应用极值理论估计华南地区未来5至10年的地震危险性     

贾素娟 《华南地震》1992,(2)

本文应用极值分布函数和震级平均复发周期概念,研究了华南5条地震带的缺震情况,外推未来5至10年结果表明:右江带无M≥5级地震:东南沿海内带有5.6～5.9级地震危险,但危险性不大;东南沿海外带发生6.5～6.9级地震的概率达69％;台湾西带随时可能发生5级和6级地震;台湾东带随时有可能发生6级和7级地震。  相似文献   

河南省夏玉米产量预报方法   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

杨海鹰付祥建  马振生白凌霞 《河南气象》2005,(2):25-26

利用河南省农业气象产量预报业务系(WAPFOS)，分析了夏玉米产量与光照、降水、气温等影响因子的关系，结果表明，旬降水量、旬日照时数和旬平均气温与夏玉米产量关系密切，是直接影响产量的重要因素。在此基础上，建立了预报模型。  相似文献   

安徽沙溪含和不含铜(金)矿斑岩斜长石斑晶粒度统计及其岩浆结晶动力学和成矿意义     

徐文艺  傅斌  任启江  胡文暄  徐兆文 《岩石学报》1997,13(2)

通过对沙溪矿区含矿与不含矿斑岩中斜长石斑晶的粒度统计，计算出平均矿物粒度（Ｓ）、矿物分布密度（Ｄ）及矿物分布均匀度（Ｈ）；再根据晶体大小分布理论（ＣＳＤ），计算出斜长石的晶体生长速率、成核密度及成核速率等岩浆结晶动力学参数；发现含矿斑岩较无矿斑岩有高的成核密度和成核速率，而晶体生长速率则较低；指出成分相近的斑岩在岩浆结晶动力学特征上的极细差别可能造成岩体含矿性明显不同  相似文献   

石屏——建水断裂带未来三十年内七级以上大地震危险性分析   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

韩新民  毛玉平 《地震研究》1993,(1)

本文通过对历史上曾发生过多次强烈地震的石屏—建水断裂带结构特征、新活动表现特点及1799年与1887年两次石屏大地震的发震构造、震害分布情况的分析研究,得出该断裂带全新世平均水平滑动速率为3—3.6毫米/年;1799年与1887年两次大地震震级分别达7级与7.5级,以及该断裂未来三十年内发生7级以上大地震可能性不大的结论。  相似文献   

平均螺旋度在强降水过程中的诊断分析   总被引：5，自引：6，他引：5  

黄勇  张晓芳  陆汉城 《气象科学》2006,26(2):171-176

本文引入按高度平均的螺旋度-ASRH(Average Storm-Relative Helicity)的概念,为了在螺旋度的诊断分析中,同时考虑高低层效应。利用ASRH分析了2003年6、7月江淮地区、河南和陕西一带的一次大暴雨过程,结果表明,当高低层ASRH匹配较好时,ASRH的大值中心及其演变较好地对应了暴雨中心的位置及演变,ASRH的变化和暴雨演变有一定的因果关系,较大的ASRH可能是暴雨及中尺度系统发生发展的机制之一。  相似文献   

Higher plant n-alkane average chain length as an indicator of petrogenic hydrocarbon contamination in marine sediments   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Woei-Lih Jeng   《Marine Chemistry》2006,102(3-4):242-251

The n-alkane average chain length (ACL) is the weight-averaged number of carbon atoms of the higher plant C₂₅–C₃₃ n-alkanes. The abundance of individual n-alkanes from higher plant sources generally increases with increasing carbon number in coastal marine sediments around Taiwan, but this trend is reversed for petrogenic hydrocarbons. The ACL would potentially be lowered if petrogenic hydrocarbons were added to sediments containing biogenic hydrocarbons alone. To test this idea, a marine environment off southwestern Taiwan known to contain both biogenic and petrogenic hydrocarbons and two nearby rivers were selected for investigating possible difference in ACL values between their sediments. The average CPI of C₂₅–C₃₃ n-alkanes was 4.08 ± 2.04 (range 1.90–8.96, n = 15) for the river sediments and 1.70 ± 0.16 (range 1.43–1.97, n = 15) for the marine sediments. The ACL of C₂₅–C₃₃ n-alkanes for river sediments ranged from 29.2 to 30.5 (average 29.9 ± 0.4), and for marine sediments from 28.4 to 29.3 (average 28.9 ± 0.3). The ACL difference between marine and river sediments was significant (Student's t test at 99% confidence) although it appeared small. It is suggested that the ACL can be an additional indicator for detection of petrogenic hydrocarbons in coastal marine sediments.  相似文献   

渤海中部长期流的观测与余流分析   总被引：8，自引：0，他引：8  

匡国瑞  张琦 《海洋湖沼通报》1991,(2):1-11

本文用渤中8号平台长期流观测取得的资料,分析了余流的变化特征。同时,用日平均流与日平均风的互相关函数,探讨了流与风的关系。  相似文献   

面向实时监测无线传感网络应用的通信协议     

周桃云  梁平元  成运  张怡 《测绘科学》2016,41(9):181-185

针对WSN中虚拟MIMO传输的能量节省与均衡问题,该文提出了一种新的自适应MAC信道接入协议,该协议在每个数据包的基础上,同时调节传输方式、传输功率和调制阶数,使包括传输功耗和电路功耗的总能耗最小;分析了MAC协议中的平均误码率及信噪比与调制阶数的关系及2-天线协作MIMO传输与SISO传输的平均能耗;讨论了STC与LTC距离的取值范围,确定了相对于传统SISO节省能量的下边界距离。最后,仿真验证了A-MAC协议能有效降低网络能耗,同时吞吐量性能也得到了一定的改善,在数据采集及环境测量等方面具有一定的应用价值。  相似文献   

An experimental investigation of hydrodynamic coefficients for a vertical truncated rectangular cylinder due to regular and random waves     

V. Vengatesan  K. S. Varyani  N. Barltrop   《Ocean Engineering》2000,27(3)

The research into hydrodynamic loading on ocean structures has concentrated mostly on circular cross-section members and relatively limited work has been carried out on wave loading on other cross-sections such as rectangular sections. These find applications in many offshore structures as columns and pontoons in semi-submersibles and tension-leg platforms. The present investigation demonstrates the behaviour of rectangular cylinders subject to wave loading and also supplies the hydrodynamic coefficients for the design of these sections.This paper presents the results of wave forces acting on a surface piercing truncated rectangular cylinder set vertically in a towing tank. The experiments are carried out in a water depth of 2.2 m with regular and random waves for low Keulegan–Carpenter number up to 6. The rectangular cylinder is of 2 m length, 0.2 m breadth and 0.4 m width with a submergence depth of 1.45 m from still water level. Based on Morison equation, the relationship between inertia and drag coefficients are evaluated and are presented as a function of KC number for various values of frequency parameter β, for two aspect ratios of cylinders, equals to 1/2 and 2/1. Drag and inertia coefficients obtained through regular wave tests are used for the random wave analysis to compute the in-line force spectrum.The results of the experiments show the drag and inertia coefficients are strongly affected by the variation in the aspect ratios of the cylinder. The drag coefficients decreases and inertia coefficients increases with increase in Keulegan–Carpenter number up to the range of KC number tested. The random wave results show a good correlation between measured and computed force spectrums. The transverse forces in both regular and random waves are found to be small compared to in-line forces.  相似文献   

粤港澳大湾区海岛空间分布特征探析          下载免费PDF全文

唐玲  杨木壮  王银霞  高杨  田松  董迪 《海洋学研究》2020,38(2):74-80

海岛是海洋资源开发利用价值的核心内容之一。为合理保护及开发利用粤港澳大湾区海岛资源,促进海岛产业布局优化,从海岛资源空间分布角度出发,探析海岛在粤港澳大湾区发展中重点平台的作用。以粤港澳大湾区纳入中国海域海岛标准名录的850个海岛为研究对象,在对其地理坐标、陆域面积等基础数据进行数理统计的基础上,通过ArcGIS软件平台,采用最邻近距离法、核密度估计法、洛伦兹曲线和基尼系数方法,对粤港澳大湾区海岛的空间分布特征进行了分析与研究。结果表明:粤港澳大湾区海岛在空间上趋于集聚分布,呈现总体带状分布,局部组团分布的特点,形成了湾区西部海岛分布带和大鹏湾-大亚湾区、九州列岛区、万山-佳蓬担杆列岛区、川山群岛区4个明显的集聚区;粤港澳大湾区海岛以沿岸岛为主,面积分布呈现不均衡性的特点,基尼系数达0.58。  相似文献