Application of Dangerous Probability Function in Risk Estimation of Surface Rupture Earthquake：Taking the Lingwu Fault in Ningxi1 Region as on Example     

Chai Chizhang  Zhang Wenxiao  Liao Yuhu  Xu Wenjun  Shen Xuhui  Tian Qinjian  Wei Kaibo  Chen Zhengwei 《中国地震研究》2002,16(1):60-70

Based on the fitting on paleoearthquake data of intra-plate regions in the northern part of Chi-na and giving a statistical model of time interdependence,the potential damage earthquakes in a definite future period and characteristics of present shocks along the Lingwu fault have been analyzed by using dangerous probability function and some new data concerned.We have in-ferred that the fault has entered a period that earthquakes will probably occur.There exists a potential danger that a strong earthquake with Ms7.0-7.5 will occur in 10-100a.  相似文献   

Earthquake—generating Structure Revealed by 1999 Sichuan mianzhu Earthquake Sequence with Ms=5.0     

Zhao Zhu  Wang Bilan  Long Sisheng 《中国地震研究》2002,16(2):147-154

Through the accurate determination of hypocenter location,the measurement of the main focal mechanism solutions and the analyses of time dependent processes for Sichuan Mianzhu earthquake sequence with Ms=5.0 occurred along the middle segment of Longmenshan fault zone on November 30,1999,the distribution of focal depth section,the stress relase and seismicity features are given to reveal the earthquake-geneating structure of the earthquake sequence.The obtained results show the activity features for this sequence as follows:(1) There is no obvious foreshock,the accumulated strain energy releases in nearly pulse way,fluctuation of the seismic activity level is not quite evident during the duration of the sequence,and the statistical relation between the large events and the small events is less compatible with the traditional G-R estimation;(2) The epicenters of the earthquake sequence are not distributed on the main Longmenshan piedmont faults emerging out ground,but near the hidden Longmenshan piedmont faults.The direction of epicenter distribution is not very coincident with the fault strikes.The microscopic epicenters are relatively far from the macroscopic epicenters,The focal depths range from 5km to 16km;(3) The fractures of focal fault plane with the NE strike appear out the strike-slip displacement with a few overthrust components under the major principal compressive stress of NNE direction.From these,we consider it should be paid more attentions to the underground hidden faults near the ground fault zone on a large scale for their generating earthquake risk.  相似文献   

Focal Fault of the 1999 Datong Ms5.6 Earthquake in Shanxi Province   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Wang Yan  Diao Guiling  Zhang Sichang  Wang Qincai  Liu Yunqing  Zhu Zhenxing  Zhang Yanqing 《中国地震研究》2002,16(4):363-368

Several earthquakes with Ms≥5.0 occurred in the Datong seismic region in 1989,1991 and 1999,The precise focus location of the earthquake sequence was made by the records of the remote sensing seismic station network in Datong.Using that data together with macro-intensity distribution and focal mechanism solutions,we analyze the difference among three subsequences.The results show that the focal fault of the 1999 Ms 5.6 earthquake was a NWW-trending left-lateral strike-slip fault.It is 16km long and 12km wide.It developed at the depth of 5km and is nearly vertical in dip.The two previous earthquake subsequences,however,were generated by activity along NNE-trending right-lateral strike-slip fault.It can be found that the rupture directioin of the 1999 earthquake has changed.It is generally found that a rupture zone has more than two directions and has different strength along these two directions.The complicate degree of focal circumstance is related to the type of earthquake sequences.There is the NE-trending Dawangcun fault and the NW-trending Tuanbu fault in the seismic region,but no proof indicates a connection between focal faults and these two tectonic faults.The feature that focal faults of three subsequences are strike-slip is different from that of the two tectonic faults.It is suggested that the 1999 earthquake subsequence was possibly generated by a new rupture.  相似文献   

跨断层长输油(气)管道抗震研究与实践   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

马正茂  冯启民  高惠瑛 《世界地震工程》2002,18(3):24-31

概述了输油（气）管道跨断层抗震研究与实践的现状，总结了判断地表断裂位移的两种经验统计方法和覆盖土层场地地表断裂的分析判断方法，评述了用这些方法得到的结果。对常用的跨断层管道抗震分析方法进行了评述，并列举了我国管道工程中可行的抗震措施。  相似文献   

三种被动式积沙仪积沙效率的野外实验研究   总被引：1，自引：2，他引：1  

俎瑞平  屈建军  高前兆 《干旱区地理》2002,25(3):214-218

积沙仪积沙效率的高低直接影响近地表输沙率的测定，从而影响着风沙地貌的研究和风沙工程设计，对目前三种常用积沙仪在相同条件下（同一下垫面、相同风速）的积沙进行了野外观测。结果表明：（1）相同条件下，楔形积沙仪积沙量远远大于其它两种；（2）近地面积沙量随高度分布上，楔形积沙仪能更好地反映风沙流结构；（3）与其它两种积沙仪相比，楔形积沙仪所采集沙子中的小粒径颗粒含量明显多于其它两种积沙仪结果，而较大粒径颗粒的含量呈相反趋势，造成这些差异的原因在于楔形积沙仪采用的流线型构造和网状结构，从而对风沙流的阻挡程度较小，今后应推广楔形积沙仪的使用。  相似文献   

雷达差分干涉测量   总被引：11，自引：1，他引：11  

王超  张红 《地理学与国土研究》2002,18(3):13-17

合成孔径雷达（SAR）差分干涉测量（D-InSAR)是利用SAR图像的相位信息提取地表沿雷达视线向的形变信息的一种有效手段，该文阐述D-InSAR的基本原理，分析该技术在地震监测，火山研究和细微的地表形变监测等方面的应用研究，并分析未来D-InSAR的应用前景。  相似文献   

沙尘暴—危害猛于虎     

鑫磊 《国土资源与环境》2002,(1):33-34

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全球地表趋暖水旱灾害加剧     

张亮 《地理教学》2003,(1):48-48

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湘北红壤坡地雨水过程的水土流失及其影响   总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7  

谢小立  王凯荣 《山地学报》2003,21(4):466-472

模拟主要利用方式构建的垫面为主导因子,采用径流场实测方法,通过4a(1998～2001年)实地观测试验,剖析不同下垫面对雨水地表径流及其过程的影响。研究表明:降雨(时间分布及其强度)是影响地表径流特征的主导因素;年降雨量与地表径流量和系统水土流失量呈正相关。不同垫面地表径流产量有显著性差异;雨水径流过程的土壤和养分流失有相似的表现。在假定雨水年份的基础上,应用不同雨水年份出现概率指标,推算出:湘北红壤坡地现今利用状况下,雨水产地表径流过程的年均水土流失量及其养分(有机质、N、P、K)损失量;和可最大开发利用时,可能带来的水土流失与养分损失。提出"利用坡地集雨利用优势,构建与单元生态系统水循环平衡相适应的坡地农林复合生态系统,通过水平衡生态建设来维系生态系统的水分平衡"观点。  相似文献   

沙尘源区AVHRR数据地表温度时序变化与沙尘干量TSP数据的对比分析——以2001年春季北方强沙尘过程为例   总被引：7，自引：11，他引：7  

刘志丽  马建文  韩秀珍  张小曳 《干旱区地理》2003,26(1):89-96

根据沙尘暴起沙、传输与降沉模型系统对参数的需求，中日亚洲沙尘暴项目在源区、传输区和降沉区布设了先进的仪器设备，其中沙尘干量TSP数据是主要获取的数据，同时利用气象卫星获取沙尘过程的云图和反演沙尘过程的地表物理参数。由于不同土地利用／覆盖对沙尘暴过程中起沙的贡献不一样，研究中用局地分裂窗算法反演NOAA／AVHRR热红外波段数据的地面温度参数；取得大范围的时序地面温度数据后参照1：10万土地利用／覆盖类型重采样图层选点提取地表温度，形成不同点时间序列变化曲线；最后将不同地类的地表温度时序变化曲线与观测点沙尘干量TSP时序变化曲线对比分析，发现两者具有较好的对应关系，说明沙尘暴过程地表温度变化现象与沙尘有密切的关系。结果表明，利用遥感数据反演地面温度参数可以作为沙尘预报模型的重要参数。  相似文献