1988年反厄尼诺(La Niña)事件的数值模拟     

张荣华 《气象学报》1996,54(1):53-64

用中国科学院大气物理研究所高分辨率、自由表面热带海洋环流模式对厄尼诺/南方涛动(El/Southern Oscillation)循环中另一重要位相La Niña事件进行了数值模拟研究。模式区域为南北纬30°之间的热带太平洋,经纬圈水平方向分辨率分别为2°和1°,垂直方向分为不等距的14层;模式中考虑了盐度并引入与洋流切变和层结稳定度有关的垂直扩散参数化方案。在观测到的海表风应力、热量和淡水通量(蒸发与降水之差)驱动下,所发展的模式从1984年积分到1989年。本文给出模式对近十几年来最强的1988年La Niña事件进行数值模拟的结果,着重分析La Niña期间热带太平洋海面起伏、流场和温度场时空演变,以及La Niña和El期间变量场时空结构差别。文中还进行了模式结果和一些观测资料间的比较。  相似文献   

吉林基性超基性岩的地质特征及找矿方向   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

冯守忠  路瑞春 《矿产与地质》1992,6(3):183-187

从多旋回大地构造演化的观点,分析吉林区域多旋回的构造运动,控制多旋回的基性超基性岩浆活动及其相应的成矿作用,认为与含镍有关的基性超基性岩体,主要受“台槽边界”赤峰—开源深断裂控制,沿深断裂一侧或两侧成带分布,分群集中。为铜镍矿床区域勘查工作,提供地质资料。  相似文献   

Heavy Metal Load of Sediments of the River Gurk (Carinthia/Austria) — Merits and Limitations of Sequential Leaching Schwermetallbelastung des Sediments der Gurk in Kärnten — Vorzüge und Einschränkungen sequentieller Löseverfahren     

M. Sager  W. Vogel 《洁净——土壤、空气、水》1993,21(1):21-32

By means of the analysis of sediments cored in the small river Gurk (Carinthia/Austria), the input of Ag, Cd, Ce, Cr, Hg, La, Mo, Ni, V, and W from a chemical industrial plant could be detected. To estimate the actual load, and to obtain data for comparison with other sites, both unsieved fine sediments and sediments sieved to 20 μm were investigated from the same cores. Environmental mobilities of toxic heavy metals (Co, Cr, Cu, Ni, Zn) have been shown by sequential leaching following Tessier/Förstner. In the last step, HNO₃ leaches a purely geogenic fraction, which is fairly constant along the investigated river. Whereas the additional Cr from the input of the chemical plant is mainly found in the oxalate-leachable fraction, short-time-load to unpolluted sediments in the laboratory is found mainly in hydroxylamine/acetic acid. Both is due to the high affinity of Cr to Fe- and Mn-oxides. Adsorption/desorption experiments reveal that the low carbonate content of the Gurk sediments increases the importance of Fe/Mn-oxides for the sorption of Cr compared to other samples containing carbonate. The Ni-load was primarily found in weak-acid-leachable and oxalate-leachable fractions. Similarly, the oxalate-leachable fraction is dominant for adsorption of other metals and phosphorus. Other interelement relationships among the amounts leached, which are attributable partly to carbonate-, silicate-, organic or coating phases, have been found by means of factor analyses together with marker fractions for each type.  相似文献   

TYPHOON ACTIVITY IN NORTHWEST PACIFIC IN RELATION WITH EL NINO AND LA NINA EVENTS     

何敏  宋文玲  陈兴芳 《热带气象学报(英文版)》1999,5(2):153-162

Statistic and typical-year composition methods are used to study the northwest Pacific typhoon activities in relation with the EI Niño and La Niña events. The result indicates that the typhoon tends to be inactive in the EI Niño years and active in the La Niña years and it is also dependent on the onset and ending time and intensity of the events and areas of genesis of typhoons. With statistic features of the frequency of typhoon activity in the EI Niño and La Niña years and the time-lag correlation between the frequency and sea surface temperature(SST), useful information is provided for the prediction of typhoon occurrence. In addition, the singular values disassemble(SVD)method is applied to study the correlation between the geopotential field and SST field. The result shows that the air-sea coupling in the EI Niño years is unfavorable for the typhoon to develop. Which take place with a smaller number. Opposite situations are found with the La Niña years.  相似文献   

近50 a全球和三大洋海温距平的时空变化特征   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

王晓悦  钱永甫 《南京气象学院学报》2002,25(6):755-763

利用49a(1950-1998年)NCEP/NCAR逐月SSTA资料和EOF方法,分别对太平洋、大西洋、印度洋和全球海洋SSTA主要特征向量的空间分布和相应的时间变化进行了讨论。利用Morlet小波进一步分析了要素场的周期变化和能量变化。发现经EOF分解后的SSTA场具有很好的空间整体性和明显的年际和年代际变化。各大洋海温变化存在明显的同期和时滞相关关系,很好地体现了大洋间的协同作用和太平洋的主导作用。从不同的空间分布模态中选择海温变化显著的区域作为关键区,进行同期和时滞相关分析,结果发现各关键区之间具有明显的同期和时滞相关关系。  相似文献   

Conceptual model about the interaction between El Ni(n)o/ Southern Oscillation and Quasi-Biennial Oscillation in far west equatorial Pacific     

LIU Qinyu  LIU Zhengyu  PAN Aijun 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》2006,49(8)

Interaction between the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation in far west equatorial Pacific (QBOWP) and the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is studied using a new conceptual model. In this conceptual model, the QBOWP effects on ENSO are achieved through two ways: (1) the oceanic Kelvin wave along equatorial Pacific, and (2) the Atmospheric Walker Circulation anomaly, while ENSO effects on QBOWP can be accomplished by the atmospheric Walker Circulation anomaly. Diagnosis analysis of the model results shows that the Atmospheric bridge (Walker circulation) plays a more important role in interaction between the ENSO and QBOWP than the oceanic bridge (oceanic Kelvin wave along equatorial Pacific); It is found that by the interaction of the ENSO and QBOWP, a free ENSO oscillation with 3-5 years period could be substituted by a oscillation with the quasi-biennial period, and the dominant period of SST anomaly and wind anomaly in the far west equatorial Pacific tends to be prolonged with enhanced ENSO forcing. Generally, the multi-period variability in the coupled Atmosphere-Ocean System in the Tropical Pacific can be achieved through the interaction between ENSO and QBOWP.  相似文献   

云南雨季逐候降水量的低频振荡特征     

何华  陶云  段旭  孙绩华 《气象科技》2006,34(1):52-56

应用主分量方法分析了云南省84站1991~2000年雨季(5~10月)逐候降水量的主要时空特征,并用非整波技术分析了所提取的第1、第2主分量频谱分布的低频振荡特点,同时分析了低频振荡现象与El Nino(La Nina)事件及云南雨季降水多、少之间的关系。结果表明:①云南地区雨季降水主要低频振荡周期为6候(30天)、10候(50天)的月际振荡和15~17候(75~85天)的季节内振荡;②云南雨季的候降水每年都存在30天振荡周期,30天振荡是云南雨季固有的振荡;③当发生El Nino或La Nina异常气候事件时,云南雨季的候降水存在50天振荡周期;④当云南雨季存在75~85天振荡时,云南主汛期(6~8月)降水距平百分率为正(除2000年为零距平);当云南雨季不存在75~85天振荡时,云南主汛期降水距平百分率为负。  相似文献   

热带太平洋地区风场异常和与El Ni(~n)o有关的年际变化   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：1  

薛洪斌  张铭  王业桂 《气候与环境研究》2006,11(4)

利用1964～1993年NCEP/NCAR再分析风应力资料和中国科学院大气物理研究所发展的14层热带太平洋环流模式(OGCM),对热带太平洋与El Ni(~n)o有关的年际变化进行了研究.首先,分析了西太平洋暖池次表层海温异常(SOTA)与Ni(~n)o 3区海表温度异常(SSTA)的年际变化关系,发现在El Ni(~n)o事件之前,暖池的次表层海温都有明显正异常出现,它的东传导致了El Ni(~n)o的发生,并且SOTA的传播随纬度变化,沿赤道东传,在赤道外西传.然后,选取了20世纪70年代和80年代两次最强的El Ni(~n)o事件讨论了引起这种机制的可能原因--西风异常的作用.最后,对1964～1993所有的El Ni(~n)o年的风场、次表层海温和海表温度的异常进行了综合分析.  相似文献   

Deconstructing the best case scenario: lessons from water politics in La Paz-El Alto, Bolivia     

Nina Laurie  Carlos Crespo 《Geoforum》2007,38(5):841-854

For nearly a decade the La Paz-El Alto concession in Bolivia was heralded by donor organizations, the state and the commercial water industry alike as an emblematic ‘pro-poor’ water concession under the private sector model. Managed by one of the largest water multinationals in the world (the French company Suez), the network was extended beyond the new connections required by the original ‘pro-poor’ contract, acclaimed as a pioneer of new pro-poor technologies and frequently disseminated internationally as an example of best practice. This paper analyses the La Paz-El Alto concession’s pro-poor image focusing on issues of social exclusion and network extension, contract negotiation, participation and transparency. It documents the rise of social protest about the concession and critiques the failure of neoliberal regulatory systems to promote accountability to the poor. In the context of the continued transnationalisation of the water industry the paper highlights the need for new mechanisms and delivery models to ensure greater national control over private companies and the development of a framework for international water governance.  相似文献   

流感世界大流行的气候特征     

杨冬红  杨学祥 《沙漠与绿洲气象(新疆气象)》2007,1(3):1-8

流感爆发与气候的剧烈变化有关。本文揭示了拉马德雷冷位相、拉尼娜、太阳黑子极值年、厄尔尼诺、低温冷害、沙尘暴、潮汐南北震荡异常与流行性感冒世界大流行相互对应的关系及其物理机制,对气候及其相关灾害的预测有重大科学意义。规律表明,在拉马德雷冷位相时期,全球强震、低温、飓风伴随拉尼娜、全球性流感伴随厄尔尼诺将越来越强烈。面对日益增大的全球灾害,长期气候预报意义重大。  相似文献