基于逐步回归和SVR方法的上海夏季日最大电力负荷的模拟研究     

《气象与环境科学》2021,44(4)

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大气压力变化对武汉台站重力场观测的影响   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

罗少聪  孙和平 《测绘学报》2000,29(Z1):75-79

利用全球2°×2.5°、中国及邻区域30′×30′ 气压资料和Farrell弹性地球模型负荷理论,采用数值积分方法,计算了大气压力变化对武汉台站重力场观测的影响。对1990年1月1日至12月31日的数值结果分析表明,全球大气压力变化对武汉台站重力的影响峰对峰达12微伽,大气重力导纳的年平均值为-0.260 μGal/mba(1 mba=1 hPa),这一结果同潮汐分析中由回归分析方法获得的导纳值相近。说明在利用超导重力仪观测资料应用于地球动力学研究之前,有必要作精细的全球气压变化改正。  相似文献   

Evaluation of total load sediment transport formulas using ANN   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Chih Ted YANG  Reza MARSOOLI  Mohammad Taghi AALAMI 《国际泥沙研究》2009,24(3):274-286

The calculated results from various sediment transport formulas often differ from each other and from measured data. Some parameters in the sediment transport formulas are more effective than others to estimate total sediment load. In this study, an Artificial Neural Network （ANN） model is trained using four dominant parameters of sediment transport formulas. ANN models are able to reveal hidden laws of natural phenomena such as sediment transport process. The results of ANN and some total bed material load sediment transport formulas have been compared to indicate the importance of variables which can be used in developing sediment transport formulas. To train ANN, average flow velocity, water surface slopes, average flow depth, and median particle diameter are used as dominant parameters to estimate total bed material load. Two hundreds and fifty samples are used to train the ANN model. Twenty-four sets of field data not used in the training nor calibration of ANN are used to compare or verify the accuracy of ANN and some well-known total bed material load formulas. The test results show that the ANN model developed in this study using minimum number of dominant factors is a reliable and uncomplicated method to predict total sediment transport rate or total bed material load transport rate. Results show that the accuracy of formulas in descending order are those by Yang （1973）, Laursen （1958）, Engelund and Hansen （1972）, Ackers and White （1973）, and Toffaleti （1969）. These results are similar to those made by ASCE （1982） based on laboratory and field data not used in this paper. Study results also show that the formulas based on physical laws of sediment transport, like those formulas that were developed based on power concept, are more accurate than other formulas for estimating total bed material sediment load in rivers.  相似文献   

Evaluation of a gravel transport sensor for bed load measurements in natural flows     

Athanasios N. 《国际泥沙研究》2009,24(1):1-15

A recent acoustic instrument （Gravel Transport Sensor, GTS） was tested for predicting sediment transport rate （bed load rate） in gravel bed streams. The GTS operation is based on the particle collision theory of submerged obstacles in fluids. When particles collide with the GTS cylinder their momentum is recorded in the form of ping rates. The GTS is attractive for further consideration here because of its potential to provide continuous unattended local bed load measurements, especially in areas found in streams that access may be difficult under extreme conditions. Laboratory experiments coupled with numerical simulations for the same flow conditions were performed in order to determine the conditions under which particles of different size will hit the GTS cylinder and be able to register a ping rate. The GTS was able to detect the number of particles with diameter in the range of 15.9 to 25.4 mm, with reasonable accuracy, if the applied Shields effective stress τ＊e = τ＊ - τ＊cr was in the range of 0.006 to 0.015. A drawback of the tested prototype GTS, however, was that it exerted increased resistance on the incoming particles. The added drag effects increased the overall resistance that was exerted by the flow on particles and thus increased the likelihood that particles will rest in the ambient region of the cylinder instead of hitting it. Numerical simulation of the flow around the GTS cylinder revealed that changing the prototype geometry from cylindrical to ellipsoid or rhomboid will increase the likelihood of the particles hitting the instrument under the same flow conditions failed by the original tested GTS cylinder.  相似文献   

武汉市供电量及其最大负荷的气象预报方法   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

陈正洪  魏静 《湖北气象》2000,(3):25-28

以武汉市１９９５～１９９８年逐日供电量及其最大负荷与７个气象因子为原始资料,详细研究了两项电和指标的年、季、月、周期化规律及其与气象因子的相关性,求长出各月、夏半年、冬半年１℃效应量,最后分夏半年,冬半年建立了周平均供电量及其最大负荷的气象预测模型,通过系数订正呆将周模型用于逐日电力预测。  相似文献   

负荷勒夫数渐近表达式的直接证明   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

郭俊义 《地球物理学报》2000,43(4):515-521

负荷勒夫数ｈ＇_ｎ、ｌ＇_ｎ、和ｋ＇_ｎ用以表征地球在表面点负荷作用下的变形．当ｎ→∞时,ｈ＇_ｎ、ｎｌ＇_ｎ和ｎｋ＇_ｎ的渐近值均为常数,这是Ｆａｒｒｅｌｌ通过比较Ｂｏｕｓｓｉｎｅｓｑ问题的解与地球在表面负荷作用下变形的球函数级数展开式得出的．本文直接由负荷勒夫数满足的微分方程推导出了它们的渐近表达式,方法更为直观和简明,而且更易于理解。  相似文献   

宜昌台超导重力观测中的海潮与大气负荷效应研究     

魏工哲  刘子维  江颖  张晓彤  周浩  李晖 《大地测量与地球动力学》2024,(3):293-298

基于2017年宜昌地震台超导重力仪观测数据,对数据预处理、极移改正和长周期趋势改正后的重力潮汐观测数据进行调和分析,获得宜昌台精确地方重力潮汐参数,选取NAO.99b和osu.Chinasea.2010海潮模型研究海潮负荷对重力观测的影响。结果表明,宜昌台海潮负荷变幅约为25 nm·s^-2,经海潮改正后潮汐因子有所改善。采用时域导纳方法以及基于全球大气模型ERA-Interim计算宜昌台大气重力负荷效应,研究结果表明,宜昌台大气重力导纳值为-3.219 3 nm·s^-2·hPa^-1,近区大气重力负荷变幅约为160 nm·s^-2,远区大气重力负荷变幅可达70 nm·s^-2,在进行超导重力数据处理分析时全球大气负荷效应不能忽略。  相似文献   

辽河流域社会经济活动的COD污染负荷   总被引：6，自引：1，他引：5  

王辉  栾维新  康敏捷 《地理研究》2013,32(10):1802-1813

辽河流域污染物的输入是辽东湾海洋环境变化的最主要原因,治理海洋污染的根本在于治理陆域污染。以辽河流域COD污染为研究对象,在社会经济数据空间化及与土地利用数据匹配的基础上剔除了部分无效数据,提高了流域污染物估算和空间分析的精度,估算结果表明:2010年辽河流域COD总污染负荷约101万t,其中居民生活和畜禽养殖排放合计占总污染负荷的80%,是流域COD污染的主要来源;工业源污染占11%;城市径流污染占9%。COD污染主要分布在辽河平原,且以面源污染为主,约有30万t入河。生物体代谢是COD污染的主要来源,污染物排放总量难于降低,辽河流域的COD污染压力短期内依然严峻。  相似文献   

外源激素诱导对条斑星鲽(Verasper moseri) 精子质量的影响     

徐永江  柳学周  王妍妍  刘新富 《海洋与湖沼》2012,43(6):1170-1176

采用注射外源激素——鲑鱼促性腺激素释放激素类似物(sGnRHa)和人绒毛膜促性腺激素(HCG)的诱导方法,研究了外源激素对条斑星鲽雄鱼精子质量的影响。结果表明:外源sGnRHa和HCG诱导后条斑星鲽精子质量明显提升,主要表现为精液粘稠度大为降低、精液流动性和液化能力增强、精子激活率和快速激活率显著提高、快速活动时间和精子寿命延长。同时,血浆性类固醇激素——睾酮(T)和雌二醇(E2)表达水平明显升高,在96h达到峰值。比较两种激素的诱导效果,以sGnRHa对雄鱼精子质量的改善效果为好,但与HCG无显著差异。本研究表明,缓释激素诱导可有效提升和改进条斑星鲽雄鱼的精子质量,研究结果对条斑星鲽人工繁育具有重要的指导意义。  相似文献   

中国沿海不同海潮模型的倾斜负荷分析     

赵大江  郭春喜  张世娟  王斌  陈敏 《大地测量与地球动力学》2015,35(1):34-39

采用积分格林函数方法及6种全球海潮模型（CSR4.0,EOT11a,FES2004,GOT4.7,NAO99b和TPXO7.2）和中国近海潮汐资料,计算了我国沿海大地控制点上的海潮倾斜负荷效应。通过标准差、均方根RMS及和方根RSS等综合分析表明,海潮倾斜负荷普遍为10^-8rad量级,最大达10^-7rad量级。在中国沿海区域,各模型差异较大,应针对不同区域采用更适合本区的模型计算。  相似文献