9403强热带风暴致洪暴雨Tbb特征分析   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：2  

杨金锡  冯志娴 《气象科学》1996,16(4):378-382

本文利用１经纬度间隔Ｔｂｂ资料分析１９９４年６月９－１０日皖、赣致洪暴雨过程的成因。结果指出，登陆北上的９４０３强热带低压同西风带降水系统相互作用造成了这场大暴雨过程。南北低值系统的叠置使降水系统结构发生变化，在两云系统接合处产生强对流云团，导致降雨量陡增。分析还表明这场致洪暴雨的发生与下面三个因素有关；１．南、北两云系统都有相当尺度和强度；２．南来云团来自ＩＴＣＺ和西南地区云系的水源补充；３．不  相似文献   

江苏省夏季持续干旱和雨涝的气候分析以及环流和海温场演变特征   总被引：3，自引：1，他引：3  

施宁  栾建林 《气象科学》1996,(4)

在对我省夏季持续干旱和雨涝进行气候分析的基础上，研究了夏季持续干旱和持续雨涝的环流特征差异、持续干旱的两种不同的环流型以及前期海温场的特征和演变规律。  相似文献   

河套华北地区旱涝的前期环流异常与大西洋海温的关系及其数值模拟   总被引：8，自引：1，他引：8  

陈晓光  徐祥德  朱乾根 《气象学报》1996,54(1):102-107

首先分析了河套华北地区旱涝的前期异常环流，然后探讨了这种异常环流形成的机制，最后采用了ＯＳＵ－ＡＧＣＭ作了大西洋地区热源异常强迫的数值试验。结果表明，大西洋地区海温异常强迫激发的定常波向上、下游的能量传播，造成的前期秋冬季环流异常与河套华北地区的夏季旱涝有较好的对应关系。  相似文献   

山东省干旱演变规律及其影响   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

杨志刚  杨洪昌 《气象》1996,22(5):25-29

利用近５００年旱涝资料分析了干旱对山东省农业，工业及环境的危害。利用功率谱和模糊判别函数研究了旱涝的周期性和阶段性，指出旱涝的演变规律可为气候预测提供依据。  相似文献   

1995年我国天气气候特点     

徐良炎 《气象》1996,22(4):17-19

１９９５年，我国大部地区降水正常或偏多，但季节分配不均。春季，北方干旱范围较大，陕、甘等省冬春夏连旱，旱情严重。汛期，江南及东北南部暴雨频繁，赣、湘、辽、吉等省发展严重洪涝。全国大部地区热量比较充足，但光照条件欠佳，部分地区作物遭受低温寡照或霜冻危害。登陆台风和热带风暴偏多，两广局地损失严重。部分地区遭受风雹或沙尘暴袭击。  相似文献   

1995年世界气候概况     

王丽华  李晓燕 《气象》1996,22(4):24-26

１９９５年，世界气候普遍偏暖。欧亚大陆大部、北美大陆中部、南美大陆中部、非洲西北部的年平均气温大多偏高１－２℃，其中俄罗斯大部、美国西南部显著偏高，部分地区偏高４℃，北半球中高纬度地区冬暖非常显著。由于北半球中纬度地区，许多测站气温高达３５－４０℃，为近几十年乃至百年一遇。年内，全球许多地区旱涝频繁，诸如年初欧洲的暴风雪与美国加利福尼亚洲的特大洪水及夏季朝鲜、与中南半岛的大水灾、加勒比海的飓风等危  相似文献   

海安暴雨洪涝灾害预报探讨     

程伋 《气象》1996,22(11):49-52

暴雨洪涝预报是目前气象和水利，水文学科正在致力攻克的预报难题。作者通过调查海安洪涝发生与暴雨的关系，利用水文，地形资料找出径流量和主河道水位升降的相关，结合暴雨预报，推导暴雨洪涝发生的可能以及大致区域和洪涝程度。  相似文献   

EVOLUTIONAL CHARACTERISTICS OF HYPER－CONCENTRATED FLOW IN BRAIDED CHANNEL OF THE YELLOW RIVER     

QI Pu  LI Wenxue 《国际泥沙研究》1996,(3)

ＥＶＯＬＵＴＩＯＮＡＬＣＨＡＲＡＣＴＥＲＩＳＴＩＣＳＯＦＨＹＰＥＲ－ＣＯＮＣＥＮＴＲＡＴＥＤＦＬＯＷＩＮＢＲＡＩＤＥＤＣＨＡＮＮＥＬＯＦＴＨＥＹＥＬＬＯＷＲＩＶＥＲ￥ＱＩＰｕ；ＬＩＷｅｎｘｕｅ（Ｓｅｎｉｏｒｅｎｇｉｎｅｅｒ，ＩｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅｏｆＨｙ...  相似文献   

Estimation of quantiles and confidence intervals for the log-Gumbel distribution     

J. -H. Heo  J. D. Salas 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》1996,10(3):187-207

The log-Gumbel distribution is one of the extreme value distributions which has been widely used in flood frequency analysis. This distribution has been examined in this paper regarding quantile estimation and confidence intervals of quantiles. Specific estimation algorithms based on the methods of moments (MOM), probability weighted moments (PWM) and maximum likelihood (ML) are presented. The applicability of the estimation procedures and comparison among the methods have been illustrated based on an application example considering the flood data of the St. Mary's River.  相似文献   

Simulations of seasonal variations of sulfur compounds in the remote marine atmosphere   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Seizi Koga  Hiroshi Tanaka 《Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry》1996,23(2):163-192

A photochemical box model is used to simulate seasonal variations in concentrations of sulfur compounds at latitude 40° S. It is assumed that the hydroxyl radical (OH) addition reaction to sulfur in the dimethyl sulfide (DMS) molecule is the predominant pathway for methanesulfonic acid (MSA) production, and that the rate constant increases as the air temperature decreases. Concentration of the nitrate radical (NO₃) is a function of the DMS flux, because the reaction of DMS with NO₃ is the most important loss mechanism of NO₃. While the diurnally averaged concentration of OH in winter is a factor of about 8 smaller than in summer, due to the weak photolysis process, the diurnally averaged concentration of NO₃ in winter is a factor of about 4–5 larger than in summer, due to the decrease of DMS flux. Therefore, at middle and high latitudes in winter, atmospheric DMS is mainly oxidized by the reaction with NO₃. The calculated ratio of the MSA to SO₂ production rates is smaller in winter than in summer, and the MSA to non-sea-salt sulfate (nssSO₄ ^2-) molar ratio varies seasonally. This result agrees with data on the seasonal variation of the MSA/nssSO₄ ^2- molar ratio obtained at middle and high latitudes. The calculations indicate that during winter the reaction of DMS with NO₃ is likely to be a more important sink of NO_x (NO+NO₂) than the reaction of NO₂ with OH, and to serve as a significant pathway of the HNO₃ production. If dimethyl sulfoxide (DMSO) is produced through the OH addition reaction and is heterogeneously oxidized in aqueous solutions, half of the nssSO₄ ^2- produced in summer may be through the oxidation process of DMSO. It is necessary to further investigate the oxidation products by the reaction of DMS with OH, and the possibility of the reaction of DMS with NO₃ during winter.  相似文献