Verification of the motion fields over Southeast Asia by the Florida State University (FSU) superensemble forecast     

Mastura Mahmud  Robert S. Ross 《Singapore journal of tropical geography》2006,27(2):176-190

The Florida State University (FSU) multimodel superensemble forecast is evaluated against several other operational weather models for the Southeast Asia region. The superensemble technique has demonstrated its exceptional skills in forecasting precipitation, motion and mass fields compared to either individual global operational or ensemble mean forecasts. The motion field investigation for the season of 2001 reveals that the superensemble forecasts are closer to the observed data compared to the other global member operational models through its low systematic errors at the 850 hPa level. The FSU multimodel superensemble forecasts exhibit the lowest root mean square errors (RSMEs), the highest correlation against the best observed data and the lowest systematic errors compared to the other operational model members. These forecasts have the potential to provide better daily weather predictions over the Southeast Asia region, particularly during the early northeast monsoon that often causes heavy rainfall in the equatorial part of the Southeast Asia region.  相似文献   

Towards a method for postcolonial development geography? Possibilities and challenges   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Parvati Raghuram  Clare Madge 《Singapore journal of tropical geography》2006,27(3):270-288

In this paper we explore the contours of a 'method' for postcolonial development geography, which makes it possible to imagine another 'world-picturing'. We suggest three steps towards such a method. First, we propose that a postcolonial method involves thinking about why we are doing research in the south in the first place; how we come to and produce our questions; and how we analyze and represent our findings based on our subject positionings. Second, that we need to recognize theorization as an inherent part of method, rethink how we currently theorize and reconfigure our methods of theorization to address wider political aims. Problematizing theorization helps challenge the universalism of Eurocentric theories, thus enabling development geography to move towards more decolonized versions and visions. Finally, that this must be accompanied by firmer recognition of our multiple investments – personal, institutional and geopolitical – and how they frame the possibilities for change. These are some possible steps that we think can reconfigure the 'scholarly track' that postcolonial development geographers traverse.  相似文献   

The Dahuiyeh (Zarand) earthquake of 2005 February 22 in central Iran: reactivation of an intramountain reverse fault   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

M. Talebian  J. Biggs  M. Bolourchi  A. Copley  A. Ghassemi  M. Ghorashi  J. Hollingsworth  J. Jackson  E. Nissen  B. Oveisi  B. Parsons  K. Priestley  A. Saiidi 《Geophysical Journal International》2006,164(1):137-148

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Surface waves image the top of the Eifel plume   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Jan P. Mathar  Joachim R. R. Ritter  Wolfgang Friederich 《Geophysical Journal International》2006,164(2):377-382

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An integral equation approach for 2.5-dimensional forward and inverse electromagnetic scattering     

Aria Abubakar  Peter M van den Berg  Tarek M Habashy 《Geophysical Journal International》2006,165(3):744-762

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Study on the Fragility of Building Structures in Taiwan     

Wen-I Liao  Chin-Hsiung Loh  Keh-Chyuan Tsai 《Natural Hazards》2006,37(1-2):55-69

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大湾铀矿田铀-镭平衡系数及迁移富集特征研究     

刘红兵 《华南地质与矿产》2006,(1):34-37

从分析大湾铀矿田各矿床(点)的铀镭平衡系数变化特征出发,结合放射性同位素比值特征分析铀镭迁移富集行为,指出了各矿床(点)氧化带的深度,以了解各铀矿床(点)潜在的工业价值.  相似文献   

云南元-磨公路某高堑坡灾害发生机制及防治对策     

齐明柱 《中国地质灾害与防治学报》2006,17(2):19-22

论文根据现场地质调查,应用地质力学分析方法,分析了元-磨公路K235 160~600段高堑坡地质条件、病害发生机制和诱发因素。堑坡所在区域位于红河深大断裂与哀牢山深大断裂所夹持的哀牢山褶皱带内,属强烈侵蚀切割的低中山区,河流下切严重,河流阶地不发育。南溪河及其支流小曼萨河、叉河依附于不同时期生成的构造发育而成,堑坡位于小曼萨河注入南溪河的交汇部位小曼萨河的左岸。小曼萨河及南溪河所夹持的山体,尤其是堑坡所在的部位,已严重破碎、松弛,岩石似大块石堆垒状,坡面上的树木均明显地向小曼萨河方向倾倒。经地质力学配套分析,堑坡所依附的山梁形成于红河深大断裂生成期(γ4),堑坡岩体受多期构造活动的作用,其中NW65/°SW64°及NW63/°SW35°两组倾向临空的构造面控制坡体的稳定。堑坡具备发生变形破坏的地质条件,分析认为由于组成坡体的岩土强度不足而引起既有构造面的大型坍塌。连续降雨及温差是诱发因素。基于目前国内边坡防治技术、施工能力,提出了以“治”或“避”为主的防治对策。  相似文献   

基于有限差分法的抗滑桩计算机辅助设计   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

杨佑发  黄小鹏 《中国地质灾害与防治学报》2006,17(2):95-98

基于地基系数“m-m”法、“m-k”法、“k-k”法的原理,考虑桩顶和桩底边界条件以及桩在滑动面处位移、转角、弯矩和剪力的连续条件,可解得桩身各节点的位移和内力,提出了进行抗滑桩全桩内力计算的有限差分法。根据差分方程并用VB6.0编制了实用的计算程序,既可避免繁琐的查表计算,提高计算速度,又可提高计算精度,直观生动,真正实现了人机交互,在界面的引导下,设计人员可完成全部计算,并绘出内力图形和抗滑桩截面配筋图,使设计更方便快捷,该软件可以极大地提高生产效率,降低工程造价,从而实现抗滑桩的优化设计。最后采用上述方法对某滑坡的悬臂抗滑桩进行了设计与计算。  相似文献   

福建平潭虎潮山滑坡成因机理分析与评价   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

秦刚  姚环  林燕滨 《中国地质灾害与防治学报》2006,17(3):10-13

虎潮山滑坡位于平宏公路12k 704~12k 884段北侧山坡体上,是平潭海岛通往陆地的唯一公路通道。论文通过定性的工程地质分析和定量计算评价了虎潮山坡体稳定性的变化趋势,提出改建公路超挖深切坡脚和持续长时间强降雨导致的孔隙水压力作用是边坡发生滑动破坏的主要因素。  相似文献