武汉台形变观测与降雨参数之间的定量分析与研究          下载免费PDF全文

吕琳  杨艳芳  舒德亮 《地震工程学报》2020,42(1):136-142

基于“前兆台网(站)观测数据跟踪分析平台”,对武汉台形变观测资料进行了系统分析,提取出观测曲线受降雨干扰影响的事件,采用降雨总量、初始驱动降雨量和瞬时降雨量最大值等降雨参数对降雨干扰事件进行统计分析。结果表明:降雨总量达40 mm、初始驱动降雨量为0.3 mm或瞬时降雨量最大值达0.6 mm时,DSQ型水管倾斜仪易受降雨干扰;SSY型铟瓦棒伸缩仪当降雨总量超60 mm或瞬时降雨量最大值大于0.5 mm时易受降雨干扰;VS型垂直摆倾斜仪受降雨干扰与降雨总量、初始驱动降雨量和瞬时降雨量最大值无显著相关关系;降雨总量对形变仪器观测物理量的影响基本呈现线性;而形变仪器观测物理量与初始驱动降雨量、瞬时降雨量最大值无显著相关关系。认为武汉台形变观测受降雨影响主要来自降雨渗透影响和周边水体荷载变化影响两个方面。  相似文献   

基于GPS的气球观测天体自动跟踪方法     

李小青  杭恒荣 《紫金山天文台台刊》1998,17(3):26-29

本文详细介绍了一种新颖的用GPS卫星定位接收机的高空科学气球观测天体的自动跟踪方法,此方法成功解决了飞行中望远镜对观测天体的自动跟踪难题。实测方位、仰角的跟踪精度可达0.1°。  相似文献   

Modelling dispersion in complex open channel flows: Fuzzy calibration (2)     

B. G. Hankin  K. J. Beven 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》1998,12(6):397-412

Part 1 of this study assessed the effectiveness of dispersion models based around random particle tracking (RPT) applied an overbank flow in the Flood Channel Facility at HR Wallingford. Several of the RPT models that were used predicted the mixing behaviour of the tracer in the complex channel flow to within an acceptable accuracy. If there is no uniqueness in the model structure which can be used to represent the true system to within the limitations of the available observations, then this implies an inherent degree of ambiguity in our knowledge of the physically based model structure. This suggests that we should be less forthright in the optimisation of each individual model structure, and perhaps investigate more of the parameter combinations for each model which yield feasible simulations of the system. An alternative fuzzy calibration technique is introduced which avoids the optimisation process and takes account of uncertainties in the model structure, parameter sets and observed data in prediction.  相似文献   

A discrete particle representation of hillslope hydrology: hypothesis testing in reproducing a tracer experiment at Gårdsjön,Sweden     

Jessica Davies  Keith Beven  Lars Nyberg  Allan Rodhe 《水文研究》2011,25(23):3602-3612

Despite the long history of the continuum equation approach in hydrology, it is not a necessary approach to the formulation of a physically based representation of hillslope hydrology. The Multiple Interacting Pathways (MIPs) model is a discrete realization that allows hillslope response and transport to be simultaneously explored in a way that reflects the potential occurrence of preferential flows and lengths of pathways. The MIPs model uses random particle tracking methods to represent the flow of water within the subsurface alongside velocity distributions that acknowledge preferential flows and transition probability matrices, which control flow pathways. An initial realization of this model is presented here in application to a tracer experiment carried out in Gårdsjön, Sweden. The model is used as an exploratory tool, testing several hypotheses in relation to this experiment. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Comparison of Large-Scale Flows on the Sun Measured by Time-Distance Helioseismology and Local Correlation Tracking     

Michal Švanda  Junwei Zhao  Alexander G. Kosovichev 《Solar physics》2007,241(1):27-37

We present a direct comparison between two different techniques: time-distance helioseismology and a local correlation tracking method for measuring mass flows in the solar photosphere and in a near-surface layer. We applied both methods to the same dataset (MDI high-cadence Dopplergrams covering almost the entire Carrington rotation 1974) and compared the results. We found that, after necessary corrections, the vector flow fields obtained by these techniques are very similar. The median difference between directions of corresponding vectors is 24°, and the correlation coefficients of the results for mean zonal and meridional flows are 0.98 and 0.88, respectively. The largest discrepancies are found in areas of small velocities where the inaccuracies of the computed vectors play a significant role. The good agreement of these two methods increases confidence in the reliability of large-scale synoptic maps obtained by them.  相似文献   

Reliability analysis of H-infinity control for a container ship in way-point tracking     

《Applied Ocean Research》2015

Efficient control of ships in a designed trajectory is always a significant charge for ship maneuverings. The purpose of this paper is to design a robust H_∞ controller and a reliability analysis for a container ship in a way-point tracking. First, the H_∞ controller is designed for a container ship because of model parameters’ uncertainties and external disturbances such as waves, winds and ocean currents. Then, to evaluate the reliability of the designed controller, a well-known reliability analysis technique is employed to achieve the predefined heading angle overshoot (that is less than 20%) in way-point tracking. To do this, three random variables including wind speed, wind direction and wave direction are considered as the inputs due to their significant effect on overshoot, compared to other variables. The results demonstrate the capability of the designed H_∞ controller against modeling uncertainties and external disturbances in way point tracking control.  相似文献   

强跟踪抗差自适应滤波算法及其在无人机导航定位中的应用   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

肖业伟  谢小刚 《测绘通报》2021,(4):64-67

针对Sage-Husa自适应滤波算法在无人机导航定位应用中存在滤波发散和定位精度低的问题,本文提出一种强跟踪抗差自适应滤波算法。该算法在Sage-Husa自适应滤波算法基础上,引入强跟踪技术,通过自适应渐消因子降低历史数据对当前滤波的影响,从而抑制滤波发散,增强算法的稳健性;结合量测噪声和系统噪声进行实时估计,并且在估计中加入抗差因子抑制粗差对滤波的干扰,提高定位精度。仿真结果表明,该算法在发生滤波发散和粗差干扰的情况下能够表现出良好的滤波性能,较Sage-Husa算法有更强的稳健性。  相似文献   

人工增雨催化区跟踪方法与效果评估指标研究   总被引：4，自引：1，他引：3  

汪玲  刘黎平 《气象》2015,41(1):84-91

如何利用新一代天气雷达作业前后回波的变化分析人工增雨效果,对提高人工影响天气的科学性有非常重要的意义。文章基于新一代天气雷达三维拼图和最大相关系数的雷达回波跟踪方法（TREC）,在考虑多个作业影响时间和催化剂扩散背景下,实现对高炮和飞机播云作业中催化区的连续跟踪,并计算区域内的最大反射率、垂直积分液态含水量等回波参数。利用2个降水过程,选择多个跟踪区域进行连续跟踪,详细分析了回波跟踪的合理性。选择北京的一次高炮增雨作业与一次模拟飞机作业,对其催化区进行跟踪。结果表明：利用TREC算法,能够合理跟踪回波在空间的垂直位置与水平位置,较好地跟踪单点、多点作业时催化区域移动,实时跟踪飞机播云催化区的回波变化,从而为人工增雨的效果评估提供了一个有意义的参考。  相似文献   

雷达拼图资料上中尺度对流系统的跟踪与预报   总被引：3，自引：2，他引：1  

杨吉  郑媛媛  夏文梅  徐芬  徐坤 《气象》2015,41(6):738-744

在中尺度对流系统(Mesoscale Convective Systems,MCSs)自动识别基础上,利用相关法跟踪雷达回波(Tracking Radar Echoes by Cross-correlation,TREC)和面积重叠法完成新的跟踪预报方法.新方法利用TREC得到MCSs移动矢量,利用该矢量外推对应MCSs雷达回波.根据外推回波与相应回波实况,采用面积重叠法完成跟踪,同时利用移动矢量完成预报.采用4次强天气过程对算法进行检验,分析结果表明:(1)新方法能够有效实现MCSs跟踪与预报;(2)新方法得到MCSs移动速度相对稳定,不因为系统合并、分裂和生消出现速度大幅度波动现象,有效减小预报误差,6～60 min预报误差相对于原方法减小20％以上;(3)新方法虽然能提取得到较为稳定的系统移动速度,但不能得到系统的传播速度.原方法能得到系统的移动速度和传播速度合成,但提取速度不稳定,容易受到质心偏移的影响,预报误差较大.新方法在系统消亡期提取移动速度不稳定,导致跟踪丢失现象的发生,而原方法在系统合并与分裂时易出现跟踪丢失现象.  相似文献   

FAST望远镜40米模型天文观测软件的开发     

管皓  孙才红 《天文研究与技术》2011,(4)

针对FAST的天文观测要求,对其天文观测软件进行了设计与开发。首先介绍了FAST天文观测的原理,对天文观测软件进行了需求分析。而后提出了馈源天文运动轨迹规划算法,并进行了仿真。针对其轨迹要求给出了控制方法,对天文观测控制软件进行了设计与实现。最后通过现场实地实验,验证了本文所提的算法与软件的可行性。  相似文献