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991.
Ghassem Habibagahi 《Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering》1998,17(1):53-56
Estimation of the magnitude of reservoir induced seismicity is essential for seismic risk analysis of dam sites. Different geological and empirical methods dealing with the mechanism or magnitude of such earthquakes are available in the literature. In this study, a method based on an artificial neural network utilizing radial basis functions (RBF network) was employed to analyze the problem. The network has only two input neurons, one representing the maximum depth of the reservoir and the other being a comprehensive parameter representing reservoir geometry. Magnitudes of the induced earthquakes predicted using the RBF network were compared with the actual recorded data. Compared with the conventional statistical approach, the proposed method gives a better prediction, both in terms of coefficients of correlation and error rates. 相似文献
992.
Kai-Wu Li 《地震学报(英文版)》1998,11(5):637-644
Studies by many scientists show that Hebei, China is an area with strong correlation between the tidal force and the occurrences
of major earthquakes, the Xingtai earthquake of 1966, the Hejian earthquake of 1967 and the Tangshan earthquake of 1976 were
triggered by the tidal force, in this paper the study on the common characteristics of their occurrence times confirms these
facts. The computed times of maximum horizontal of the semi diurnal solid tide tidal force show that the occurrence times
of the above mentioned earthquakes were close to the times of maximum horizontal tidal force of the semi diurnal solid tide
at new moon or full moon. The Longyao earthquake of M=6.8, the Ningjin earthquake of M=7.2 and the Hejian earthquake of M=6.3 occurred tens of minutes after the maximum horizontal tidal force of the semi diurnal solid tides, and the Tangshan earthquake
of M=7.8 occurred 16 minutes before the maximum horizontal tidal force. The tidal forces were directed to the west. This is their
temporal characteristic. It is generally accepted that the 1969 Bohai earthquake of M=7.4 and the 1975 Haicheng earthquake were not triggered by the tidal force. These events did not show such characteristics.
The temporal characteristics of the earthquakes indicate that the occurrences of these events were not random, but were controlled
by the tidal force from the sun and the moon, and triggered by the tidal force. These facts agree with the triggering mechanism
of the tidal force, are evidences of earthquakes triggered by tidal force. 相似文献
993.
A nonlinear magnitude frequency equation has been derived in this paper on the assumption that all seismicity systems hold
fractal characteristics, and according to the differences of relevant coefficients in the equation, seismicity systems are
classified into two types: type I, the whole earthquake activity is controlled by only one great unified system; type II,
the whole earthquake activity is controlled by more than one great system. One type of seismicity system may convert to the
other type, generally. For example, a type I system will change to a type II system prior to the occurrence of a strong earthquake
in North China. This change can be regarded as an index for earthquake trend estimation. In addition, the difference between
b value in nonlinear magnitude frequency equation and that in linear equation and the term dΔM related to the coefficients of nonlinear terms obtained in this paper are proved to be a pair of available parameters for
medium short term earthquake prediction. 相似文献
994.
Through analysis we found that some mesoscale anomalous regions (101–102 km) of meteorological parameters such as the special drought areas, unusual warm areas, the largest snowfall center, low
pressure area together with the epicenter area of M
S=6.2 Zhangbei earthquake on January 10, 1998 are located at the same area, i.e. there appears the “Five areas corresponding”
phenomenon. Meanwhile, three times of low pressure evolution are generated and develop in the earthquake area in five days
after the occurrence of the earthquake. The abnormal variation of the lower limit of frozen soil layer shows indirectly that
unusual warm in earthquake areas are related to the upward thermal conduction from the deeper layer of earth surface. 相似文献
995.
The M=7.2 southern Hyogo prefecture earthquake, which occurred on January 17, 1995, destroyed the region severely. Further researches
are necessary to explain the problems obtained from this earthquake. We have discussed some characteristics correlating with
this earthquake, such as distribution of aftershocks and disaster, relationship between fault and generation of inland shallow
earthquakes, strong motion and so on. The tectonic movements of surface faults may be different from those of deep faults.
Earthquakes may not be restricted directly by the tectonic movements of surface faults. The strong motion zone is often appeared
in the region a little away from the both ends or from the single side of a fault instead of the region of a focal fault.
Some mechanisms of strong motion have also been discussed. 相似文献
996.
地震前兆场的演化和能量非线性聚集的关系 总被引:4,自引:1,他引:3
运用非均匀介质中“非线性振动的局域能量聚集”过程,模拟唐山7.8级和大同6.1级地震的前兆场演化,发现地震孕育过程中出现的诸多前兆特征与地壳内构造能量的非线性聚集有关。 相似文献
997.
元代及其前历史强震目录增补与讨论(续) 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
在综合处理元代及其前地震震后救灾,减灾措施及社会影响的基础上,通过对比研究,对缺乏震害描述的地震进行了参数厘定,并对部分疑难地震进行了讨论,弥补了这一时期研究的不足。 相似文献
998.
中国地震速报台网走时残差分析与走时修正 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
使用了30个速报台站的观测数据,计算了100多个中国境内外的地震事件初至波走时残差。在此基础上分析各台所记录的所有地震事件的残差随方位角和震中距的分布,及产生这些残差的地球深部非流体静力平衡状态和地球表面构造等方面的原因,并给出了不同区域地震走时的平均校正值,从而提高了地震定位精度。 相似文献
999.
黄海地区地震活动分析 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
韩守琪 《地震地磁观测与研究》1998,19(5):38-42
通过对黄海地区与华北第四活动期地震活动的对比分析,认为黄海地区地震活动有其自身的活动规律。在不同时段震场不同,主体活动地区不同。目前5级以上地震的主要危险区在35°N线以南、中北黄海地区。 相似文献
1000.
根据1500年以来的地震资料,应用数理统计、灰色预测、干支60周期分析等多种方法,对江苏—南黄海地区未来3~5年地震形势进行分析和预测,结果表明:该区目前处于本世纪第2活跃幕中后期,未来几年内依然存在5~6级地震的危险性,至2000年7月,累积发震概率将达到0.7~0.8,1999—2000年、2002—2003年均有可能发生5级以上中强地震。 相似文献