SIMULATION AND PREDICTION OF DEBRIS FLOW USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK     

WANGXie-kang HUANGEr CUIPeng 《中国地理科学(英文版)》2003,13(3):262-266

Debris flow is one of the most destructive phenomena of natural hazards. Recently, major natural haz-ard, claiming human lives and assets, is due to debris flow in the world. Several practical methods for forecasting de-bris flow have been proposed, however, the accuracy of these methods is not high enough for practical use because of the stochastic and non-linear characteristics of debris flow. Artificial neural network has proven to be feasible and use-fill in developing models for nonlinear systems. On the other hand, predicting the future behavior based on a time se-ries of collected historical data is also an important tool in many scientific applications. In this study we present a three-layer feed-forward neural network model to forecast surge of debris flow according to the time series data collect-ed in the Jiangjia Ravine, situated in north part of Yunnan Province of China. The simulation and prediction of debris flow using the proposed approach shows this model is feasible, however, further studies are needed.  相似文献   

小波分析理论在GPS技术中的应用   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

郑作亚黄珹  卢秀山 《中国科学院上海天文台年刊》2003,(24):48-55

在GPS数据处理中，存在着误差影响、影响波的干扰、周跳和数据量大等问题。误差影响和影响波的干扰实质是在接收卫星信号时受到其它因素的影响；周跳是由于卫星信号的失锁而造成信号的不连续；数据量大是因为GPS观测需要采样间隔小又连续观测所致。由于小波理论具有时频分析、波形分解、特征提取和快速小波变换等特性，应用小波变换和波形分解可以解决误差影响和影响波的干扰的问题；应用特征提取可以解决周跳检测问题；应用快速小波变换可进行数据压缩。  相似文献   

DISASTER ANALYSIS AND COUNTERMEASURES OF LAND SUBSIDENCE CAUSED BY COAL CUTTING IN CHINA     

YANGYong-liang SHITong-guang JLANGLU-guang LIYue 《中国地理科学(英文版)》2003,13(2):130-133

In recent years, many coal-producing countries have paid great attention to the land subsidence causedby coal cutting. In China, because of the dense population in coalfield areas, the land subsidence hazard is more seri-ous. After a brief analysis on the mechanism of land subsidence, this paper gives a comprehensive and systematical ac-count on all kinds of hazards caused by the land subsidence in China. The study shows that land subsidence has endan-gered land, buildings, traffic and communication lines, dykes and dams. It also causes damage to ecological and socialenvironment. In order to lessen the hazard of land subsidence, preventive measures should be taken to reduce the col-lapse amount, such as extraction with stowing, banded mining system, succession and coordination mining system, orhigh-pressure mudflow between rock strata. Measures of reinforcing or moving certain buildings should also be taken toreduce the destructive degree. In order to harness the subsidence land and bring them under control for fanning, mea-sures should be taken such as filling with spoil or fine breeze, excavating the deeper and covering the shallower land.  相似文献   

2005年油价上涨压力将缓解     

《国土资源》2005,(1):60-60

自2004年年初开始，国际原油市场笼罩在供求紧张的阴影之下，油价一度出现的螺旋式大幅攀升牵动了世界各国经济决策层的神经。市场分析家们认为，随着世界经济增长速度放慢，2005年油价上涨的压力有望得到缓解。  相似文献   

疏散星团M11的研究——相对自行和成员概率     

束成钢  赵君亮等 《中国科学院上海天文台年刊》1996,37(17):205-210

本给出了疏散星团M11中心25′×25′天区内872颗恒星的相对自行、自行测定误差以及团中心距r≤25′范围内785颗恒星的成员概率，并对有关问题作了简单的讨论。  相似文献   

南海北缘北东东向构造活动性研究     

任镇寰  任奔滔  罗振暖  陈益明  钟贻军 《大地测量与地球动力学》1996,(2)

从地形地貌特征、重磁地球物理场、深部构造与断裂构造以及地震活动、震源机制等多方面论述北东东向构造是南海北缘的主要活动构造。对于长期以来认为新华夏系北东向构造是该区主要活动构造的观点来说，这是一种新的学术思想。  相似文献   

概率赋范空间的S-凸和K-凸     

张敏先 《成都信息工程学院学报》2001,16(3):209-212

文献[1][2]认为M－PN空间是局部凸的。通过定理说明这个结论对t-模T（a,b)≥min(a,b)时成立。又通过反例表明，当t-模型T（a,b)=max(a b-1,0）时无论邻域Nθ（ε，λ）概率有界还是概率半有界结论均不成立。还讨论了Takahashi凸性并对S－凸和K－凸作了比较。  相似文献   

富氏谱分析法模拟地壳垂直运动的地学依据及其策应力模型     

张勤  范一中 《大地测量与地球动力学》2001,21(4):76-80

应用地壳波浪与镶嵌构造学说对富氏谱分析法提取地壳垂直形变信息的科学性做了地质学意义上的阐释 ,并提出了根据多期形变资料提取特定波段上构造策应力的数学模型  相似文献   

山西全新世古地震的基本特征     

陈国顺  黄振昌 《地震学刊》1992,(1):10-18

本文系统地总结了山西省境内多年来发现的全新世古地震的基本特征，并将其分为七大类和若干种。文章对每种古地震遗迹的基本特征进行了描述。  相似文献   

瞬变电磁法在断层含水性评价中的应用          下载免费PDF全文

郁万彩 《山东国土资源》2001,17(1):52-55

本文介绍了瞬变电磁法在煤矿水文地质勘探中的具体应用效果.采用瞬变电磁法对落差较大断层的含(导)水性进行测量,不仅可有效地控制断层的空间位置,而且可定性地判断断层的富水性,其测量结果与已知水文地质资料吻合较好.  相似文献