考虑模糊因素的框架结构震害预测方法     

向群 《华南地震》2004,24(1):23-27

通过二次评判法,在考虑框架结构强度、变形破坏准则的基础上,引入了房屋破损程度、施工质量等模糊因素,使框架结构的震害预测建立在既考虑可精确计量的强度、变形等因素,又考虑了诸多无法精确计量的模糊因素基础上,从而复原了震害预测的本质即概率和模糊的特性。  相似文献   

欧洲洪水影响评价技术在长江流域的运用及其若干修正     

Marco GEMMER 《湖泊科学》2003,15(Z1):173-183

本文回顾了欧洲洪水影响评价技术.突出的问题是怎样处理洪灾及如何使洪灾损失降到最低.很明显在长江流域开展洪水风险和潜在的损失评价非常有意义.而现有的欧洲洪水影响评价技术难以在长江流域直接运用.我们对其进行了若干修正,并引入了基于GIS/RS的综合水文水动力和最小损失评价模型,该模型己经较好地运用于长江流域洪水影响评价的研究项目.  相似文献   

船舶碰撞中空夹层钢管混凝土导管架平台损伤分析     

商文翰  张纪刚  吴书义  刘菲菲  陈文礼  赵阳 《海洋工程》2023,41(2):22-30

针对船舶与中空夹层钢管混凝土（CFDST）导管架平台碰撞问题,利用ABAQUS/Explicit非线性有限元软件建立中空夹层钢管混凝土导管腿导管架数值模型,对船舶碰撞进行数值模拟,对比分析1 m/s、2 m/s和3 m/s的3种碰撞速度下工况下导管架抗碰撞性能、耗能及损伤。从碰撞力、碰撞区域变形以及导管架能量耗散等方面详细研究中空夹层钢管混凝土导管腿作用下导管架整体的损伤模式和动力响应。结果表明：CFDST导管架在船舶碰撞荷载作用下主要由CFDST导管腿耗能,有效控制了结构整体位移变形,提升了整体刚度,有效发挥平台各构件之间组合耗能,结构抗碰撞能力得到明显提升。  相似文献   

Real-time prediction of earthquake potential damage: A case study for the January 8, 2022 MS 6.9 Menyuan earthquake in Qinghai,China     

《地震研究进展（英文）》2023,3(1):100197

It is critical to determine whether a site has potential damage in real-time after an earthquake occurs, which is a challenge in earthquake disaster reduction. Here, we propose a real-time Earthquake Potential Damage predictor (EPDor) based on predicting peak ground velocities (PGVs) of sites. The EPDor is composed of three parts: (1) predicting the magnitude of an earthquake and PGVs of triggered stations based on the machine learning prediction models; (2) predicting the PGVs at distant sites based on the empirical ground motion prediction equation; (3) generating the PGV map through predicting the PGV of each grid point based on an interpolation process of weighted average based on the predicted values in (1) and (2). We apply the EPDor to the 2022 M_S 6.9 Menyuan earthquake in Qinghai Province, China to predict its potential damage. Within the initial few seconds after the first station is triggered, the EPDor can determine directly whether there is potential damage for some sites to a certain degree. Hence, we infer that the EPDor has potential application for future earthquakes. Meanwhile, it also has potential in Chinese earthquake early warning system.  相似文献   

2019年10月2日贵州沿河MS4.9地震震害特征及发震构造分析     

纪星星  黄世源  罗祎浩  郝婧  刘浩  王琳 《中国地震》2023,39(1):166-177

贵州沿河M_S4.9地震发生在历史地震强度较低的上扬子地块凤冈SN向隔槽式褶皱变形区。通过地震地质背景分析、震害调查、震源机制解、断层调查和库区水位变化情况等,得到主要认识如下:由于震源深度浅、灾区老旧自建房抗震性能差,导致本次地震直接经济损失严重;本次地震主震的机制解为节面Ⅰ:走向61°/倾角35°/滑动角135°,节面Ⅱ:走向190°/倾角66°/滑动角63°,表现为走向NE、逆冲兼平移型运动方式;结合等震线走向及震中主要断层性质,判断NE向沿河断层为本次地震主震的发震构造,并进一步推测此次地震为水库诱发断层活化引起的地震。  相似文献   

尾砂胶结充填体损伤模型及与岩体的匹配分析   总被引：14，自引：0，他引：14  

刘志祥  李夕兵  戴塔根  曹平 《岩土力学》2006,27(9):1442-1446

分别对灰砂配比为1:4,1:8,1:10和1:12的4种尾砂胶结充填体进行了力学试验,得出了其应力-应变曲线。分析了不同配比充填体变形与破坏特征,用损伤力学建立了4种不同配比充填体损伤本构方程。经验算对比,所建立的损伤本构方程与试验结果吻合。尾砂胶结充填体损伤研究表明,不同配比的充填体表现出不同的损伤特性,充填体配比越低,达到峰值应力时的损伤值越小;峰值应力后,损伤增长越快,破坏过程越突然。根据岩体开挖释放能量与充填体蓄积应变能相近的原则,探讨了充填体与岩体的合理匹配。充填体与岩体的匹配系数与原岩应力、岩体弹性模量、充填体弹性模量及充填体损伤参数相关。为了便于工程实际应用,对充填体力学试验结果进行了回归分析,得出了充填体强度设计公式,并研究了深部矿床不同开采深度所要求的充填体强度。  相似文献   

Field-based description of near-surface crustal deformation in a high-strain shear zone: A case study in southern Kyushu,Japan     

Masakazu Niwa  Koji Shimada  Shuji Terusawa  Akira Goto  Nariaki Nishiyama  Toru Nakajima  Takanori Ishihara  Hiroaki Hakoiwa 《Island Arc》2024,33(1):e12516

This study investigated geological evidence for near-surface crustal deformation in a high-strain shear zone that has been geodetically identified but which is not associated with obvious tectonic landforms. Fieldwork was conducted in the east–west-trending southern Kyushu high-strain shear zone (SKHZ), Japan, focusing mainly on occurrences of fracture zones, which are defined by a visible fracture density of >1 per 10 cm² and are commonly associated with cataclasite, fault breccia, and gouge. The area in which east–west-trending fracture zones are dominant is restricted to the east–west-trending, ~2-km-wide aftershock area of the 1997 Northwestern Kagoshima Earthquakes. Analysis of slip data from minor faults using the multiple inverse method, irrespective of whether the faults are in fracture zones, reveals that the area where the calculated main stress field is consistent with the current stress field estimated from focal-mechanism solutions of microearthquakes is restricted to the east–west-trending aftershock area. This finding for the SKHZ contrasts with the case of the Niigata–Kobe Tectonic Zone, which is a major strain-concentration zone with many exposed active faults in central Japan and for which the stress field estimated using fault-slip data is considered to be uniform and coincides with the current stress field. The cumulative amount of displacement estimated from the areal density of fracture zones in the SKHZ study area is smaller than that estimated from geodetically measured strain rates. Investigations based on slip data from minor faults and fracture-zone occurrence could help to identify concealed faults that are too small to generate tectonic landforms but which are sufficiently large to trigger major earthquakes.  相似文献   

基于地貌分区的陕西省区域生态风险时空演变   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

刘迪  陈海  耿甜伟  张行  史琴琴 《地理科学进展》2020,39(2):243-254

论文采用“概率—损失”二维风险模型解构陕西省区域生态风险,基于地貌分区视角识别多源风险类型的同时以景观格局与生态系统服务价值为关联要素合成潜在生态损失,在此基础上分析了陕西省2000—2015年单一风险要素及区域生态风险的时空分异,并基于地貌分区视角结合重心模型探讨了生态风险的时空迁移。结果如下：① 2000、2015年陕西省多源危险度分别为0.3837、0.4558,上升18.79%,大致呈现南北高、中间低的空间格局,沿南北轴线呈现“W型”展布;潜在生态损失分别为0.5537、0.6270,上升13.24%,除高原南部与秦岭东部山区外,生态损失均呈现高值;区域生态风险分别为0.2429、0.2865,上升17.95%,空间上呈现“三高夹两低”的分布格局。② 从时序变化来看,秦巴山地保持较低风险且风险变化率较小;黄土高原与风沙过渡区变化率处于中等,后者面临较高风险;汉江盆地风险最高,该区域与关中平原分别为风险变化率的首位与次位。从生态风险重心变化趋势看,黄土高原与风沙过渡区重心均向西南移动,关中平原与秦岭山地重心东移趋势明显,汉江盆地与大巴山地重心跃向东南。  相似文献   

Impact of the displacement damage in channel and source/drain regions on the DC characteristics degradation in deep-submicron MOSFETs after heavy ion irradiation     

薛守斌  黄如  黄德涛  王思浩  谭斐  王健  安霞  张兴 《海洋学报(英文版)》2010,29(11)

This paper mainly reports the permanent impact of displacement damage induced by heavy-ion strikes on the deep-submicron MOSFETs. Upon the heavy ion track through the device, it can lead to displacement damage, including the vacancies and the interstitials. As the featured size of device scales down, the damage can change the dopant distribution in the channel and source/drain regions through the generation of radiation-induced defects and thus have significant impacts on their electrical characteristics. The measured results show that the radiation-induced damage can cause DC characteristics degradations including the threshold voltage, subthreshold swing, saturation drain current, transconductance, etc. The radiation-induced displacement damage may become the dominant issue while it was the secondary concern for the traditional devices after the heavy ion irradiation. The samples are also irradiated by Co-60 gamma ray for comparison with the heavy ion irradiation results. Corresponding explanations and analysis are discussed.  相似文献   

深海悬链线立管涡激疲劳损伤研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

周力  周巍伟  曹静  高云  宗智 《海洋工程》2010,28(1)

讨论海洋平台钢质悬链线式立管SCR(Steel Catenary Riser)的涡激疲劳损伤问题。对于悬链线立管外的流体,给出涡脱落频率和升力对立管作用的计算方法。悬链线立管采用索结构模型,进行动力学分析并利用模态叠加法对其进行动力响应分析。根据Palmgren-Miner线性累积损伤准则并结合S-N曲线,分析在不同流速下立管的涡激疲劳损伤。以工程中实际使用的1 500 m Spar海洋平台悬链线立管为例,对立管的涡激疲劳损伤进行了预报。并通过立管的参数研究,分别就立管外不同来流速度、立管壁厚、内部流体密度和柔性接头刚度对其疲劳损伤的影响进行了分析,得到了一些有意义的研究结果。  相似文献