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71.
We examined the hypothesis that minima in local recurrence time, TL, or equivalently maxima in local probability, PL, may map asperities in the Kanto and Tokai areas of Japan, where the earthquake catalog of the National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention (NIED) is complete at the M=1.5 (M1.5) level. We mapped TL (PL) based on the a- and b-values of the nearest earthquakes within 20 km of every node of a grid spaced 0.01° for M7 target events. Only earthquakes within the top 33 km were used. The b-values increase strongly with depth, in several areas. Therefore, some of the TL (PL) anomalies are not revealed if data from the entire crustal seismogenic zone are mixed. Thus, we mapped TL (PL) separately for the top 15 km and the rest of the depth range, as well as for the entire seismogenic crust. The resulting TL- and PL-maps show that approximately 12% of the total area shows anomalously short recurrence times. Out of six shallow target events with M≥6.5 and which occurred since 1890, five are located within the anomalous areas with TL <450 years. We interpret this to mean that areas with anomalously short TL map asperities, which are more likely than other areas to generate future target events. The probability that this result is due to chance is vanishingly small. The great Kanto rupture of 1923 appears to have initiated in the most significant asperity we mapped in the study area. One anomaly is located in the northeastern part of the area of the proposed future rupture of the Tokai earthquake, and another one at its southwestern corner. The absolute values of TL calculated are uncertain because they depend on the size of the volume used for the calculation. 相似文献
72.
浅谈地震保险的必要性及其作用 总被引:3,自引:1,他引:3
以防震减灾为视角,针对地震灾害对社会发展及人民生活造成的重大损失,从强化地震保险意识的角度,论述地震保险的必要性和重大意义。同时对地震保险在心理、补偿、救灾、缓冲、防灾及附带等方面的作用加以阐述,从而证明要减少地震灾害的损失,充分认识地震保险的必要性及其作用,建立和完善有效的保险机制,对于减轻地震灾害,促进社会发展和人民安居乐业是一项必要的基础性工作。 相似文献
73.
1999年台湾7.6级大震与江苏-南黄海地区中强震预测 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:1
分析讨论了台湾地区7级大震与本区中强震之间相关关系,指出1999年台湾7.6级大震后2-3年内,本区将有5-6级中强震发生。同时应用可公度模型和“带头地震”的异年倍九法联合对本区中强震发震时间进行分析预测。结论表明,该方法可以较好地应用于本区短临地震预报实践。 相似文献
74.
液化场地桩-土-桥梁结构动力相互作用振动台试验研究进展 总被引:20,自引:3,他引:20
本文在全面归纳与总结液化场地桩-土-桥梁结构动力相互作用振动台试验及与之相关领域的国内外研究进展基础上,直接针对我国桥梁工程中的主要震害问题,提出在我国开展液化场地桩-土-桥梁结构动力相互作用振动台试验研究的必要性,并阐述作者对液化场地桩-土-张桥梁结构动力相互作用振动台试验中若干问题的认识。 相似文献
75.
2001年云南澜沧5.0、施甸5.2,5.9,5.3、宁蒗5.8、楚雄5.3和江川5.1级地震前,云南49项水氡前兆中的一些台站出现突出的异常。研究发现,根据这些异常项的异常特征和空间分布特征及历史震例,可对这几次地震预报的三要素,尤其是地点和时间做出较好的判断。 相似文献
76.
77.
Nonlinear earthquake response analysis and energy calculation for seismic slit shear wall structures
Based on the concept of structural passive control, a new type of slit shear wall, with improved seismic performance when
compared to an ordinary solid shear wall, was proposed by the authors in 1996. The idea has been verified by a series of pseudo-static
and dynamic tests. In this paper a macro numerical model is developed for the wall element and the energy dissipation device.
Then, nonlinear time history analysis is carried out for a 10-story slit shear wall model tested on a shaking table. Furthermore,
the seismic input energy and the individual energy dissipated by the components are calculated by a method based on Newmark-β
assumptions for this shear wall model, and the advantages of this shear wall are further demonstrated by the calculation results
from the viewpoint of energy. Finally, according to the seismic damage criterion on the basis of plastic accumulative energy
and maximum response, the optimal analysis is carried out to select design parameters for the energy dissipation device. 相似文献
78.
Chai Chizhang Zhang Wenxiao Liao Yuhu Xu Wenjun Shen Xuhui Tian Qinjian Wei Kaibo Chen Zhengwei 《中国地震研究》2002,16(1):60-70
Based on the fitting on paleoearthquake data of intra-plate regions in the northern part of Chi-na and giving a statistical model of time interdependence,the potential damage earthquakes in a definite future period and characteristics of present shocks along the Lingwu fault have been analyzed by using dangerous probability function and some new data concerned.We have in-ferred that the fault has entered a period that earthquakes will probably occur.There exists a potential danger that a strong earthquake with Ms7.0-7.5 will occur in 10-100a. 相似文献
79.
This paper describes briefly the recent advances and acievements of the research projects conducted by the Institute of Engineering Mechanics(IEM) in the period of the Ninth Five-Year Plan(1995-2000) with the support of the China Seismological Bureau(CSB),These projects are related with key problems in the field of earthquake engineering.They are:development of the methods for determining earthquake resistant design load level,study on mechanisms of earthquake damage to buildings.development of new technology of base isolation,and study on earthquake damage prediction and seismic losss assessment methods.Through these studies,quite a number of problems have een solved and some of them have een applied in earthquake engineering design and practice. 相似文献
80.