SIMULATION AND PREDICTION OF DEBRIS FLOW USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK     

WANGXie-kang HUANGEr CUIPeng 《中国地理科学(英文版)》2003,13(3):262-266

Debris flow is one of the most destructive phenomena of natural hazards. Recently, major natural haz-ard, claiming human lives and assets, is due to debris flow in the world. Several practical methods for forecasting de-bris flow have been proposed, however, the accuracy of these methods is not high enough for practical use because of the stochastic and non-linear characteristics of debris flow. Artificial neural network has proven to be feasible and use-fill in developing models for nonlinear systems. On the other hand, predicting the future behavior based on a time se-ries of collected historical data is also an important tool in many scientific applications. In this study we present a three-layer feed-forward neural network model to forecast surge of debris flow according to the time series data collect-ed in the Jiangjia Ravine, situated in north part of Yunnan Province of China. The simulation and prediction of debris flow using the proposed approach shows this model is feasible, however, further studies are needed.  相似文献   

小波分析理论在GPS技术中的应用   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

郑作亚黄珹  卢秀山 《中国科学院上海天文台年刊》2003,(24):48-55

在GPS数据处理中，存在着误差影响、影响波的干扰、周跳和数据量大等问题。误差影响和影响波的干扰实质是在接收卫星信号时受到其它因素的影响；周跳是由于卫星信号的失锁而造成信号的不连续；数据量大是因为GPS观测需要采样间隔小又连续观测所致。由于小波理论具有时频分析、波形分解、特征提取和快速小波变换等特性，应用小波变换和波形分解可以解决误差影响和影响波的干扰的问题；应用特征提取可以解决周跳检测问题；应用快速小波变换可进行数据压缩。  相似文献   

DISASTER ANALYSIS AND COUNTERMEASURES OF LAND SUBSIDENCE CAUSED BY COAL CUTTING IN CHINA     

YANGYong-liang SHITong-guang JLANGLU-guang LIYue 《中国地理科学(英文版)》2003,13(2):130-133

In recent years, many coal-producing countries have paid great attention to the land subsidence causedby coal cutting. In China, because of the dense population in coalfield areas, the land subsidence hazard is more seri-ous. After a brief analysis on the mechanism of land subsidence, this paper gives a comprehensive and systematical ac-count on all kinds of hazards caused by the land subsidence in China. The study shows that land subsidence has endan-gered land, buildings, traffic and communication lines, dykes and dams. It also causes damage to ecological and socialenvironment. In order to lessen the hazard of land subsidence, preventive measures should be taken to reduce the col-lapse amount, such as extraction with stowing, banded mining system, succession and coordination mining system, orhigh-pressure mudflow between rock strata. Measures of reinforcing or moving certain buildings should also be taken toreduce the destructive degree. In order to harness the subsidence land and bring them under control for fanning, mea-sures should be taken such as filling with spoil or fine breeze, excavating the deeper and covering the shallower land.  相似文献   

疏散星团的最新研究进展     

俎中良  赵君亮 《天文学进展》2003,21(2):152-162

疏散星团在天文学和天体物理学研究中有着多方面的重要性。近年来在观测和理论工作上都取得了显著的进展。综述了疏散星团的研究现状，对成员判别、基本参数确定、团与恒星的演化、团的结构和动力学进行了详细评述。  相似文献   

2005年油价上涨压力将缓解     

《国土资源》2005,(1):60-60

自2004年年初开始，国际原油市场笼罩在供求紧张的阴影之下，油价一度出现的螺旋式大幅攀升牵动了世界各国经济决策层的神经。市场分析家们认为，随着世界经济增长速度放慢，2005年油价上涨的压力有望得到缓解。  相似文献   

旗舰的绿色动力定位——“中国海监83”船（二）     

《海洋世界》2006,(5):22-23

船载直升机保障系统为了增强海监在海上的执法能力,扩大巡航区域,提高应急反应速度,“中国海监83”船上专门设计建造了直升机船载系统,为1架Z9型海监直升机搭载、起降提供了条件。直升机船载系统由调度指挥系统、起降系统、喷漆燃料及加油系统、消防灭火系统、维修保养系统组成  相似文献   

2种亚洲龙鱼的D-Loop序列结构分析     

潘阳  白俊杰  叶星  劳海华  罗建仁  汪学杰 《广东海洋大学学报》2005,25(4):5-8

采用PCR技术对2种亚洲龙鱼的mtDNAD_Loop全序列进行扩增和测序,序列结构分析和序列同源性比对结果表明,2种亚洲龙鱼的mtDNAD_Loop在靠近5’端有3个终止相关序列TAS(Ⅰ、Ⅱ、Ⅲ),靠近D_Loop的3’端有4个保守区域CSB1、CSB2、CSB3、CSB-D。在终止相关序列和保守区域之间是连续重复区域。经DNASP4.0软件分析,全序列中检测出多态位点数(S)为26,其中有17个转换,核苷酸多样性(Pi)为0.013,平均核苷酸差异数(K)为17.333。  相似文献   

天灾研究中的当代物理新途径   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

胡辉  张世杰 《云南天文台台刊》2001,(1):58-62

应用当代物理学中的量子化方法，将日－地空间量子化。借天体分层结构特征，对地震震级公式及天体引潮力激起的孤波储能触发地震的原理作了探索性讨论。  相似文献   

概率赋范空间的S-凸和K-凸     

张敏先 《成都信息工程学院学报》2001,16(3):209-212

文献[1][2]认为M－PN空间是局部凸的。通过定理说明这个结论对t-模T（a,b)≥min(a,b)时成立。又通过反例表明，当t-模型T（a,b)=max(a b-1,0）时无论邻域Nθ（ε，λ）概率有界还是概率半有界结论均不成立。还讨论了Takahashi凸性并对S－凸和K－凸作了比较。  相似文献   

富氏谱分析法模拟地壳垂直运动的地学依据及其策应力模型     

张勤  范一中 《大地测量与地球动力学》2001,21(4):76-80

应用地壳波浪与镶嵌构造学说对富氏谱分析法提取地壳垂直形变信息的科学性做了地质学意义上的阐释 ,并提出了根据多期形变资料提取特定波段上构造策应力的数学模型  相似文献