer networks. The paper discusses (1) under what conditions economic factors will initiate the process of network formation, (2) the relationship between individual and social evaluation, and (3) the efficiency of a network that is generated based on economic mechanisms. Received: 5 July 2000 / Accepted: 28 November 2000  相似文献   

基于逻辑斯蒂模型的遥感图像分类   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

刘庆生  刘高焕  蔺启忠  王志刚 《国土资源遥感》2001,12(1):36-41,65

逻辑斯蒂法是一种非线性的回归分析方法,因采用逻辑斯蒂模型而得名^[1],可用来进行未知单元类别属性的预测和判定。不同于一般的分类方法,它可分别给出某一单元属于各已知类别的概率,进而对研究的未知区中所有单元进行分类和预测。本文首先阐述了该方法的基本原理,而后利用它对内蒙古自治区两个研究区的两种图像数据进行了分类,最后探讨了影响该方法用于遥感图像分类的几个因素.  相似文献   

利用数字化雷达回波参数分析人工增雨播云条件   总被引：10，自引：2，他引：10       下载免费PDF全文

迟竹萍  陈金敏  朱平盛 《气象》2001,27(4):46-49

利用数字化测雨雷达观测的层状云雷达立体扫描资料和探空资料，分析得出层状云降水部分特征，并利用多元逐步回归获得催化作业效果指标y=2.0mm.h^-1，在使用雷达立体扫描资料进行人工增雨作业时指导方面做了探讨。  相似文献   

昭苏县防雹雷达站防雹业务技术规程     

瓦黑提.阿扎买提  余福成等 《沙漠与绿洲气象(新疆气象)》2001,24(3):34-37

在总结昭苏县25年雷达探测冰雹云和指挥防雹作业技术的基础上，研究并编写了昭苏县防雹雷达站防雹业务技术规程，本文扼要介绍雷达观测、雹云识别、作业指挥，效果分析等部分主要技术规程。  相似文献   

The June 4th 1999 severe weather episode in San Quirino, Italy: a tornado event?     

Renzo Bechini  Dario Giaiotti  Agostino Manzato  Fulvio Stel  Stefano Micheletti 《Atmospheric Research》2001,56(1-4)

On the morning of June 4th 1999, a severe weather event took place in San Quirino, a small village of Friuli-Venezia Giulia in the northeast of Italy. This village is located near the piedmont of the Alps, 40 km west from Udine and 60 km north from Venice.Around 0900 UTC (1100 local time), a thunderstorm with an intense hail fall affected the area of San Quirino. A few minutes later (around 0920 UTC, source: a farmer), a funnel cloud from a cumulonimbus touched the ground, producing damages to houses, trees and sheds. The damaged area was quite narrow (about 300 m) and short (less than 10 km). No injuries to people were reported.In spite of the smallness of the area interested by the phenomenon, this storm is studied here starting from the synoptic scale, moving to the mesoscale and finishing with the storm scale, trying to underline its characteristics. These analyses, especially those coming from the Doppler radar images, bring us to the conclusion that the San Quirino episode was produced by a supercell storm.  相似文献   

根据天气类型划分欧洲中期天气预报中心的集合预报产品   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

杨学胜  JeanNicolau  NicoleGirardot 《气象学报》2001,59(2):173-182

该研究的主要目的是找出一种对集合预报产品进行释用的新方法。其基本假定是集合预报要素在一定程度上代表了未来可能发生的天气形势。为了解决天气尺度在中期预报的不可预报性问题 ,引入了天气类型的概念。对集合预报进行划分的方法是 Diday提出的动力模糊法 ,初始划分时的重心由天气类型定义 ,划分用到的距离是位移和最大相关方法。根据城市块 (City- Block)距离找出了影响中国的按冬夏两季划分的天气类型 ,初步划分结果表明 ,欧洲中期天气预报中心的集合预报系统可以预报出横槽转竖型天气类型的演变情况 ,在夏天的预报效果则没有冬天好。  相似文献